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Journal : WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi

The Effect of Economic Growth and Total Population on Poverty Level in North Sulawesi Runtunuwu, Prince Charles Heston; Tanjung, Fahmi
WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2020): Mei
Publisher : Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Siliwangi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (584.326 KB) | DOI: 10.37058/wlfr.v1i1.1645

Abstract

This study aims to test and analyze the effect of economic growth and total population to the poverty level in North Sulawesi. The study was conducted in the districts/cities located in North Sulawesi province with a total of 14 districts/cities. The data taken is after the year of 2008, this due to the district/city is lastly bloomed in 2008.  The data used in this research is quantitative data. This study uses secondary data and the time series data from the year of 2009 until 2016. Panel data is used as a combination of time series and cross section. Meanwhile the crossed section data is taken from all districts/municipalities in North Sulawesi province which is 14 districts/cities (10 districts and 4 cities) with a total of 98 observations obtained in this study. The data used in this research is secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) at national level. Inferential statistical methods used in the analysis of research data is Dynamic Panel Data (DPD) considering that the sample size is relatively small. This study examined the effect of exogenous variables i.e. economic growth and total population, while the endogenoue one is poverty level. The result shows that simultaneously, economic growth and total population have a significant effect on poverty level in North Sulawesi.
The Performance of Excellent Sectors for Economic Development in Morotai Island Runtunuwu, Prince Charles Heston; Soamole, Bakri; Khotib, Muhammad
WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2, No 1 (2021): Mei
Publisher : Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Siliwangi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (519.201 KB) | DOI: 10.37058/wlfr.v2i1.2753

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the pattern of economic growth in Morotai Island. To find out the pattern of economic growth, an analysis of economic growth analysis, Location Quotient (LQ), Klassen Typology and Shift Share Analysis are used. The results showed that the pattern of economic growth in Morotai Island Regency from the year of 2010 to 2017 had a positive trend through the Klassen Typology analysis, although the GRDP growth rate and per capita income show a positive trend, but the increase is still below the national level so that Morotai Island Regency is in quadrant IV position (the category of regions is relatively underdeveloped), Based on LQ analysis, four leading sectors were obtained, which are the base sectors of  Morotai Island Regency in 2017 Based on the shift share analysis, the sectors that had the highest national share were agriculture, forestry and fisheries. The negative proportional shift value indicates that although it has a positive trend, the growth rate is slower compared to North Maluku.  The projected results show that economic growth from 2017 will increase by 24.06 percent in 2019, it is hoped that the Regional Government can increase economic growth by giving special attention to leading sectors that have the potential to increase economic growth.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pola pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Pulau Morotai dan untuk mengetahui pola pertumbuhan ekonomi,digunakan beberapa analisa yaitu Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Location Quotient (LQ), Tipologi Klassen dan Analisis Shift Share. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pola pertumbuhan ekonomi Kabupaten Pulau Morotai Tahun 2010 hingga tahun 2017 memiliki tren positif. Melalui analisis Tipologi Klassen, meskipun laju pertumbuhan PDRB dan pendapatan perkapita menunjukkan tren positif, namun peningkatannya masih di bawah nasional sehingga menempatkan Kabupaten Pulau Morotai berada pada posisi kuadran IV (kategori daerah relatif tertinggal). Dengan analisis LQ Diperoleh 4 sektor unggulan yang merupakan sektor basis Kabupaten Pulau Morotai Tahun 2017. Berdasarkan analisis shift share, sektor yang memiliki national share tertinggi adalah sektor pertanian, kehutanan dan perikanan. Nilai proportional shift yang negatif, menunjukkan bahwa meskipun memiliki tren positif namun tingkat pertumbuhan lebih lambat dibandingkan dengan Provinsi Maluku Utara. Hasil proyeksi menunjukkan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi dari tahun 2017 akan meningkat sebesar 24,06 persen pada tahun 2019. Diharapkan pemerintah daerah dapat meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi dengan memberikan perhatian khusus pada sektor-sektor unggulan yang berpotensi meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi.