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The Analysis of Natural Disaster Risk Impact on Labor Market Outcomes: Does It Lead to Middle-Class Workers Decrease? Salahudin Al Ayyubi, Muhammad; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta; Prasetyia, Ferry
Asia Pacific Journal of Management and Education (APJME) Vol 7, No 1 (2024): March 2024
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/apjme.v7i1.1961

Abstract

Indonesia, as a country that is progressing towards an upper middle-income country, is facing a high incidence of disasters. Understanding how disasters impact living standards is still relatively difficult due to the lack of relevant studies in the literature. Therefore, the study aims to analyze the likelihood of individuals who were in areas with a high risk of disaster becoming middle-class workers. In this study, the incidence of disasters is represented by the disaster risk index, which comprises three components, namely the hazard, vulnerability, and capacity components in each province and regency/city based on the definition carried out by the National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB). By using logistics methods, this study found that individuals living in areas with a high risk of disaster tend to have a lower chance of becoming middle-class workers. In overcoming the labor market challenges faced by regions with high disaster risk, careful policy steps are needed that focus on strengthening capacity and reducing the risk of high investment costs. Enhancing disaster-resistant infrastructure and community networks as well as improving access to social protection services and promoting economic recovery are priorities.
Graduating at the wrong time: Labor market outcomes of colleges graduates during economic contraction Al Ayyubi, Muhammad Salahudin; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 14 No 1 (2025): April
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v14i1.397

Abstract

The severe economic contraction caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has led to high unemployment rates among college graduates. Fresh graduates entering the labor market are often highly sensitive to prevailing economic conditions. The impact of graduating at an unfavorable time can also vary significantly among workers, depending on their field of study. This study has two main objectives. First, it examines the effect of graduation timing, proxied by the unemployment rate, on labor absorption in Indonesia and how long these effects persist. Second, it analyzes the differences in job market sensitivity across disciplines among college graduates in Indonesia, particularly during economic contractions. The data used in this study come from the 2021 Indonesian National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas). The findings indicate that those who graduate during unfavorable economic conditions tend to experience significant income declines for over 10 years. Moreover, they face lower chances of obtaining decent jobs and are more likely to be overeducated for their roles. Additionally, college graduates from STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) fields experience less income compared to those from social sciences and humanities disciplines. The findings of this study are expected to provide valuable insights for policymakers in promoting income stability, aligning education with labor market demands, ensuring equal access, and fostering cross-disciplinary inclusivity. These efforts could contribute to developing a resilient and adaptive workforce capable of overcoming economic challenges and supporting sustainable economic growth. Keywords: labor market; unemployment rate; STEM; income JEL Classification: J24; J21; E32
Analysis of The Influence of Economic Growth, Education and Unemployment Level on Poverty in The Special Region of Yogyakarta Asmi, Rasylia Minatasya; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

In general, Indonesia's economic growth is dominated by Java at 57.05%. The large contribution from the island of Java proves that equitable development is progressing well. However, poverty still plagues the island of Java, especially the Special Region of Yogyakarta as the province with the highest poverty rate on the island of Java. This research aims to determine the effect of economic growth, education and unemployment rates on poverty in the Yogyakarta Special Region Province for the 2019-2023 period with data obtained from BPS and the method used is panel data regression. The research results show that economic growth, education and unemployment rates have a significant negative effect on poverty in the Special Region of Yogyakarta.
Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Komuter dan Migrasi Tenaga Kerja Sirkuler di Wilayah GERBANGKERTASUSILA Pratomo, Devanto Shasta; Yuniashri, Erlyn; Arisetyawan, Kukuh; Aminullah, Brillian Akbar; Natalia, Christiayu
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Vol 14 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Ganesha

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23887/jish.v14i2.92247

Abstract

This study investigates the dynamics of labour migration in the Gerbangkertasusila (Greater Surabaya) region and identifies various factors influencing workers’ decisions to commute, migrate circularly, or permanently. Utilizing data from the 2023 National Labour Force Survey (SAKERNAS) and applying a multinomial logit model, the analysis addresses research gaps related to complex migratory patterns in rapidly urbanizing areas of Indonesia. The result suggested that individuals with higher education levels are significantly more likely to commute than to migrate permanently, while employment in the formal, service, and manufacturing sectors also increases the likelihood of commuting and circular migration. Married individuals are more inclined toward permanent migration, driven by a preference for family stability, whereas urban residents are less likely to engage in circular migration. These findings highlight  the need for targeted urban and labor policies that address mobility preferences based on education, sectoral employment, and household structure to ensure inclusive and balanced regional development. The study suggests that to support inclusive regional development, policymakers should invest in integrated transportation infrastructure, design mobility-support programs for circular migrants, and ensure gender-sensitive commuting systems. These measures will help manage urban growth and enhance equitable access to employment across the region.
Exploring Excessive Working Hours Among Transportation Gig Workers in Indonesia Widyarini, Aulia; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta; Muljaningsih , Sri
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v14i2.23421

Abstract

The development of information technology has driven the emergence of the gig economy, which has significantly changed the employment landscape. In Indonesia, the gig economy's growth has led to a significantly increasing number of gig workers, particularly in the transportation sector. While digital platforms create flexible job opportunities, this work model also presents challenges, particularly excessive working hours, often necessary to meet daily income targets. This study analyzes the determinants of excessive working hours of gig workers in the transportation sector using logistic regression analysis with the 2022 National Labour Force Survey (Sakernas) data. The results confirm that gig workers in the transportation sector are likelier to experience excessive working hours than non-gig transportation workers. This finding proves that gig transportation workers are more vulnerable than traditional transportation workers. Several factors, such as gender, age, education, region, marital status, and ownership of a Kartu Prakerja, significantly influence the likelihood of gig workers in the transportation sector experiencing excessive working hours. The study’s findings offer implications for labor policies and social protection, particularly in ensuring the well-being of gig workers in the transportation sector amid the dynamics of the digital economy
The Influence of Education Expenditure, Health Expenditure, and the Gini Ratio on Human Development Aulia, Tri Setya; Devanto Shasta Pratomo
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Regional development can be assessed by the extent of human development within the area. High-quality human resources are expected to contribute positively to increased productivity. In this regard, the commitment of local governments to promoting human development is crucial, particulary through the allocation of public expenditure to key sectors. This study investigates the impact of education expenditure sourced from the Early Childhood Education Operational Assistance (BOP PAUD), health expenditure sourced from the health Operational Assistance (BOK), and income inequality as measured by the gini ratio on the Human Development in the Special Region of Yogyakarta (DIY). The analysis is based on secondary data from five districts and municipalities within the province. A quantitive approach using panel data regression is employed. The results show that education expenditure sourced from BOP PAUD has a statistically significant negative effect on HDI, health expenditure sourced from BOK has a statistically significant positive effect, while the gini ratio has no significant effect on HDI.
The Influence of Village Fund Management on Rural Development in Kotawaringin Barat Regency Hanantajaya, Adhe Repsi; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

This study examines the influence of Village Fund (DD) and Village Fund Allocation (ADD) absorption on the Village Development Index (IDM) across 81 villages in Kotawaringin Barat Regency during the 2019–2023 period. Employing a panel data regression model with a time-lag structure of one to three years, the results indicate that DD absorption significantly contributes to IDM improvement, particularly within two to three years after fund disbursement. These findings highlight the presence of a lag effect in village development driven by decentralized funding. The results underscore the importance of medium-term development planning and continuous program evaluation to enhance policy effectiveness at the village level.
The Effects of Digitalization on Mothers’ Decision to Engage in Entrepreneurship: An Analysis of the 2022 Susenas Data Muhammad Dzaky Rafliansyah; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Recently, a lot of mothers in Indonesia enter the labor market as entrepreneurs. Mothers’ entry in labor market marks mothers’ needs to help family’s economy. Internet is supposed to help them to enter entrepreneurship world. However, to date, there is minimal literature that discuss role of internet to mother’s decision as an entrepreneur, making its specific role is being questioned in this research. Thus, this research is done to answer that question by analyzing impact of internet usage on mother’s chance to become as an entrepreneur. Method used is binary logistic regression with Susenas Maret 2022 as data source. Hopefully, this research becomes justification of the importance of mothers’ empowerment.
Analysis of Sociodemographic Determinants of Not In Employment, Education, or Training (Neet) in Maluku Province Utami, Regina Pramesti; Pratomo, Devanto Shasta
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

In a strategic effort to fully realize the potential of its demographic bonus, Indonesia is committed to the qualitative enhancement of its young populace by creating expansive opportunities in employment, education, and skill development. This initiative is directly aligned with SDGs Target 8.6, which aims to reduce the proportion of youth who are Not in Employment, Education, or Training (NEET). Although extensive research on NEET has been conducted, there has been no specific study identifying the sociodemographic determinants of NEET in Maluku Province, which had the highest percentage in Indonesia in 2023. This study aims to fill that gap by using secondary data from the August 2023 National Labor Force Survey. The analysis was conducted using binary logistic regression, examining the relationship between NEET status as the dependent variable and independent variables such as age, gender, marital status, disability, education level, regional classification, and migrant status. The results indicate that individuals aged 20-24, females, those with a history of marriage, persons with disabilities, those with senior high school education or higher, and those living in rural areas have a greater probability of being NEET. Conversely, migrant youth show a lower tendency to fall into this category. These findings are expected to serve as a basis for the Maluku Provincial Government in formulating more targeted policies to increase the participation of young people.