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All Journal Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) E-Journal MIX : Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Inovasi : Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan, dan Manajemen IKRA-ITH ABDIMAS IKRA-ITH EKONOMIKA Jurnal Mandiri Jurnal Equity Ekonomi dan Bisnis Ilomata International Journal of Management Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Kesatuan Jurnal Bakti Masyarakat Indonesia Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Indonesia Berdaya Ilomata International Journal of Management Devotion: Journal of Research and Community Service Pengmasku Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Sosial (JIES) Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat : Pemberdayaan, Inovasi dan Perubahan Batara Wisnu : Indonesian Journal of Community Services Media Ekonomi Media Bina Ilmiah Indonesian Journal of Society Development (IJSD) Jurnal Sosial dan Sains INJURITY: Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains International Journal of Management, Entrepreneurship, Social Science and Humanities (IJMESH) Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Veteran Economics, Management & Accounting Review Equity Journal of Development Economic and Digitalization Nemui Nyimah
Desmintari
Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta
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Journal : Journal of Development Economic and Digitalization

 1 
Determinan Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja di Provinsi Jawa Timur Safitri, Anis Wahyu; Desmintari, Desmintari
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 1 No 1 (2022): JDED, August 2022
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v1i1.5365

Abstract

Labor absorption is one of the important factors that influence the development of a region's workforce. Labor is a big complex problem because it affects and is influenced by many factors such as the quality of human resources, high-quality output and high-value wages. This research was conducted with the aim of knowing the determination that affects the absorption of labor in the Regency/City in East Java Province. The data used is data from 29 regencies and 9 cities in East Java Province in the form of GRDP, HDI, Minimum Wage and Investment data in 2016-2020. In this study using panel data with the research model Fixed Effect Model. The results show that GRDP, HDI have a not significant positive effect on labor absorption in East Java and  Wages have a significant positive effect on labor absorption in East Java. While the investment variable has a significant negative effect on labor absorption in East Java.
ANALISIS FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EKSPOR NON MIGAS DI INDONESIA Shaufiyani, Rifni; Desmintari
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 2 No 1 (2023): JDED, February 2023
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v2i1.5735

Abstract

Ekspor non migas memiliki kontribusi yang besar terhadap total ekspor Indonesia keseluruhan. Perkembangan ekspor non migas perlu dilihat agar kinerjanya terus stabil dan dapat terus memberikan hasil yang positif. Pergerakan ekspor non migas Indonesia masih ditumpu dari pergerakan perekonomian global maupun domestik. Hal ini dapat dilihat dari faktor yang memengaruhi khususnya faktor dari sisi moneter. Penelitian ini mempunyai tujuan untuk melihat pengaruh tingkat suku bunga, nilai tukar, jumlah uang beredar dan produk domestik bruto terhadap ekspor non migas Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder berupa data deret waktu periode tahun 1990-2021 yang diperoleh dari World Bank, Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia serta Lab Digital Ilmu Ekonomi UPNVJ. Hasil pengujian Error Correction Model (ECM) menyatakan bahwa (1) tingkat suku bunga dalam jangka panjang tidak mempunyai pengaruh signifikan dan dalam jangka pendek mempunyai pengaruh signifikan terhadap ekspor non migas Indonesia, (2) nilai tukar dalam jangka panjang dan pendek mempunyai pengaruh signifikan terhadap eskpor non migas Indonesia, (3) jumlah uang beredar dalam jangka panjang dan pendek mempunyai pengaruh signifikan terhadap eskpor non migas Indonesia, (4) PDB tidak mempunyai pengaruh signfikan baik dalam jangka panjang maupun jangka pendek terhadap ekspor non migas Indonesia. Non-oil and gas exports have a large contribution to Indonesia's total exports as a whole. The development of non-oil and gas exports needs to be seen so that their performance continues to be stable and can continue to provide positive results. The movement of Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports is still based on global and domestic economic movements. This can be seen from the influencing factors, especially from the monetary side. This study aims to see the effect of interest rates, exchange rates, money supply and gross domestic product on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports. This study uses secondary data in the form of time series data for the years 1990-2021 obtained from the World Bank, the Central Statistics Agency, Bank Indonesia and the UPNVJ Digital Economics Lab. The results of the Error Correction Model (ECM) test state that (1) interest rates in the long term do not have a significant effect and in the short term have a significant effect on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports, (2) exchange rates in the long and short term have a significant effect on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports, (3) the money supply in the long and short term has a significant effect on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports, (4) GDP has no significant effect both in the long and short term on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports.
ANALISIS DETERMINAN VOLUME EKSPOR BATUBARA INDONESIA KE LIMA NEGARA TUJUAN EKSPOR Ashari Rahma, Annisa; Desmintari
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 2 No 2 (2023): JDED, August 2023
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v2i2.6570

Abstract

Indonesia berada pada urutan ketiga negara yang memproduksi batubara terbanyak di dunia dan ditambah lagi, Indonesia diandalkan dalam hal pengekspor batubara terbesar di dunia. Saat ini batubara masih mendominasi dalam penggunaan pembangkit listrik. Meskipun begitu peralihan dari energi fosil ke renewable energy telah dibahas oleh banyak negara, peralihan ini akan membuat penggunaan energi fosil menjadi berkurang. Dalam penelitian ini digunakan beberapa variabel ekonomi diantaranya adalah inflasi, GDP dan kurs. Dalam hal ini, penelitian ditujukan guna menganalisis determinan yang memengaruhi fluktuasi volume ekspor batubara di Indonesia pada pada negara penerima, yaitu India, China, Jepang, Korea Selatan dan Malaysia pada tahun 2005 – 2021. Jumlah observer pada penelitian ini yaitu sebesar 85 data, dimana data yang digunakan berupa jenis data sekunder yang diperoleh melalui laman resmi world bank dan Badan Pusat Statistik. Teknik analisis data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah metode regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa (1) Inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap volume ekspor batu bara Indonesia pada negara penerima. (2) GDP berpengaruh Positif signifikan terhadap volume ekspor batu bara Indonesia pada negara penerima. (3) Kurs berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap volume ekspor batu bara Indonesia pada negara penerima dan (4) renewable energy berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap volume ekspor batubara Indonesia pada negara penerima. Indonesia is in the third place in the world's largest coal producing country and in addition, Indonesia is relied on in terms of the world's largest coal exporter. Currently, coal still dominates in the use of power plants. Even though the transition from fossil energy to renewable energy has been discussed by many countries, this transition will reduce the use of fossil energy. In this study several economic variables were used including inflation, GDP and exchange rates. In this case, the research is aimed at analyzing the determinants that affect fluctuations in the volume of coal exports in Indonesia in recipient countries, namely India, China, Japan, South Korea and Malaysia in 2005 – 2021. The number of observers in this study is 85 data, where the data used in the form of secondary data types obtained through the official website of the world bank and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The data analysis technique used in this study is the panel data regression method. The results of this study indicate that (1) Inflation has no significant effect on the volume of Indonesian coal exports to recipient countries. (2) GDP has a significant positive effect on the volume of Indonesian coal exports in recipient countries. (3) The exchange rate has a significant negative effect on the volume of Indonesian coal exports to recipient countries and (4) renewable energy has a significant negative effect on the volume of Indonesian coal exports to recipient countries.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI 4 NEGARA ASEAN Shella, Haya Marshella Lifnatin Nada; Desmintari
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 3 No 2 (2024): JDED, August 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v3i2.8623

Abstract

Perekonomian ASEAN saat ini telah menjadi fokus perhatian global dalam beberapa dekade terakhir, yang tidak lepas dari dampak krisis ekonomi di pasar internasional. Analisis dan pengukuran pertumbuhan ekonomi yang diupayakan oleh pemerintah dan sektor swasta melalui pendekatan makroekonomi bertujuan untuk mengatasi permasalahan yang muncul dalam perekonomian suatu negara. Penelitian ini memiliki tujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh Modal, Tenaga Kerja, Ekspor, dan Inflasi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di 4 Negara ASEAN. Pengambilan sampel menggunakan teknik sampling jenuh di 4 Negara ASEAN yaitu Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, dan Filipina pada periode waktu 2012-2022 yang bersumber dari WorldBank. Untuk tujuan tersebut, diterapkan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan merancang model ekonometrika yang didasarkan pada teori fungsi produksi Cobb-Douglas. Pembangunan model ini melibatkan data panel dengan bantuan software STATA 17 dan memiliki model terbaik Fixed Effect Model. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial, variabel Modal tidak memberikan kontribusi yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sebaliknya, variabel Tenaga Kerja memberikan pengaruh positif yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Variabel Ekspor juga memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, sementara variabel Inflasi tidak memberikan pengaruh positif yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Dan secara simultan Modal, Tenaga Kerja, Ekspor, Inflasi berpengaruh terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kata Kunci: Modal, Tenaga Kerja, Ekspor, Inflasi, dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Abstract The current ASEAN economy has become the focus of global attention in recent decades, which cannot be separated from the impact of the economic crisis on the international market. Analysis and measurement of economic growth pursued by the government and private sector through a macroeconomic approach aims to overcome problems that arise in a country's economy. This study aims to analyze the effect of Capital, Labor, Exports, and Inflation on Economic Growth in 4 ASEAN Countries. Sampling using saturated sampling techniques in 4 ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines in the 2012-2022 time period sourced from WorldBank. For this purpose, a quantitative approach is applied by designing an econometric model based on the Cobb-Douglas theory of the production function. The construction of this model involves panel data with STATA 17 software and has the best Fixed Effect Model model. The results showed that partially, the Capital variable did not contribute significantly to economic growth. Export variables also have a positive and significant influence on economic growth, while inflation variables do not have a significant positive impact on economic growth partially. However, when viewed together, the variables Capital, Labor, Exports, and Inflation simultaneously show a significant positive influence on economic growth. Keywords: Capital, Labor, Exports, Inflation, and Economic Growth
Determinan Cadangan Devisa Indonesia Ana Aufa Azelia, Ana Aufa Azelia; Desmintari
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 4 No 1 (2025): JDED, February 2025
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v4i1.10416

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh nilai tukar, tingkat suku bunga, produk domestik bruto (PDB), neraca perdagangan, dan Volatility Index (VIX) terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia selama periode 1993–2023. Cadangan devisa merupakan komponen penting dalam menjaga stabilitas ekonomi makro, khususnya dalam menghadapi tekanan ekonomi global. Dengan menggunakan metode Error Correction Model (ECM), penelitian ini mengungkap dinamika hubungan antara variabel-variabel makroekonomi tersebut baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa nilai tukar dan PDB memiliki pengaruh signifikan positif terhadap cadangan devisa dalam jangka panjang, mencerminkan kontribusi dari daya saing ekspor dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap akumulasi devisa. Namun, dalam jangka pendek, nilai tukar tidak menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan. Sebaliknya, tingkat suku bunga, neraca perdagangan, dan VIX tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa baik dalam jangka pendek maupun panjang. Hal ini menyoroti kompleksitas pengelolaan kebijakan ekonomi di tengah ketidakpastian global. Penelitian ini memberikan kontribusi teoritis dalam memahami hubungan antara variabel makroekonomi dan cadangan devisa melalui kerangka teori monetarisme. Selain itu, hasil penelitian ini juga memberikan manfaat praktis bagi pembuat kebijakan dalam merumuskan strategi untuk menjaga stabilitas ekonomi melalui pengelolaan cadangan devisa. Kata Kunci: Nilai Tukar, Tingkat Suku Bunga, PDB, Neraca Perdagangan, Volatility Index (VIX), Cadangan Devisa, Error Correction Model (ECM). Abstract This study aims to analyze the impact of exchange rates, interest rates, gross domestic product (GDP), trade balance, and Volatility Index (VIX) on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves during the 1993–2023 period. Foreign exchange reserves are a critical component in maintaining macroeconomic stability, especially in the face of global economic pressures. Using the Error Correction Model (ECM) method, this research explores the dynamic relationships between these macroeconomic variables in both the short and long term. The findings reveal that exchange rates and GDP have a significant positive influence on foreign exchange reserves in the long term, reflecting the contribution of export competitiveness and economic growth to reserve accumulation. However, in the short term, exchange rates show no significant impact. Conversely, interest rates, trade balance, and VIX do not significantly affect foreign exchange reserves in either the short or long term. These results highlight the complexities of economic policy management amid global uncertainties. This study contributes theoretically to understanding the relationship between macroeconomic variables and foreign exchange reserves through the lens of monetarism theory. Additionally, the findings provide practical insights for policymakers in formulating strategies to maintain economic stability through effective foreign exchange reserve management. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, GDP, Trade Balance, Volatility Index (VIX), Foreign Exchange Reserves, Error Correction Model (ECM).  
Analisis Determinan Neraca Transaksi Berjalan di Indonesia Shellyna Rahma Nur Fitria; Desmintari
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 4 No 2 (2025): JDED, August 2025
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v4i2.8971

Abstract

Abstrak Neraca transaksi berjalan merupakan salah satu komponen neraca pembayaran yang mencerminkan kesehatan ekonomi suatu negara dalam hubungannya dengan perdagangan internasional. Oleh karena itu, para pembuat kebijakan ekonomi dan analis pasar dapat menggunakan neraca transaksi berjalan sebagai alat penting untuk memahami dinamika ekonomi global dan menentukan arah kebijakan yang tepat guna mencapai keseimbangan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi neraca transaksi berjalan di Indonesia menggunakan data time series triwulanan dari tahun 2007 hingga 2023 serta metode analisis Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) menggunakan perangkat lunak Eviews 12. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam model jangka pendek, variabel ekspor pada tahun berjalan tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan, sedangkan pada lag 1, lag 2, dan lag 3, variabel ini memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan. Variabel cadangan devisa memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan, sementara variabel nilai tukar dan inflasi tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan. Dalam model jangka panjang, variabel ekspor dan nilai tukar tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan, sedangkan variabel cadangan devisa memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan, dan variabel inflasi memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan. Kata kunci: Neraca Transaksi Berjalan; Ekspor; Cadangan Devisa; Nilai Tukar; Inflasi Abstract The current account balance is one component of the balance of payments that reflects a country's economic health in relation to international trade. Therefore, economic policymakers and market analysts can use the current account balance as a crucial tool to understand global economic dynamics and determine appropriate policies to achieve sustainable economic balance. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing the current account balance in Indonesia using quarterly time series data from 2007 to 2023 and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method with the assistance of Eviews 12 software. The results show that in the short-term model, the export variable for the current year does not have a significant impact, whereas at lag 1, lag 2, and lag 3, this variable has a positive and significant effect on the current account balance. The foreign exchange reserves variable has a positive and significant effect on the current account balance, while the exchange rate and inflation variables do not have a significant effect. In the long-term model, the export and exchange rate variables do not have a significant effect on the current account balance, while the foreign exchange reserves variable has a positive and significant effect, and the inflation variable has a negative and significant effect on the current account balance. Keywords: Current Account Balance; Exports; Foreign Exchange Reserves; Exchange Rate; Inflation
Co-Authors Aisha Rahmadiah, Izza Alfatih S. Manggabarani Alfatih S. Manggabarani Amrie Firmansyah Ana Aufa Azelia, Ana Aufa Azelia Angga Karta Puspito Anggi Angga Resti Anggie Faramitha Arafi, Indri Ardi, Muhammad Fatikh Satrio Arrafi J, Indri Aryani, Lina Aryani, Lina Ashari Rahma, Annisa Br.Pinem, Dahlia Citra Asmara, Tegar Dahlia Br. Pinem Dahlia Pinem Dewi Darmastuti Dianwicaksih Arieftiara Eeng Ahman, Eeng Elia Erna Nurdiani Fachru Nofrian Fairuuz, Nabila Faramitha, Anggie Ferry Irawan Fitri Yetty Hatri Wahyumar Indri Arrafi Juliannisa Iwan Kresna Setiadi Izza Aisha Rahmadiah JUBAEDAH JUBAEDAH, JUBAEDAH Jubaedah Nawir Juliannisa, Indri Arrafi Laras Maodi Lina Aryani Lina Aryani Lina Aryani Lina Aryani Listyanto, Bryan Maodi, Laras Maria Assumpta Wikantari Maria Bernadette Nani Ariani Muhammad Fatikh Satrio Ardi Muhammad Pathi Farhan Munggaran, Nantia Rena Dewi Nabila Fairuuz Nani Ariani, MB Nobelson, Nobelson Nofrian, Fachru oktavia, Oky oktavia, Oky Pathi Farhan, Muhammad Praptiningsih Praptiningsih Praptiningsih, Praptiningsih Pusporini Pusporini Pusporini, Pusporini Raden Parianom Ratna Hindria Dyah Pitasari Renea Shinta Aminda Rio Bayu Taruno Risna Triandhari Safitri, Anis Wahyu Saputra, Yuda Dwi Saputra, Yuda Dwi Shaufiyani, Rifni Shella, Haya Marshella Lifnatin Nada Shellyna Rahma Nur Fitria Sufyati HS Suharyati Suharyati Tati Handayani Tegar Citra Asmara Tias Handayani Wahyudi Wahyudi Wahyudi Wahyudi Yetty, Fitri Yuda Dwi Saputra YUDI NUR SUPRIADI Zulkifli Musannip Efendi Siregar