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Journal : JEJAK

IMPLEMENTASI PROGRAM PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN PERKOTAAN (P2KP) DI KECAMATAN TONJONG KABUPATEN BREBES TAHUN 2007 Rahman, Yozi Aulia
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 3, No 1 (2010): March 2010
Publisher : Semarang State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v3i1.4665

Abstract

Poverty is a serious problem, it’s happened in all the world, such as Indonesia. In September 2006, BPS announced that the poverty rate in Indonesiahad increased during the period February 2005 to march 2006 from 16.0 percent to 17.75 percent contrast to steady declines in the poverty rate since the crisis. Number of Poverty in Indonesiain 2006 have been reached 35,5 milion people. Government of Indonesiahas implemented programs to reduce poverty until village level. These programs such as IDT, PPK, BLT, etc. But, that programs just a short run programs, not long run programs. As long run program, P2KP has many programs, such as micro credits, infrastructure, and training. In Pepedan and Linggapura village implemented infrastructure programs. Its first priority programs because there many roads in that village are broken and disturbs local economic activities. BKM and KSM managed this program so that is success. Based on SWOT analysis, appropriate strategy to improve the function of P2KP is by intregrated horizontal strategy. It means, Local Government (Brebes Regency Goverment) must have policy strategic and must cooperation with BKM, KSM and people in village. Project evaluate (Inputs, Outputs, Outcames, Benefits, Impact) needs to know programs running.
FAKTOR - FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PDRB KABUPATEN / KOTA JAWA TENGAH TAHUN 2008-2012 Rahman, Yozi Aulia; Chamelia, Ayunda Lintang
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 8, No 1 (2015): March 2015
Publisher : Semarang State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v8i1.3857

Abstract

Pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tinggi merupakan kondisi utama bagi kelangsungan pembangunan ekonomi daerah. Untuk mengukur kemajuan perekonomian daerah dengan mengamati seberapa besar laju pertumbuhan ekonomi yang dicapai daerah tersebut yang tercermin dari kenaikan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB). PDRBKabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah selama tahun 2008- 2012 mengalami pertumbuhan karena banyak yang mempengaruhinya, seperti: Tabungan, Kredit, PAD dan Belanja Daerah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis seberapa besar faktor-faktor tersebut mempengaruhi tingkat PDRB kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah selama tahun 2008-2012. Variabel dependen yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah PDRB, sedangkan variabel-variabel independen yaitu Tabungan, Kredit, Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) dan Belanja Daerah. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi linear berganda melalui metode OLS dengan menggunakan data    time series 2008  –2012 dan data crosssection 35 kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah atau yang dimaksud dengan data panel. Pengujian model dalam penelitian ini menggunakan metode FixedEffect. Hasil estimasi menunjukkan bahwa hasil analisis regresi pada α=5%menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial  variabel tabungan   dan kredit berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan variabel PAD, dan Belanja Daerah tidak signifikan terhadap PDRB kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah tahun 2008–2012. High economic growth is the main condition for the continuation of regional economic development. To measure the progress of the regional economy, observation on the economyc growth rate in each area can be conducted. It is reflected in the increase of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDP). The increase of GDP of regency/city in Central Java during the year of 2008- 2012 was influenced by several factors such as savings, credit, local generated revenue (PAD), and Expenditure. This study intends to analyze the affect of these factors to the level of GDP on districts / cities in Central Java during the years 2008-2012. The dependent variable used in this study is GDP. Meanwhile, the independent variables are savings, credit, revenue (PAD) and expenditure. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis by the OLS method using time series data in 2008 -2012 and data crosssection of 35 districts / cities in Central Java province which are often called as the data panel. The model is tested by using Fixed Effect. The result indicates that the results of the regression analysis on the α = 5% shows that in partial,  saving and loan have significant effect on GDP.  Meanwhile,  PAD variable and expenditurehave no significant effect on GDP districts / cities in Central Java province in 2008-2012.
Economics and Crime Rates in Indonesia Rahman, Yozi Aulia; Prasetyo, Affandi Dwi
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 11, No 2 (2018): September 2018
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v11i2.16060

Abstract

The Indonesian economy indicates good performance but it is not followed by the decrease in crime rates. The aim of research is to find out and analyze the effects of unemployment, education, wages, and case completion rates on the crime rates in Indonesia in 2012 – 2016. This research uses the panel data using the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) with Generalized Least Square (GLS) method. The data used in this research is the secondary data collected from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Indonesian National Police since 2012 until 2016. The data includes the open unemployment rate, the school enrollment rates, the provincial minimum wages, the crime rates, and the case completion rates. The result of this research indicates that the variables of unemployment, education and case completion rates insignificantly affect on the criminal crime in Indonesia. The wages have negative and significant effect on the crime rates in Indonesia.
IMPLEMENTASI PROGRAM PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN PERKOTAAN (P2KP) DI KECAMATAN TONJONG KABUPATEN BREBES TAHUN 2007 Rahman, Yozi Aulia
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 3, No 1 (2010): March 2010
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v3i1.4665

Abstract

Poverty is a serious problem, it’s happened in all the world, such as Indonesia. In September 2006, BPS announced that the poverty rate in Indonesiahad increased during the period February 2005 to march 2006 from 16.0 percent to 17.75 percent contrast to steady declines in the poverty rate since the crisis. Number of Poverty in Indonesiain 2006 have been reached 35,5 milion people. Government of Indonesiahas implemented programs to reduce poverty until village level. These programs such as IDT, PPK, BLT, etc. But, that programs just a short run programs, not long run programs. As long run program, P2KP has many programs, such as micro credits, infrastructure, and training. In Pepedan and Linggapura village implemented infrastructure programs. Its first priority programs because there many roads in that village are broken and disturbs local economic activities. BKM and KSM managed this program so that is success. Based on SWOT analysis, appropriate strategy to improve the function of P2KP is by intregrated horizontal strategy. It means, Local Government (Brebes Regency Goverment) must have policy strategic and must cooperation with BKM, KSM and people in village. Project evaluate (Inputs, Outputs, Outcames, Benefits, Impact) needs to know programs running.
FAKTOR - FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PDRB KABUPATEN / KOTA JAWA TENGAH TAHUN 2008-2012 Rahman, Yozi Aulia; Chamelia, Ayunda Lintang
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 8, No 1 (2015): March 2015
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v8i1.3857

Abstract

Pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tinggi merupakan kondisi utama bagi kelangsungan pembangunan ekonomi daerah. Untuk mengukur kemajuan perekonomian daerah dengan mengamati seberapa besar laju pertumbuhan ekonomi yang dicapai daerah tersebut yang tercermin dari kenaikan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB). PDRBKabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah selama tahun 2008- 2012 mengalami pertumbuhan karena banyak yang mempengaruhinya, seperti: Tabungan, Kredit, PAD dan Belanja Daerah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis seberapa besar faktor-faktor tersebut mempengaruhi tingkat PDRB kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah selama tahun 2008-2012. Variabel dependen yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah PDRB, sedangkan variabel-variabel independen yaitu Tabungan, Kredit, Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) dan Belanja Daerah. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi linear berganda melalui metode OLS dengan menggunakan data    time series 2008  –2012 dan data crosssection 35 kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah atau yang dimaksud dengan data panel. Pengujian model dalam penelitian ini menggunakan metode FixedEffect. Hasil estimasi menunjukkan bahwa hasil analisis regresi pada α=5%menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial  variabel tabungan   dan kredit berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan variabel PAD, dan Belanja Daerah tidak signifikan terhadap PDRB kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah tahun 2008–2012. High economic growth is the main condition for the continuation of regional economic development. To measure the progress of the regional economy, observation on the economyc growth rate in each area can be conducted. It is reflected in the increase of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDP). The increase of GDP of regency/city in Central Java during the year of 2008- 2012 was influenced by several factors such as savings, credit, local generated revenue (PAD), and Expenditure. This study intends to analyze the affect of these factors to the level of GDP on districts / cities in Central Java during the years 2008-2012. The dependent variable used in this study is GDP. Meanwhile, the independent variables are savings, credit, revenue (PAD) and expenditure. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis by the OLS method using time series data in 2008 -2012 and data crosssection of 35 districts / cities in Central Java province which are often called as the data panel. The model is tested by using Fixed Effect. The result indicates that the results of the regression analysis on the α = 5% shows that in partial,  saving and loan have significant effect on GDP.  Meanwhile,  PAD variable and expenditurehave no significant effect on GDP districts / cities in Central Java province in 2008-2012.
The Level Efficiency of Health Spending in East Java Province Masfufah, Eli; Rahman, Yozi Aulia
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 12, No 2 (2019): September 2019
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v12i2.22382

Abstract

This study aims to determine and analyze the level of technical cost efficiency, technical systems and improvement strategies that need to be done for inefficient areas in 30 districts / cities in East Java Province. This study uses secondary data from 30 districts / cities in East Java Province. The variables used include APBD expenditure variables according to health function as input, variable total of puskesmas, posyandu, puskesmas medical personnel, and government hospitals as intermediate outputs, as well as  life expectancy, Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR),  Infant Mortality Rate (IMR), and Morbidity Rate variables as outcomes. The research method uses Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) with the assumption of Variable Return to Scale (VRS) and input-oriented. The results obtained on average technical efficiency costs during 2012-2016 were only 26.67%, while for technical efficiency the system reached 53.34% which was already efficient so that there were indications of waste in the allocation of health spending and an improvement strategy based on potential improvement for the regions was needed. which is still inefficient so that the proportion of inputs and outputs can be efficient according to the needs in each of these regions.
Dynamic Forecasting of Government Foreign Debt: Case of Indonesia Rahman, Yozi Aulia; Pujiati, Amin
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 14, No 1 (2021): March 2021
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v14i1.29715

Abstract

This study aims to forecast the value of the Indonesian government foreign debt in 2020-2024. The secondary data of time series during the period of 2010-2019 on Indonesian government foreign debt are used as the basis of forecasting for the next five years by using ARIMA (Autogressive Integrated Moving Average). The results show that the selected ARIMA models for forecasting are ARIMA (3,1,3) after the unit root test is carried out and 16 ARIMA models are tested. The value of government foreign debt is predicted to keep increasing from 2020 to 2024 amounted to USD 253.01. Then, compared to government debt in January 2010, within 11 years, government foreign  debt is predicted to rise by 169.6%.
Dynamic Forecasting of Government Foreign Debt: Case of Indonesia Yozi Aulia Rahman; Amin Pujiati
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 14, No 1 (2021): March 2021
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v14i1.29715

Abstract

This study aims to forecast the value of the Indonesian government foreign debt in 2020-2024. The secondary data of time series during the period of 2010-2019 on Indonesian government foreign debt are used as the basis of forecasting for the next five years by using ARIMA (Autogressive Integrated Moving Average). The results show that the selected ARIMA models for forecasting are ARIMA (3,1,3) after the unit root test is carried out and 16 ARIMA models are tested. The value of government foreign debt is predicted to keep increasing from 2020 to 2024 amounted to USD 253.01. Then, compared to government debt in January 2010, within 11 years, government foreign  debt is predicted to rise by 169.6%.