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Indonesian Food Production Challenges: Climate, Land and Industrialization Setiawan, Avi Budi; Nugroho, Agus Dwi; Wiyanti, Dian Tri; Yusuf, Mochammad; Maslikhatun, Anjani; Bowo, Prasetyo Ari
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 16, No 1 (2023): March 2023
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v16i1.43334

Abstract

The increase in agricultural production has become a global issue related to food security. Indonesia faces challenges in fulfilling its food needs. Climate change, land conversion, and industrialization play a role in food crop production. This study aims to examine the short-term and long-term effects of climate change, land conversion, and industrialization on the food production index. The analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The ARDL analysis was chosen because it can explain the short-term and long-term effects as well as the effects at each lag time. The results showed that there is positive and significant long-term cointegration or influence between rainfall, per capita energy consumption, agricultural land area, and forest area on the food production index. There is also a significant negative long-term effect between air temperature, industrialization, and population density on the food production index. In the short term, the previous year's food production, land area and forest area, air temperature, energy consumption, rainfall in two and three years ago, current of industrial share, and one and two years ago industrial share, population density two years ago influence the current food production index. The conclusion and findings of this study are that there is long-term cointegration and short-term effects at different lag times for climate change, land conversion, and industrialization variables on the food production index.
The Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: an Empirical Evidence in Indonesia Setiawan, Avi Budi; Anwar, Mochamad Syaiful
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 15, No 1 (2022): March 2022
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v15i1.38084

Abstract

The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis is the relationship between environmental and economic indicators forming an inverted U-curve. This paper aims to provide new insights using the long-term Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) technique. The research data use time series from 1974 to 2020. Empirical findings result in the formation of an open U-curve phenomenon. The immature post-industrialization stage in Indonesia hurts increasing CO2 emissions. Economic indicators as control variables that include population, consumption of electrical energy, and international trade ratios have a good impact on reducing CO2 emissions. The indicator of fossil energy consumption shows that Indonesia still has a dependence on non-renewable energy. After the ratification of the Kyoto Protocol in Indonesia, it does not have promising implications for reducing CO2 emissions. This paper provides important implications for establishing strict regulations to reduce CO2 emissions that contribute to climate change. In the future, the government must encourage people's behavior to save energy, optimize renewable energy, change energy demand patterns, transform low-carbon export products, and evaluate international agreements that impact the pattern of sustainable development in Indonesia.
The Implementation of Zona Integritas in Promoting the Accountability at Universitas Negeri Semarang Widyastuti, Ariyani; Setiawan, Avi Budi
Journal of Economic Education Vol 12 No 1 (2023): June 2023
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jeec.v12i1.74774

Abstract

This paper presents the performance accountability at Universitas Negeri Semarang in relation to the importance of zona integritas or integrity zone in increasing the accountability at Universitas Negeri Semarang. This urged an investigation into the extent to which an integrity zone development has been built as a means of increasing accountability at Universitas Negeri Semarang. A quantitative descriptive analysis was carried out in this investigation, starting from data reduction, data presentation, and conclusion drawing. In details, based on respondents’ responses calculated using a Likert scale, it was known that the leader involvement gained the effectiveness of 73.42% in increasing the accountability at Universitas Negeri Semarang. In addition, the leader presence in all stages of planning preparation by 86.25% and 80% of leaders were directly involved in preparing the plans. Meanwhile, the leader monitor for performance achievement on a regular basis gained 85.38%. Of these results, it is suggested that the integrity zone needs to always be improved in terms of maintaining the availability of supporting documents for Universitas Negeri Semarang in the leadership components, involving the parties involved in the leadership components, and completing the management organizational structure.
Pembangunan Inklusif dan Industrialisasi di Indonesia: Dampaknya terhadap Kesejahteraan Setiawan, Avi Budi; Prasetyo, Farhan Hadi; Yusuf, Mochammad; Prajanti, Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika; Bowo, Prasetyo Ari; Fafurida, Fafurida
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 24, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Indonesia has an economic transformation. However, it tends to experience deindustrialization and development inclusivity challenges. This research examines the influence of industrialization and inclusivity to improve welfare in the short and long term. The analytical method is Autoregressive Distributed Lag, using province-level panel data from 2012–2021. Based on results, industrialization has not significantly affected welfare improvement in the short term. Inclusivity has no significant impact in the short term, but it has a negative direction. However, in the long term, industrialization and inclusivity positively and significantly increase welfare. This confirms that industrialization and inclusivity require time to create welfare.
Unraveling the Interplay among Inflation, Rice Prices, and Farmers Terms of Trade in Central Java, Indonesia Setiawan, Avi Budi; Yusuf, Mochammad; Prajanti, Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika; Prasetyo, Farhan Hadi; Bowo, Prasetyo Ari; Maftukhah, Ida
Agro Ekonomi Vol 35, No 1 (2024): JUNE 2024
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ae.86078

Abstract

Farmers' Terms of Trade is an essential variable for measuring welfare and is also affected by other factors, such as inflation and rice prices. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the interplay among inflation, rice prices, and farmers' Terms of Trade in food crop farming in Central Java Province, in short and long term using a dynamic model. A quantitative method employing Autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) model was used with monthly data from January 2018 to March 2023. The results showed that rice prices and inflation partially had a significant and positive influence on farmers’ Terms of Trade in long term. According to short term estimation, the dependent variable was significantly and positively influenced by farmers' Terms of Trade from the previous 1-2 months. Inflation rate was also shown to have a positive influence on the variable in short term. In addition, rice prices had a positive and significant impact in the previous 3 months, but had no significant influence in recent months. Based on the results, inflation could positively influence farmers’ Terms of Trade in short and long term. However, the recent rice prices had no impact due to the requirement of time lags. The assessment findings showed that recent rice prices could significantly increase farmers’ Terms of Trade in the next 3 months and long term period. 
EXAMINING THE SOYBEAN COMPETITIVENESS IN CENTRAL JAVA: A POLICY ANALYSIS MATRIX APPROACH Setiawan, Avi Budi; Antriyandarti, Ernoiz; Yusuf, Mochammad; Bowo, Prasetyo Ari; Wiyanti, Dian Tri
Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 8, No 3 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Science, Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/agrisocionomics.v8i3.21806

Abstract

Soybean is one of the leading food crops in Indonesia, but its dependence on imports is very high. The productivity of soybean yields in Indonesia is also far below that of other soybean-producing countries. This study aims to analyze the competitiveness of soybean farming in Central Java Province. Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) is used to analyze the soybean competitiveness. The results showed that the from PAM model shows that the PCR value is 0.37, which means that soybean farming is competitive in the current market. Furthermore, the DRC value is 0.30, indicating that soybean commodities have a comparative advantage or are competitive in the market if they are perfectly competitive and there are no distortions. Soybeans have an NPCO value of 0.960, farmers are paid 96% of what they should be paid. It appears that soybean farmers are relatively disadvantaged based on the NPCO value. Furthermore, the NPCI value is 0.98. The research results indicate that the NPCI has a value less than one. This implies the existence of consumer input protection policies in the form of subsidies. Thus, to meet domestic demand for soybeans, producing for domestic is better than importing from other countries. The and competitiveness analysis results show that soybean farming is profitable and competitive. The existence of competitive and comparative advantages indicates that soybean farming is still feasible to be cultivated domestically, so efforts are needed to increase efficiency to reduce dependence on imports.
Peningkatan Ketahanan Pangan Masyarakat Dieng Melalui Pengembangan Pertanian Organik Berkelanjutan Rosalia, Amelia Choya Tia; Prajanti, Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika; Setiawan, Avi Budi; Rahmayani, Dwi; Sundoro, Fredericho Mego
Surya Abdimas Vol. 9 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Purworejo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37729/abdimas.v9i2.5661

Abstract

Ketahanan pangan menjadi fokus saat ini tengah terjadinya perubahan iklim dan kerusakan ekosistem global. Kondisi lingkungan pertanian yang tercemar dan tidak mendukung akan berdampak pada menurunnya produktivitas sektor pertanian yang akhirnya berdampak pada ketersediaan pangan. Sektor pertanian juga berkontribusi bagi perekonomian negara yang berkelanjutan. Wilayah Dieng merupakan wilayah dataran tinggi yang berpotensi di sektor pertanian. Kajian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan ketahanan pangan masyarakat dengan studi kasus di desa Patakbanteng melalui pengembangan pertanian organik. Tahapan kegiatan yang digunakan dalam pengabdian ini sebagai berikut: 1). Inisiasi dan sosialisasi terkait ketahanan pangan melalui sistem pertanian organik; 2). Pendampingan melalui praktik pertanian organik; 3). Pelaksanaan eval_uasi apakah masyarakat mampu memahami pertanian organik. Aktivitas-aktivitas pemberdayaan masyarakat melalui pengembangan di desa Patakbanteng yang telah dilakukan pengelola selama ini guna memberikan peningkatan ekonomi masyarakat. Pengembangan sektor pertanian berbasis masyarakat secara ideal menekankan pada pembangunan perekonomian berkelanjutan dari masyarakat, oleh masyarakat, dan untuk masyarakat.
Strengthening Village Medium-Term Development Plans (RPJM Desa) Through Indicator Dissemination: A Case Study in Wonosobo Regency Rahman, Yozi Aulia; Prajanti, Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika; Hermanto, Agus; Setiawan, Avi Budi; Fauzi, Ahmad Syahrul
Indonesian Journal of Devotion and Empowerment Vol. 7 No. 1 (2025): May
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/ijde.v7i1.24740

Abstract

The Village Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJM Desa) is a strategic planning document formulated for a six-year period, outlining the village’s vision, mission, policy directions, and development priorities. The preparation of the RPJM Desa is carried out by the village government in collaboration with representatives from various community sectors. Parikesit Village, located in Kejajar District, Wonosobo Regency, Central Java Province, holds potential as a nature-based tourism village that could improve the community's economic welfare. However, it is also categorized as a landslide-prone area with a relatively high risk of natural disasters. This community service activity was implemented in collaboration with the Parikesit Village Government through the dissemination of indicators and technical guidance on RPJM Desa formulation to both the community and village officials. The program employed a participatory approach involving socialization and facilitation to ensure active engagement of all village stakeholders. The primary objective of this activity was to enhance stakeholders’ understanding of the indicators and procedures for preparing the RPJM Desa in accordance with national guidelines. The results of this program indicate a significant improvement in the understanding of both community members and village officials regarding the preparation of an RPJM Desa document that aligns with the village’s local potential and actual needs. This activity has contributed to strengthening the village’s institutional capacity for participatory and locally grounded medium-term development planning.
Analisis Hubungan Jangka Pendek dan Jangka Panjang antara PDB, Alih Fungsi Lahan, Energi Terbarukan Terhadap Emisi Karbon: Pendekatan ARDL Puspita, Antradiva Oktaviola; Setiawan, Avi Budi
Citizen : Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): CITIZEN: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia
Publisher : DAS Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53866/jimi.v5i1.761

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis hubungan antara pertumbuhan ekonomi, alih fungsi lahan, energi terbarukan, dan emisi karbon dioksida di Indonesia dengan menggunakan pendekatan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi dampak jangka pendek dan jangka panjang dari variabel-variabel tersebut terhadap emisi karbon, guna memberikan pemahaman yang lebih komprehensif terkait keberlanjutan lingkungan dan kebijakan mitigasi perubahan iklim. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek, peningkatan Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) berkontribusi terhadap penurunan emisi karbon, yang dapat dikaitkan dengan kemajuan teknologi serta kebijakan lingkungan yang lebih ketat. Namun, dalam jangka panjang, pertumbuhan ekonomi justru cenderung meningkatkan emisi karbon, mencerminkan tantangan dalam transisi energi yang lebih bersih. Selain itu, alih fungsi lahan dalam jangka pendek terbukti menurunkan emisi karbon, tetapi dalam jangka panjang tidak menunjukkan dampak yang signifikan, mengindikasikan bahwa konversi lahan yang tidak berkelanjutan dapat menghambat upaya mitigasi perubahan iklim. Penggunaan energi terbarukan juga terbukti mampu menekan emisi karbon dalam jangka pendek, meskipun dalam jangka panjang efeknya tidak signifikan, yang menunjukkan perlunya strategi lebih kuat dalam meningkatkan efektivitas energi hijau
Perencanaan Investasi Hijau pada Usaha Menengah Besar di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Setiawan, Avi Budi; Pangestika, Maulida Dewi; Kusuma, Putri Patria; Yusuf, Mochammad
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 25, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze green investment planning in medium and large enterprises in Central Java Province. This study employs several analytical tools, including regression with quadratic variables, Klassen Typology Analysis, and Analytic Network Process (ANP). The research locus is 35 districts/cities in Central Java Province. The results of the study show that industries in Central Java contribute significantly to economic transformation, but also harm environmental quality, the regression results show the Pollution Haven Hypothesis in several main industries in Central Java. The sectors that have potential to reduce the quality of the environment are oil and gas mining, textiles, leather goods, and transportation, so incoming investment needs to be directed to reduce negative externalities that arise.