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All Journal International Journal of Evaluation and Research in Education (IJERE) ComEngApp : Computer Engineering and Applications Journal Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informasi Computer Engineering and Applications Journal (ComEngApp) TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics JUITA : Jurnal Informatika Proceeding of the Electrical Engineering Computer Science and Informatics Computer Engineering and Applications Journal (ComEngApp) Jurnal Informatika Upgris Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika JIEET (Journal of Information Engineering and Educational Technology) Jurnal Ilmiah Matrik Indonesian Journal of Information System JITK (Jurnal Ilmu Pengetahuan dan Komputer) JMM (Jurnal Masyarakat Mandiri) SELAPARANG: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Berkemajuan Martabe : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurdimas (Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat) Royal Jurnal Informatika Global Jurnal Ilmiah Binary STMIK Bina Nusantara Jaya Jurnal Abdimas Mandiri Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Reswara: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Journal of Computer Networks, Architecture and High Performance Computing Lumbung Inovasi: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence Indonesian Community Journal International Journal of Advanced Science Computing and Engineering JEECS (Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences) AnoaTIK: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer Jurnal INFOTEL Journal of Computer Science Application and Engineering
Ahmad Sanmorino
Universitas Indo Global Mandiri
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Forecasting Light Rail Transit Passenger Demand Using Parameter-Tuned Exponential Smoothing Models Gustriansyah, Rendra; Puspasari, Shinta; Sanmorino, Ahmad; Suhandi, Nazori
JIEET (Journal of Information Engineering and Educational Technology) Vol. 9 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/jieet.v9n2.p101-112

Abstract

Accurate passenger demand forecasting is essential for optimizing the operational efficiency and sustainability of urban rail systems. This study aims to forecast monthly passenger numbers in the Palembang Light Rail Transit (LRT) system using optimized Exponential Smoothing (ES) models with parameter tuning for improved predictive accuracy. Three variants of the ES method are examined: Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES), Double Exponential Smoothing (DES), and Brown's Exponential Smoothing (BES). Furthermore, Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) is used as a benchmark to evaluate whether simpler ES models can match or outperform complex statistical approaches. Data from August 2018 to December 2023 are analyzed and split into training and testing sets (ratio 80:20). Model performance is evaluated using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Diebold–Mariano (DM), and Ljung–Box Q (LBQ) tests. The results show that the SES model with a smoothing parameter α = 0.9 achieves the best forecasting accuracy on the test data (MAPE = 8.6%), outperforming other ES variants and previous SARIMA-based models. These findings highlight that simpler ES-based models can effectively capture short-term transportation demand patterns in developing urban transit systems. Practically, the results of this study can provide valuable insights for LRT operators and municipal planners in designing responsive, data-driven operational strategies.
OPTIMASI PEMANFAATAN TEKNOLOGI INFORMASI SEBAGAI ALTERNATIF PEMULIHAN EKONOMI PASCA COVID-19 Sanmorino, Ahmad
Martabe : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 5, No 8 (2022): Martabe : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Tapanuli Selatan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31604/jpm.v5i8.2724-2729

Abstract

Optimasi pemanfaatan teknologi informasi (IT) dibutuhkan pelaku usaha untuk pemulihan ekonomi pasca pandemi COVID-19. Melalui kegiatan ini diberikan materi penggunaan tool berbasis IT untuk promosi dan pemasaran produk pempek pada media sosial seperti Instagram atau Facebook. Dengan penggunaan tool berbasis IT ini dapat menarik minat calon konsumen untuk membeli produk yang ditawarkan, yang pada akhirnya dapat meningkatkan perekonomian pelaku usaha pempek di Kelurahan Talang Jambe. Berdasarkan feedback yang diperoleh dari kegiatan ini dapat diketahui peserta dengan rentang usia 15-30 tahun adalah yang paling memahami, ingin menerapkan, dan berkeinginan untuk mencoba (sebanyak 100 persen) materi optimasi promosi dan pemasaran produk pempek yang telah disampaikan. Sedangkan peserta pada rentang usia 0-15 tahun dan diatas 30 tahun relatif moderat, dalam arti sebahagian memahami dan sebagian lainnya kurang memahami/tidak ingin menerapkan ilmu yang telah diperoleh dari kegiatan ini. Harapan penulis semoga kegiatan ini dapat berlanjut dimasa mendatang, dan dapat diikuti oleh peserta dengan jumlah yang lebih banyak sehingga proses pemulihan ekonomi pasca pancemi COVID-19 dapat dilakukan lebih cepat.
Co-Authors Ade Fathurahman Agustina Heryati Aldri Frinaldi Amalia, Rianti Amirah Antony, Fery Anwar, Yatama Zahra Ariati, Nining Aulia, Beta DEWI SARTIKA Dhamayanti Dhamayanti Dhamayanti Dhamayanti Dhamayanti Dhamayanti, Dhamayanti Ditho Hersilava Dwi Asa Verano Ermatita - Faradillah Faradillah Faradillah Fery Antony Hartini Hartini Haversyalapa, Ditho Heryati, Agustina Imelda Saluza, Imelda Isabella Isabella Isabella, Isabella Juhaini Alie Juliansyah, Muhammad Agung Karimah, Fitrah Kartini, Aprianita Kesuma, Hendra Di Marcellina, Dona Marnisah, Luis Masroni Dedi Kiswanto Maulana, Muhammad Mico Megat Norulazmi Megat Mohamed Noor Muhammad Farhan Nazori Suhandi Purbasari, Nadira Putri Rendra Gustriansyah Ristina, Andan Rudi Heriansyah Sartika, Dewi Setiadi Yazid, Setiadi Setiawan, Ichan Shinta Puspasari Shinta Puspasari Suharmanto, Arvia Fildzah Sunardi, Hastha Suryati Suryati Sutrisna, Rangga Terttiaavini Terttiaavini, Terttiaavini Terttiaavini, Terttiaavini Terttiavini Verano, Dwi Asa Wiyanto, Ari Wulanda, Sanza Vittria Yovita, Sukma Yulianti, Evi