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All Journal Diponegoro Journal of Economics Jurnal Kawistara : Jurnal Ilmiah Sosial dan Humaniora Fokus Bisnis TECHNOBIZ : International Journal of Business Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Jurnal EK dan BI ANALISIS - SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, MANAGEMENT, BUSINESS, AND ACCOUNTING Journal of Economics Research and Social Sciences Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia EKONOMIKA45 Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan East Java Economic Journal E-journal Field of Economics, Business and Entrepreneurship (EFEBE) West Science Journal Economic and Entrepreneurship Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia Sejahtera Al-Zayn: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial & Hukum Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research Jurnal Kawistara Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan BEGAWI: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Sumbangsih IJEMA Optimal: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen
Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih
Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, Universitas Lampung, Lampung
Religion Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Pengaruh Faktor Fiskal, Demografi, Ekonomi, dan Tata Kelola Pemerintah terhadap Kemandirian Fiskal Provinsi di Pulau Jawa dan Sumatera Tahun 2018–2025 Siti Nurhasanah; Heru Wahyudi; Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih; Marselina; Prayudha Ananta
Indonesian Journal of Economics Management and Accounting Vol. 3 No. 7 (2026): IJEMA - Juli 2026
Publisher : PT. INOVASI TEKNOLOGI KOMPUTER

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Kemandirian fiskal merupakan indikator penting dalam menilai keberhasilan implementasi desentralisasi fiskal karena menggambarkan kapasitas pemerintah daerah membiayai fungsi-fungsi pemerintahan secara mandiri. Namun, tingkat kemandirian fiskal pemerintah antar provinsi di Pulau Jawa dan Sumatera masih menunjukkan perbedaan yang dipengaruhi oleh kapasitas fiskal, aktivitas ekonomi, karakteristik demografis, dan tata kelola pemerintahan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), jumlah penduduk, Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB), dan anti korupsi terhadap tingkat kemandirian fiskal tingkat pemerintah provinsi di Pulau Jawa dan Sumatera periode 2018–2025. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi data panel pada 16 provinsi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa PAD, jumlah penduduk, dan PDRB berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kemandirian fiskal, sedangkan DBH berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan. Sementara itu, anti korupsi yang diproksikan menggunakan Monitoring Center for Prevention (MCP) berpengaruh negatif namun tidak signifikan. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan kemandirian fiskal lebih ditentukan oleh optimalisasi potensi ekonomi dan pendapatan asli daerah dibandingkan ketergantungan pada transfer pemerintah pusat
Exploring the Economic Potential of The Region: Spatial Analysis of Key Sectors for Food Security in Lampung Resha Moniyana Putri; Thomas Andrian; Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih; Ahmad Rowatul Irham; Arya Radinsyah Fauzi; M. Ikhsan Nur Rozak; Nur Lissa
Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics Vol. 8 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/efficient.v8i3.34050

Abstract

Food security is a strategic issue and a priority for national development in Indonesia, particularly in provinces with significant agricultural potential such as Lampung. This study aims to identify leading and potential sectors that contribute to strengthening food security by applying Location Quotient (LQ), Growth Ratio Model (GRM), Overlay Analysis, and Spatial Analysis. The LQ results indicate seven basic sectors, including food crops, agricultural services, livestock, fisheries, plantations, horticulture, and the food and beverage industry. Further analysis through GRM and Overlay shows that livestock and the food and beverage industry are categorized as leading sectors, while food crops, agricultural services, fisheries, plantations, and horticulture are identified as potential sectors. Spatial analysis highlights Central Lampung, East Lampung, South Lampung, Tulang Bawang, and North Lampung as key regions with sectoral specialization, supported by natural resources, infrastructure, and industrial networks. The findings demonstrate that Lampung Province plays a vital role as a national food barn, but challenges remain, including land conversion, productivity disparities, and post-harvest management. Therefore, integrated policies that combine sectoral revitalization, spatial planning, and sustainable management are required. This research provides a comprehensive foundation for formulating regional economic development strategies to enhance food security resilience in Lampung Province.
Forecasting dan Analisis Ekonomi Usia Harapan Hidup Indonesia: Implikasi Strategis untuk Indonesia Emas 2045 Rizka Malia; Mega Mariska; Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih; Muhammad Husaini
OPTIMAL Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/optimal.v5i2.5788

Abstract

This study analyzes the projection of Indonesia’s life expectancy up to the year 2045 and its strategic implications for economic development toward achieving the Golden Indonesia 2045 vision. Using the ARIMA forecasting model processed through EViews software, based on data from BPS and the World Bank for the period 1996–2024, the best model was identified as ARIMA (1,1,1), with an AR(1) coefficient of 0.197, MA(1) of -0.612, a constant of 0.380, and statistically significant standard error (p < 0.05). The forecasting results indicate that Indonesia’s LE will increase by an average of 0.75 years annually, reaching approximately 79.03 years by 2045. While this improvement reflects the success of public health efforts, it also introduces structural challenges, such as increasing fiscal burdens and rising demand for elderly care services. From an economic perspective, this trend offers both risks and opportunities. If managed strategically — through health investment as human capital, pension system reform, encouraging elderly participation in the workforce, and transforming healthcare-related service sectors — the increasing LE can serve as a key driver of inclusive and sustainable economic growth. This study recommends that the Indonesian government adopt inclusive, evidence-based public policies to harness the remaining demographic dividend and prepare for the transition toward an aging society, ensuring progress toward the Golden Indonesia 2045 vision. Keywords: Forecasting, Life expectancy, Golden Indonesia 2045, ARIMA, Health economics
Co-Authors Ahmad Azmy Ahmad Rowatul Irham Aida Neli Akbar Setiawan Alamin, Farozak Alfattah, Dhiwa Abiyu Andayani, Cahyaning Andrian, Thomas Arif Darmawan Arivina Ratih Y.T Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Arya Radinsyah Fauzi Arya Radinsyah Fauzi Aryan Danil Mirza. BR Aulia, Deswira Bungsu S, Yahya Putra Citra Sofira Deddy Yuliawan Dian Fajarini Dian Fajarini Dinda Chairunnissa Abdullah Emi Maimunah Evi Noor Afifah Fajarini, Dian Farid Azfa Putra Farid Azfa Putra Gunawan, Muhammad Chandra Hanifatuzzahra, Zakia Harsono Edwin Puspita HERU WAHYUDI I Wayan Suparta . Imam Awaluddin Julian, Nabila Arnelis Krisna Darmawan Latifah, Tiara Mukti Listiana, Filza M Firman Afdallah M Iqbal Harori M. Ikhsan Nur Rozak Malia, Rizka Mariska, Mega Marselina Marselina Maulani, Dwi Cahya Mega Mariska Mega Mariska Mega, Endang Mega Utami MELATI, PUPUT Moneyzar Usman Moniyana, Resha Muhammad Husaini Muhammad Husaini Muhammad Husaini Muhammad Mufti Hudani Muhammad Mufti Hudani Mukaromah, Laila Murwiati, Asih Nasrullah, Ade Nazwa Shihab Neli Aida Neli Aida Nindya Eka Sobita Nindya Eka Sobita Nur Lissa Pratama, Endriko Bagus Prayudha Ananta Prayudha Ananta Purnama Agung Putra, Farid Azfa Rahma Nida Rahmaillah, Windy Rahman, Yoga Nur Reza Aulia Ridho Alfajar Ririn Nopiah Ririn Nopiah Rizka Malia Rizka Malia Rozak, M. Ikhsan Nur safitri, gita Salsadilla Charisa Putri Saputri, Mutiara Audi Malica Ayu Sari, Nur Permata Siti Nurhasanah Sobita, Nindya Eka Taher, Arivina Ratih Yulihar Thomas Andrian Toto Gunarto Triananda, Silva Unda, Unda Utami, Endang Mega Wina Risti Hafipah Yahya Ayasi Yahya, Maulana Muhammad Zulfa Emalia