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<![CDATA[The Rising Food Prices in Ramadan and Its Impact on Inflation ]]>
<![CDATA[Mutiara, Tira]]>;
<![CDATA[Al Arif, Mohammad Nur Rianto]]>;
<![CDATA[Anwar, Muhammad]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46417
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This study proposes a new contribution by analyzing the seasonal pattern of rising food prices in Ramadan and its impact on inflation over the period 2018–2024. This data range allows for more recent and relevant identification. Research Objectives: This study aims to describe food prices before, during, and after Ramadan and to analyze their impact on inflation, using data from January 2018 to May 2024. Research Methods: This research uses descriptive statistical methods to analyze food prices and inflation, and multiple linear regression to examine the impact of food prices on inflation. Empirical Results: This study found that prices of all food commodities tended to increase before, during, and after Ramadan, especially in Ramadan 2022. Descriptively, inflation also showed an increasing pattern before, during, and after Ramadan in most observation years, except 2020. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that only chicken prices had a significant effect on inflation, while the other nine foods did not. Implications: These findings suggest that the government prioritize controlling the prices of strategic commodities like chicken during Ramadan by stabilizing supply and disseminating price information equitably. Furthermore, education on wise consumption and support for food access for poor groups can help mitigate price fluctuations on the demand side.]]>
<![CDATA[Frugal Living is A New Alternative Gen Z Lifestyle ]]>
<![CDATA[Rahmasari, Himas Arum Syarifah]]>;
<![CDATA[Mafruhah, Izza]]>;
<![CDATA[Istiqomah, Nurul]]>;
<![CDATA[Gravitiani, Evi]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46418
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This research novelty is about the location of Surakarta City and the relationship between lifestyle and love of money towards frugal living. Research Objectives: This study examines the frugal living practices of Generation Z in Surakarta City. Research Methods: This study used quantitative methods with PLS-SEM for analysis. The variables in this study include frugal living, lifestyle, love of money, and financial management. Empirical Results: The findings show that lifestyle and love of money significantly influence frugal living among Generation Z in Surakarta City. At the same time, financial management does not have a significant impact on frugal living among Generation Z in Surakarta City. Implications: These results highlight the importance of financial literacy improvement policies that include environmentally friendly consumption patterns and raise awareness among Generation Z to use local products. JEL Classification: D14, D91, G41]]>
<![CDATA[Employment as the Missing Link: Full Mediation of Minimum Wage Effect on Per Capita Income in Central Java ]]>
<![CDATA[Pratista, Regina]]>;
<![CDATA[Istiqomah, Istiqomah]]>;
<![CDATA[Pravitasari, Chairani Fadhila]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46419
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This paper is original by explicitly analyzing employment as a mediating variable in the relationship between minimum wage and per capita income, given the inconclusive findings of previous research on these variables. Research Objectives: This study investigates the relationship between minimum wage and per capita income and examines the mediating role of employment with two control variables: government expenditure and education. Research Methods: This study utilized secondary data from BPS covering 35 districts and municipalities in Central Java Province over the period 2018–2023. The study applies panel-data regression, complemented by mediation analysis using path analysis and the Sobel test. Empirical Results: The minimum wage does not directly affect per capita income; instead, its impact is fully mediated by employment. The finding suggests that the minimum wage alone does not raise per capita income; rather, it exerts its influence indirectly by improving employment, which in turn drives income growth. As control variables, government expenditure and education exert positive and significant effects on per capita income. Implications: A minimum wage policy must be accompanied by job-creation strategies. A minimum wage increase without policies that maintain or increase jobs will not effectively boost per capita income.]]>
<![CDATA[The Future of Health Expenditure in ASEAN Countries: A Forecasting Analysis with ARIMA ]]>
<![CDATA[Melati, Alexsandra Putri Sekar]]>;
<![CDATA[Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46420
<![CDATA[Research Originality: The primary contribution of this research is its novel analysis and forecasting of health expenditure in the ASEAN region, which has been previously underexamined by scholars. Research Objectives: This research forecasts per capita health expenditure across three ASEAN countries, broken down by government, private, and out-of-pocket sources. Research Methods: This study employs a time series ARIMA model approach using secondary data from the World Bank for the period 2000 to 2021 Empirical Results: The findings indicate that projections for all three countries significantly increase across all health expenditure categories. Singapore is expected to see a sharp surge in all health expenditure components. At the same time, Indonesia is forecasted to achieve the highest growth rate in percentage terms, but lags in nominal terms. Conversely, Malaysia is projected to experience moderate growth in health expenditure. Implications: This research underscores the financing disparities and the urgent need for health system reform.]]>
<![CDATA[Unlocking Sustainability in Informal Micro Enterprises: Capital Access in The Fintech Era ]]>
<![CDATA[Ispriyahadi, Heri]]>;
<![CDATA[Zaenudin, Zaenudin]]>;
<![CDATA[Wati, Lela Nurlaela]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46421
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This study offers a unique exploration of how capital access mediates the impact of financial literacy and fintech peer-to-peer (P2P) lending on the sustainability of micro and small enterprises (MSEs) in traditional markets, utilizing SDG-based indicators. Research Object: This study examines the effects of financial literacy and fintech P2P lending on capital access and sustainability of MSEs in traditional markets. Research Methods: The study employed a quantitative approach, utilizing Structural Equation Modeling analysis, using 232 MSEs in Jakarta. Empirical Results: The findings indicate that financial literacy and fintech P2P lending have a positive impact on both capital access and the sustainability of MSEs. However, capital access did not significantly affect the sustainability of MSE or mediate either factor. Implications: The Financial Services Authority (OJK) must enhance legislation protecting MSEs from fintech risks and promote financial literacy. The OJK must coordinate P2P platforms, cooperatives, and MSE offices. Creating an inclusive fintech ecosystem for traditional market MSEs, with microloans and mentorship, is essential for viable financing.]]>
<![CDATA[Do Coffee Exports Have an Impact on Economic Growth in Indonesia? ]]>
<![CDATA[Nasution, Nazla Atikah Hikmatias]]>;
<![CDATA[Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz]]>;
<![CDATA[Octariyadi, Nabila Umami]]>;
<![CDATA[Sahara, Sahara]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46425
<![CDATA[Research Originality: The novelty lies in exploring an under-researched topic, with limited studies on the impact of coffee exports from 1993 to 2024, considering key events such as the Asian financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Research Objectives: This study examines the short-term and long-term effects of exchange rates and coffee exports on economic growth. Research Methods: This study utilizes data from 1993 to 2024 on exchange rates, coffee exports, recessions, and economic growth in Indonesia. The analysis is conducted using the ARDL model. Empirical Results: Exchange rate depreciation has a negative impact on GDP in the short term, while past depreciation has a positive effect on economic growth. The value of coffee exports has a marginal positive effect on GDP, while the volume of coffee exports shows inconsistent impacts. Recession does not significantly affect GDP, likely due to policy responses. Long-term estimates show a stable relationship among the variables, with adjustments occurring at a rate of 35.43% per period. Implications: The government should thoroughly evaluate existing policies with a focus on promoting economic growth, while enhancing the quality of Indonesian coffee exports to remain competitive globally.]]>
<![CDATA[Factors of Halal Industry Ecosystem Development: A Study on the Islamic Hospital Industry in Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Masruroh, Aini]]>;
<![CDATA[Rahmawati, Yuke]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46428
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This study offers originality by examining Islamic hospitals, a sector that has been rarely explored in halal industry research. It employs a quantitative approach to analyze how knowledge and perception influence public intention, with preference serving as a mediating variable, providing new empirical evidence for strengthening the halal ecosystem in healthcare services. Research Objectives: This study aims to investigate the impact of knowledge and perception factors on public intentions to use sharia-certified hospitals, with preference serving as a mediating variable. Research Method: A quantitative descriptive approach was employed, utilizing primary data collected through questionnaires and analyzed using the Structural Equation Modeling-Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS) method. Respondents consisted of individuals living in areas with the presence of Islamic hospitals. Empirical Results: The results showed that knowledge and perceptions have a significant influence on community preferences. Perceptions and preferences are also proven to affect people's intentions in choosing Islamic hospitals, while knowledge does not show a direct impact on intentions. Preference acts as a mediator in the relationship between knowledge, perception, and intentions. Implications: The findings underscore the significance of education in enhancing public knowledge, promoting positive perceptions, and developing effective marketing and regulatory strategies to strengthen the position of Islamic hospitals within the halal ecosystem development in Indonesia.]]>
<![CDATA[The Impact of Investment and Labor Force Participation on Poverty in Aceh: The Mediating Role of Per Capita Income ]]>
<![CDATA[Wayus, Dicky]]>;
<![CDATA[Safuridar, Safuridar]]>;
<![CDATA[Syarief, Salman]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46434
<![CDATA[Research Originality: Poverty remains a persistent challenge in Aceh Province despite multiple interventions. This study contributes to the literature by examining both the direct and indirect effects of investment and labor on poverty, as measured by per capita income, using path analysis. Research Objectives: The study aims to examine the impact of Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), Domestic Investment (DI), and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on poverty, with per capita income (PCI) as a mediating factor. Research Methods: Time-series data from 2009 to 2023 were analyzed using path analysis to identify direct and indirect relationships. Empirical Results: Findings show that per capita income has the most substantial effect in reducing poverty. DI significantly influences poverty, both directly and indirectly, while LFPR and FDI exhibit no significant impact; however, both trends show a negative correlation with poverty. Implications: Poverty alleviation strategies should prioritize income growth through domestic investment optimization and enhancing workforce quality.]]>
<![CDATA[Do Tourism-Related Sectors Drive Most of the Economy in Toba Regency? A RAS-based Regional Input-Output Analysis ]]>
<![CDATA[Susanti, Hera]]>;
<![CDATA[Revindo, Mohamad Dian]]>;
<![CDATA[Iskandar, Sulistiadi Dono]]>;
<![CDATA[Nusantoro, Nalendro]]>;
<![CDATA[Sabrina, Syahda]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46460
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This study constructs the first regional Input–Output (RIO) table for Toba Regency in 2023, utilizing the iterative RAS technique to adapt provincial coefficients to local macroeconomic data. Research Objectives: To estimate sectoral interlinkages, multiplier effects, and labor intensity for Toba Regency, and to identify strategic sectors that can drive regional economic growth and inform evidence-based policymaking. Research Methods: The 2016 North Sumatra I–O table was regionalized into a 22-sector Toba Regency table through RAS, with row and column sums adjusted to match Toba Regency GRDP by industry and expenditure. The resulting table was analyzed to calculate backward and forward linkages, output multipliers, and labor intensity. Empirical Results: The local economy is primarily driven by paper manufacturing, agriculture, and construction, while the tourism sector contributes only 6.2 percent of output and exhibits weak forward linkages. This finding suggests limited integration of tourism-related activities into the local supply chain. Electricity, business services, and agriculture emerge as growth drivers, while wage disparities persist in low-productivity service sectors. Implications: The approach can guide other subnational governments in producing localized Input–Output (I–O) tables, thereby enhancing evidence-based policymaking.]]>
<![CDATA[Currency Risk and Debt Maturity: Their Effects on the Resilience of Indonesia’s Foreign Exchange Reserves ]]>
<![CDATA[Afriana, Wendra]]>;
<![CDATA[Damanhuri, Didin S.]]>;
<![CDATA[Taryono, Taryono]]>;
<![CDATA[Amanah, Siti]]>
<![CDATA[ Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46526
<![CDATA[Research Originality: This study uncovers the unexpected negative impact of long-term external debt on Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves, challenging conventional beliefs about debt stability. Research Objectives: This study provides important—and occasionally surprising—new insights into the dynamics of Indonesia's external debt and its impact on the country's foreign exchange reserves. Research Methods: Using recent time series data from 2013–2024 and the tried-and-true OLS regression method, this study provides a thorough and timely analysis of the relationship between Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves and the structure of its external debt. Empirical Results: The empirical results indicate that long-term debt has a negative impact on foreign exchange reserves, whereas Rupiah and foreign currency-denominated debts have positive effects. Notably, short-term debt shows no significant impact. These findings offer practical guidance for Indonesia’s external debt management, supporting better debt prioritization and enhanced financial resilience. Implications: These novel insights offer valuable guidance for optimizing debt management to strengthen Indonesia’s financial resilience and economic stability.]]>
