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All Journal International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT) Jurnal Sarjana Teknik Informatika Jurnal Informatika dan Teknik Elektro Terapan Register: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Sistem Informasi Fountain of Informatics Journal SemanTIK : Teknik Informasi JURNAL REKAYASA TEKNOLOGI INFORMASI Jurnal ULTIMATICS KOMPUTA : Jurnal Ilmiah Komputer dan Informatika Journal of Electronics, Electromedical Engineering, and Medical Informatics Sains, Aplikasi, Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi Journal of Innovation Information Technology and Application (JINITA) Djtechno: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi JITSI : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Sistem Informasi Adopsi Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Bidang Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Kreatif Teknologi dan SIstem Informasi
Irsyad, Akhmad
Universitas Mulawarman
Aerospace Engineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

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Journal : Jurnal ULTIMATICS

 1 
Application Of Double Exponential Smoothing Holt’s Method For Poverty Line Forecasting (Study Case: East Kalimantan Province) Ariantika Putri Maharani; Akhmad Irsyad; Muhammad Rivani Ibrahim
ULTIMATICS Vol 17 No 2 (2025): Ultimatics : Jurnal Teknik Informatika
Publisher : Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, Universitas Multimedia Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31937/ti.v17i2.4349

Abstract

Poverty is a multidimensional problem that remains a challenge in Indonesia. The poverty line is used as an indicator to determine whether someone is poor based on the average expenditure per capita per month. In East Kalimantan Province, the poverty line has increased from Rp796,193 in 2023 to Rp853,997 in 2024. This study aims to forecast the poverty line for the next ten periods using Holt's Double Exponential Smoothing method. This method was chosen because the historical data shows an increasing trend from 2011 to 2024. The forecasting results show that this method is effective with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of 4.56%, and optimal parameters α = 0.98 and β = 0.01. The findings are expected to serve as a reference in decision-making regarding poverty alleviation policies in the future.
Co-Authors -, Irvan Apdila Agnestia Ahmad Choirun Najib Aini, Dinda Nur Al Hidayat, Muhammad Restu Al'Aqsa, Muhammad Ramadhan Alivia Amin, Dhestyara Alviana, Kurnia Amal, Fakhmul Amin Padmo Azam Masa Anam, M Khairul Angela, Jeroline Betsy Apdila, Irvan Aprilia, Trisna Arba, Muhammad Hendra Ari Pradhana, Alvin Ariantika Putri Maharani Arif, Afdinal Astuti, Eka Desi Puji Avivah, Nur Balan, Nicola Fernando Bernikusti Mentik, Sulpisius Dengen, Helen Amalia Dinda Nur Aini Efrata Madao, O’neal Enjellita, Rissa Fariz Aisyar Dafin, Ahmad Firdaus, Muhammad Bambang Geralda, Raihan Daiva Ghiffari Assamar Qandi Ginting, Stephanie Elfriede Gubtha Mahendra Putra Handoko, Heldi Harianto, Biko Hario, Jati Setiyadi Harsyal Kila, Hiskya Ibrahim, Muhammad Rivani Ikram, Adli Dzil Imelda Putri Islamiyah Islamiyah Islamiyah, Islamiyah Isnawaty Isnawaty Kamila, Vina Zahrotun Karinda, Siti Solikah Yosi Kartika Sari, Amalia Listiana Dewi Milasari Lumbantobing, Lisweni Masa, Amin Padmo Azam Mentik, Sulpisius Bernikusti Mohammad Ibnu, Praditya Muhamad Ali Muhammad Bambang Firdaus Muhammad Dwi Refansyah Muhammad Fa’iz Muhammad Hisyam Nugroho Muhammad Ibadurrahman Arrasyid, Supriyanto Muhammad Indra Buana Muhammad Labib Jundillah Muhammad Rizky Setiawan Muhammad, Zulfariansyah Najla Nayla Putri Nazwa Tri Ananda Nifansa, Albygael Rifal Nur Aini Rakhmawati Nuritha, Ifrina Nurwahyu, Ferryza Pardosi, Josia Giribosar Praditya, Mohammad Ibnu Prafanto, Anton Prasetyo, Afrila Zahra Putra, Gubtha Mahendra Putri, Juventia Adelia Putut Pamilih Widagdo Putut Pamilih Widagdo Putut Pamilih Widagdo, Putut Pamilih Rapiq, Rayhan Abdilah Refansyah, Muhammad Dwi Rinto Rinto Riswanti, Nita Riyandi, Selamat Rizal Adi Saputra Rizawanti, Riftika Rizky, Avinka Rosmasari Rosmasari, Rosmasari Ruswantomo, Ruswantomo Sandrina Aulia Saputra, Muhammad Fawaz Saragi, Bertha Joy Rodo Sari, Amalia Kartika Sativa, Alisya Nisrina Setyadi, Hario Jati Sholawati, Anisa Sidabutar, Erni Veronica Sogen, Valentina Febrizah Peni Stephanie Elfriede Ginting Surachkaryadi, Angelina Syaputra, Karlen Tarigan, Phascalis Chevin Taruk, Medi Tejawati, Andi Tobing, Christina Febriyanti Vina Zahrotun Kamila Waksito, Alan Zulfikar Wardhana, Reza Zamani, Harrys Qomarul