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Eka Pandu Cynthia
UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim RIau
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Journal : ijistech

 1 
Implementation of Backpropagation Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Palm Oil Price Fresh Fruit Bunches Edi Ismanto; Noverta Effendi; Eka Pandu Cynthia
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 2, No 1 (2018): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30645/ijistech.v2i1.17

Abstract

Riau Province is one of the regions known for its plantation products, especially in the oil palm sector, so that Riau Province and regional districts focus on oil palm plants as the main commodity of plantations in Riau. Based on data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of Riau Province, the annual production of oil palm plantations, especially smallholder plantations in Riau province has always increased. So is the demand for world CPO. But sometimes the selling price of oil palm fresh fruit bunches (FFB) for smallholder plantations always changes due to many influential factors. With the Artificial Neural Network approach, the Backpropagation algorithm we conduct training and testing of the time series variables that affect the data, namely data on the area of oil palm plantations in Riau Province; Total palm oil production in Riau Province; Palm Oil Productivity in Riau Province; Palm Oil Exports in Riau Province and Average World CPO Prices. Then price predictions will be made in the future. Based on the results of the training and testing, the best Artificial Neural Network (ANN) architecture model was obtained with 9 input layers, 5 hidden layers and 1 output layer. The output of RMSE 0000699 error value and accuracy percentage is 99.97% so that it can make price predictions according to the given target value.
Co-Authors Adi Mustofa Afriyanti, Liza Ahyani Junia Karlina Alwis Nazir Anggi Pranata Anwar Alfaruqi Sipayung Aprijon Aprijon Ardiansyah Saputra Arifandy, M. Imam Atmojo, Wahyu Tisno Baehaqi Batubara, Supina Budianita , Elvia Chinthia, Maulidania Mediawati Cynthia, Dessy Nia Cynthia, Maulidania Mediawati Dessy Nia Cynthia Dicky Abimanyu Dina Septiawati Dwi Remawati Edi Ismanto Effendi, Noverta Elin Haerani Elvia Budianita Fadhilah Syafria Febi Nursalisah Febi Yanto Fikri, Mhd Ikhsanul Fitra Kurnia Fitri Insani Fitri Wulandari Fitriani Muttakin Fitriani Muttakin Gultom, Imeldawaty Gusti, Siska Kurnia Hammam Zaki Hanafiah, Anggi Hasdi Radiles Iis Afrianty Inggih Permana Intan Eria Elfi Iwan Iskandar Iwan Iskandar Jannata, Nanda Januar Al Amien Jasril Jasril Jeki Dwi Arisandi Khairuniza, Nabila Lestari Handayani M Imam Arifandy M. Afdal M. Afdal M. Afif Rizky A. M. Imam Arifandy Mardiah Maripati, Maripati Maulidania Mediawati Chinthia Maulidania Mediawati Cynthia mohamad samuri, suzani Mohd Fadli Ariansyah Muhammad Affandes Muhammad Eka Muhammad Fikry Muhammad Irsyad Muhammad Khairy Dzaky Muhammad Ridha MUHAMMAD YUSUF Muhammad Zen, Muhammad Mulyati, Sabar Mushlihul Afif Nazaruddin Nazaruddin Nazir, Alwis Nazruddin Safaat Nazruddin Safaat H Novi Yanti Novi Yanti nursalisah, febi Octadino Hariyadi Okfalisa Okfalisa Oktaria, Wina Pizaini Pizaini Putra, Randi Rian Rahmad Al Rian Rahmat Al Hafiz Rahmawati Rahmawati, Lailia Raihan Mahdy Reski Mai Candra Ritonga, Sinta Wahyuni Rizki, Cindy Atika Roni Setyawan Rusmin Saragih, Rusmin Sarbaini Sarbaini Sinaga, Ayu Puspita Sari Siti Ramadhani Sri Hariyati Fitriasih, Sri Hariyati Sugandi, Hatami Karsa Sulistia Ningsih, Sulistia Surya Agustian Suwanto Sanjaya Syafitri, Nesi Syaifullah Syaifullah Wiwik Hidayati Yelfi Yelfi Yelvi Fitriani Yelvi Fitriani Yelvi Vitriani Yenggi Putra Dinata Yudhi Arta, Yudhi Yusra Yusra . Yusra Yusra Yusra Yusra Yusra, Yusra Zulham Zulham