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AN ANALYSIS OF CAUSALITY BETWEEN INFLATION RATE AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN EAST JAVA Nanang Bagus Setiawan; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol 3, No 2: Semester Genap 2014/2015
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Data is collected in the form of time series in the form of annual that is quantitative in the past years 1999-2014 .Data analysis technique used namely research namely adopting both granger causality cointegration test and test and correlation analysis. The results of a test using granger causality cointegration test and test .Granger causality analysis test can be seen that the unemployment rate influences the level of inflation in East Java and inflation does not influences the level of unemployment in East Java. The analysis correlation it can be seen that there is the relationship between child inflation with the unemployment rate, this is shown obtained correlation value of 0,610 and a sig. = 0,012 .That means that there is a strong correlation between the level of inflation with the unemployment rate which has indicated by the correlation figure among 0,60-0,799 range .  Keywords: Inflation Rate and Unemployment Rate
Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Pendapatan Industri Kerajinan Kulit (Studi Kasus di Kelurahan Selosari, Kecamatan Magetan, Kabupaten Magetan). Erdinia Puspita Widyastuti; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol 2, No 2: Semester Genap 2013/2014
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Dalam usaha percepatan ekonomi, Industrialisasi diperlukan sebagai suatu keharusan karenamenjamin kelangsungan proses pembangunan ekonomi jangka panjang dengan laju pertumbuhanekonomi yang tinggi dan berkelanjutan yang menghasilkan pendapatan perkapita setiap tahun.Industrialisasi merupakan akar pokok pembangunan nasional dan pembangunan daerah, yangbertujuan mewujudkan masyarakat yang maju dan mandiri serta sejahtera lahir dan batin.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi tingkatpendapatan pengusaha indsutri kerajinan kulit di Kelurahan Selosari, Kecamatan Magetan,Kabupaten Magetan. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan medel regresilinier berganda. Semua uji statistik yang dilakukan pada penelitian ini menggunakan Software SPSS16. Penelitian ini mengambil keseluruhan populasi yang ada sebanyak 30 pengusaha.Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel modal, tingkat pendidikan, tenaga kerja, lamausaha, keikutsertaan dalam asosiasi, pelatihan, akses kelembaga keuangan dan pengrajin secarasimultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pendapatan pengusaha kerajinan kulit di KelurahanSelosari, Kecamatan Magetan, Kabupaten Magetan. Selanjutnya secara parsial variabel-variabelyang signifikan mempengaruhi pendapatan pengusaha industri kerajinan kulit di KelurahanSelosari, Kecamatan Magetan, Kabupaten Magetan antara lain modal, tingkat pendidikan, tenagakerja, lama usaha, pelatihan, akses kelembaga keuangan, dan pengrajin. Sedangkan variabelkeikutsertaan dalam asosiasi dan pelatihan secara parsial tidak berpengaruh segnifikan terhadappendapatan pengusaha kerajinan kulit di Kelurahan Selosari, Kecamatan Magetan, KabupatenMagetan.Kata Kunci: Industrialisasi, Pendapatan, Modal, Tingkat Pendidikan, Tenaga Kerja, LamaUsaha, Keikutsertaan dalam asosiasi, Pelatihan, Akses Kelembaga Keuangan, Pelatihan dan Pengrajin.
ANALISIS TERJADINYA INFLASI DARI SISI SUPPLY (COST-PUSH INFLATION) DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1984-2013 Qorida Rosyita Rahman; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol 3, No 1: Semester Ganjil 2014/2015
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Inflasi merupakan permasalahan ekonomi yang selalu menjadi tantangan besar bagi Indonesia. Inflasi dapat timbul karena adanya  tekanan dari sisi supply (cost push inflation), dari sisi permintaan (demand pull inflation), dan dari ekspektasi inflasi.  Penyebab inflasi di Indonesia lebih banyak dipengaruhi oleh faktor non-moneter seperti kenaikan harga bahan bakar minyak (BBM) dan kenaikan tarif dasar listrik (TDL). Karakteristik inflasi di Indonesia masih cenderung bergejolak yang terutama dipengaruhi oleh sisi supply (sisi penawaran) berkenaan dengan gangguan produksi, distribusi maupun kebijakan pemerintah. Untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh dorongan dari sisi supply seperti  tingkat harga BBM nonsubsidi, tingkat rata-rata upah riil, indeks harga pedagang besar (IHPB), nilai tukar rupiah, dan krisis terhadap terjadinya inflasi  di Indonesia berdasarkan pertumbuhan indeks harga konsumen (IHK) dan pertumbuhan indeks harga produsen (IHP). Melalui metode Error Correction Model didapatkan hasil dalam jangka panjang  variabel independen yang memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan dan memiliki hubungan positif terhadap terjadinya inflasi dari sisi supply  berdasarkan pertumbuhan IHP adalah tingkat harga BBM, upah nominal, IHPB,  dan nilai tukar. Sedangkan variabel dummy berupa krisis tidak memiliki pengaruh  signifikan. Sedangkan pada analisis jangka pendek diperoleh hasil  Variabel BBM, IHPB, dan  kurs memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan dan hubungan positif terhadap terjadinya inflasi dari sisi supply  berdasarkan pertumbuhan IHP. Variabel dummy krisis berpengaruh terhadap inflasi dalam jangka pendek namun memiliki hubungan negatif. Sedangkan variabel upah tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap terjadinya inflasi dari sisi supply pada jangka pendek.Kata kunci: Inflasi, cost-push inflation ,IHK, IHP, harga BBM, upah nominal, nilai tukar.
The Function of Coconut Sugar Cluster Establishment for Local Economic Development in Banyuwangi Regency Aryntika Cahyantini; Moh. Khusaini; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
e-2477-1929
Publisher : Institute of Research and Community Service, University of Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (653.633 KB) | DOI: 10.21776/ub.ijleg.2017.003.01.6

Abstract

This research was aimed to analyze and to understand (1) factors influencing local economic development of coconut sugar cluster in Banyuwangi Regency; (2) the function of coconut sugar cluster establishment for local economic development, especially for workers absorption and for increasing people income and product innovation in Banyuwangi Regency. Analysis method was quantitative with AHP analysis. The result of research indicated several findings (1) Natural resource was the most influential factor for local economic development in Banyuwangi Regency if compared to human resource, government role, and output. In natural resource, the most determining sub-factor was raw material. For human resource, the most influential sub-factor was worker skill. For the factor of government role, the most influential sub-factor was capitalization. This sub-factor was more advantageous than training and infrastructure. For output factor, the most influential sub-factor was product quality. (2) It must be useful to increase participation, to improve income, and to produce innovation to local communities of Banyuwangi Regency.Keywords: Local Economic Development, Clusters, Coconut Sugar 
The Influence of Economic Growth To Poverty and Its Relation To The Pro Poor In Indonesia Ali Attibrizi; Khusnul Ashar; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
e-2477-1929
Publisher : Institute of Research and Community Service, University of Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (86.693 KB) | DOI: 10.21776/ub.ijleg.2016.002.02.7

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This research aims to examine the extent to which Indonesia is able to carry out pro poor growth. To solve this problem, the authors use Pro Poor Growth Index as an analysis tool. The results show that during 2004-2013, economic growth in Indonesia is pro-poor so that the benefits of economic growth can be felt throughout society. Another objective of this research was to determine the effect of economic growth on poverty in Indonesia, both directly and indirectly. In the indirect effects, economic growth will affect intermediary aspects. These aspects consist of inequality, human development, and unemployment. The author used path analysis as an analysis tool. The results showed that human development is the most influential intermediary aspect on the relationship between economic growth and poverty so that the government has to increase the education, health, and purchasing power aspects so that the poverty rate decreased faster.Keywords: pro-poor growth, economic growth, inequality of income distribution, human development, unemployment, poverty, path analysis
Transformation of Economic Structure and Changes of Labor Proportion in East Java Province 1998-2012 Yulia Maris Herdianti; M. Umar Burhan; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
e-2477-1929
Publisher : Institute of Research and Community Service, University of Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (695.567 KB) | DOI: 10.21776/ub.ijleg.2015.001.01.9

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The transformation of economic structure is not only act as a sector dominance contributing to Gross Regional Domestic Product, but also acts as the dominance of labor sector absorption. In 1994, the dominance of primary sector in contributing East Java’s Gross Regional Domestic Product is already replaced by secondary sector and later by tertiary sector in 2004. The labor sector absorption is still dominated by agricultural sector until now. This research was aimed to describe the patterns of Transformation of economic structure and changes in the proportion of labor in East Java Province from 1998 to 2012, as well as analyzed the effect of each variables. By using factor analysis for latent variables first, the quantitative result based on path analysis has proved that economic growth and income per capita has a direct effect to the Transformation of economic structure. The increase of economic growth and income per capita has lead to the decrease in agricultural (primary sector) and industrial (secondary sector) proportion in contributing East Java’s GRDP which is followed by the increase proportion in trade, hotel and restaurant (tertiary sector). The Transformation of economic structure has a direct effect to change the proportion of labor, whereas the economic growth and income per capita have indirect effect to that. During this process, the agricultural labor absorption decreased very slowly while industrial labor absorption increased slowly, as well as the trade, hotels and restaurants. The results also showed that the changes in the the proportion of labor has direct effect to income per capita along with the domination of high productivity sector such as trade, hotels and restaurants which leads the economic growth.Keywords : Transformation of economic structure, changes of the proportion of labor, economic growth, income per capita
Pendidikan Dan Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja Wanita Di Indonesia: Analisis Terhadap Hipotesis Kurva-U Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2017: Vol. 10, No. 1, Februari 2017 (pp. 1 - 107)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (381.8 KB) | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2017.v10.i01.p01

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Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat eksistensi hipotesis kurva-U dalam hubungan antara pendidikan dan partisipasi angkatan kerja wanita di Indonesia. Hipotesis-kurva-U menyebutkan bahwa partisipasi angkatan kerja wanita adalah tinggi pada wanita dengan pendidikan yang rendah, kemudian menurun pada wanita dengan pendidikan menengah, dan meningkat lagi pada wanita dengan tingkat pendidikan yang tinggi. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi probit dengan data cross-section yang berasal dari Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (Sakernas) 2015. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan eksistensi hipotesis kurva-U di Indonesia, dengan tingkat partisipasi angkatan kerja wanita terendah terdapat pada wanita dengan tingkat pendidikan SMP (7 tahun lama sekolah).
Pengaruh Budaya & Bargaining Power Terhadap Partisipasi Kerja dan Sekolah Anak di Jawa Timur Faishol Amir; Khusnul Ashar; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2019: Vol. 12, No.1, Februari 2019 (pp. 1-107)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (570.785 KB) | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2019.v12.i01.p01

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This paper examines the influence of cultural and bargaining Power on child labor and school participation in East Java. The prevalence of children aged 10-17 years who work in East Java is around 4.74%. About 28.03% of children who work are still in school. Whereas school dropouts reach 11.28%. Referring to the theory of collective model and using the method of multinomial logit regression analysis on the Intercensal Population Survey (SUPAS) data in 2015, this paper concludes that culture proxied through tlatah had a significant effect. Children who come from Arek tlatah are most likely to work. Children from the Pandalungan tlatah are the least likely to go to school. While children from Madura Pulau tlatah are most likely to go to school while working.. Interestingly, if maternal education is equal or even higher than that of fathers, children's participation in work increases and conversely the participation of school children actually decreases.
Labor Absorption and Its Impact on Gross Regional Domestic Product Made Ika Prastyadewi; Agus Suman; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 14, No 2 (2013): JEP Desember 2013
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v14i2.127

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The objective of this study is to examine the determinants of labor absorption in the trade, hotel and restaurant sector and its impact on Gross Regional Domestic Product/GRDP at Bali Province. This study is important due to the fact that the GRDP in this sector is the highest compared to other sector but the labor absorption is lower than the agriculture sector. This study used panel data comprising 9 regencies/cities at Bali Province in the period 2003-2009 including fixed effect model and simultaneous equation model of Two-Stage Least Square. The results showed that GRDP, working age population, and the minimum wage have positive effect on employment, while the educated unemployment has no significant effect on the employment in the trade, hotel and restaurant sector. In addition, increases in employment and workers productivity have positive and significant effects the GRDP in the trade, hotel and restaurant sector at Bali Province.
Inter-region Economic Analysis to Improve Economic Development Maritime In North Maluku Province Musdar Muhammd; Devanto Shasta Pratomo; Wildan Syafitri
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Vol 9, No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (632.25 KB) | DOI: 10.17977/um002v9i12017p001

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The main purpose of this research to analysis sector and sub-sector development of chartered investment counsel maritime between regions which is bases sector in sub-province and opportunity of job activity at sub-sector fishery of sub-province in North Maluku with observation PDRB sub-province/town during five years (2009-2013). Then, analyses development policy strategy of chartered investment counsel maritime North Maluku. By using technique analyses LQ, multiplier effect, and AHP. The result of analysis shows sub-province Halmahera South and second archipelago Sula of the sub-province that there is sector and sub-sector bases which at most when in comparing to sector and sub-sector bases there is sub-province/town province North Maluku, multiplier effect opportunity of job activity at sub-sector fishery happened in the year 2010 that there is in sub-province/city West Halmahera, South-east Halmahera, East Halmahera North Halmahera, and city of Tidore archipelago’s. In the year of 2013, multiplier effect sub-sector fishery catches there is at sub-province West Halmahera, South Halmahera, and the city of Tidore archipelagoes. Development policy strategy of chartered investment counsel maritime human resource, public service, natural resources with fishery & oceanic requirement in making a preference for development of chartered investment counsel maritime of North Maluku.Keywords: Economic Between Regions, Pre-Eminent Sector, Development Economic  MaritimJEL Classification: O18, R11