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All Journal Al-Iqtishad : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah (Journal of Islamic Economics) Jurnal Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Madani (JPMM) Bahastra: Jurnal Pendidikan Bahasa dan Sastra Indonesia Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan International Journal of Engagement and Empowerment (IJE2) Review of Multidisciplinary Education, Culture and Pedagogy (ROMEO) Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies ANWARUL: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Dakwah Jeksyah Jurnal Serambi Ekonomi dan Bisnis Cendikia: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pengajaran Bina Sehat Masyarakat Jurnal Akuntansi, Perpajakan dan Auditing Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengkajian Ilmiah Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi, Perkantoran, dan Akuntansi Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi
Zahra, Siti Fatimah
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Religion Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Neuroscience Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies

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Bidirectional relationships between inflation and key monetary indicators in Indonesia: Exploring short- and long-run dynamics Amalia, Nur Azizah; Zahra, Siti Fatimah; Lestari, Fitra Dila
Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies
Publisher : Nur Science Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53088/jerps.v5i2.1985

Abstract

This study aims to analyse the effect of money supply, rupiah exchange rate, and interest rate (BI Rate) on inflation, and vice versa, in Indonesia from 2016 to 2024, with a total of 100 observations. The method employed is a quantitative approach utilizing Vector Autoregression/Vector Error Correction Model (VAR/VECM) analysis techniques to identify both short-term and long-term effects. The results of the study indicate that the money supply and inflation do not significantly influence each other in either the short or long term. The exchange rate has a negative and significant influence on inflation in the long term. In contrast, the interest rate shows a positive and significant influence on inflation only in the long term. The results of the Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Variance Decomposition (VD) analyses confirm that the exchange rate is the most effective variable in explaining variations in inflation. In contrast, the roles of money supply and interest rates are relatively low. These findings indicate the importance of exchange rate stabilization as the primary strategy in controlling inflation in Indonesia.
Co-Authors Aditya Pratama Agus Wibowo Almira, Fatihah Nara Amalia, Nur Azizah Amelia, Zahra Andini, Neng Diana Putri Andy Andy Ani Nur Aeni, Ani Nur Anjani, Sri Ulan Armeliza, Diah Arofahmawati, Fina Amal Ascarya, A ATI SUMIATI, ATI Budiastuti, Maulidina Nur Dewi Yuliana Dicky Iranto Dita Puruwita, Dita Fauzan, Muhammad Gilang Haq, M. Iqbal Arinal Harahap, Andi Syahputra Harliani, Rossa Harya Kuncara Wiralaga I Ketut R. Sudiarditha Inriyana, Ria Iryuanita, Elvina Juliana, Eva Karuniana Dianta Arfiando Sebayang Lathiefah Rabbaniyah Lestari, Fitra Dila Luthfianti, Ajeng Maharani, Diva Mayang Riyantie, Mayang Mufidah, Chusnanik Muhammad Yusuf Nikensari , Sri Indah Nisa, Siti Choirun Nurfalah, Aam Linda Nurjanah, Yunisha Husnul Nurul Huda Pramudya, Alfonsus Liguori Prihatin, Sulis Tiana Indah Putri, Imbaraniati Permana Rahmanisa Aulia Safitri Rida Prihatni Ridwan, Heri Ulan Rofifah, Khairunnisa Nabilatun Saparuddin Mukhtar Saparuddin Saparuddin Saptono, Ari Selvia, Dina Senja, Nuuran Raudha Setiadi, Diding Kelana Setiawan, Dito Siti Nurjanah Sri Lestari Suhendry, Bayu Suparno Syalsabila, Anis Utari, Eka Dewi Wati, Putri Syalistia Widiyanto, Haya Haura