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Livelihood Vulnerability and Resilience of Rice Farmers in Flood- and Pest-Affected Areas of Karawang Regency, West Java Fatimah Azzahra; Siti Mariyani; Ana Melani; I Ketut Manu Mahatmayana; Ratna Mufidah; Hitomi Nakayama
Sodality: Jurnal Sosiologi Pedesaan Vol. 14 No. 1 (2026): Sodality: Jurnal Sosiologi Pedesaan
Publisher : Departement of Communication and Community Development Sciences, Faculty of Human Ecology

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22500/14202667463

Abstract

Despite Karawang Regency’s strategic role as a major agricultural production center in West Java, recurring pest infestations and flooding have increasingly undermined farmers’ livelihoods. On the other hand, empirical studies examining livelihood resilience at the household level remain limited, particularly within a sustainable livelihood framework. This research addresses this gap by analyzing the resilience of agricultural livelihoods in Kutawaluya District using a mixed-methods approach. Quantitative data were collected from 55 farming households affected by pest attacks, plant diseases, flooding, and drought, and were complemented by qualitative insights to enrich contextual understanding. Livelihood resilience was assessed using the Livelihood Vulnerability Index (LVI) across key livelihood assets. The results indicate that the ecological dimension exhibits the highest vulnerability, with an LVI value of 0.9, reflecting severe exposure to environmental stressors. However, strong social capital among farming households emerges as a critical mitigating factor that enhances resilience under precarious conditions. This study contributes to the livelihood resilience theory by demonstrating the compensatory role of social capital in contexts of high ecological vulnerability. Practically, the findings provide evidence-based guidance for policymakers and extension services to strengthen social networks and collective action as part of sustainable livelihood strategies in flood- and pest-prone agricultural regions.
Rice Production Forecasting and Analysis of The Effect of Price on Rice Production In Karawang Regency Zhillan Zhaliilaa; Slamet Abadi; Siti Mariyani
AGRITEPA: Jurnal Ilmu dan Teknologi Pertanian Vol 12 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : UNIVED Press, Dehasen University Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37676/agritepa.v12i2.8664

Abstract

Objective: This study aims to determine the best forecasting model for annual rice production in Karawang Regency for the next five years, and to analyze the effect of harvested dry grain prices and rice prices on rice production. Methodology: quantitative method with a time series approach, secondary data from BPS were analyzed using Double Exponential Smoothing Holts, Double Exponential Smoothing Brown, and ARIMA. The Mean Squared Deviation (MSD) criterion was used to select the best forecasting model. The analysis of price effects was carried out using multiple linear regression. Results: The results showed that the Double Exponential Smoothing Brown method was the best forecasting model with the lowest MSD (186,055,731). The forecast showed an increase in annual rice production in Karawang Regency by 1.59% in the next five years, indicating a positive trend. Regression analysis indicated that the price of harvested dry grain had a negative effect (-176.041) on rice production, while the price of rice had a positive effect (19.504). Novelty: Offers a rice production forecasting model by comparing three time series methods and integrating them with the analysis of the influence of paddy and rice prices. Originality: This study provides guidance for policy makers in designing local food security. Conclusion: Forecasting rice production in the next 5 years shows a significant increase and influence of rice and paddy prices on rice production. Type of Research: Quantitative research.
Strategy for the Institutional Development of the Bina Jaya Tani Farmers’ Economic Organization (KEP) in Karawang Regency Siti Mariyani; Ana Melani; Zulfa Nur Auliatunnisa’; Tirta Anugerah
Agriecobis : Journal of Agricultural Socioeconomics and Business Vol. 9 No. 01 (2026): March
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/agriecobis.v9i01.41858

Abstract

Agricultural activities involve farmer organizations that support farmers’ socioeconomic activities. Farmer economic organizations (KEPs) play a significant role in promoting community self-reliance and food security; however, in developing countries, the institutional framework for food security remains weak. This community faces challenges such as limited market access, necessitating development efforts to reach broader markets. The objective of this study is to formulate a development strategy for the KEP to support farmers’ welfare in Karawang Regency. The method used is quantitative descriptive. Informants were selected through purposive sampling, specifically the chairperson and secretary of this community. Data analysis employed quantitative descriptive analysis using a three-stage process for strategic planning formulation. The research results indicate that the strategy implemented by KEP Bina Jaya Tani is a growth-oriented strategy that optimizes its strengths and opportunities, namely: (1) Developing rice products using attractive packaging and a variety of rice types; (2) Increasing production capacity by leveraging easy access to raw materials from farmer groups; (3) Expanding the reach of premium rice products to the main rice markets in Karawang and surrounding areas; (4) Developing location-based digital marketing with attractive packaging; and (5) Integrating agricultural technology to efficiently improve product quality.
RESILIENSI KOMUNITAS PETANI TIMUN APEL DALAM MENGHADAPI ANCAMAN KERAWANAN PANGAN (KASUS DESA TANJUNGPAKIS, KABUPATEN KARAWANG) Siti Mariyani; Ekalia Yusiana; Zulfa Nur Auliatun Nissa; M. Mawardi J; Ana Melani
Lembaran Masyarakat: Jurnal Pengembangan Masyarakat Islam Vol. 11 No. 2 (2025): Juli-Desember 2025
Publisher : Department of Islamic Community Development, Faculty of Da'wah, State Islamic University (UIN) of Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32678/lbrmasy.v11i2.12618

Abstract

Climate change affects the yield of timun apel plants, reducing the income of the timun apel farming community in Tanjung Pakis Village. The decline in income from timun apelproduction has resulted in the community's ability to meet food needs being disrupted, resulting in the threat of food insecurity. This research aims to determine the resilience of the apple-cucumber farming community in facing the threat of food insecurity due to climate change. This research was conducted using a case study method in the timun apel farming community in Tanjungpakis Village, Pakis Jaya District, Karawang Regency, because in this village, there is a community of timun apel farmers that has good natural resource potential, but there are ecological problems such as threats to production due to climate change. This research uses qualitative data with descriptive analysis. The research results show that the community of timun apel farmers in Tanjung Pakis Village already has reasonably good resources but still needs more adaptive capacity. Communities must utilize their resources as optimally as possible and increase adaptive capacity so that communities can be resilient in facing the threat of food insecurity due to climate change.
Analisis Tingkat Kesejahteraan Kelompok Wanita Tani Melalui Penerapan Green Economy Di Kelurahan Bantargebang, Kota Bekasi Muhmammad Akbar Syauqi; Fatimah Azzahra; Siti Mariyani
Science and Education Journal (SICEDU) Vol 5 No 3 (2026): Science and Education Journal 2026
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/sicedu.v5i3.812

Abstract

Kelurahan Bantargebang, Kota Bekasi, menanggung beban lingkungan berat sebagai lokasi Tempat Pengolahan Sampah Terpadu sehingga masyarakat sekitar berada dalam kondisi rentan secara ekonomi. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis tingkat penerapan green economy, tingkat kesejahteraan anggota Kelompok Wanita Tani (KWT), serta pengaruh penerapan green economy terhadap kesejahteraan anggota di Kelurahan Bantargebang. Metode yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif deskriptif dengan teknik sensus terhadap 55 anggota KWT Tamara 09, Palem 04, dan Berkah Delima. Pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui kuesioner skala Likert lima tingkat, observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi, kemudian diolah menggunakan analisis indeks skor serta analisis regresi linier berganda yang didahului uji asumsi klasik. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan tingkat penerapan green economy berada pada kategori tinggi dengan indeks 68,63 persen, sedangkan tingkat kesejahteraan anggota berada pada kategori tinggi dengan indeks 68,05 persen. Hasil uji regresi memperlihatkan efisiensi penggunaan sumber daya dan inklusivitas sosial berpengaruh signifikan secara parsial terhadap kesejahteraan, sedangkan ekonomi rendah karbon tidak berpengaruh signifikan secara parsial. Ketiga variabel secara simultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap kesejahteraan dengan koefisien determinasi sebesar 70,1 persen. Inklusivitas sosial menjadi variabel dengan koefisien terbesar terhadap kesejahteraan. Penguatan efisiensi penggunaan air dan keterampilan teknis budidaya menjadi aspek yang masih perlu ditingkatkan agar manfaat ekonomi dan lingkungan dapat dirasakan lebih merata oleh seluruh anggota.