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Journal : Jurnal Varian

KARAKTERISTIK BUTIR SOAL TRY OUT UJIAN NASIONAL SMA MATA PELAJARAN MATEMATIKA Se-KOTA MATARAM DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN PROGRAM ITEMAN Habib Ratu Perwira Negara; Kiki Riska Ayu Kurniawati
Jurnal Varian Vol 1 No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Bumigora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30812/varian.v1i2.67

Abstract

The purpose of this research was to know how characteristic items of Try Out National Exam Year 2010/2011 at Senior High School on Mathematics Subject in Mataram City that analyzed by using Iteman Program. The characteristic in question was whether the item can be used or not based on the difficulty level of the item, the difference in power, and the functioning of the answer option. The research method used was descriptive. Techniques of collecting data in the form of documents. Source of data in the form of answer sheet of computer package 61 of Try Out National Exam Year 2010/2011 at Senior High School on Mathematics Subject in Mataram City. Aspects analyzed by using this Iteman Program include the level of difficulty item, different power, and the function of whether or not the answer choice. Based on the results of Item of Analysis Try Out National Examination of School Year 2010/2011 Senior High School on Mathematics Subjects in Mataram City by using Iteman Program, it can be concluded that for the level of difficulty Package 61 was classified. Different power for package 61 has a good category. For the reliability of having a high category and a matter of Try Out Package 61 there are 23 problems received with the improvement of 4, 5, 8, 9, 14, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 26, 28, 30, 31, 32, 34, 35, 36, and 40. Improvements need to be made on the less functioning effluent. There are 15 accepted questions: 1, 2, 3, 7, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 27, 29, 33, 37, 38, and 39. And there are 2 rejected questions 6 and 25.
Mathematical Model of Growth in The Number of Students in NTB Using Newton-Gregory Polynomial Method Habib Ratu Perwira Negara; Malik Ibrahim; Kiki Riska Ayu Kurniawati
Jurnal Varian Vol 4 No 1 (2020)
Publisher : Universitas Bumigora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30812/varian.v4i1.850

Abstract

This research aims to find out the mathematical model and predict the growth in the number of elementary, junior high, high school, and vocational school students in NTB Province, using the Newton-Gregory Advanced Polynomial method. The result of simulating the predicted growth of the number of elementary school students in NTB in 2020 is 319565, with MAD at 353178, MSE at 1247346996840, MAPE at 68,655. Then for the predicted growth of the number of junior high school students in NTB in 2020 of 165141 with MAD of 1876271.7, MSE amounted to 3520395492220, MAPE amounted to at 1077.7039. Furthermore, the predicted growth of the number of high school students in NTB was 399679 with MAD of 44154, MSE of 19495757160, MAPE of 42.0719. while for the results of the simulation of predicted growth in the number of vocational school students in NTB in 2020 is 3738854 with MAD of 393779, MSE amounted to 15506190084.1, MAPE amounted to 49.2027. Based on the results of this study can state that Newton-Gregory Interpolation advanced by using GUI on Matlab, can predict the growing number of elementary, junior high, high school, and vocational students in NTB by using data on the number of students in 2009-2019 and obtained mathematical models of elementary, junior high, high school, and vocational school growth.
Comparative Analysis of The Growth of School Students Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Methods Analisis Kiki Riska Ayu Kurniawati; Sumeet Goyal; Biswadip Basu Mallik; Habib Ratu Perwira Negara; Syaharuddin Syaharuddin
Jurnal Varian Vol 5 No 1 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Bumigora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30812/varian.v5i1.1437

Abstract

This study aims to analyze and predict the number of Elementary School Students using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method using data from the last 17 years, case studies in three provinces namely Bali, West Nusa Tenggara (NTB), and East Nusa Tenggara (NTT). This type of research is quantitative by comparing the final value on the first graph to the fourth graph to analyze on the graph what the predictive value is most accurate. Based on the results of the simulation of the number of elementary school students in Bali, NTB, and NTT provinces using the G-MFS application program and mathematical model calculations that the predicted results in 2021 on the data of the number of elementary school students in Bali province amounted to 417,805.40 with a percentage decrease of 0.1%, then the predicted result in the data of the number of elementary school students in NTB province of 512,381.76 with a percentage increase of 1.0%. The predicted result on the data of the number of elementary school students in NTT province amounted to 705,335.11 with an increase of 1.0%. The results of the forecasting of the number of elementary school students are expected to provide important information for the government to improve development in the education sector, especially at the elementary school education level in one way that is to improve the quality of educational infrastructure and many more developments that need to be done by the number of students in the future.