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All Journal Agrikultura Agrifor : Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian dan Kehutanan CEMARA Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management) SC (Savana Cendana) : Jurnal Pertanian Konservasi Lahan Kering AGRIMOR Jurnal Ilmiah Pertanian Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian AGROMIX JIA (Jurnal Ilmiah Agribisnis) : Jurnal Agribisnis dan Ilmu Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian CELEBES Agricultural Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Fakultas Pertanian (JIMFP) Rona Teknik Pertanian Agroland: Jurnal Ilmu-ilmu Pertanian
Katili, Hidayat Arismunandar
Department Of Agrotechnology, Faculty Of Agriculture, Tompotika Luwuk University
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Engineering Environmental Science

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Land Use Change and Future Prediction in Banggai Islands Regency, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia Katili, Hidayat Arismunandar; Syartinilia; Irmansyah, Firman; Widiatmaka
Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management) Vol 15 No 5 (2025): Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (JPSL)
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian Lingkungan Hidup, IPB (PPLH-IPB) dan Program Studi Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan, IPB (PS. PSL, SPs. IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jpsl.15.5.804

Abstract

Land use and land cover (LULC) changes can influence policies in a region due to economic and social conditions caused by population growth. The objective of this study is to analyze and map LULC changes in 2002, 2012, and 2022 using the Random Forest approach on Google Earth Engine, and to predict land use in 2042 using Markov-CA, thereby supporting the provision of accurate and sustainable policy data related to LULC in Banggai Islands Regency. This method can provide accurate information about the spatial distribution of rational LULC, balancing development demands with sustainable environmental protection. The study's results indicate that LULC has undergone significant changes from 2002 to 2022. There has been an increase in plantation land, open land, and settlements originating from forest and scrubland. Predictions of LULC changes in 2042 show an increase in plantations, settlements, and open land, while other land uses are declining. Effective land use policies require spatial planning that considers the potential andlimitations of land, as well as the space needs for residential, agricultural, and forest areas. This approach will facilitate the application of land conservation principles in sustainable, balanced agricultural and non-agricultural development in Banggai Islands Regency.
Co-Authors Adjalamin, Evawati R Ambo Abd Kadir Pakanyamong Annas Boceng Armelia Sambayo Bidullah, Taufik D, Susilawati Defri Novison Pania Dian Puspapratiwi Djamaluddin, Ismail Enteding, Trianto Herwin Yatim Ilham Ladonu Iqbal Akase Irman Firmansyah Irmansyah, Firman Irsan Tatu Irvan Ndekano Jen Achen Amu Karundeng, Yulinda Krisniati Pamanyo Ladonu, Moh. Ilham Lina Lathifah Nurazizah M. Sipoy, Nena Maharia, Dwi Mambuhu, Nurmasyita Maudara, Akbar Mihwan Sataral Moh Zulfajrin Moh. Zulfajrin Muliyanto Riswanto Ndekano, Irvan Nofrianti Samali Nurazizah, Lina Lathifah Nurmasyita Mambuhu Nurmasyita Mambuhu Nurul Mitra Sari Ongky, Ongky Paldi, Ripaldi S. Sabudu Pokoti, Fitriani Puspapratiwi, Dian Rahmawati Sayedi Regita Cahyani Ripaldi S. Sabudu Rival Rahman, Rival Rusandi Liuto Safira Saosang Saida Saida Saipul Saikim Sapae, Basir Sariani Sotomani, Edwin Syartinilia . Taufik Bidullah Widiatmaka Yatim, Hertasning Yatim, Herwin Yulinda Karundeng Zaenuddin, Ruslan Zulfajrin, Moh