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All Journal Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan JEJAK Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business TEMA (Jurnal Tera Ilmu Akuntansi) International Journal of Local Economic Governance Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan (Journal of Economics and Development Studies) Journal of Socioeconomics and Development International Journal of Social Science and Business The Journal of Indonesia Sustainable Development Planning (JISDeP) Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia Jurnal Kependudukan Indonesia Asia Pacific Journal of Management and Education Journal of International Conference Proceedings Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies (JDESS) Contemporary Studies in Economic, Finance and Banking (CSEFB) Economic Development Analysis Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Kependudukan dan Keluarga Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan (JESP)
Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Faculty Economics And Business, University Of Brawijaya
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Dependency Ratio and Economic Growth: Does Demographic Bonus Boost East Java’s Economy? Ananda, Muhammad Rizqie; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Economic growth is an indicator for assessing the development of a region. Economic growth is influenced by various factors, one of which is human capital. This study aims to determine the effect of independent variables, namely the demographic bonus, using data on the dependency ratio of regencies/cities in East Java during 2015–2024 with TPT, HDI, and investment as control variables. This study applies a quantitative approach using panel data from 38 districts/cities analyzed through panel data regression. The results show that the demographic bonus has boost East Java's economy.
The Analysis of Natural Disaster Risk Impact on Labor Market Outcomes: Does It Lead to Middle-Class Workers Decrease? Muhammad Salahudin Al Ayyubi; Devanto Shasta Pratomo; Ferry Prasetyia
Asia Pacific Journal of Management and Education (APJME) Vol 7, No 1 (2024): March 2024
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/apjme.v7i1.1961

Abstract

Indonesia, as a country that is progressing towards an upper middle-income country, is facing a high incidence of disasters. Understanding how disasters impact living standards is still relatively difficult due to the lack of relevant studies in the literature. Therefore, the study aims to analyze the likelihood of individuals who were in areas with a high risk of disaster becoming middle-class workers. In this study, the incidence of disasters is represented by the disaster risk index, which comprises three components, namely the hazard, vulnerability, and capacity components in each province and regency/city based on the definition carried out by the National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB). By using logistics methods, this study found that individuals living in areas with a high risk of disaster tend to have a lower chance of becoming middle-class workers. In overcoming the labor market challenges faced by regions with high disaster risk, careful policy steps are needed that focus on strengthening capacity and reducing the risk of high investment costs. Enhancing disaster-resistant infrastructure and community networks as well as improving access to social protection services and promoting economic recovery are priorities.
Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Komuter dan Migrasi Tenaga Kerja Sirkuler di Wilayah GERBANGKERTASUSILA Devanto Shasta Pratomo; Erlyn Yuniashri; Kukuh Arisetyawan; Brillian Akbar Aminullah; Christiayu Natalia
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Vol 14 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Ganesha

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23887/jish.v14i2.92247

Abstract

This study investigates the dynamics of labour migration in the Gerbangkertasusila (Greater Surabaya) region and identifies various factors influencing workers’ decisions to commute, migrate circularly, or permanently. Utilizing data from the 2023 National Labour Force Survey (SAKERNAS) and applying a multinomial logit model, the analysis addresses research gaps related to complex migratory patterns in rapidly urbanizing areas of Indonesia. The result suggested that individuals with higher education levels are significantly more likely to commute than to migrate permanently, while employment in the formal, service, and manufacturing sectors also increases the likelihood of commuting and circular migration. Married individuals are more inclined toward permanent migration, driven by a preference for family stability, whereas urban residents are less likely to engage in circular migration. These findings highlight  the need for targeted urban and labor policies that address mobility preferences based on education, sectoral employment, and household structure to ensure inclusive and balanced regional development. The study suggests that to support inclusive regional development, policymakers should invest in integrated transportation infrastructure, design mobility-support programs for circular migrants, and ensure gender-sensitive commuting systems. These measures will help manage urban growth and enhance equitable access to employment across the region.
Health and GDRP : How Strong is the Influence of Morbidity on Economics? Almazzaya, Sulthan Razhief; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 3 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Public health has an important role in supporting regional economic performance, yet the relationship between morbidity and economic output is not always consistent across regions. This study aims to analyze the influence of morbidity on Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in districts/cities of East Java during 2010–2022, with Government Health Expenditure, Dependency Ratio, and Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) as control variables. The study employs a quantitative approach using panel data from 38 districts/cities in East Java. The analysis method used is panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results show that morbidity has a positive and significant effect on GRDP, indicating that the relationship between health conditions and regional economic performance is more complex than predicted by human capital theory. Government Health Expenditure and LFPR also have positive and significant effects on GRDP, while the Dependency Ratio has a negative but insignificant effect. These findings imply that regional economic performance is influenced not only by public health conditions, but also by labor market dynamics, fiscal capacity, and regional economic structures, thus requiring more inclusive and adaptive development policies.
The Influence of Municipal Minimum Wage, Education, GRDP, and Business Unit Numbers on the Absorption of Manufacturing Work Force in Central Java Gaiandra Prana Palguna; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 3 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

The manufacturing industry plays an important role in the economy by generating value added and creating employment opportunities. In Central Java Province, the manufacturing sector is the largest contributor to Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), yet its employment absorption remains lower than that of the agricultural sector. This condition indicates a gap between the economic contribution of the manufacturing sector and its ability to create employment opportunities. This study aims to analyze the effects of the Regency/Municipality Minimum Wage (RMW), education level, manufacturing sector GRDP, and the number of business units on manufacturing employment absorption in Central Java Province. This study uses panel data from 35 regencies/municipalities during the 2017–2022 period, analyzed using the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results show that the Regency/Municipality Minimum Wage has a negative and significant effect on employment absorption, while education level has a positive but insignificant effect. Meanwhile, manufacturing sector GRDP and the number of business units have positive and significant effects on employment absorption. These findings imply that the government should establish balanced wage policies and encourage industrial growth through increased production, investment, and business development to expand employment opportunities in the manufacturing sector of Central Java.
Co-Authors Abas, Imelda Hermilinda Abdus Salam Abidin, Mufti Kandaga Agus Suman Al Ayyubi, Muhammad Salahudin Ali Attibrizi Almazzaya, Sulthan Razhief AMINULLAH, BRILLIAN AKBAR Amran Rasli, Amran Ananda, Muhammad Rizqie Angga Erlando Arisetyawan, Kukuh Aryntika Cahyantini Asawidya, Putri Ayu Asmi, Rasylia Minatasya Asrofi, Dien Amalina Nur Atma Sari Atsiil Dyarry Ayu Putri Attibrizi, Ali Aulia, Tri Setya Brillian Akbar Aminullah Cahyantini, Aryntika Christiayu Natalia Christiayu Natalia Chusnul Faizah Clarissa Sekar Anindya Danny Nur Febrianica Desyandri Desyandri Eka Intan Kumala Putri Erdinia Puspita Widyastuti Erlyn Yuniashri Faishol Amir Farah Wulandari Pangestuty Ferry Prasetyia Firnanda Novita Rahmawati FX Gugus Febri Putranto Gaiandra Prana Palguna Ghozali Maski Hanantajaya, Adhe Repsi Jomaki, Tiara Rachellya Chrisanta Karuniasari, Rima Jayanti Khusnul Ashar Khusnul Ashar Khusnul Ashar Krisantana, Wayan Jonatan Satwika Kyohei Yamada M Pudjihardjo M. Pudjihardjo M. Umar Burhan M. Umar Burhan Made Ika Prastyadewi Mahalli, Fina Nidaul Moh. Khusaini Mufti Kandaga Abidin Muhammad Dzaky Rafliansyah Muhammad Salahudin Al Ayyubi Muid, Abdullah Musdar Muhammd Nur Asrofi, Dien Amalina Nurul Badriyah Putranto, FX Gugus Febri Putri Ayu Asawidya Putu Mahardika Adi Saputra Qorida Rosyita Rahman Radewa Rizki Mirma Wijaya Regina Mayo Rio Dhuwi Saputra Ruslan, Widya Devina Amelia Putri Salahudin Al Ayyubi, Muhammad Salsabilla, Adinda Thalia Sasi Kirana Zahrani Saputri Setyanti, Acellina Muara Silvi Asna Prestianawati Siti Zilfiyah Sri Muljaningsih Susilo Susilo Syamsul Arifin Tasmilah, Tasmilah Utami, Regina Pramesti Wicesa, Nayaka Artha Wildan Syafitri Wisdawan, Kukuh Tri Yulia Maris Herdianti, Yulia Maris