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Journal : EDUMATIC: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika

Single Exponential Smoothing: Metode Peramalan Kebutuhan Vaksin Campak Annisa Azzahra; William Ramdhan; Wan Mariatul Kifti
Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika (EDUMATIC) Vol 6, No 2 (2022): Edumatic: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika
Publisher : Universitas Hamzanwadi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29408/edumatic.v6i2.6299

Abstract

The importance of the measles immunization vaccine for children up to the age of 9 months to prevent children from getting sick with measles or reduce the transmission rate in the surrounding environment, especially at the Gambir Health Center.  This demand is still considered ineffective and there is often an oversupply of vaccines, which results in a buildup of vaccines in storage. The purpose of this study was to create a measles vaccine needs forecasting system using the Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) method. The model used to build this system is the Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC) with stages of analysis, design, implementation, and trial. Data collection techniques use observation, interviews, or smart phones for shooting or sound recording. The analysis technique for system forecasting uses the SES method, while the system testing uses a Blackbox. Our findings show that the lowest MAPE value was obtained at 49.8%. The results of testing the system using a Blackbox that all components in this system are already functioning properly. With this system, it can make it easier for related parties to predict the number of measles vaccines in the new Gambir health center.
Sistem Peramalan Permintaan Darah dengan Metode Simple Moving Average Wan Mhd Iqbal Muttaqin; William Ramdhan; Wan Mariatul Kifti
Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika (EDUMATIC) Vol 6, No 2 (2022): Edumatic: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika
Publisher : Universitas Hamzanwadi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29408/edumatic.v6i2.6326

Abstract

Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a method used to forecast a state of affairs in the next period. This method is applied to determine the number of blood requests in PMI in the Asahan Regency area. Blood stock is an important factor to support activities in this PMI organization by paying attention to the condition of this month /period and predicting the next period. The purpose of this study is to build a blood demand forecasting system with the SMA method. The model used to build this system is a waterfall with stages of analysis, design, implementation and testing. The data we use for this forecasting is the demand for blood from July 2021 to June 2022. Data analysis used the SMA method to determine the rate of prediction errors in this system, while testing this system used a black box. The results of our products are in the form of a web consisting of the login menu, the main menu, the calculation results. The calculation results using the SMA method in our system are appropriate, and can display the number of blood demand stocks in each period. The results of testing the system using black box show that this system is running properly without any errors, and it is working properly. Therefore, the existence of this system can help pmi to determine the number of requests based on blood type.
Co-Authors Adnan Fauzi Ahmad Muhazir Amalia Amalia Amalia Amalia Amalia Amalia, Laily Rizky Annisa Azzahra Apriaji Kurniawan Ari Dermawan Arip Muhridan Arju Devpriandi Siahaan Arridha Zikra Syah Bachtiar Efendi Bachtiar Efendi, Bachtiar dermawan, ari Dian Aprillia Dian Aprillia Enda Triswati Endra Saputra Frans Andrean Hasibuan Gustin, Sela Habibullah . Helmiah, Fauriatun Herman Saputra Herman Saputra Hutapea, Tiofani Br. Imam Wahyudi Indrawan, Imam Wahyudi Irene Hasian Jeperson Hutahaean Jhonson Efendi Hutagalung Lubis, Adi Prijuna Lubis, Syafaat Sufi M Irfan Fahmi M. Zulfakhri Jain Mayang Sari, Windy Astika Muhammad Amin Muhammad Novri Rachmawan Muti'ah, Rahma Nabila, Inaya Nasrun Marpaung Nasution, Rama Danil Fahri Ningrum, Mawar Puspitha Novianti Novianti Nur Aini Nur Aini Nur Wati Nuriadi Manurung Nuriadi Manurung Nursia, Akris Nursia Nurwati Nurwati Nurwati Nurwati Puspita Deri Syahfitri Putri Indriani Rahayu, Elly Raja Fazlun Dinara Ramdhan, William Reski Ramadhan Siregar Risnawati Risnawati Rohminatin Rohminatin Rohminatin Rohminatin Rohminatin Rohminatin, Rohminatin SANTOSO SANTOSO Santoso Santoso SATRIYAS ILYAS Sela Gustin Siagian, Yessica Siregar, Beni Harianto Siti Mujiatun Sri Okta Purnamasari Suci Andriyani Sudarmin Sudarmin Sudarmin Sudarmin Sudarmin Sudarmin Sumarlin Sumarlin Syafaat Sufi Lubis Syahira Syahira Tri Anjar Ningsih Vira Fahrani Waji Datur Rahmi Sipahutar Wan Mhd Iqbal Muttaqin William Ramdhan Windy Astika Mayang Sari Windy Swaradana Yessica Siagian Zulfi Azhar