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All Journal FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Media Statistika Statistika JURNAL MATEMATIKA STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Techno.Com: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi JUITA : Jurnal Informatika Kubik KEUNIS Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Teorema: Teori dan Riset Matematika Krea-TIF: Jurnal Teknik Informatika Sainmatika: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Saintifik : Jurnal Matematika, Sains, dan Pembelajarannya Jambura Journal of Mathematics Inferensi InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Jurnal Riset dan Inovasi Pembelajaran PROSIDING SEMINAR NASIONAL FISIKA (E-JOURNAL) VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application on Teaching and Research Xplore: Journal of Statistics Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Jurnal Info Kesehatan Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Erfiani Erfiani
Pogram Studi Statistika Dan Sains Data, Fakultas Matematika Dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Dentistry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Analisis Pola Konvergensi Transpor Kelembapan Udara di Indonesia Bagian Barat Menggunakan K-Means dengan Pembobotan Statistik dan Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering Pratiwi, Asri; Azis, Tukhfatur Rizmah; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi
KUBIK Vol 9 No 2 (2024): KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika, Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15575/kubik.v9i2.39753

Abstract

This study analyzes the convergence patterns of Vertically Integrated Moisture Transport (VIMT) in the western region of Indonesia using the K-Means method with statistical weighting and Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW). Daily data on specific humidity, zonal wind speed, and meridional wind speed from 2020–2023 were used to calculate VIMT. Clustering methods were utilized to identify grouping patterns in moisture transport data. The results showed that moisture convergence significantly increased during the rainy season (November–February). Using the K-Means method, five clusters with clearer separations were obtained compared to the four clusters produced by the Hierarchical Clustering method. Performance evaluation using Silhouette and Calinski-Harabasz scores indicated that the K-Means method was superior, with scores of 0.37 and 104.88 compared to 0.13 and 96.34 for the Hierarchical method. This provides an understanding of the moisture transport patterns, serving as a reference for predicting weather and climate patterns, thereby supporting efforts to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather in Western Indonesia.
Analisis Ridge Robust Penduga Generalized M (GM) Pada Pemodelan Kalibrasi Untuk Kadar Gula Darah Agung Tri Utomo; Erfiani, Erfiani; Fitrianto, Anwar
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 4 No. 2 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (384.666 KB) | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm14

Abstract

Calibration modeling is one of the methods used to analyze the relationship between different methods. The relationship is like the relationship between invasive and non-invasive blood sugar measurement. Problems that often arise in calibration modeling are multicollinearity and outliers. Multicollinearity problems can cause the regression confidence interval to widen, so that there is no statistically significant regression coefficient. Outliers cause statistical tests to deviate. The handling of these problems can be solved by robust ridge analysis. Ridge robust is a combined analysis of ridge regression and robust regression. Ridge regression is able to overcome the problem of multicollinearity and robust regression can overcome the problem of outliers. The estimator used is Generalized M (GM). This method will be applied to a calibration model that uses invasive and non-invasive blood sugar level data. The model used with Generalized M (GM) estimator robust regression using modulation clusters 50 to 90 in 2017 is better than the modulation group 50. up to 90 in 2019. The statistical values obtained are SSE of 0.910, RMSEadj of 0.114, and RMSEP of 0.030. Calibration models that have outliers and multicollinearity problems can be overcome by robust ridge regression. The feasibility value of the model obtained in the GM estimator robust regression is smaller than the MM estimator ridge robust regression in the calibration modeling for non-invasive blood sugar level data. That is, the best model that can be used is the robust ridge regression GM estimator.
Determinants of Environmental Quality Index (EQI) in Indonesia in 2018-2022 Sihombing, Pardomuan Robinson; Erfiani, Erfiani; Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar; Kurnia, Anang
KEUNIS Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025): JULY 2025
Publisher : Finance and Banking Program, Accounting Department, Politeknik Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32497/keunis.v13i2.6559

Abstract

The environment is a critical issue in sustainable development in Indonesia, with significant variations in environmental quality between regions. This study seeks to examine the influence of the Regional Government Budget, COVID-19 (as a dummy variable), Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), and the Human Development Index (HDI) on the Environmental Quality Index (EQI) in Indonesia. The data for this study were obtained from BPS–Statistics Indonesia and the Ministry of Environment and Forestry, covering the period from 2018 to 2022. The analysis employs multiple linear regression using panel data. Panel model testing indicates that the fixed effects model with cross-sectional lag provides the best fit. The results show that, collectively, all variables have a significant influence on Indonesia's Environmental Quality Index (EQI). Individually, the Regional Government Budget for environmental purposes, the COVID-19 dummy variable, and the Human Development Index (HDI) have a significant positive impact on EQI. In contrast, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) has a significant negative effect. These findings highlight the need for comprehensive macro-socioeconomic policies to sustain and enhance environmental quality in Indonesia.
The Influence of Women’s Empowerment on The Preference for Contraceptive Methods in Indonesia: A Multinomial Logistic Regression Modelling Fulazzaky, Tahira; Indahwati, Indahwati; Fitrianto , Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul
JURNAL INFO KESEHATAN Vol 22 No 3 (2024): JURNAL INFO KESEHATAN
Publisher : Research and Community Service Unit, Poltekkes Kemenkes Kupang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31965/infokes.Vol22.Iss3.1213

Abstract

The concept of women's empowerment encompasses enabling women to take control of their own lives, independently make choices, and fulfill their complete capabilities. Numerous research studies examined the correlation between the empowerment of women and their reproductive health. In Indonesia, female labor force participation is relatively low. As a result, research on the influence of empowering women on contraceptive method preference in Indonesia makes sense. This research aims to find the multinomial logistic regression model in choosing contraceptive methods for married women in Indonesia and to identify the women’s empowerment traits that most impact contraceptive method choice.  For this study, the researchers utilized secondary data obtained from the 2017 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS). The participants consisted of women between the ages of 15 and 49 who were married. The total number of respondents sampled was 49,216. Variables that significantly affect contraceptive method use include the respondent's current employment, the respondent has bank account or other financial institution accounts, the cumulative count of offspring previously born and beating justified if the wife argues with her husband. The analysis is obtained using the multinomial logistic regression test, independency, multicollinearity, and parameter test, and the selection is made by considering either the smallest value of Akaike's information criterion or the option that achieves the highest level of accuracy. Findings highlight four significant variables: Firstly, employed women are more likely to use contraceptives than the unemployed. Secondly, access to banking services correlates with a higher likelihood of contraceptive use. Thirdly, women with more children tend to prefer long-acting reversible contraceptives. Lastly, endorsement of spousal violence justifiability is linked to conventional contraceptive selection. These results emphasize the roles of employment, financial access, family size, and gender-based violence perceptions in shaping contraceptive choices in Indonesia. Model 3 emerges as the most accurate predictor of preferences after eliminating six variables based on rigorous testing and multicollinearity considerations. These findings underscore the importance of addressing economic empowerment and gender-related issues in Indonesian reproductive health programs and policies. Such a comprehensive approach can enhance women's autonomy, enabling them to make crucial life choices and ultimately improving their overall well-being.         
Analisis Pola Konvergensi Transpor Kelembapan Udara di Indonesia Bagian Barat Menggunakan K-Means dengan Pembobotan Statistik dan Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering Pratiwi, Asri; Azis, Tukhfatur Rizmah; Fitrianto, Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi
KUBIK Vol 9 No 2 (2024): KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika, Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15575/kubik.v9i2.39753

Abstract

This study analyzes the convergence patterns of Vertically Integrated Moisture Transport (VIMT) in the western region of Indonesia using the K-Means method with statistical weighting and Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW). Daily data on specific humidity, zonal wind speed, and meridional wind speed from 2020–2023 were used to calculate VIMT. Clustering methods were utilized to identify grouping patterns in moisture transport data. The results showed that moisture convergence significantly increased during the rainy season (November–February). Using the K-Means method, five clusters with clearer separations were obtained compared to the four clusters produced by the Hierarchical Clustering method. Performance evaluation using Silhouette and Calinski-Harabasz scores indicated that the K-Means method was superior, with scores of 0.37 and 104.88 compared to 0.13 and 96.34 for the Hierarchical method. This provides an understanding of the moisture transport patterns, serving as a reference for predicting weather and climate patterns, thereby supporting efforts to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather in Western Indonesia.
Loopy Orthogonal Signal Correction Scatter Correction in Non-Invasive Blood Glucose: Koreksi Pencaran Loopy Orthogonal Signal Correction pada Glukosa Darah Non-Invasif Misrika, Dahlia; Erfiani, Erfiani; Wigena, Aji
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 7 No 2 (2023)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, IPB University, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v7i2p105-113

Abstract

Spectroscopy is the study of matter based on light, sound, or particles emitted, absorbed, or reflected as well as the study of methods for generating and analyzing spectra. The spectrum has systematic diversity, namely the presence of light scattering and differences in the size of objects. The spectroscopic output allows for scattering shifts, because the same object measured several times does not exactly produce the same spectrum. Problems found in the spectrum can be overcome by pre-processing the data, namely the scatter correction method. Scatter correction is used to reduce the physical properties in the spectrum so that the information obtained is relatively the same for each spectrum, produces good estimates, and can be interpreted well. One of the spectroscopic tools that utilize infrared light is a non-invasive blood glucose level measuring device. The output of the tool is the time domain and intensity spectrum. Each object from the resulting spectrum still has noise, so scatter correction can be applied to this data. The purpose of this study was to perform a loopy Orthogonal Signal Correction (OSC) scatter correction method on time domain spectrum data on intensity on a non-invasive blood glucose level measuring device. The OSC method uses the concept of orthogonality to the mean by drawing the intensity value, weighting it, calculating the vector loading and then making corrections to the initial intensity. Based on the analysis, the loopy OSC method is better than OSC because the convergence is more accurate, the mean difference is smaller, the variance is smaller and the value converges on all the values tested. Based on exploration and the average difference, the loopy OSC method is better able to form the same pattern for each replication. This also shows that an object that is measured repeatedly has been able to be identified as the same object.
Performance Analysis of Robust Functional Continuum Regression to Handle Outliers Ismah, Ismah; Erfiani, Erfiani; Wigena, Aji Hamim; Sartono, Bagus
InPrime: Indonesian Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics Vol. 6 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/inprime.v6i1.38928

Abstract

Robust functional continuum regression (RFCR) is an innovation as a development of functional continuum regression that can be applied to functional data and is resistant to outliers. The resistance of RFCR depends on the applied weighting function. This study aims to evaluate the RFCR performance to handle outliers. We propose the various weighting functions in this evaluation, i.e., Huber, Hampel, Ramsay, and Tukey (Bisquare), which do not eliminate or give zero weight to observed data identified as outliers. This contribution is essential to determining the appropriate RFCR method without eliminating the outlier data. The result shows that the RFCR performance with the Huber weighting function is better than the others, based on the goodness of fit, consisting of the root means square error of prediction (RMSEP), the correlation between the actual data and the model, and the mean absolute error (MAE).Keywords: functional data analysis; Huber weighted function; Hampel weighted function; Ramsay weighted function; Tukey (Bisquare) weighted function. AbstrakRegresi kontinum fungsional kekar (RFCR) merupakan inovasi yang merupakan pengembangan dari regresi kontinum fungsional yang dapat diaplikasikan pada data fungsional dan tahan terhadap outlier. Resistansi RFCR bergantung pada fungsi pembobotan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi kinerja RFCR. Kami mengusulkan beberapa fungsi pembobotan dalam evaluasi tersebut, yaitu Huber, Hampel, Ramsay, dan Tukey (Bisquare), dengan tidak menghilangkan atau memberikan bobot nol pada data observasi yang teridentifikasi sebagai outlier. Kontribusi ini penting untuk menentukan metode RFCR yang tepat tanpa menghilangkan data outlier. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa kinerja RFCR dengan fungsi pembobotan Huber lebih baik dibandingkan fungsi pembobotan lain berdasarkan goodness of fit, yang terdiri dari root mean square error of prediksi (RMSEP), korelasi antara data aktual dan model, dan mean kesalahan absolut (MAE).Kata Kunci: analisis data fungsional; fungsi berbobot Huber; fungsi tertimbang Hampel; fungsi tertimbang Ramsay; fungsi berbobot Tukey (Bisquare). 2020MSC: 62J99, 62R10
Perbandingan Kinerja Hybrid Classification SVM-RF dan SVM-NN Terhadap Faktor Risiko Anemia Ibu Hamil di Indonesia dengan Pendekatan Clustering K-Means Qalbi, Asyifah; Erfiani, Erfiani; Susetyo, Budi
Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 22 No. 3 (2025): Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Volume 22 Nomor 3 Edisi No
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Ilmiah LPPM Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Classification is one of the most researched topics by researchers from the field of machine learning and data mining. Machine learning methods that are often used include Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Neural Network (NN). However, SVM does not always provide good accuracy. For example, when applied to highly imbalanced data, SVM will experience challenges. In addition, there is no single best method that can be applied to all classification problems. Currently, hybrid method approaches for data mining applications are becoming increasingly popular such as hybrid SVM-RF, SVM-NN and KMeans-SVM methods. In this study, a hybrid method of SVM-RF and SVM-NN was used to classify risk factors for anemia in pregnant women in Indonesia with a K-Means approach to cluster data misclassified by SVM. The results showed that the hybrid method can improve the performance of the SVM model. Hybrid SVM-RF provides a higher evaluation metric value compared to SVM-NN. The four evaluation metrics used, namely accuracy, balanced accuracy, sensitivity and specificity in SVM-RF are worth 0,989; 0,989; 0,988; and 0,989, respectively. The variables that contribute generally based on SHAP Global to the classification of risk factors for anemia in pregnant women in order are Age, Fe Tablet, Working Status, Education, Nutritional Status and ANC.
Forecasting Indonesia's Non-Oil and Gas Exports Using Facebook Prophet: A Seasonal and Trend Analysis Erfiani, Erfiani; Wijaya, Ferdian Bangkit
Inferensi Vol 8, No 3 (2025)
Publisher : Department of Statistics ITS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.12962/j27213862.v8i3.23337

Abstract

This study aims to analyze and predict the trend of Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports using the Facebook Prophet model, focusing on identifying seasonal patterns, trends, and volatility present in the export data. Monthly export data from 2015 to 2025, sourced from the Statistics Indonesia (BPS), were used as the basis for analysis. The dataset revealed notable seasonal patterns and substantial volatility, particularly in the period following 2020. To model these dynamics, three Prophet model configurations were tested: one considering only annual seasonality, combining both annual and monthly seasonality, and another incorporating only monthly seasonality. The evaluation of these models showed with an initial Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 8.70%. This model was then optimized through hyperparameter tuning. The optimal parameter configuration (changepoint_prior_scale = 0.5, seasonality_prior_scale = 0.01, fourier_order = 3) resulted in a significant improvement, reducing the MAPE to 4.73%. This optimized model demonstrated its capacity to more precisely capture the complex patterns. Furthermore, the study projected Indonesia’s non-oil and gas exports for the period from April 2025 to December 2026. The projections indicate a relatively stable export trend within the range of 20,000 to 22,000 million USD per month, with consistent seasonal patterns.
MIXED-EFFECTS MODELS WITH GENERALIZED RANDOM FOREST: IMPROVED FOOD INSECURITY ANALYSIS Fransiska, Herlin; Soleh, Agus Mohamad; Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 20 No 2 (2026): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol20iss2pp1111-1124

Abstract

Food insecurity is a complex issue that requires a deep understanding of its influencing factors. Accurate predictions are crucial for effective interventions. Machine learning is well-suited to the large and complex data available in the big data era. However, machine learning generally does not accommodate hierarchical or clustered data structures, making them challenging for machine learning modeling. One model that accommodates hierarchical data structures is the mixed-effects model. This study introduces a novel approach to predict food insecurity by integrating mixed-effects models and a generalized random forest. Mixed-effects models capture variations in hierarchical or clustered data, such as differences between regions, and the generalized random forest, as extended and developed from the traditional random forest, is integrated to model fixed effects and improve prediction accuracy. The empirical data used were the food insecurity data from 2021 in West Java, Indonesia. The results show that mixed-effects models with a generalized random forest significantly improve the prediction accuracy compared to other models. The average performance measure shows GMEGRF is a good model and has a balanced accuracy value of 0.6789709, which is the highest result compared to other methods. This methodological advancement offers a new robust model for understanding and potentially mitigating food insecurity, ultimately informing efforts towards SDG 2 (Zero Hunger).
Co-Authors . Aunuddin A. A., Muftih Abd. Rahman Abqorunnisa, Farah Agung Tri Utomo Agus Mohamad Soleh Ahmad Khairul Reza Ahmad Nur Rohman Ahmad Syauqi Aji Hamim Wigena Alamanda, Dinda Aprilia Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Aliu, Mufthi Alwi ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Amatullah, Fida Fariha Amelia, Reni Aminah Aminah Anadra, Rahmi Anang Kurnia Anik Djuraidah Anissa Tsalsabila Ardhani, Rizky Arini Annisa Adi Aristawidya, Rafika ASEP SAEFUDDIN Asri Pratiwi, Asri Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid Aunuddin . Aunuddin Aunuddin Azis, Tukhfatur Rizmah Bagus Sartono Bartho Sihombing Bimawan Sudarmoko Budi Susetyo Daswati, Oktaviyani Daulay, Nurmai Syaroh Deti Anggraeni Ekawati Dian Kusumaningrum Dini Ramadhani Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi Putri Kurniasari Fanny Amalia Farit M Afendi Farly Shabahul Khairi Fatimah Fatimah Fauziah, Monica Rahma Fitrianto, Anwar Freza Riana Fulazzaky, Tahira Hamim Wigena, Aji Hari Wijayanto Harismahyanti A., Andi Hasnataeni, Yunia Herlin Fransiska Hilda Zaikarina I Made Sumertajaya Ihsan, Muhammad Taufik Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia Indah, Yunna Mentari Indahwati Irzaman, Irzaman Ismah, Ismah Julianti, Elisa D Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul Khusnia Nurul Khikmah Lestari, Nila Made Agung Prebawa Parama Artha Mahfuz Hudori Marshelle, Sean Megawati Megawati Misrika, Dahlia Mohammad Masjkur Muggy David Cristian Ginzel Muhammad Nur Aidi mutiah, siti Nadira Nisa Alwani Nenden Rahayu Puspitasari Novitri Novitri Nugraha, Adhiyatma Nur Khamidah Nurul Fadhilah Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing Qalbi, Asyifah R, Arifuddin Rahmatun Nisa, Rahmatun Ramadhani, Dini Ratih Dwi Septiani Reka Agustia Astari Reni Amelia Retno Dwi Jayanti Rika Rachmawati Riska Asri Pertiwi Siregar, Indra Rivaldi Sofia Octaviana Tetinia Gulo Tiara, Yesan Umam Hidayaturrohman Uswatun Hasanah Utami Dyah Syafitri Vitona, Desi Waode, Yully Sofyah Wati, Wahyuni Kencana Weisha, Ghea Wigena, Aji Wijaya, Ferdian Bangkit Winda Chairani Mastuti Windi D.Y Putri Yulia Christina Yuniar Istiqomah Zaima Nurrusydah