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All Journal Wiraraja Medika: Jurnal Kesehatan SELAPARANG: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Berkemajuan Jurnal Rekam Medis dan Informasi Kesehatan Jurnal Abdimasa 2-TRIK: TUNAS-TUNAS RISET KESEHATAN Jurnal Pelayanan dan Pengabdian Masyarakat (Pamas) Abdimas UNWAHAS : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat UNWAHAS CERMIN: Jurnal Penelitian Bakti Cendana: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Ilmu Kesehatan MAKIA J-REMI : Jurnal Rekam Medik dan Informasi Kesehatan Journal of Health Research Science JURNAL PENDIDIKAN INDONESIA: Teori, Penelitian, dan Inovasi Jurnal Ilmu Kesehatan MAKIA Indonesian Journal of Health Information Management Services (IJHIMS) Indo Green Journal Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Ilmu Komputer Science: Indonesian Journal of Science Journal Pesona Indonesia Indo Green Journal
Sigit, Nanta
D-IV Manajemen Informasi Kesehatan, STIKes Panti Waluya Malang
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Journal : Wiraraja Medika: Jurnal Kesehatan

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Perbandingan Metode Arima Box-Jenkins dan Holt-Winters No Seasonal pada Peramalan Jumlah Penderita ISPA di Kota Malang Nanta Sigit; Arief Setiyoargo
Wiraraja Medika : Jurnal Kesehatan Vol 11 No 2 (2021): Wiraraja Medika : Jurnal Kesehatan
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Kesehatan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24929/fik.v11i2.1591

Abstract

ISPA is an acute respiratory disease with special attention to pneumonia (ISPA), and not an ear and throat disease. In order to make plans to reduce the number of ISPA sufferers in the regions with effective and responsible principles, valid forecasts are needed. There is a relatively large difference between targets and achievements in tackling ISPA sufferers in Malang City during 2017 - 2020, and given the importance of forecasting as an indicator of reducing ISPA sufferers, it is deemed necessary to conduct research on the application of the Box-Jenkins model in forecasting ISPA patients. This study aims to create an estimation model for patients with ISPA in Malang Regency using data from the Health Office from 2017 to 2020. The analytical technique applied is the Box-Jenkins model or the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). The results showed that by using data from the Malang City Health Office from 2014 to 2019, it was concluded that the best forecasting model was ARIMA(1,1,0). Researchers hope that the forecasting method and forecasting results can be used as additional information for the health department in Malang City in determining policies that must be taken in the prevention of ISPA sufferers according to the needs of patients in Malang City.
Co-Authors Agnes Carolina Kristin Anisa, Nurfa Anisyah, Luluk Arief Setiyoargo Arief Setiyoargo Arief Setiyoargo Ariyanti, Rea Bayu Firmanto Cecilia Widijati Imam Cecilia Widijati Imam Cecilia Widijati Imam Debora, Oda Devanus Lahardo Ellia Ariesti Grace Citra Dewi Hakim, Ghani Ida Ayu P K Ida Ayu P K Khalifatulloh, Bhre Diansyah Dinda Khumaidah, Imroatul Lala Gayanti Zulkarnaen Maulana, Moh Moh Maulana Moh. Maulana Monika Luhung Munandar, Mochammad Aris Munek, Vzha Novita Nita Dwi Nur Aini Nita Dwi Nur Aini Novi Kurniawan Nur Aini, Nita Dwi Pradikatama, Yafet Praygo Midi Mitra Setiawan Priyambodo, Dwi Ratno Raswati Prapti Rahayu Raswati Prapti Rahayu Richard One Maxelly Richard One Maxelly Richard One Maxelly Romaden Marbun Romaden Marbun Romaden Marbun Rozikin, Rozikin Sarbini Sarbini, Sarbini Sedya, Devan Hans Sunyoto Sunyoto Trianando, Mochamad Albarizi Utami, Yustina Ria Wahyu Dwi Vincensia Dea Vivi Sylvia Purborini Wirawan Aryanto Balol, Wirawan Aryanto Wirawan Balol Wisoedhanie Widi Anugrahanti Wisoedhanie Widi Anugrahanti