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All Journal PROSIDING SEMINAR NASIONAL Intiqad: Jurnal Agama dan Pendidikan Islam JSEH (Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi dan Humaniora) Jurnal Pertanian Agros Review of Management and Entrepreneurship Square : Journal of Mathematics and Mathematics Education Jurnal Abdidas Journal of Intelligent Computing and Health Informatics (JICHI) Jurnal Info Sains : Informatika dan Sains Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Intimas (Jurnal INTIMAS): Inovasi Teknologi Informasi Dan Komputer Untuk Masyarakat Jurnal Riset Rumpun Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam (JURRIMIPA) Prosiding University Research Colloquium Abdimas Mandalika Masyarakat Berkarya: Jurnal Pengabdian dan Perubahan Sosial Journal of applied statistics and data mining
Sulistijanti, Wellie
Akademi Statistika Muhammadiyah Semarang
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Dentistry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Peramalan Tingkat Penghunian Kamar Hotel Bintang Lima Provinsi Bali Menggunakan Metode ARIMA dan Fuzzy Time Series Lee Rahayu Dwiastuti Pujiningrum; Sulistijanti, Wellie
JURNAL SOSIAL EKONOMI DAN HUMANIORA Vol. 10 No. 2 (2024): JURNAL SOSIAL EKONOMI DAN HUMANIORA
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jseh.v10i2.520

Abstract

This research focuses on forecasting the Occupancy Rate of five-star hotels in the Province of Bali. The increase in Occupancy Rate directly impacts the increase in the number of hotel rooms, which is a key factor for Bali Province as a leading tourist destination in Indonesia and globally. The data used spans from November 2021 to November 2023, with the methods employed being ARIMA with a model of (1,1,1) and Fuzzy Time Series Lee. After conducting the research, the accuracy of the forecast is evaluated through Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The MAPE for ARIMA (1,1,1) is found to be 71.4413, while the Fuzzy Time Series Lee method yields a MAPE of 1.1778. With a significantly lower MAPE, the Fuzzy Time Series Lee method is considered more accurate in forecasting the Occupancy Rate of five-star hotels in the Province of Bali for the December 2023 period, with a forecast result of 70.4033%.
Strategies Of Religious Extension In Strengthening Moderate Understanding For The Prevention Of Radicalism And Identity Conflict Nasihin, Muh; Sulistijanti, Wellie; Setiawan, Rahmat; Suprayitno, Muhammad Robeth; Putri, Meia Rizqi Talitha; Cahyani, Desy Eki
Intiqad: Jurnal Agama dan Pendidikan Islam Vol 17, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : UMSU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30596/26677

Abstract

This study aims to examine the strategies implemented by religious instructors in preventing radicalism and identity friction in four regions in Central Java—Semarang City, Demak Regency, Semarang Regency, and Kendal Regency. Using a qualitative approach with a case study design, data were collected through in-depth interviews and focus group discussions with religious instructors, lecturers, and community leaders to provide in-depth context for local dynamics. The results reveal three complementary clusters of strategies: (1) socializing the value of religious moderation through sermons/lectures, religious study groups, and targeted use of social media; (2) strengthening religious and national literacy through non-formal education such as training, workshops, and interactive forums; and (3) multi-sector collaboration with local governments, religious organizations, and community leaders. However, the implementation of these strategies faces recurring challenges, including limited resources, uneven policy support, and security risks when interacting with intolerant groups. Research findings indicate that the role of religious instructors as key local actors in building social resilience against radicalism is highly strategic, but its effectiveness depends on the integration of educational, collaborative, and contextual approaches supported by sustainable policies and resources.
Co-Authors Adiyah Mahiruna Andita, Ayu Aprilia Ummi Mujahidah Arista Fitri Diana Atika Nurani Ambarwati Aulia, Lathifatul Ayu Andita Aziz, Rizal Abdul Azizah, Dzahari Alikharimah Cahyani, Desy Eki Dani Ramdani Fachri Putra Supriyandiari Fajar Ardy Nugroho Fakta Liza Firda Aulia Hendrani Ismanto Ikhtiyar, Zakaria Bani Irfana Maulana Ismail Istiawan, Deden JAYUS Jayus Jayus Khikmah, Laelatul Khoerul Soleh Lita Citra Dewi Susasimy Mahiruna, Adiyah Mardiyah, Aini Mawar Mira Zayan Monica Hellen Dwi Pramesti Muh Nasihin Muh. Nasihin Muhammad Haikal Darmawan Muhammad Sulthan Madany Mukhlidin Muslikhun, Alfin Nasihin, Moh Nasikhin, Muh Nur Hijjah Wahid Fajar Irianti Nurul huda Putri, Meia Rizqi Talitha Rahayu Dwiastuti Pujiningrum RAHMAT SETIAWAN Ratri Wulandari Rizal Abdul Aziz Rizal Ripal Rifana Rowiyani Rowiyani S Susilowat S Susilowat Salsabilla, Salwa Santoso, Arif Gunawan Sari, Silvia Novita Setyawan, Arie Yoga Soleh, Khoerul Suprayitno, Muhammad Robeth Susasimy, Lita Citra Dewi Syahril Faozi Tarita Intan Soraya Toyib Abdullah Ulfatus Sholihah W, Taswati Nova Wijaksono, Satrio Wijayaningrum, Taswati Nova Willy Estuhardini Ersa Muthahar Windyaning Ustyannie Wulan Bhakti Pertiwi Yulianto, Safaat