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All Journal JURNAL MATEMATIKA STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Jurnal Sains Dasar PYTHAGORAS: Jurnal Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika AKSIOMA JURNAL ILMIAH MATEMATIKA DAN TERAPAN Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics MUST: Journal of Mathematics Education, Science and Technology BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) MATAPPA: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Teorema: Teori dan Riset Matematika Journal of Education Technology JURNAL SILOGISME : Kajian Ilmu Matematika dan Pembelajarannya Jambura Journal of Mathematics Jurnal Matematika UNAND Transformasi : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika Jurnal Saintika Unpam : Jurnal Sains dan Matematika Unpam Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal ESTIMASI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika (MIMS) Jambura Journal of Mathematics Education Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Journal of Science and Technology JES-MAT (Jurnal Edukasi dan Sains Matematika) MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika Pedagogy : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika METIKS: Jurnal Teknik Mesin, Elektro, Informatika, Kelautan & Sains Research Review: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Jurnal Sintak Jurnal Multidisiplin Sahombu Jurnal Matematika Integratif Sciencestatistics: Journal of Statistics, Probability, and Its Application Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS) Bilangan: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Kebumian dan Angkasa Algoritma: Jurnal Matematika, Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Kebumian dan Angkasa Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics

Agusyarif Rezka Nuha

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Author-ID : 1730359

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Astronomy Automotive Engineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE SPREAD OF CHOLERA WITH VACCINATION STRATEGIES Abdul, Nur Safitri; Yahya, Lailany; Resmawan, R.; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 1 (2022): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

This research discusses the math model of spreading cholera disease with a mathematical strategy of math model constructed by considering a vaccination strategy. In addition, there is a population of hyperinfectious and lessinfectious bacteria so that the model of SVIR-BhiBli type, by. The model formed in the form of determination of fixed point, determination of basic reproductions numbers, analyzing the equilibrium point and sensitivity analysis. The equilibrium analysis produces two equilibrium points of a immediate-free equilibrium point of aceletotic local if and endemic equilibrium points will be stable local asymptotics if . Furthermore, numerical simulation that the increase in vaccination rate influences on the decline in value while increased rate of vaccine depreciation can increase the value of . In addition, sensitivity analysis shows that if the parameter is enhanced while other contrast parameters will contribute to the increase in value, as a result can increase the rate of transmission of cholera disease. Whereas if the parameter is enhanced while other contrast parameters will contribute to the decrease in value, as a result of the dissemination of the disease can be pressed very significantly.

ANALYSIS OF OPTIMUM CONTROL ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF VACCINATION AND QUARANTINE ON THE SPREAD OF COVID-19 Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Achmad, Novianita; Rahman, Gusti Arviana; Abdullah, Syarif; Chasanah, Sri Istiyarti Uswatun; Valentika, Nina; Nashar, La Ode
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

This study constructs an SVIR-type COVID-19 spread model into a model with control variables or optimum control problems. In the formulation of the model with controls, we set four control variables, namely vaccination strategy, quarantine, reduction of vaccine shrinkage, and treatment. Pontryagin 's maximum principle is applied in the model as a sufficient condition to achieve optimum conditions for minimizing the objective function . This study uses a numerical solution to describe the theoretical results. The results showed that the control model could accelerate the decrease in the number of individuals in the infected population class. We found that vaccination is a top priority that needs to be done to reduce the number of cases of COVID-19 infection. In addition, the implementation of quarantine can also be considered to accelerate the decrease in the number of individuals infected with COVID-19.

DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR THE CHOLERA DISEASE SPREAD INVOLVING MEDICATION AND ENVIROMENTAL SANITATION Resmawan, R; Yahya, Lailany; Mahmud, Sri Lestari; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Laita, Nazrilla Hasan
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 1 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

This study aims to analyze the mathematical model of the cholera disease spread involving medicationnd environmental sanitation. The model was analyzed by determining the equilibrium point and the basic reproduction number. The next step was to analyze the equilibrium point, sensitivity, and simulate numerically. Analysis of the stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points usedhe Routh-Hurwitz criteria and the Castillo-Chaves and Song Theorem. The Analysis resultf the model produced two equilibrium points; namely the disease-freequilibrium point for local asymptotic stability and the endemic equilibrium point for local asymptotic stability if . Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis indicated the most sensitive parameters for basic reproductive number changes in succession are the parameters for natural birth rates , the transmission rate of bacteria from the environment to humans , the saturated concentration of bacteria in water , an increase in the bacterial population caused by environmental pollution rate by humans . Numerical simulations suggest an increase to give vaccine can contribute to slowing the transmission of cholera where as the reduction of a vaccine able to promote the transmission of cholera diseases.

Model Matematika Penyebaran Penyakit Demam Berdarah Dengue dengan Faktor Kesadaran Sosial: Analisis dan Simulasi Djuma, Clara Anggriani; Achmad, Novianita; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Hasan, Isran K.; Arsal, Armayani
Jambura Journal of Mathematics Vol 7, No 2: August 2025
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjom.v7i2.33921

Dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) is a serious health problem in many tropical regions, including Indonesia. The spread of this disease is influenced by various factors, one of which is the level of social awareness in the prevention and control of infection. This study developed a mathematical model of DHF spread by integrating social awareness as an additional compartment. The model was analysed by determining the equilibrium points and the basic reproduction number (R0), as well as stability analysis using the Routh–Hurwitz criterion. The analysis results show the existence of two types of equilibrium points: the disease-free equilibrium point (T1) and the endemic equilibrium point (T2). Point T1 is locally asymptotically stable when R0 1 and unstable when R0 1, while point T2 is locally asymptotically stable when R0 1. Sensitivity analysis shows that the social awareness parameter significantly influences the value of R0. Additionally, numerical simulations indicate that increasing social awareness can effectively reduce disease spread and drive the system toward a disease-free state. These findings underscore the importance of community-based awareness interventions in dengue control strategies.

Dynamical Analysis of a Predator-Prey Model Involving Intraspecific Competition in Predator and Prey Protection Resmawan, Resmawan; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Nasib, Salmun K.; Nashar, La Ode
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 8, No 3 (2024): July
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v8i3.22154

This article explains the interaction of the prey-predator model in the presence of wild harvesting and competition intra-specific predator populations and prey protection zones. Model construction is based on literature studies related to the basic theory of the model and the biological properties between predator and prey populations. This study aims to look at the dynamic conditions of the predator-prey model in the form of the existence of prey and predator populations and the impact that occurs in the long term for both populations due to changes in parameter values. The model analysis begins with the formulation of the solution conditions and boundaries model, and next with the determination of the equilibrium point. Every equilibrium point is analyzed by the characteristic of its stability is neither local or global. The model owns three equilibrium points, namely the equilibrium point of population extinction (E_0), the equilibrium point of predator extinction (E_1), and the equilibrium point of persistence of the two populations (E_2). These equilibrium points are stable locally or globally if certain conditions are met. Next, it is shown that bifurcation proceeds Which describes the changing of characteristic stability point equilibrium Which depends on the threshold parameter values h_1, Ω^*, and ρ^*. In the end, numerical simulations are presented in the form of phase, time-series, and bifurcation diagrams to support the analytical results of the model, as well as to visually show the dynamic behaviour of the interaction between the two populations based on changes in predation levels, illegal harvesting, prey refuge zones, and intra-specific competition.

Analisis Dinamik Model Penyebaran COVID-19 dengan Vaksinasi Resmawan, Resmawan; Yahya, Lailany; Pakaya, Revandi S.; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 3, Issue 1: June 2022
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v3i1.13176

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a new type of virus from a large family of viruses transmitted between humans and animals (zoonotically transmitted) that was first discovered in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China in late 2019 which is still widespread and threat throughout the world including Indonesia. This article discussed about the mathematical model of the spread of COVID-19 with vaccinations. In this case, the human population is divided into 5 classes, namely the suspected, vaccine, exposed, infected and recovered classes. The constructed model forms an SVEIR model that has two equilibrium points, namely disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Stability analysis shows that the equilibrium point is stable local and global asymptotic if R0 1 and unstable if R0 1. Then a sensitivity analysis was carried out to determine the parameters that greatly affect the model as well as furthermore, numerical simulations are given to describe the behavior of the model that has been obtained based on the analysis of the sensitivity of basic reproductive numbers, obtained several parameters that affect the spread of COVID-19. Numerical simulation results show that vaccination can suppress the addition of infected populations and depend on the level of effectiveness of vaccination.

Penjadwalan karyawan Qmart Super Store menggunakan metode Goal Programming secara Preemptive dan Nonpreemptive Syafrudin, Marisa; Djakaria, Ismail; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Wungguli, Djihad
AKSIOMA : Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Vol 14, No 3 (2023): AKSIOMA: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika
Publisher : Universitas PGRI Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26877/aks.v14i3.17005

Penjadwalan karyawan adalah salah satu masalah organisasi yang rumit dipecahkan. Faktor yang membuat penjadwalan karyawan menjadi rumit adalah karakteristik organisasi, ketidakhadiran, serta kualiï¬kasi dan keahlian karyawan. Karena banyaknya faktor tersebut masalah penjadwalan menjadi sangat luas dan bervariasi. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengoptimalkan penjadwalan karyawan. Hasil dari penelitian ini diperoleh dengan menggunakan 2 skenario, skenario satu (Preemptive) dan skenario dua (Nonpreemptive), nilai fungsi tujuan bernilai 0 dengan solusi optimal Â dan , artinya semua kendala yang dimodelkan terpenuhi sehingga penjadwalan dengan Preemptive Goal Programming dan Weighted Goal Programming dikatakan lebih optimal dibandingkan penjadwalan secara manual.

The Occurrence of a Neimark-Sacker Bifurcation on a Discrete-Time Predator-Prey Model Involving Fear Effect and Linear Harvesting Kasim, Ranan; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Arsal, Armayani
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 1: February 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i1.5

This study investigates the dynamics of a discrete-time predator-prey model incorporating the fear effect and linear harvesting. The model assumes that both prey and predator populations are harvested proportionally to their densities, while the growth rate of the prey population is negatively impacted by predator presence due to fear. The analytical exploration identifies three fixed points: the extinction point, the predator-free equilibrium, and the coexistence equilibrium. Stability analysis and numerical simulations confirm the occurrence of a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation at the interior equilibrium, demonstrating the model's complex dynamical behaviors. The findings provide insights into population sustainability under different harvesting and predation conditions, highlighting how fear and harvesting jointly influence ecosystem stability.

A Mathematical Model of the Mud Crab (Scylla Sp.) Involving Cannibalism and Refuge Abubakar, Agung Sucipto; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Djakaria, Ismail; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Hasan, Isran K.; Asriadi, Asriadi
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 1: February 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i1.12

Cannibalism, a common ecological phenomenon in various species, significantly impacts the population dynamics of mud crabs (Scylla sp.). This study develops a mathematical model to analyze the effects of cannibalism and protective refuges on the population sustainability of juvenile and adult mud crabs. The model identifies two equilibrium points: the extinction equilibrium and the coexistence equilibrium. Stability analysis using the Jacobian matrix reveals that the extinction equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable under specific conditions. In contrast, the coexistence equilibrium depends on the transition rate from juvenile to adult crabs and the effectiveness of protective measures. Numerical simulations demonstrate that increasing the transition rate and implementing higher levels of refuge protection mitigate the adverse effects of cannibalism, enhancing population stability. These findings provide a quantitative foundation for sustainable fisheries management and conservation strategies for mud crab populations in mangrove ecosystems.

Prediksi Jumlah Calon Mahasiswa Baru Menggunakan Metode Fuzzy Time Series dan ARIMA: Studi Kasus: Program Studi Statistika Aprina Manggarai; Lailany Yahya; Agusyarif Rezka Nuha
Bilangan : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Kebumian dan Angkasa Vol. 3 No. 5 (2025): Oktober : Bilangan : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Kebumian dan Angkasa
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Matematika dan Sains Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62383/bilangan.v3i5.829

Academic planning is one form of planning the teaching and learning process in state universities, aimed at achieving educational goals based on the standards set. One important aspect of academic planning is forecasting the number of new students. This study compares two forecasting methods, Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), in predicting the number of new students in the Statistics Study Program at Universitas Negeri Gorontalo. Forecasting the number of new students is crucial for determining various policies, such as resource allocation and providing adequate facilities. The results of the study show that the ARIMA method produces more accurate predictions with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.35%, which is lower than the FTS method. This indicates that ARIMA is more effective in predicting the number of new students in the Statistics Study Program at Universitas Negeri Gorontalo and can serve as a reference to improve academic planning quality in higher education institutions.

Co-Authors Abdul, Nur Safitri Abubakar, Agung Sucipto Adib Rizal Kundju Agung, Andi Aliwu, Randa Resvitasari Ana Nadiyyah Andi Agung Andi Agung Anggraini, Fitriana Anissa Dwi Wijayanti Aprina Manggarai Armayani Arsal Armayani Arsal Armayani Arsal Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Aswata Wisnuadji Bela Cintiya Samwan Bertu Rianto Takaendengan Biga, Azril Saputra Cabelita Husuna Chasanah, Sri Istiyarti Uswatun Dewi Rahmawaty Isa Djibran, Fahrudin Djihad Wungguli Djuma, Clara Anggriani Eko Sulistyono Sulistyono Fajar Putrawan Djabar Fajri Ikhsan Feni Elliyin Ferawati Kai Ferawati Mardjun Franky Alfrits Oroh Ghivahri Sidik Mokoagow Hasan S. Panigoro Hasan S. Panigoro Hasan, Riyanto Hendri, Excel Muhammad Hinelo, Ikrar Prasetyo Ibrahim, Novita Ipal Rahmat Jaya Ismail Djakaria Isran K Hasan Janna, Miftahul K. Nasib, Salmun Kasim, Ranan La Ode Nashar La Ode Nashar La Ode Nashar Lailany Yahya Lailany Yahya Laita, Nazrilla Hasan Lindrawati Abdjul Mahmud, Sri Lestari Majid Majid Melasarah Deswita Rahmadi Miftahul Huda Moh Dody Afandi Rauf Mohamad, Regina Mohammad Dwitiar Nalole Muhammad Ikhlas Muhammad Rifai Katili Muhammad Yahya Ayyasy Mutmaina D. Maku Nento, Abdul Djabar Nina Valentika Nisky Imansyah Yahya Nisky Imansyah Yahya Nisky Imansyah Yahya Novianita Achmad Nur Siyam Djibu NUR ’AIN SUPU Nursiya Bito Nurwan Nurwan NURWAN NURWAN Nurwan Nurwan Nurwan, Nurwan Pakaya, Revandi S. Patra Lasantu Perry Zakaria Rahman, Gusti Arviana Rahmi, Emli Randy Ferdiansyah Rasmawati Rasmawati Rasyid, Kamelia Rauf, Moh Dody Afandi Resmawan Resmawan Rozikin, Muhammad Rusniwati S. Imran Salmun K. Nasib Saltina, Saltina Sari, Lia Nanda Sidik Susilo Sigar, Leidi Siti Nurmardia Abdussamad Siti Nurmardia Abdussamad Sri Istiyarti Uswatun Chasanah Sri Istiyarti Uswatun Chasanah Sri Lestari Mahmud Sri Meylanti S. Ali Suci Tilome Sugito Mahendra Imran Syafrudin, Marisa Syarif Abdullah Taulia Damayanti Usfita Kiftiyani Usman, Nunung Usman, Sri Adiningsi B. Valentika, Nina Wafa, Moh. Shohibul Widyastutifajri Nuha Yazid Rukmayadi Zaqiyah, Arfatuz

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