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All Journal Jurnal Penyuluhan SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pesisir Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Jurnal Social Economic of Agriculture Suluh Pembangunan: Journal of Extension and Development Habitat Mimbar Agribisnis: Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis JEPA (Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis) JASc (Journal of Agribusiness Sciences) Journal of Socioeconomics and Development Jurnal Agribest Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian AGROMIX WIDYA LAKSANA Satwika : Kajian Ilmu Budaya dan Perubahan Sosial JURNAL AGRIBISNIS DAN KOMUNIKASI PERTANIAN (Journal of Agribusiness and Agricultural Communication) Agriecobis : Journal of Agricultural Socioeconomics and Business Studi Kasus Inovasi Ekonomi Jurnal Partisipatoris Journal of Agri Socio Economics and Business Jurnal Pengabdian dan Peningkatan Mutu Masyarakat (JANAYU) Kirana: Jurnal Komunikasi dan Penyuluhan Pertanian Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis AgriMu Jurnal Agribest Indonesian Journal of Small Scale Farming

Ary Bakhtiar

Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Author-ID : 1221219

Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Social Sciences Other

Published : 67 Documents Claim Missing Document

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Hubungan Ekspor Pinang Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kalimantan Barat Elga Imala; Bakhtiar, Ary; Mazwan, M. Zul
Jurnal Agribest Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): Maret
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32528/agribest.v8i1.1661

Kekayaan alam sub sektor perkebunan Indonesia mewujudkan kesejahteraan bagi masyarakat dan pemerintah Indonesia. Salah satu hasil perkebunan di Indonesia yang saat ini diminati oleh Pasar Internasional adalah pinang yang termasuk ke dalam famili Areca. Wilayah yang telah mengembangkan komoditas ini terletak di Kalimantan Barat dengan luas areal mencapai 3.300 Ha. Tidak hanya dipasarkan dalam domestik tetapi komoditas ini juga mampu menembus Pasar Internasional yang bertujuan untuk meningkatkan nilai PDRB (Produk Domestik Regional Bruto). Fluktuasi nilai ekspor pinang Kalimantan Barat setiap tahun mengalami kenaikkan dan penurunan bergantung pada jumlah permintaan negara tujuan. Kondisi ini dapat menciptakan hubungan positif ataupun negatif terhadap nilai PDRB (Produk Domestik Regional Bruto) wilayah dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengetahui serta mengidentifikasi arah hubungan dan faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi hubungan ekspor pinang terhadap nilai PDRB wilayah. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah uji bivariat korelasi menggunakan alat SPPS dan data yang disajikan berupa data sekunder olahan dari BPS Kalimantan Barat periode 5 tahun terakhir. Hasil yang diperoleh sig berada diangka 0.000 < 0.05 yang artinya terdapat hubungan antara nilai ekspor dan nilai PDRB wilayah serta pertumbuhan ekonominya. Hubungan keduanya juga menghasilkan angka positif yang berada di interval 0.661 atau hubungan kuat sehingga kegiatan eskpor sangat berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Kenaikkan dan penurunan nilai ekspor pinang yang terjadi disebabkan oleh beberapa faktor diantaranya pengaruh nilai tukar rupiah, volume ekspor pinang dan pengaruh eksternal seperti kenaikkan pajak dari negara tujuan utama ekspor. Hal ini tentunya harus dilakukan pemantauan oleh pemerintah dan petani untuk meminimalisir penurunan pasar global

Forecasting Permintaan Produk Keripik Sayur Mix di PT. IPL Menggunakan Metode Time Series Moch Bustomy; Bakhtiar, Ary
Jurnal Agribest Vol. 9 No. 1 (2025): Maret
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32528/agribest.v9i1.3309

PT. IPL bergerak di bidang pengolahan hortikultura, khususnya dalam memproduksi keripik sayur campuran. Permintaan produk yang fluktuatif Situasi ini menimbulkan tantangan bagi perusahaan dalam mengoptimalkan produksi dan persediaan produk guna menghindari kelebihan atau kekurangan stok. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk meramalkan permintaan produk melalui pendekatan Time Series, yakni Moving Average dan Exponential Smoothing, guna menentukan metode peramalan yang paling akurat. Pendekatan deskriptif kuantitatif digunakan dalam penelitian ini dengan menganalisis data historis penjualan tahun 2023–2024. Perhitungan dilakukan dengan software POM QM for Windows, dengan penerapan Moving Average (length 2) serta Exponential Smoothing dengan berbagai nilai alpha (α = 0,1; α = 0,5; dan α = 0,9). Metode Exponential Smoothing dengan α = 0,5 memberikan hasil yang paling akurat, Penggunaan metode tersebut memberikan nilai MAD sebesar 353,301, MSE sebesar 256.729,5, dan MAPE sebesar 25,17%. Berdasarkan hasil peramalan, estimasi permintaan untuk bulan Desember 2024 diperkirakan mencapai 1.678,886 kg. Dengan Exponential Smoothing α = 0,5 meningkatkan efisiensi produksi dan pengelolaan stok PT. IPL melalui perencanaan produksi yang tepat, penyesuaian jadwal kerja, pengendalian bahan baku dengan sistem Just-In-Time, serta pengelolaan stok yang menekan biaya dan risiko pembusukan.

Forecasting Permintaan Produk Keripik Sayur Mix di PT. IPL Menggunakan Metode Time Series Bustomy, Mochammad; Bakhtiar, Ary
Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Vol 11, No 2 (2025): Juli 2025
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/ma.v11i2.18671

PT. IPL is a company engaged in the horticultural processing industry, especially the production of mixed vegetable chips. Fluctuating product demand is a challenge for companies in optimizing production and inventory to avoid excess or shortage of stock. This study aims to forecast product demand using the Time Series method, namely Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing, in order to determine the most accurate forecasting method. This study uses a quantitative descriptive approach by analyzing historical sales data in 2023–2024. The calculation was carried out using POM QM software for Windows, with the application of Moving Average (length 2) and Exponential Smoothing with various alpha values (α = 0.1; α = 0.5; and α = 0.9). The results showed that the Exponential Smoothing method with α = 0.5 provided the most accurate results, with a Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) value of 353,301, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 256,729.5, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 25.17%. Based on the forecast results, the estimated demand for December 2024 is estimated to reach 1,678,886 kg. The application of the Exponential Smoothing method α = 0.5 improves the production efficiency and stock management of PT. IPL through proper production planning, adjustment of work schedules, control of raw materials with a Just-In-Time system, and stock management that reduces costs and risk of spoilage. By applying the right forecasting methods, companies can optimize production, avoid wasting resources, and increase operational efficiency and profitability.

EFEKTIVITAS PROGRAM PUPUK SUBSIDI MELALUI KARTU TANI DI KECAMATAN TALUN KABUPATEN BLITAR Khusnah, Himayatul; Bakhtiar, Ary; Mazwan, M. Zul
AgriMu Vol. 3 No. 2 (2023): AgriMu Juni 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26618/agm.v3i2.11613

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji efektivitas program pupuk subsidi melalui kartu tani di Kecamatan Talun, Kabupaten Blitar. Penelitian ini melibatkan analisis pengaruh perilaku sosial dan budaya, serta kondisi perekonomian masyarakat terhadap keunggulan kartu tani dan efektivitas program subsidi pupuk. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa pengaruh perilaku sosial dan budaya terhadap keunggulan kartu tani dan efektivitas program subsidi pupuk tidak signifikan. Meskipun demikian, temuan menarik muncul dalam analisis pengaruh kondisi perekonomian masyarakat. Ditemukan bahwa kondisi perekonomian yang baik berhubungan positif dan signifikan dengan keunggulan kartu tani serta efektivitas program subsidi pupuk. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa faktor kondisi perekonomian masyarakat memiliki peran yang lebih dominan dalam keberhasilan program pupuk subsidi melalui kartu tani di Kecamatan Talun. Meskipun demikian, perlu dilakukan penelitian lebih lanjut untuk memahami faktor-faktor lain yang dapat meningkatkan efektivitas program ini, guna memberikan manfaat maksimal bagi petani dan pertumbuhan sektor pertanian di wilayah tersebut. Kesimpulannya, penelitian ini memberikan wawasan penting bagi pihak terkait dalam mengoptimalkan implementasi program pupuk subsidi melalui kartu tani di Kecamatan Talun. Diperlukan upaya lebih lanjut untuk mengatasi faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi efektivitas program ini agar dapat memberikan dampak positif yang lebih besar bagi petani dan pertanian di daerah tersebut.

Potensi dan Prospek Ekspor Damar Batu di PT. XYZ Putri, Indah Septi Yunita; Bakhtiar, Ary; Amir, Nur Ocvanny
Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Vol 10, No 2 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/ma.v10i2.13429

One of the many natural resources in Indonesia is Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFPs). Non-timber forest products include all biological forest products, both vegetable and animal. The leading commodity of NTFPs is semi-finished sap. The resin sap comes from secretions (sap) from the meranti-merantian tribe or Dipterocarpaceae, such as Shorea sp, Vatica sp, and Dryobalanops sp. Stone resin became one of the export commodities with the largest destination, namely India. Stone resin is used as the basic material for making incense. This study aims to determine the potential of stone resin and export prospects at PT. XYZ. This study used qualitative descriptive analysis by presenting tables and graphs. The types of data used are secondary data and primary data. The results showed that the potential of stone resin produced by West Kalimantan's forests is beneficial in export activities. Indian Hindu culture has an impact on increasing the export of stone resin every year at PT. XYZ. This research is expected to contribute to people who want to penetrate the international market in doing business.

Analysing The Factors Hampering Tanzanian Agricultural Export To The European Union Sendalo, Francis Raphael; Bakhtiar, Ary; Mazwan, M. Zul
AGRIBEST Vol 7, No 2 (2023): September
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32528/agribest.v7i2.13551

The supply of Agricultural Products to the EU country has not been able to meet the consumers demand so that the fulfillment of demand, Agricultural production must be improved . This study aims to analyze the factors that influence Agricultural exports in Tanzania to the EU countries. The research method uses quantitative analysis techniques, namely Panel data regression. This research was conducted in Tanzania using secondary data from 2002-2020 obtained at the National Bureau of Statistics,World Bank and the Ministry of Agriculture and other literature related to research. Research variables include Value of Exports,exchange rates, GDP per capita, Proximity distance, and Ecolabling. The results showed that variables GDP per capita, milk exports, and milk production have a positive influence. Meanwhile, the exchange rate has negative influence for agricultural exports.

Pengaruh Modal Sosial Terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani (Studi Kasus di GAPOKTAN (Gabungan Kelompok Tani) Agro Mandiri Desa Selur Kecamatan Ngrayun Kabupaten Ponorogo) Arum, Prettyziana Sekar; Ibrahim, Jabal Tarik; Bakhtiar, Ary
AGRIBEST Vol 7, No 2 (2023): September
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32528/agribest.v7i2.21123

Sektor pertanian menjadi salah satu sektor yang berkontribusi besar dalam pendapatan negara. Pertanian harus mendapatkan perhatian khusus dalam hal pengembangannya agar produktivitas terus meningkat dan berpengaruh terhadap kesejahteraan petani. Kelompok tani berperan untuk mengembangkan potensi dan wawasan petani terkait pertanian, serta mampu mendorong produktivitas petani yang berdaya saing. Interaksi petani terbangun dengan adanya modal sosial pada petani. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa modal sosial memiliki peran yang penting dalam pengimplementasian kesejahteraan petani. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis variabel modal sosial yang paling berpengaruh terhadap kesejahteraan anggota Gapoktan Agro Mandiri. Penelitian dilaksanakan di Desa Selur, Kecamatan Ngrayun, Kabupaten Ponorogo. Penelitian ini menggunakan data kuantitatif dengan alat analisis SmartPLS. Berdasarkan perhitungan menggunakan rumus Slovin maka diperoleh 84 responden. Hasil penelitian ini modal sosial berpengaruh signifikan terhadap kesejahteraan petani sebesar 72,4%. Pernyataan tersebut bermakna bahwa modal sosial yang terdiri dari kepercayaan, jaringan dan norma sosial berkontribusi positif terhadap kesejahteraan anggota Gapoktan Agro Mandiri. Kepercayaan menjadi variabel paling berkontribusi pada kesejahteraan petani dibandingkan dengan variabel lainnya dilihat dari nilai (loading faktor) sebesar 0.470 atau 47%.

ANALISIS PENGARUH PERKEMBANGAN PENDAPATAN PERUSAHAAN, TOTAL ASET, DAN TOTAL TINGKAT UPAH TERHADAP JUMLAH TENAGA KERJA PERUSAHAAN Tain, Anas; Bakhtiar, Ary; Wulandari, Ratu Cahyaningrum
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 19 NO 02 2020 (SEPTEMBER)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Bengkulu

The research has a purpose as follows, analyzing the impact between the total income of agricultural sector companies with total national income. Analyzing the impact of total income, total assets, and total wage level to the labour of agricultural sector companies. Analyzing the frequently relation between the amount of labour in agricultural sector companies with total national income. National income with company income does not have a relation but, there is a significant impact. The results of the analysis of the impact of developments on the amount of labor in agricultural sub-sector companies are the total asset variables that have a significant impact. while company income and total wage level variables do not significantly influence the number of workers. The results of the analysis of the influence of the development of state revenue and the number of labour back and forth have a significant effect. Whereas the company income variables and total wage level not significantly influence the amount of labour. The results of the analysis development national income and the amount of labour frequently have a significant impact.

DAIRY FARMERS’ KNOWLEDGE AND STANDPOINTS REGARDING FORAGE PRESERVATION TECHNOLOGY IN “NEW NORMAL” ADAPTATION (A Case Study in Pujon District) Fibriyanti, Dian; Tain, Anas Tain; Bakhtiar, Ary; Kombe, Luinasia Elikunda
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 21 NO 02 2022 (SEPTEMBER)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Bengkulu

Covid-19 pandemic has restricted social and physical mobility, such as using a mask during outdoor activities, applying hand sanitizer, washing hands, and maintaining health by exercising and controlling body intake. These restrictions also have caused the termination of forage subsidy by the milk processing industries. The “new normal” era requires farmers to secure self-sufficient forage. This research aims to 1; analyze the characteristic situation of the respondents regarding forage preservation technology in “new normal” adaptation, 2; analyze the insight and standpoints of the dairy farmers regarding forage preservation technology in “new normal” adaptation. The researchers used the descriptive analysis method and obtained 50 respondents by purposive sampling in Pujon District. The results showed that 63.70% of the respondents are “moderately informed," and 61.45% have "moderate standpoints". In conclusion, so it was concluded that the level of knowledge about forage feed preservation technology affected the attitude of farmers in applying forage feed preservation technology. the forage preservation technology is well-established and applicable among the dairy farmers in Pujon District.

DAIRY FARMERS’ GROUP DYNAMICS IN “NEW NORMAL” ADAPTATION (A Study Case in Pujon District) Helian Thus, Orca Oryza Anantha; Bakhtiar, Ary; Ibrahim, Jabal Tarik; Rahadi, Rahadi
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 21 NO 02 2022 (SEPTEMBER)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Bengkulu

Dairy farming in East Java, particularly in Malang Regency, is supported by several districts such as Karangploso, Ngantang, Ngajum, and Pujon as the dairy production centers. Pujon district is one of the dairy production centers in Malang Regency, reaching 20,411 cattle. This research aims to describe the dairy farmers’ group dynamics condition and determine its group dynamics level. The location was purposively determined by considering the dairy center area in Malang Regency, where the majority population is dairy farmers. The researcher used the descriptive analysis method and selected 50 respondents by Purposive Sampling. The data were collected using a structured questionnaire, interview, observation, and documentation. Furthermore, the results showed that the majority of group dynamics is categorized as “high,” yet only two elements are categorized as “moderate,” namely group structure (70.3%) and group training and development (70,4%). In this view, the high number of group dynamics showed pride and satisfaction with their work performance regarding achieving the group’s goals. Also, good leadership will improve group effectiveness.

Co-Authors A Fauzan A.A.A. WULANDIRA SAWITRI DJELANTIK, A.A.A. WULANDIRA SAWITRI Akbar, Adjar Yusriandi Al Banna, M.Ulil Azmi Ali Mahmud Amanina Nur Fitria Anas Tain Anas Tain Tain Andayani, Ni Luh Nyoman Sinta Dewi Anggit Putra Wicaksono Anna Fatchiya Apriliani , Priska Arizal, Habib Muhammad Arum, Prettyziana Sekar Bambang Yudi Ariadi Bayu, Indra Bernadetta Devara Ridwan Bustomy, Mochammad Chairinina Rizka Fitria Dewantara, M. Ali Dewi, Ni Made Gita Santhika Dhea Aurelie Yoniansyah Dian Fibriyanti Dian Fibriyanti Dicky Adithya Pratama Dyah Ayu Utari Suwita Ningtyas Elga Imala Fauzi bin Kamarudin, Mohd Festy Putri Ramadhani Fibriyanti, Dian Firdausi, Ananda Nuril Fithri Mufriantie Gede Mekse Korri Arisena Gumoyo Mumpuni Ningsih H. R. Mahdoni Harpowo Hasan, Abdillah Helian Thus, Orca Oryza Anantha Hendro Ardiansyah I MADE SUDARMA Ike Wika Santi Indra Bayu Indriani Indriani Istis Baroh Istis Baroh Jabal Tarik Ibrahim KETUT BUDI SUSRUSA Khusnah, Himayatul Kombe, Luinasia Elikunda Lia Nita Pramudiastuti Livia Windiana Luinasia Elikunda Kombe Luinasia Elikunda Kombe M. Kamil M. Roja Afwihi M. Zul Mazwan M.Zul Marwan Mamlu Atul Hasanah Maykamas, Prafi Fachjurin Moch Bustomy Mochammad Imron Awalludin Muhammad Shodiq, Wahid Mustika Charismawati Mustika Charismawati Nirwanarti, Faulicia Taurudzi Novi Syafrina Madani Nur Ocvanny Amir Nurul Latifah Orca Oryza Anantha Helian Thus Orca Oryza Anantha Helian Thus Parameswari, Ni Wayan Mita Prabowo Tjitropranoto Prabowo Tjitropranoto Prafi Fachjurin Maykamas Pudji Muljono Putra, Ida Bagus Damar Putri, Indah Septi Yunita Rahadi Rahadi Rahadi Rahadi Rahadi, Rahadi Rahayu Relawati Rahmad Pulung Sudibyo Rahmad Pulung Sudibyo Rahmad Pulung Sudibyo Rahmat Mudzakir Husayn Ramadhani, Festy Putri Ratu Cahyaningrum Wulandari Ridha Rizki Novanda Ridha Rizki Novanda Rosalina Sutikno Putri Salsabella, Irene Hanies Salsabila, Mulia Samae Maisaroh Selina, Novia Putri Sendalo, Francis Raphael Shodiq, Wahid Muhammad Sinta Dewi Andayani, Ni Luh Nyoman Sitari, Mayang Sona Minasyan Tain, Anas Tain Valentino Putra Renaldi Wahid Muhammad Shodiq Wahid Muhammad Shodiq Wahid Muhammad Shodiq Wellynda Kusumawati Wicaksono, Anggit Putra Wulandari, Ratu Cahyaningrum Yanti Benson Yohana Agustina Yohana Agustina Yohana Agustina

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