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All Journal Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika Jurnal Ilmiah Edunomika (JIE) Room of Civil Society Development The Es Economics and Entrepreneurship Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Sabangka Abdimas Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Sabangka Journal Economics Technology and Entrepreneur AT TARIIZ : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam JIM : Journal Of International Management El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Journal of Ekonomics, Finance, and Management Studies Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis dan Terapan Room of Civil Social Development Balance: Jurnal Ekonomi
Nur Zarliani Uli
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Export Market Concentration, Earnings Stability, and International Finance Risk: Evidence from Indonesia’s Non Oil Exports Utami, Eva Yuniarti; Setyo, Wahyu Agung; Uli, Nur Zarliani; Nuraziza, Sania; Simbolon, Novi Handayani
The Es Economics and Entrepreneurship Vol. 4 No. 03 (2026): The Es Economics And Entrepreneurship (ESEE)
Publisher : Eastasouth Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58812/esee.v4i03.975

Abstract

This study examines how export market concentration shapes export earnings stability from an international finance perspective. Using secondary data compiled from ITC Trade Map for Indonesia’s non oil exports during 2022-2025, the paper evaluates export value dynamics, destination market concentration, and the stability of foreign exchange generating export earnings. The analysis combines descriptive trend analysis, market share decomposition, the Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI), and the coefficient of variation (CV) of export earnings. The results indicate three main findings. First, Indonesia’s export earnings remained resilient despite global tightening, commodity price normalization, and exchange rate uncertainty. Second, export destinations were still moderately concentrated in a limited set of large markets, especially China, the United States, and India, implying exposure to partner specific demand shocks. Third, moderate diversification across secondary markets helped cushion aggregate earnings volatility, although sectoral dependence on a few commodities linked products remained visible. The study contributes to the international finance literature by showing that trade structure is not only a competitiveness issue but also a financial risk issue because export concentration affects foreign exchange inflows, external liquidity, and macro financial resilience. Policy implications include deeper market diversification, export upgrading, and broader use of trade finance and hedging instruments.
Co-Authors Adan, L.M. Hasrul Agustyawati, Dwi Akbar Uli, Fahlil Alzarliani, Waode Anas, Muh Azwar Anggraini, Selvi Arif Nurhakim Audita Nuvriasari Bekti Utomo Daholu, Ahmad Dany Luqyana Idris Deswan, Muh. Dwi Agustyawati Endi Rustendi Eva Yuniarti Utami Eva Yuniarti Utami Fadila, Nihla Farisman, Faisal Setiawan febriyanti febriyanti Hamsir, Mega Hasni Hasni Hasni Indrawati Indrawati Iqbal Nur, Muhammad Johni Eka Putra Katjinah, Husnah Muhammad Rais Novi Handayani Simbolon Nuraziza, Sania Nurhakim, Arif Nurjanna Ladjin Pardana, Deki Pratama, Rohmawan Adi Rais.R, muhammad Ratih Primandari, Novegya Risca Fitri Ayuni Rusdin Rusdin Ryke Kalalo, Rieneke Sania, Sania Setyo, Wahyu Agung Smita Catur Sudyantara Suherman, La Ode Achmad Utami, Eva Yuniarti Utomo, Bekti Wiwit Agustina Zakaria, Ferli