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All Journal JEPA (Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis) BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI Jurnal Pengabdian Magister Pendidikan IPA Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Kelautan dan Perikanan Jurnal Aplikasi Statistika & Komputasi Statistik InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Kolaborasi Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat ANWARUL: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Dakwah Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Nanggroe: Journal Of Scholarly Service Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Amsir Nanggroe: Journal of Scholarly Service PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS Jurnal Pendidikan Guru Madrasah Ibtidaiyah Al-Amin Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Economic and Finance in Indonesia MERDEKA: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya Tarqiyatuna: Jurnal Pendidikan Agama Islam dan Madrasah Ibtidaiyah Jurnal Miftahul Ilmi: Jurnal Pendidikan Agama Islam
Neli Agustina
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Journal : jurnal ilmiah multidisiplin amsir

 1 
Perbandingan ARMA dan Single Exponential Smoothing pada Peramalan Harga Ayam Broiler di Jawa Barat Sabastya, Alfian; Simbolon, Ani Ngalemisa; Fatimatuzzuhra; Agustina, Neli
Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Amsir Vol 3 No 1 (2024): Desember
Publisher : AhInstitute of Research and Community Service (LP2M) Institute of Social Sciences and Business Andi Sapada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62861/jimat amsir.v3i1.585

Abstract

Fluctuations in broiler chicken prices require farmers to predict prices to plan production and optimize business profits. This study aims to predict broiler chicken prices in West Java to help farmers plan their budgets and business income. This study compares the accuracy of the ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average) model with the Single Exponential Smoothing method in predicting broiler chicken prices in the West Java region. The results show that the ARMA (0.1) model has the best performance with the smallest measurement error rate, namely MAPE 4.48, MSE 49.27, and RMSE 2427.38. The price prediction for January 2025 is 35,043.63. These results are expected to help farmers in budget planning and improve business efficiency.
Perbandingan ARMA dan Single Exponential Smoothing pada Peramalan Harga Ayam Broiler di Jawa Barat Sabastya, Alfian; Simbolon, Ani Ngalemisa; Fatimatuzzuhra; Agustina, Neli
Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Amsir Vol. 3 No. 1 (2024): Desember
Publisher : AhInstitute of Research and Community Service (LP2M) Institute of Social Sciences and Business Andi Sapada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62861/jimat.v3i1.855

Abstract

Fluctuations in broiler chicken prices require farmers to predict prices to plan production and optimize business profits. This study aims to predict broiler chicken prices in West Java to help farmers plan their budgets and business income. This study compares the accuracy of the ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average) model with the Single Exponential Smoothing method in predicting broiler chicken prices in the West Java region. The results show that the ARMA (0.1) model has the best performance with the smallest measurement error rate, namely MAPE 4.48, MSE 49.27, and RMSE 2427.38. The price prediction for January 2025 is 35,043.63. These results are expected to help farmers in budget planning and improve business efficiency.
Perbandingan ARMA dan Single Exponential Smoothing pada Peramalan Harga Ayam Broiler di Jawa Barat Sabastya, Alfian; Simbolon, Ani Ngalemisa; Fatimatuzzuhra; Agustina, Neli
Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Amsir Vol. 3 No. 1 (2024): Desember
Publisher : AhInstitute of Research and Community Service (LP2M) Institute of Social Sciences and Business Andi Sapada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62861/jimat.v3i1.872

Abstract

Fluctuations in broiler chicken prices require farmers to predict prices to plan production and optimize business profits. This study aims to predict broiler chicken prices in West Java to help farmers plan their budgets and business income. This study compares the accuracy of the ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average) model with the Single Exponential Smoothing method in predicting broiler chicken prices in the West Java region. The results show that the ARMA (0.1) model has the best performance with the smallest measurement error rate, namely MAPE 4.48, MSE 49.27, and RMSE 2427.38. The price prediction for January 2025 is 35,043.63. These results are expected to help farmers in budget planning and improve business efficiency.
Co-Authors Agustinningtyas, Diska Ahdiyaty Rahmi A. Suaib Aisyah Bintang Al Agung, Ahmad Nadifa Ali Mutafi Alia, Fitri Anggun Anggun, Anggun Arif Rahman Arifa, Ziida As-Sikah, Sarah Asshidiq, Isna Aissatussiri Bagus Dwi Hari Setyono Baiq Dinda Inges Mutiara Hati Budi Asih Budiasih Budiasih Chaterina Dwi Puspita Dhika Aulia Yusram Dominicus Savio Priyarsono Dyah Nur Isnaini El-Abida, Syifa Fauziah Fatimatuzzuhra Fatkhurrohman Fatkhurrohman Faujan, La Ode febriyanti febriyanti Gampar, Yohanes Apriyano Hadisumarno, Rieska Hayati, Lia Aulia Huliatunisa, Yayah Hutajulu, Ronald Ilma Ainun Fitriana Irawan, Sintya Riagusty Dzakiyyah Izzatul Fitriani Junaidah, Emy Khabiburrochman, Adam Kharistia Capriati Lestari, Simping Puji Mahfiroh, Nailil Mangiwa, Romario Desouza Daniel Martha Zalukhu Maulida, Fitri Mutiara Sinaga, Vhania Mutmainah, Arifatul Muzaki, Fais Nova Aji Saputra Nurfadhillah, Septy Nurrohmah, Nadia Oktavia, Anisa Pebriantini, Ni Ketut Prasasti, Defi Prawesty Dian Utami Prihatin, Siti Prilistiana, Indi Rahmat, Ervan Nur Raihan, Muhammad Resky Amelia Robert Kurniawan, Robert Sabastya, Alfian Sari, Seli Delima Setiyo, Ulfan Simbolon, Ani Ngalemisa Siregar, Revina Solihin, Rahmat Soraya, Rani Surahman, Fikri Suroyo, Sigit Adhi Syahrul Huda, Muhammad Reza Syifaulhaq, Annisa Triawan, Adis Uswatun, Ulia