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Journal : Journal Geuthee of Engineering and Energy

Forecasting of electrical energy consumption using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (Case Study: ULP Meulaboh Kota) Gunandra Siregar, Putri; Sahputra, Ilham; Nisa, Fidyatun
Journal Geuthee of Engineering and Energy Vol 4, No 1 (2025): Journal Geuthee of Engineering and Energy
Publisher : Geuthèë Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52626/joge.v4i1.56

Abstract

Forecasting electricity consumption is one of the solutions that can be implemented by the ULP Meulaboh Kota to ensure the availability of sufficient electricity supply. With the continuous increase in electricity demand, the ULP faces challenges in predicting and managing electricity consumption. Uncertainty in consumption patterns can lead to imbalances between supply and demand, potentially causing various issues such as power outages, high operational costs, and customer dissatisfaction. Therefore, accurate forecasting is essential to support effective decision-making and planning. This study aims to forecast electricity consumption across five different sectors: residential, social, business, industrial, and public, using the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method. The forecasting process involves data collection, stationarity testing using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, and differencing when necessary to achieve stationarity. The ARIMA model is identified through ACF and PACF plot analysis, estimated, and tested before being used for forecasting. The results indicate that the ARIMA method provides highly accurate forecasts for all sectors, as reflected by the low Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values. The residential sector has a MAPE of 4.3957%, the social sector 4.3757%, the business sector 3.1125%, the industrial sector 7.9937%, and the public sector 4.3646%. Overall, the forecasting error produced by the ARIMA model remains below 8%, with an average MAPE of 4.8483% across all sectors.
Usability testing analysis of the Lhokseumawe district attorney’s office website using nielsen’s metrics for user experience evaluation Alfarisyi, Ahmad; Sahputra, Ilham; Eviyanti, Cut Yuniza; Karima, Annisa
Journal Geuthee of Engineering and Energy Vol 4, No 2 (2025): Journal Geuthee of Engineering and Energy
Publisher : Geuthèë Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52626/joge.v4i2.63

Abstract

The Lhokseumawe district attorney's office is a law enforcement institution that utilizes a website as an essential medium for delivering public information and services. To ensure its optimal function, this research aims to evaluate the website's usability quality level. This study adopts the Usability Testing method with a quantitative descriptive approach , based on the five metrics proposed by Jakob Nielsen: learnability, efficiency, memorability, errors, and user satisfaction. Data collection involved direct observation of 10 users performing core task scenarios, supplemented by questionnaires and interviews. The test results indicate that the website generally meets several usability aspects. However, there are still significant shortcomings in the areas of efficiency and user satisfaction. Quantitatively, the website's total usability score is 87.5% , with the average satisfaction score using the System Usability Scale (SUS) being 65%. Based on these findings, this study recommends improvements to the navigation structure and user interface (UI) design to enhance the quality of digital services and provide a better user experience (UX). The results of this study are expected to serve as a reference for the website administrators of the Lhokseumawe District Attorney's Office for further system development