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ANALISIS DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI SUMATERA BARAT
Lili Manaulisda Fitri;
Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i3.7704
This study aims to explain the determinants of economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra. This study using Simultaneous Equation Model to determine the effect of exogenous variables on endogenous variable, the analysis uses Indirect Least Square (ILS) method. This study uses a data panel (cross section and time series) sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of West Sumatra. The analysis results show that labor, investment, and unemployment has a significant effect on economic growth, otherthat investment, unemployment, and education has a significant effect on poverty, and poverty has a significant effect on economic growth.
DETERMINAN PENGANGGURAN GENDER PADA NEGARA LOWER MIDDLE INCOME DI ASEAN
Yulia Ulan Sari;
Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i3.7722
The study explained the effect of the amount of people age 15-64 years, the labor and the dependency ratio toward the gender unemployment ratio. The method that is used in the reasearch is the panel regression model. This data used a combination method between time series data from 2000 – 2017 and cross section data obtained from the World Bank annual report. The results of this study show that the ratio of the number of residents aged 15-64 years has no significant positive effect on the gender unemployment ratio, the ratio of labor has a significant negative effect on the gender unemployment ratio, and the dependency ratio has a significant positive effect on the gender unemployment ratio.
PENGARUH FINANCIAL INCLUSION TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA
Trevie Della Bonivia;
Hasdi Aimon;
Alpon Satrianto
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i3.7699
The Study aims to analyzed the effect of number of branches bank inclusion, ATM machine inclusion, number of deposit accounts inclusion on Indonesian economy. Data used from 2012-2017 that invlove 6 main islands in Indonesia by The Central Bureau of Statistic and CEIC data. The data analysis used regression panel model to estimate the effect of Indonesian economy. The results show that number of branches bank inclusion, ATM machine inclusion an number of deposit accounts inclusion have positive and significant impact on Indonesian economy.
PENGARUH PENANAMAN MODAL DALAM NEGERI, PENANAMAN MODAL ASING DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI SUMATERA BARAT
Nickitha Dina Fauzy;
Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 4 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i4.8951
This study explains to determine the effect of domestic investment, foreign investment, and labor on economic growth in West Sumatera. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data from 1988-2018, with documentation and library study data collection techniques obtainedfrom relevant institutions and agencies. The variables used are economic growth (PDRB), domestic investment, foreign investment and labor, the research methods used are: (1) Multiple Regression Analysis (OLS), (2) Classical Assumption Test which states that: (1) investment in the country has a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth in West Sumatera. (2) foreign investment has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in West Sumatera. (3) labor force has a positive and not significant effect on economic growth in West Sumatera. So only foreign investment has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in West Sumatera.
ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN JANGKA PENDEK DAN JANGKA PANJANG KONSUMSI ENERGI DI INDONESIA
Ilmanita Ilmanita;
Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i3.7708
The study aims to explained the balance of short term and long term energy comsumption in Indonesia. The data used time series from 1978 to 2017. The method analysis used the Simultaneous Equation Model and Error Correction Model (ECM). The results of the study show that the long term oil production, national income and import of oil have significant positive effect to energy consumption in Indonesia. Oil price have significant negative effect to energy consumption. In the short term oil production, national income and import of oil have significant positive effect to energy comsumption in Indonesia. Oil price have significant effect to energy comsumption in Indonesia. In the long term national income have significant positif effect to import of oil in Indonesia, oil price and energy comsumption have significant positive effect to import of oil in Indonesia and exchange rate does not have significant effect to import of oil in Indonesia. In the short term national income, exchange rate and energy consumption does not have significant effect to import of oil in Indonesia, oil price have significant positive effect to import of oil in Indonesia.
PENGARUH KEKUATAN PASAR TERHADAP KECUKUPAN MODAL PADA BANK KONVENSIONAL DAN SYARIAH DI INDONESIA
Yussi Ananda;
Hasdi Aimon;
Dewi Zaini Putri
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 1 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i1.5355
This study aims to find out how the Influence of Market Power on Capital Adequacy in Conventional and Islamic Banks in Indonesia in the long and short term. The data used are secondary data in the form of time series from 2006: Q1 to 2016: Q4, with documentation data collection techniques and library studies obtained from relevant institutions and agencies. The variables used are Market Power, Deposits, Capital, Inflation and Economic Growth. The research methods used are: (1) Error Correction Model (ECM) Analysis, (2) Classical Assumption Test. The results of the study show that (1) Short-term paths of Conventional Bank Market Power are higher than Islamic banks. This means that in the short term the Konvensionsal Bank dominates the banking market in Indonesia. While in the long run Market Power in Islamic Banks is higher than Conventional Banks. So Islamic banks in the long run dominate the banking market in Indonesia. (2) In the short term and long term deposits at Conventional Banks are higher compared to Islamic Banks. So conventional banks in the short and long term can collect more banking funds in Indonesia. (3) In the short and long term capital in Islamic banks is higher than conventional banks. So Islamic banks in the short and long term dominate banking capital in Indonesia. (4) In the short and long term, inflation in conventional banks is higher compared to Islamic banks. So it can be said that conventional banks in the short and long term are influenced by inflationary shocks in Indonesia. (5) In the short-term and long-term economic growth in Islamic banks is higher than conventional banks. So it can be said that Islamic banks in the short and long term are influenced by the high and low level of Indonesia's economic growth.Keywords: Market Power, Capital Adequacy, Conventional and IslamicBanks, and Error Correction Model (ECM).
ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENAGRUHI PASAR MODAL DAN PEREKONOMIAN DI INDONESIA
Yoki Wesya;
Hasdi Aimon;
Ariusni Ariusni
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 4 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i4.7740
This research aims to knows impact of composite stock price index, exchange rate and value of traded share to capital market and analyze the impact of capital market to indonesia’s economics using two stage least squares (TSLS). The first equation to seek the impact of composite stock price index, exchange rate dan and value of traded share to capitalism stock. The results of this research showed composite stock price index, exchange rate, value of traded share have significant positive impact to capitalism stock.. The second equation to seek the impact of consumption, government expenditure, capitalism stock, private investment and net export to Indonesia’s economic. The results of this research showed consumption have significant positive to Indonesia’s economic. Government Expenditure, Capitalism stock, Private investment, Net export have unsignificant impact to indoneisa’s economic. From the results of this research we can suggest to the government give more attentiont indicators that able to support the indonesia’s economic and overcome negative side lowers the indonesia’s economic. And that the government will be able to control the investments made in order to have a positive impact to indonesia’s economic. And also expected for investors to further increase their investment so that increasing employment opportunities and making the indonesia’s economic.
ANALISIS VARIABEL MONETER AMERIKA SERIKAT TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI NEGARA EMERGING MARKET
Sindi Oktaviani;
Hasdi Aimon;
Dewi Zaini Putri
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i2.6166
This study aims to find effect of monetary variable of US on economic growth in emerging market countries, such as Indonesian, Malaysian, Thailand and Philipines. These four countries are commonly called tiger cub countries that have the potential to become developed countriesin the future. The data used are secondary data in the form of time series from 2010:Q1 until 2018:Q4. The variables used are gap of The Fed Funds rate and gap of Inflation of US as exogen variable. Then, exchange rate and economic growth as endogen variable. The research methods used are simultaneous equation regression model with indirect least square methode. The results of the study show that (1)Gap of The Fed Interest Rate has a significant effect on the exchange rate in all sample of Emerging Market Countries while US inflation only has a significant effect on the exchange rate in Indonesia.(2) in simultaneously gap of The Fed Interest rate, gap of US inflation and the exchange rate which contaminated by changes in the US monetary variable have a significant influence on economic growth in Emerging Market Countries, except in Malaysian.(3) In partially, gap of The Fed Interest rate and the exchange rate have a significant influence on economic growth in Indonesian, Thailand and Philipines.While gap of US inflation has a significant influence on economic growth only in Indonesian and Philipines.
ANALISIS KAUSALITAS CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DENGAN KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN,NILAI TUKAR RIIL EFEKTIF, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESMENT, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA
Sekar Lunggayu Kartika;
Dewi Zaini Putri;
Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i2.6251
This study aims to reveal and analisys the causality between the macro aggregates that affect currenct account deficit using Granger causality test. Current account deficit/GDP, trade openness, real effective exchange rate, growth rate, and foreign direct investment were selected as variabels for this research.The research methods used are: (1) Stationarity Test; (2) Optimal Lag Lenght; (3) Cointegration Test (based on the results of the cointegration test obtained, this study must be continued using the VECM method); (4) Granger Causality Test; (5) Estimation of the VECM Model (6) Impulse Response Function; (7) Variance Decomposition.The result of the Granger causality test demonstrate that: (1) There is no causal relationship between the current account deficit and trade openness in Indonesia; (2) There is no causal relationship between the current account deficit and real effective exchange rate in Indonesia (3) There is a causal relationship between the current account deficit and economic growth in Indonesia; (4) There is no causal relationship between the current account deficit and foreign direct investment in Indonesia.
ANALISIS DAN PEMBERDAYAAN RUMAH TANGGA MISKIN DI KECAMATAN GUNUANG OMEH KABUPATEN LIMA PULUH KOTA
Zil Makmur;
Hasdi Aimon;
Ariusni Ariusni
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 4 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i4.7749
This study aims to analyze poor households in Gunuang Omeh Subdistrict, Lima Puluh Kota Districts, namely: Family Education (X1), Family Health (X2), Work Ethics (X3). The type of data in this study is primary data. Analysis of the data used is descriptive analysis and inductive analysis. In inductive analysis there are several tests, namely: Logistic Regression Model, Likelihood Ratio Test and Wald Test. The results showed that (1) Family education had a positive and significant effect on household poverty in Gunuang Omeh Subdistrict, Lima Puluh Kota Districts. (2) Family health does not have a significant effect on household poverty in Gunuang Omeh Subdistrict, Lima Puluh Kota Districts. (3) Work ethic has a significant effect on household poverty in Gunuang Omeh Subdistrict, Lima Puluh Kota Districts. (4) Together there is a significant influence between family education, family health and work ethic on household poverty in Gunuang Omeh Subdistrict Lima Puluh Kota Districts.