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KLASIFIKASI TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI PULAU JAWA MENGGUNAKAN REGRESI LOGISTIK ORDINAL Indah, Yunna Mentari; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Indahwati, Indahwati; Aliu, Muftih Alwi
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v5i2.629

Abstract

Unemployment is one of the indicators for measuring the economic conditions of a region. It is also a social and economic problem in many countries, including Indonesia, especially in areas with a density of economic activity, such as Java Island. The purpose of this study was to classify and analyze the factors that affect the open unemployment rate in cities and regions on Java Island, which are categorized as low, medium, and high. The research method used in this study was ordinal logistic regression analysis. The data source comes from the BPS website in 2023 with four predictor variables: population size, labor force participation rate, average years of schooling, and gross regional domestic product at constant prices. The research results show that the variables population size and labor force participation rate had a significant effect on the open unemployment rate, while the variables average years of schooling and gross regional domestic product at constant prices did not have a significant effect on the open unemployment rate with the accuracy of the ordinal logistic model is 77.27%.
ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN MODEL REGRESI LOGISTIK BINER Vitona, Desi; Erfiani, Erfiani; Indahwati, Indahwati; Fitrianto, Anwar; Aliu, Mufthi Alwi
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v5i2.634

Abstract

The primary tool for assessing the extent of human development progress in a country is the Human Development Index (HDI). There are three components of Indonesia's Human Development Index (HDI). The method used to characterize the quality of human existence is based on these foundational aspects of HDI. The three elements include the role of economic advancement in human progress, as well as health, knowledge, and a decent standard of living. The objective of this research is to conduct binary logistic regression modeling to identify the key aspects that influence the Human Development Index of Regencies and Cities in Indonesia. If the response variable is binary and the predictor factors consist of one or more continuous or categorical variables, binary logistic regression is the statistical technique used to model the categorical response variable. The research results indicate that the percentage of Life Expectancy (X1), Average Length of Schooling (X2), Expected Years of Schooling (X3), and Per Capita Expenditure (X4), both partially and simultaneously, are independent variables that have the most significant impact on HDI at a real level of α = 5%. A balanced accuracy rating of 91.83% was achieved from the model evaluation, indicating that the model is useful
MODEL KLASIFIKASI REGRESI LOGISTIK BINER UNTUK LAPORAN MASYARAKAT DI OMBUDSMAN REPUBLIK INDONESIA Daswati, Oktaviyani; Indahwati, Indahwati; Erfiani, Erfiani; Fitrianto, Anwar; Aliu, Muftih Alwi
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v5i2.702

Abstract

A classification model is needed to predict data into the right class according to the pattern of previous data. Binary Logistic Regression can be used in building classification models, even though the independent variables are categorical scale data. Through binary logistic regression, it can also be seen which category of independent variables influences the response variable. Public complaint reports at the Ombudsman of the Republic of Indonesia are classified into reports that found maladministration and not. The Binary Logistic Regression model with several categorical independent variables related to the public complaint reports data applied resulted in a classification model with an overall classification accuracy of 66.08% and a sensitivity of 75.31% in estimating the presence of maladministration findings in the submitted public complaint reports. Based on the 95% confidence level of the model, it is known that the factors that influence the occurrence of maladministration are the Group of Reportees, the Substance of the Report, the Method of Submission, the Request for Confidentiality, and the Location of the Inspection Office. This model can be used as a reference to reduce the incidence of maladministration cases in public service providers by focusing socialization and education on categories that have a real influence on each of these factors
PERBANDINGAN K-MEDOIDS DAN CLARA (Clustering Large Application) PADA DATA POPULASI TERNAK DI INDONESIA Ardhani, Rizky; Marshelle, Sean; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 5 No. 3 (2024): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v5i3.764

Abstract

This study compares the K-Medoids and CLARA (Clustering Large Application) methods for livestock population data in Indonesian districts and cities. Calculating the distance between points and objects in the data, K-Medoids is a method for clustering based on data points (medoids). A larger dataset is divided into several samples for comparison in CLARA, an extension of the K-Medoids approach. The CLARA method analysis results show that three clusters are the ideal number. The ideal number of clusters in a K-Medoids cluster analysis is two. The Silhouette Score (SS), Davis-Bouldin Index (DBI), and Calinski-Harabasz Index (CHI) are the metrics that are measured. The evaluation of the comparison results shows that the CLARA method has an SS value of 0.66, while K-Medoids has an SS value of 0.62. The comparison of the CLARA and K-Medoids approaches yielded DBI values of 1.38 and 1.92, respectively, and 197.54 and 132.73 for CHI. The findings indicate that, in comparison to the K-Medoids approach, the SS value for the CLARA method is closer to 1, and that the CHI value derived from the CLARA method is likewise greater. The K-Medoids approach has a higher DBI value than the CLARA method, where a lower DBI value denotes superior performance. The CLARA approach is the most effective way to do cluster analysis on livestock population data in Indonesian districts and cities, according to the findings.
PENERAPAN K-MODES DALAM KLASTERISASI KABUPATEN/KOTA DI JAWA BARAT BERDASARKAN INDIKATOR INFRASTRUKTUR Rahman, Abd.; Anadra, Rahmi; Fitrianto , Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 5 No. 3 (2024): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v5i3.787

Abstract

Clustering is a statistical method used to group data based on certain similar characteristics, particularly in the context of complex and diverse data. This study aims to cluster districts/cities in West Java Province based on infrastructure indicators, namely access to clean water, sanitation, electricity, and energy, using the K-Modes clustering method. The data used is categorical data sourced from SUSENAS West Java 2023. The cluster analysis resulted in four distinct clusters, each representing significant differences in infrastructure characteristics across regions. The first cluster consists of 8 regions, the second cluster includes 7 regions, the third cluster consists of 1 region, and the fourth cluster contains 11 regions. These characteristic differences among clusters indicate infrastructure disparities that need to be addressed in planning more equitable development to improve the quality of life of people in West Java
Shear Wave Travel Time Prediction using Well Log Filtering and Machine Learning Siregar, Indra Rivaldi; Nugraha, Adhiyatma; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Volume 12 Issue 2 December 2024
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v12i2.29021

Abstract

Shear wave travel time (also known as Delta-T Shear and commonly abbreviated as DTS) is an important parameter in petroleum for exploration, production, and characterization of borehole stability. Direct measurement of DTS is often limited by high costs and a constraint of geography, making machine learning (ML) predictive approaches necessary. This study aims to explore the effectiveness of ML models in predicting DTS, emphasizing the importance of data preprocessing techniques to improve prediction accuracy. Preprocessing techniques include Yeo-Johnson transformation to handle non-normality, outlier elimination using z-score, and data smoothing using the Savitzky-Golay filter and median filter. Incorporating smoothing techniques can fill important gaps in some existing studies and may improve the performance of machine learning models in predicting DTS, particularly in situations with limited or noisy data. Four ML models were tested in this study, namely Linear Regression (LR), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Random Forest (RF), with performance evaluation based on metrics RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), and R2 (coefficient of determination). The results showed that the RF model produced the best performance with RMSE of 9.41, MAE of 6.35, and R2 of 0.90 in scenarios with Yeo-Johnson transformation, outlier elimination, and smoothing techniques using a median filter with a window size of 5.
Perbandingan Algoritma Klasterisasi dengan Principal Component Analysis pada Indikator Sosial Ekonomi Kesehatan Jawa Timur Hasanah, Uswatun; Fauziah, Monica Rahma; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi
Techno.Com Vol. 23 No. 4 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Dian Nuswantoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62411/tc.v23i4.11534

Abstract

K-Means dan K-Medoids digunakan untuk menilai indikator sosial ekonomi dan kesehatan di Provinsi Jawa Timur tahun 2023 melalui metode klasterisasi. Dengan menggunakan Principal Component Analysis (PCA) untuk mereduksi dimensi variabel, penelitian ini mengelompokkan wilayah berdasarkan karakteristik sosial ekonomi dan kesehatan. Data yang dianalisis termasuk angka harapan hidup, tingkat kemiskinan, pengangguran, dan akses ke layanan kesehatan. Kebaruan penelitian ini terletak pada kombinasi unik antara PCA dan K-Medoids untuk menghasilkan klaster yang lebih akurat dan robust terhadap outlier, dibandingkan metode yang biasanya hanya menggunakan satu teknik klasterisasi atau tidak melibatkan reduksi dimensi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa K-Medoids dengan PCA menghasilkan klaster yang lebih koheren dan terpisah daripada K-Means, terutama dalam menangani outlier. Menurut metode Elbow dan Silhouette, empat hingga lima klaster adalah pilihan terbaik. PCA meningkatkan akurasi dan efisiensi klasterisasi dengan mengurangi kompleksitas data, yang menghasilkan klaster yang lebih baik Diharapkan temuan ini akan membantu pemerintah membuat kebijakan yang lebih baik untuk mengatasi ketimpangan kesehatan dan sosial ekonomi di Jawa Timur.   Kata kunci: Klasterisasi, Outlier, Principal Component Analysis (PCA)
Analisis Pola Konvergensi Transpor Kelembapan Udara di Indonesia Bagian Barat Menggunakan K-Means dengan Pembobotan Statistik dan Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering Pratiwi, Asri; Azis, Tukhfatur Rizmah; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi
KUBIK Vol 9, No 2 (2024): KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika, Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15575/kubik.v9i2.39753

Abstract

This study analyzes the convergence patterns of Vertically Integrated Moisture Transport (VIMT) in the western region of Indonesia using the K-Means method with statistical weighting and Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW). Daily data on specific humidity, zonal wind speed, and meridional wind speed from 2020–2023 were used to calculate VIMT. Clustering methods were utilized to identify grouping patterns in moisture transport data. The results showed that moisture convergence significantly increased during the rainy season (November–February). Using the K-Means method, five clusters with clearer separations were obtained compared to the four clusters produced by the Hierarchical Clustering method. Performance evaluation using Silhouette and Calinski-Harabasz scores indicated that the K-Means method was superior, with scores of 0.37 and 104.88 compared to 0.13 and 96.34 for the Hierarchical method. This provides an understanding of the moisture transport patterns, serving as a reference for predicting weather and climate patterns, thereby supporting efforts to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather in Western Indonesia.
A-OPTIMAL DESIGN IN NON-LINEAR MODELS TO INCREASE SILICON DIOXIDE PURITY LEVELS Weisha, Ghea; Erfiani, Erfiani; Irzaman, Irzaman; Syafitri, Utami Dyah
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.36-44

Abstract

Silica is the most mineral found on earth and is widely used in industry. Silica used in industry is usually silicon dioxide with a purity ≥ 95% and its often sold at a higher cost. To obtain the silica at a lower cost, silica extraction from biomass such as rice husk can be conducted. The purity of silica extracted from biomass tends to be lower than that of mineral silica. Silica with low purity can be increased by adjusting the temperature and the rate of temperature rise. This research aims to obtain the best design to determine the purity of silicon dioxide. The design of this study was generated based on the A-optimality criterion using the DETMAX algorithm. The A-optimality criterion is minimizing the trace of the variance-covariance of the parameter estimation. The best design points obtained using A-optimal design consist of three temperature groups: the minimum temperature of 800°C, the middle temperature of 850°C, and the maximum temperature of 900°C, with varying rates of temperature rise. Points were repeated at the temperature of 850°C, with rates of temperature rise of 1.67°C/min and 3.34°C/min. 
Clustering Time Series Forecasting Model for Grouping Provinces in Indonesia Based on Granulated Sugar Prices Amatullah, Fida Fariha; Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi
Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing Vol. 9 No. 1 (2025): February 2025
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jaic.v9i1.8840

Abstract

Clustering time series is the process of organizing data into groups based on similarities in specific patterns. This research uses the prices of granulated sugar in each province of Indonesia. According to USDA reports, sugar consumption in Indonesia in 2023 reached 7.9 million tons. On April 26, 2024, the price of granulated sugar peaked in the Papua Mountains at Rp29,320 per kg, while the lowest price was recorded in the Riau Islands at Rp16,460 per kg. The research aims to cluster provinces based on the characteristics of granulated sugar prices and to use forecasting models for each group. Two groups were formed based on the price patterns of granulated sugar over time. The provinces of Papua and West Papua are in group 2, while the other 30 provinces are in group 1. The best model developed using the auto ARIMA method is ARIMA (2, 1, 0), with a MAPE value of 2.36% for cluster 1, and ARIMA (1, 1, 1), with a MAPE value of 2.59% for cluster 2. These values are less than 10%, indicating that the models built using the auto ARIMA method for clusters 1 and 2 are suitable for forecasting.
Co-Authors . Aunuddin A. A., Muftih Abd. Rahman Abqorunnisa, Farah Agung Tri Utomo Agus Mohamad Soleh Ahmad Khairul Reza Ahmad Nur Rohman Ahmad Syauqi Aji Hamim Wigena Alamanda, Dinda Aprilia Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Aliu, Mufthi Alwi ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Amatullah, Fida Fariha Amelia, Reni Aminah Aminah Anadra, Rahmi Anang Kurnia Anik Djuraidah Anissa Tsalsabila Ardhani, Rizky Arini Annisa Adi Aristawidya, Rafika ASEP SAEFUDDIN Asri Pratiwi, Asri Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid Aunuddin . Aunuddin Aunuddin Azis, Tukhfatur Rizmah Bagus Sartono Bartho Sihombing Bimawan Sudarmoko Budi Susetyo Daswati, Oktaviyani Daulay, Nurmai Syaroh Deti Anggraeni Ekawati Dian Kusumaningrum Dini Ramadhani Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi Putri Kurniasari Fanny Amalia Farit M Afendi Farly Shabahul Khairi Fatimah Fatimah Fauziah, Monica Rahma Fitrianto, Anwar Freza Riana Fulazzaky, Tahira Hamim Wigena, Aji Hari Wijayanto Harismahyanti A., Andi Hasnataeni, Yunia Herlin Fransiska Hilda Zaikarina I Made Sumertajaya Ihsan, Muhammad Taufik Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia Indah, Yunna Mentari Indahwati Irzaman, Irzaman Ismah, Ismah Julianti, Elisa D Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul Khusnia Nurul Khikmah Lestari, Nila Made Agung Prebawa Parama Artha Mahfuz Hudori Marshelle, Sean Megawati Megawati Misrika, Dahlia Mohammad Masjkur Muggy David Cristian Ginzel Muhammad Nur Aidi mutiah, siti Nadira Nisa Alwani Nenden Rahayu Puspitasari Novitri Novitri Nugraha, Adhiyatma Nur Khamidah Nurul Fadhilah Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing Qalbi, Asyifah R, Arifuddin Rahmatun Nisa, Rahmatun Ramadhani, Dini Ratih Dwi Septiani Reka Agustia Astari Reni Amelia Retno Dwi Jayanti Rika Rachmawati Riska Asri Pertiwi Siregar, Indra Rivaldi Sofia Octaviana Tetinia Gulo Tiara, Yesan Umam Hidayaturrohman Uswatun Hasanah Utami Dyah Syafitri Vitona, Desi Waode, Yully Sofyah Wati, Wahyuni Kencana Weisha, Ghea Wigena, Aji Wijaya, Ferdian Bangkit Winda Chairani Mastuti Windi D.Y Putri Yulia Christina Yuniar Istiqomah Zaima Nurrusydah