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All Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan JEJAK Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business TEMA (Jurnal Tera Ilmu Akuntansi) International Journal of Local Economic Governance Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan (Journal of Economics and Development Studies) Journal of Socioeconomics and Development International Journal of Social Science and Business The Journal of Indonesia Sustainable Development Planning (JISDeP) Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia Jurnal Kependudukan Indonesia Asia Pacific Journal of Management and Education Journal of International Conference Proceedings Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies (JDESS) Contemporary Studies in Economic, Finance and Banking (CSEFB) Economic Development Analysis Journal Economics Development Analysis Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Kependudukan dan Keluarga
Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Faculty Economics And Business, University Of Brawijaya
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Graduating at the wrong time: Labor market outcomes of colleges graduates during economic contraction Al Ayyubi, Muhammad Salahudin; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 14 No 1 (2025): April
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v14i1.397

Abstract

The severe economic contraction caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has led to high unemployment rates among college graduates. Fresh graduates entering the labor market are often highly sensitive to prevailing economic conditions. The impact of graduating at an unfavorable time can also vary significantly among workers, depending on their field of study. This study has two main objectives. First, it examines the effect of graduation timing, proxied by the unemployment rate, on labor absorption in Indonesia and how long these effects persist. Second, it analyzes the differences in job market sensitivity across disciplines among college graduates in Indonesia, particularly during economic contractions. The data used in this study come from the 2021 Indonesian National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas). The findings indicate that those who graduate during unfavorable economic conditions tend to experience significant income declines for over 10 years. Moreover, they face lower chances of obtaining decent jobs and are more likely to be overeducated for their roles. Additionally, college graduates from STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) fields experience less income compared to those from social sciences and humanities disciplines. The findings of this study are expected to provide valuable insights for policymakers in promoting income stability, aligning education with labor market demands, ensuring equal access, and fostering cross-disciplinary inclusivity. These efforts could contribute to developing a resilient and adaptive workforce capable of overcoming economic challenges and supporting sustainable economic growth. Keywords: labor market; unemployment rate; STEM; income JEL Classification: J24; J21; E32
Analysis of The Influence of Economic Growth, Education and Unemployment Level on Poverty in The Special Region of Yogyakarta Asmi, Rasylia Minatasya; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

In general, Indonesia's economic growth is dominated by Java at 57.05%. The large contribution from the island of Java proves that equitable development is progressing well. However, poverty still plagues the island of Java, especially the Special Region of Yogyakarta as the province with the highest poverty rate on the island of Java. This research aims to determine the effect of economic growth, education and unemployment rates on poverty in the Yogyakarta Special Region Province for the 2019-2023 period with data obtained from BPS and the method used is panel data regression. The research results show that economic growth, education and unemployment rates have a significant negative effect on poverty in the Special Region of Yogyakarta.
Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Komuter dan Migrasi Tenaga Kerja Sirkuler di Wilayah GERBANGKERTASUSILA Pratomo, Devanto Shasta; Yuniashri, Erlyn; Arisetyawan, Kukuh; Aminullah, Brillian Akbar; Natalia, Christiayu
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Vol 14 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Ganesha

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23887/jish.v14i2.92247

Abstract

This study investigates the dynamics of labour migration in the Gerbangkertasusila (Greater Surabaya) region and identifies various factors influencing workers’ decisions to commute, migrate circularly, or permanently. Utilizing data from the 2023 National Labour Force Survey (SAKERNAS) and applying a multinomial logit model, the analysis addresses research gaps related to complex migratory patterns in rapidly urbanizing areas of Indonesia. The result suggested that individuals with higher education levels are significantly more likely to commute than to migrate permanently, while employment in the formal, service, and manufacturing sectors also increases the likelihood of commuting and circular migration. Married individuals are more inclined toward permanent migration, driven by a preference for family stability, whereas urban residents are less likely to engage in circular migration. These findings highlight  the need for targeted urban and labor policies that address mobility preferences based on education, sectoral employment, and household structure to ensure inclusive and balanced regional development. The study suggests that to support inclusive regional development, policymakers should invest in integrated transportation infrastructure, design mobility-support programs for circular migrants, and ensure gender-sensitive commuting systems. These measures will help manage urban growth and enhance equitable access to employment across the region.
Exploring Excessive Working Hours Among Transportation Gig Workers in Indonesia Widyarini, Aulia; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta; Muljaningsih , Sri
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v14i2.23421

Abstract

The development of information technology has driven the emergence of the gig economy, which has significantly changed the employment landscape. In Indonesia, the gig economy's growth has led to a significantly increasing number of gig workers, particularly in the transportation sector. While digital platforms create flexible job opportunities, this work model also presents challenges, particularly excessive working hours, often necessary to meet daily income targets. This study analyzes the determinants of excessive working hours of gig workers in the transportation sector using logistic regression analysis with the 2022 National Labour Force Survey (Sakernas) data. The results confirm that gig workers in the transportation sector are likelier to experience excessive working hours than non-gig transportation workers. This finding proves that gig transportation workers are more vulnerable than traditional transportation workers. Several factors, such as gender, age, education, region, marital status, and ownership of a Kartu Prakerja, significantly influence the likelihood of gig workers in the transportation sector experiencing excessive working hours. The study’s findings offer implications for labor policies and social protection, particularly in ensuring the well-being of gig workers in the transportation sector amid the dynamics of the digital economy
The Influence of Education Expenditure, Health Expenditure, and the Gini Ratio on Human Development Aulia, Tri Setya; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Regional development can be assessed by the extent of human development within the area. High-quality human resources are expected to contribute positively to increased productivity. In this regard, the commitment of local governments to promoting human development is crucial, particulary through the allocation of public expenditure to key sectors. This study investigates the impact of education expenditure sourced from the Early Childhood Education Operational Assistance (BOP PAUD), health expenditure sourced from the health Operational Assistance (BOK), and income inequality as measured by the gini ratio on the Human Development in the Special Region of Yogyakarta (DIY). The analysis is based on secondary data from five districts and municipalities within the province. A quantitive approach using panel data regression is employed. The results show that education expenditure sourced from BOP PAUD has a statistically significant negative effect on HDI, health expenditure sourced from BOK has a statistically significant positive effect, while the gini ratio has no significant effect on HDI.
The Influence of Village Fund Management on Rural Development in Kotawaringin Barat Regency Hanantajaya, Adhe Repsi; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

This study examines the influence of Village Fund (DD) and Village Fund Allocation (ADD) absorption on the Village Development Index (IDM) across 81 villages in Kotawaringin Barat Regency during the 2019–2023 period. Employing a panel data regression model with a time-lag structure of one to three years, the results indicate that DD absorption significantly contributes to IDM improvement, particularly within two to three years after fund disbursement. These findings highlight the presence of a lag effect in village development driven by decentralized funding. The results underscore the importance of medium-term development planning and continuous program evaluation to enhance policy effectiveness at the village level.
The Effect of Asean Financial Services Liberalisation on Economic Growth Abidin, Mufti Kandaga; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 13 No 1 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i1.76926

Abstract

In 1997, ASEAN agreed to liberalise the trade in financial services in the region marking its initial agreement with AFAS (ASEAN Framework Agreement in Services). In 2019, AFAS concluded the eighth round of the trade in financial services negotiations. Based on the agreement, this research aims to quantify the level of openness and investigate the connection between the openness level and and the economic growth ASEAN 5 countries. Using random effects panel data, the ASEAN financial services liberalisation positively and significantly affects economic growth. The results confirm that liberalisation is on track. Learning from the European Union’s experience in financial services integration, this research suggests that strengthening cross-border regulation and supervision is essential for moving forward after liberalisation.
The Effects of Socioeconomic and Individual Characteristics on the Re-Migration Decision of Formal Workers in Surabaya Aminullah, Brillian Akbar; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta; Susilo, Susilo
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 6, No 1 (2023): 2023 ICPM Malang Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v6i1.2305

Abstract

The rise of migrant workers who migrate commuting is an interesting topic in this study. This study aims to determine the socioeconomic characteristics (education and income) of the probability of formal workers who are commuting to Surabaya and know the individual characteristics (marital status, age, number of family dependents, distance, and gender) to the probability of formal workers who are commuting in Surabaya. Using quantitative methods with logistic regression analysis is continued by looking for marginal effects values. In this study, income had a significant positive impact on the decision to commute to Surabaya, and the distance from Surabaya's region of origin to Surabaya had a significant positive effect on the decision to commute to the regular labor sector in Surabaya. I know to give. Education level had a significant positive impact on formal sector workers' decision to migrate to Surabaya, and marital status significantly impacted official sector workers' decision to migrate to Surabaya did not affect. For regular workers migrating to Surabaya, age significantly impacted the decision to commute to Surabaya. The number of family members did not significantly affect the decision to commute to Surabaya. This research is limited to the formal sector so that it can be developed again from the industry and regional reach.
ANALISIS KONTRIBUSI SEKTOR INDUSTRI TERHADAP PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA SEKTOR INDUSTRI DI INDONESIA (Periode Tahun 2004-2010) Zilfiyah, Siti; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 1 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Permasalahan utama negara-negara berkembang termasuk Indonesia adalah pertambahan jumlah penduduk yang sangat tinggi, karena hal ini akan menimbulkan berbagai masalah  bagi upaya-upaya pembangunan yang dilakukan yang akan menyebabkan cepatnya pertambahan jumlah tenaga kerja, sedangkan kemampuan negara-negara berkembang sangat terbatas dalam menyediakan lapangan kerja. Proses industrialisasi menjadi salah satu alternatif dalam menangani permasalahan tersebut. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis lebih jauh pengaruh kontribusi sektor industri dengan viabel independen berupa PDRB sektor industri, Upah minimum, Pengangguran dan Jumlah penduduk terhadap variabel dependen yaitu Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Sektor Industri di Indonesia. Data penelitian yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (SAKERNAS) antara tahun 2004-2010 yang diolah dengan menggunakan metode analisis regresi data panel (gabungan data cross section dan  time series), alat analisis yang digunakan berupa eviews 6. Dari hasil analisis diketahui bahwa variabel upah minimum dan jumlah penduduk berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan PDRB sektor industri dan pengangguran tidak signifikan. Hal ini dikarenakan sektor industri Indonesia lebih banyak yang bersifat padat modal dan perubahan pada tingkat pengangguran tidak berdampak terhadap sektor industri melainkan pada sektor-sektor yang lain yakni sektor informal.Kata kunci:  Sektor industri, PDRB sektor industri, Upah minimum, Pengangguran,  Jumlah Penduduk
Analisis Terhadap Migran Sirkuler di Kota Surabaya Erlando, Angga; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 2 No. 1
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Fenomena migrasi sebagai bentuk mobilitas penduduk  telah menjadi budaya tersendiri di Negara Indonesia. Salah satu tempat menarik yang dijadikan tujuan bermigrasi adalah Kota Surabaya sebagai kota terbesar kedua di Indonesia. Sehingga penelitian ini mencoba fokus pada realita migrasi di Kota Surabaya yang terspesifikasi pada migran sirkuler. Adapun tujuan penelitiaan yang dilakukan adalah untuk mengetahui  karakteristik migran sirkuler yang sifatnya tidak menetap (ulang-alik) dan para migran yang pulang dalam tempo mingguan/bulanan (menetap). Sementara tujuan yang kedua adalah untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor pembeda yang mempengaruhi migrasi sirkuler yang sifatnya harian  (ulang-alik) dengan yang sifatnya pulang secara mingguan/bulanan.  Melalui 11 (sebelas) faktor yang diambil sebagai variabel independen, maka keduabelas variabel ini dibedakan kedalam dua kelompok. Kelompok pertama berdasarkan karakteristik ekonomi : upah, pekerjaan sektor jasa, pekerjaan sektor perdagangan, pekerjaan sektor industri, dan jarak. Kelompok kedua berdasarkan karakteristik demografi : status dalam keluarga, status pernikahan, jenis kelamin, jenjang pendidikan,umur,dan daerah asal. Melalui data sekunder yang diambil dari Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (Sakernas) tahun 2012. Data tersebut diolah pada probit dan sebagi pembandingya menggunkan LPM (Linear Probability Model) melalui operasi software Stata 10.  Secara menyeluruh dapat dikatakan bahwa yang memiliki kecenderungan untuk menentukan minat atau keputusan melakukan migrasi sirkuler secara ulang alik/harian/tidak menetap adalah variabel pekerjaan disektor jasa, status penikahan, tingkat pendidikan, dan daerah asal (perkotaan) karena memilikin kofisien positif dan signifikan. Sementara kecenderungan untuk melakukan migrasi dengan ada proses menetap (mingguan/bulanan) pulang, lebih cenderung karena faktor pekerjaan disektor industri, jarak, status kepala rumah tangga, dan umur, karena adanya kofisien negative secara signifikan. Sisanya variabel upah,  pekerjaan disektor perdagangan, dan jenis kelamin memiliki kecenderungan yang tidak signifikan terhadap penentuan keputusan untuk melakukan migrasi entah yang sifatnya tidak menetap/ulang-alik/harian/ maupun yang sifatnya menetap (mingguan/bulanan) pulang. Kata kunci : Mobilitas, Kecenderungan ,Migrasi Sirkuler Ulang-Alik. Migrasi Sirkuler Menetap.
Co-Authors Abas, Imelda Hermilinda Abdus Salam Abidin, Mufti Kandaga Agus Suman Al Ayyubi, Muhammad Salahudin Ali Attibrizi AMINULLAH, BRILLIAN AKBAR Amran Rasli, Amran Angga Erlando Arisetyawan, Kukuh Aryntika Cahyantini Asawidya, Putri Ayu Asmi, Rasylia Minatasya Asrofi, Dien Amalina Nur Atma Sari Atsiil Dyarry Ayu Putri Attibrizi, Ali Aulia, Tri Setya Cahyantini, Aryntika Christiayu Natalia Chusnul Faizah Clarissa Sekar Anindya Danny Nur Febrianica Desyandri Desyandri Eka Intan Kumala Putri Erdinia Puspita Widyastuti Erlyn Yuniashri Faishol Amir Farah Wulandari Pangestuty Ferry Prasetyia Firnanda Novita Rahmawati FX Gugus Febri Putranto Ghozali Maski Hanantajaya, Adhe Repsi Jomaki, Tiara Rachellya Chrisanta Karuniasari, Rima Jayanti Khusnul Ashar Khusnul Ashar Khusnul Ashar Krisantana, Wayan Jonatan Satwika Kyohei Yamada M Pudjihardjo M. Pudjihardjo M. Umar Burhan M. Umar Burhan Made Ika Prastyadewi Mahalli, Fina Nidaul Moh. Khusaini Mufti Kandaga Abidin Muhammad Dzaky Rafliansyah Muid, Abdullah Muljaningsih , Sri Musdar Muhammd Nur Asrofi, Dien Amalina Nurul Badriyah Putranto, FX Gugus Febri Putri Ayu Asawidya Putu Mahardika Adi Saputra Qorida Rosyita Rahman Radewa Rizki Mirma Wijaya Regina Mayo Rio Dhuwi Saputra Ruslan, Widya Devina Amelia Putri Salahudin Al Ayyubi, Muhammad Salsabilla, Adinda Thalia Setyanti, Acellina Muara Silvi Asna Prestianawati Siti Zilfiyah Sri Muljaningsih Susilo Susilo Syamsul Arifin Tasmilah, Tasmilah Utami, Regina Pramesti Wicesa, Nayaka Artha Widyarini, Aulia Wildan Syafitri Wisdawan, Kukuh Tri Yulia Maris Herdianti Yulia Maris Herdianti, Yulia Maris