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Journal : Animal Production

Analysis of the Development of Bali Cattle Population in Agriculture Ecosystem of Timor Island using System Dynamics Asnath Maria Fuah; Ahmad Yani; Rudy Priyanto; Bagus Priyo Purwanto; Jefirstson Richset Riwukore; Fellyanus Habaora
ANIMAL PRODUCTION Vol. 22 No. 2 (2020)
Publisher : Faculty of Animal Science, Jenderal Soedirman University in associate with the Animal Scientist Society of Indonesia (ISPI) and the Indonesian Association of Nutrition and Feed Science (AINI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20884/1.jap.2020.22.2.45

Abstract

Developing Bali cattle population in Timor Island, East Nusa Tenggara province carries a potential issue regarding cattle population. The objective of this research was to conduct an analysis and projection of the development of Bali cattle population in the agricultural ecosystem in Timor Island using system dynamics. The research was conducted from January to September 2018. The research location was determined purposively based on the characteristics of the agricultural ecosystem located in Kupang Regency and Kupang City. The research used 60 Bali cattle and involved 102 rancher respondents. Interviews and field observations were conducted to obtain primary and secondary data. Data analysis was done by building a system dynamics using Powersim and interpreting the simulation results for the next 30 years. The analysis results of the system dynamics showed that a declining population of Bali cattle over the next 19 or 25 years due to the ranchers' current behavior. The contributing factors included calf mortality that reached 29.6% per year; Bali cow mortality was up to 14.1% per year; calving interval was 22 months; traditional farm management that it is not economical; and the rate of livestock export reached 29.5% per year of the total population. Rancher management interventions and farm policies to reduce the inhibiting factors of cattle productivity are needed to maintain the population of Bali cattle in Timor Island, especially in the agricultural ecosystem.
Co-Authors Afgani, Nawangsari Aulia Afgani, Nawangsari Aulya Afton Atabany Agustin, Adinda Dwina Ahmad Yani Ahmad Yani Ahmad Yani ahmad yani Alfiyyah Yasmin, Fairuz Andi Febrisiantosa Andila, Rizkhy Ervanda Anggraeni Efrika Cahyawati Anneke Anggraeni Arfiani Arfiani Asnath Maria Fuah Asnath Maria Fuah, Asnath Maria Awaliyah, Izatullah Rizky Ayuningtyas, Gilang Azhar Amir Dela Harini Dela Heraini Desi Ratnasari Diana Dwi Retno Hapsari, Dwi Retno Elma Rohlyharni Epi Taufik Fellyanus Habaora Fellyanus Habaora Fellyanus Habaora Fellyanus Habaora Fellyanus Habaora Fellyanus Habaora Fit Rayani, Tera Fitra Aji Pamungkas Fitra Aji Pamungkas Fitra Aji Pamungkas Habaora, Fellyanus Hakim, Annisa Haryanto, Gito Imam Sanusi, Imam Iman Supriyatna Irma Isnafia Arief Jefirstson Richset Riwukore Jefirstson Richset Riwukore Jefirstson Richset Riwukore Jefirstson Richset Riwukore Joni Setiawan Khairunisa, Luthfi Khoirunnisa, Luthfi Leonard Dharmawan Lia Budimulyati Salman Luis Marnisah Luki Abdullah Muadz Abdurrahman Muhammad Dimas Rachmawanto Nahrowi Nahrowi Nandari Dyah Suretno Nurfitriani, Dini Pangestu, Puguh Pisa Daswita Pria Sembada Priyambodo, Danang Pudji Muljono Rarah Ratih Adjie Maheswari Rarah Ratih Adjie Maheswari Rayani, Tera Fit Riasari Gail Sianturi Riasari Gail Sianturi Riasari Gail Sianturi Rinaldy Irsyad, Brian Riwukore, Jefirstson Richset Rudy Priyanto Salundik Saragih, Elma Rohlyharni Suryahadi Suryahadi (Suryahadi) Suryahadi Suryahadi Suryahadi Suryahadi Wasmen Manalu Yantyati Widyastuti Yohanes Susanto Yoshi Lia Anggrayni