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A NON-LINEAR HYPOCENTER LOCALIZATION ALONG THE ACTIVE PALU-KORO FAULT: A CASE STUDY CENTRAL SULAWESI Jayadi, Harsano; Th. Musa, Moh. Dahlan; Rachman, Gazali; Meidji, Icha Untari; Massinai, Muhammad Fawzy Ismullah; Warnana, Dwa Desa
Indonesian Physical Review Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/ipr.v8i2.418

Abstract

The Central Sulawesi region is prone to earthquakes, as evidenced by its complex geological structure. Several plates and active fault movements in the vicinity cause this situation. One of the active faults that often causes earthquakes is the Palu-Koro active fault. The city of Palu is one of the areas passing through the Palu-Koro fault. The danger of this earthquake occurrence can be ascertained and assessed using a suitable earthquake location. Within the scope of our investigation, we used a non-linear approach to predict the hypocenter site in the vicinity of the Palu-Koro fault that is active. This Method use oct-tree importance sampling algorithm to generate spatial hypocenter locations. Using the AK135 minimal seismic velocity model, we manually re-picked the arrival times of wave P-waves and S-waves arrival timings of 3,852 and 3,690, respectively, collected by 24 BMKG observation sites from January 2011 to December 2015, utilizing the minimal 1D seismic velocity model from AK135. We employed criteria to ascertain the event's location, including a minimum of four stations exhibiting a distinct beginning of P and S wave arrivals, with a magnitude of at least 3Mw and an average depth ranging from 10 to 20 km. The outcomes of seismic event location identification exhibit improved clustering with inversion, revealing a zero-centered Gaussian distribution, where more time discrepancies, both positive and negative, correspond to increased estimating mistakes. According to this research, the Palu-Koro active fault line's primary shallow seismic zone is the most prominent feature in the area and confirms the existence of active land faults that cause earthquake events by conducting a process of determining a locally updated 1D velocity model that will be used to determine a more precise relocation of the hypocenter used to interpret the subsurface model of the research area.
Earthquake Analysis Using the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) Method in Palu City Jayadi, Harsano; Meidji, Icha Untari; Hidayat, Irna; Abdullah
Faraday: Journal of Fundamental Physics, Research, and Applied Science Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025): Faraday: Journal of Fundamental Physics, Research, and Applied Science
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional "Veteran" Jawa Timur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Palu, Indonesia, is a region with high seismic activity due to its location on the active Palu-Koro fault line. This study aims to analyze the probability of earthquakes, the spatial and temporal distribution of earthquake occurrences, and disaster mitigation efforts in anticipation of earthquakes in the region. Earthquake data in Palu City were analyzed based on magnitude, depth, and frequency of occurrence. The results indicate that most earthquakes occur at shallow depths ranging from approximately 10 to 56.8 kilometers, with a dominance of moderate magnitude (5.0–5.7 M_w). Over the past two decades, there has been an increase in the temporal occurrence of earthquakes, with a significant surge in 2018 when a magnitude 7.5 earthquake triggered a tsunami and liquefaction. Probability analysis indicates that earthquakes with high seismicity indices are highly likely to occur within a 10- to 50-year timeframe. The spatial distribution reveals that earthquakes tend to be concentrated around the Palu-Koro fault, the primary source of seismic activity in the region. These findings provide important insights into the seismic patterns of Palu City and can inform community preparedness and disaster mitigation strategy development.