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All Journal Ekonomikawan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Jurnal Akuntansi dan Pajak Li Falah: Jurnal Studi Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam JCRS (Journal of Community Research and Service) Jurnal Abdi Ilmu Jurnal Pendidikan dan Konseling Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Kesatuan Computer Science and Information Technologies Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Jurnal AKMAMI (Akuntansi Manajemen Ekonomi) INVEST : Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis dan Akuntansi IJORER : International Journal of Recent Educational Research Multidiciplinary Output Research for Actual and International Issue (Morfai Journal) Journal of Research in Social Science and Humanities Proceeding International Seminar of Islamic Studies Jurnal Bina Bangsa Ekonomika EKONOMIKA45 Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Proceedings of The International Conference on Business and Economics Journal of Economics and Social Sciences Jurnal Manajemen Dan Akuntansi Medan Jurnal Pengabdian West Science Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences Journal of Management, Economic, and Accounting Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Manajemen International Journal of Sustainable Applied Sciences (IJSAS) Journal of Intelligent Systems and Information Technology International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research International Journal of Management, Economic and Accounting Green Economics: International Journal of Islamic and Economic Education Proceedings of The International Conference on Computer Science, Engineering, Social Sciences, and Multidisciplinary Studies Global Economics: International Journal of Economic, Social and Development Sciences Harmoni Economics: International Journal of Economics and Accounting
, Rahmad Sembiring
UNIVERSITAS PEMBANGUNAN PANCA BUDI
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The Effectiveness Of The Family Hope Program (PKH) In Reducing Poverty Rates In Tanjung Selamat Village, Medan Tuntungan District Saripah, Saripah; Sembiring, Rahmad; Hasanah, Uswatun
Journal of Management, Economic, and Accounting Vol. 5 No. 3 (2026): July
Publisher : Universitas Dehasen Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37676/jmea.v5i3.1548

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effectiveness of the Family Hope Program (PKH) in reducing poverty rates in Tanjung Selamat Village, Medan Tuntungan District, where structural poverty remains a major challenge despite a downward trend from 9.41% (2015) to 7.94% (2024). This study uses a quantitative approach applied to time-series data from 2016 - 2025 with secondary data from BPS and PKH officers in Tanjung Selamat Village which are analyzed using Multiple Linear Regression techniques after fulfilling classical assumption tests such as normality, multicollinearity and heteroscedasticity. The results of this study's analysis indicate that the Number of PKH Assistance Recipients (X1) has a positive and significant partial effect on reducing the Percentage of Poor Population (Y) with a calculated t-value of 1.95 > t-table of 1.89 (sig. 0.04 < 0.05). The value of PKH Assistance (X2) also has a positive and significant partial effect with a t-count of 1.929 > t-table of 1.89 (sig. 0.02 < 0.05). Simultaneously, both variables show an F-count of 4.855 > F-table of 4.74 (sig. 0.04 < 0.05) with a coefficient of determination of 89.5% which explains variations in poverty, the rest is influenced by external factors of 10.5%
Analysis Of The Determinants Of Small And Medium Industry (SMI) Development On Labor Absorption In Medan City Husein, Rizky Muhammad; Sembiring, Rahmad; Nasution, Lia Nazliana
Journal of Management, Economic, and Accounting Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Universitas Dehasen Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37676/jmea.v5i2.1584

Abstract

The purpose of this study is analyze the determinants of Small and Medium Industry (SMI) development on labor absorption in Medan City. The dependent variable in this study is labor, while the independent variables include economic growth, wages, investment, production, productivity, the open unemployment rate, and the Human Development Index (HDI). This study uses secondary data obtained from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The data analysis methods employed in this study are Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) and multiple linear regression. The results indicate that economic growth, investment, and the Human Development Index (HDI) have a significant effect on labor absorption in Medan City.
The Effectiveness Of The Family Hope Program (PKH) In Reducing The Poverty Rate In Sei Bilah Village, Sei Lepan District, Langkat Regency Khairina, Khairina; Sembiring, Rahmad; Suhendi, Suhendi
Journal of Management, Economic, and Accounting Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Universitas Dehasen Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37676/jmea.v5i2.1610

Abstract

This qualitative study examines the effectiveness of Indonesia's Family Hope Program (Program Keluarga Harapan/PKH), a conditional cash transfer program, in reducing poverty in Sei Bilah Village, Sei Lepan District, Langkat Regency. The research is motivated by a paradoxical phenomenon: despite a 108.1% increase in PKH recipients (from 234 to 487 beneficiary families) and an 85.2% increase in benefit amounts (from IDR 1,890,000 to IDR 3,500,000 per year) during 2015-2024, the poverty rate only decreased by 1.4 percentage points (from 14.2% to 12.8%) and has stagnated at 12.8-12.9% since 2021. This study aims to explore and understand: (1) the processes, mechanisms, and obstacles in PKH implementation; (2) beneficiary families' experiences, perceptions, and utilization patterns of assistance; and (3) the strategies and effectiveness of PKH facilitation in promoting behavioral change and economic independence. The research employs an interpretive qualitative approach. Data were collected through in-depth interviews with 12 purposively selected informants comprising 8 beneficiary families, 2 PKH facilitators, and 2 village officials, complemented by field observations and documentation studies. Data were analyzed using Miles and Huberman's interactive analysis model involving data reduction, presentation, and conclusion drawing. Data validity was ensured through source and method triangulation. The findings reveal that: (1) PKH implementation faces six structural obstacles: significant targeting errors (25-30% inclusion error due to outdated DTKS data), limited geographic access to disbursement locations imposing high transportation costs (4-5% of benefit amount), disproportionate facilitator workload (1:243-244 ratio exceeding the ideal 1:200), suboptimal inter-agency coordination for conditionality verification, limited basic service infrastructure (minimal health facilities, no senior high school, poor road conditions), and constrained facilitator authority to address structural poverty causes. PKH facilitators as street-level bureaucrats employ substantial discretion to bridge gaps between formal policies and local realities; (2) While all beneficiaries acknowledge PKH provides short-term safety net benefits, most remain skeptical about transformative impacts. Benefit utilization is dominated by basic needs consumption (70-80%), with limited allocation to education (15-20%) and productive investments (<5%). Conditionalities are perceived as fair but impose high opportunity costs; (3) Facilitation effectively increases short-term compliance with conditionalities but proves less effective in transforming long-term mindsets and fails to promote economic independence due to capacity limitations, inadequate incentives, and absence of complementary programs. This study concludes that PKH remains ineffective in reducing poverty in Sei Bilah Village due to five interrelated factors: targeting errors misallocating resources, inadequacy of benefits insufficient to fundamentally change household economic behavior, supply-side limitations in service quality and accessibility, structural poverty traps characterized by absence of formal employment opportunities preventing educated youth from escaping poverty, and limited grassroots implementation capacity. PKH functions primarily as a safety net preventing further impoverishment rather than as a springboard promoting upward economic mobility. These findings confirm street-level bureaucracy theory (Lipsky, 1980; 2010) regarding the crucial role of discretion in policy implementation, policy implementation theory (Edwards III, 1980) on the importance of communication, resources, disposition, and bureaucratic structure, and multidimensional poverty theory (Alkire & Foster, 2011; Sen, 1999) on the limitations of monetary approaches in addressing structural, multidimensional poverty. Policy recommendations include: (1) targeting system reform employing hybrid approaches combining proxy means test with community verification and more responsive data updating mechanisms; (2) benefit amount differentiation based on poverty severity and regional cost of living to ensure adequacy; (3) improved facilitator-beneficiary ratios (maximum 1:200) and enhanced facilitator incentives (minimum IDR 2-2.5 million monthly plus operational allowances); (4) PKH integration with complementary programs including skills training matching local labor market demands, microenterprise capital access, and graduation approaches facilitating transition from dependency to economic independence; (5) basic service infrastructure improvements including road rehabilitation, health facility strengthening, and senior high school establishment; and (6) local economic development creating formal employment opportunities for educated graduates through investment incentives and sector development strategies.
Analysis of the Effect of the Gini Ratio, Unemployment Rate, and Population Size on Economic Growth in North Sumatra Province Tri Ade Mardinata; Suhendi; Rahmad Sembiring
Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences (IJoMS) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences (IJoMS)
Publisher : CV. Era Digital Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59066/ijoms.v5i1.2348

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine whether the Gini ratio, unemployment rate, and population size have a significant effect on economic growth in North Sumatra Province during the period 2015–2024, both simultaneously and partially. This research was conducted using secondary/quantitative data published on the website of the Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) of North Sumatra Province. The study aims to analyze both the simultaneous and partial effects in the relationship between the independent variables (X) and the dependent variable (Y). The results show that simultaneously, the Gini ratio, unemployment rate, and population size have a significant effect on economic growth in North Sumatra Province. Partially, the unemployment rate has a negative and significant effect on economic growth, while the Gini ratio and population size have positive but insignificant effects on economic growth in North Sumatra Province. This study is expected to contribute to public literature, serve as a reference for future research, and provide considerations for the government in policy decision-making.
The Polarization of Population Growth on the Development of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises in the Medan Tuntungan District Hardianto Hardianto; Uswatun Hasanah; Rahmad Sembiring
Harmoni Economics: International Journal of Economics and Accounting Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Harmoni Economics: International Journal of Economics and Accounting
Publisher : International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70062/harmonieconomics.v3i1.457

Abstract

Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) have an important role in supporting economic growth and improving people’s income. The development of MSMEs is closely related to population growth and residential settlement patterns, especially in urban areas. This study aims to examine the effect of increasing residential settlements on the development of MSMEs in Medan Tuntungan District. The analysis focuses on the influence of population growth and the number of MSMEs on MSME income, as well as differences in MSME development between densely populated and less populated areas. This research used quantitative descriptive method and multiple linear regression analysis. Primary data are collect through questionnaires and interviews 100 MSME owners in Medan Tuntungan District. Secondary data were obtained from government reports and relevant literature. The independent variables in this study are population growth and the number of MSMEs, while the dependent variable is MSME income. The results show that population growth has positive and significant effect on MSME income. Number of MSMEs also has a positive and significant effect on MSME income. Overall, both variables jointly influence MSME income in Medan Tuntungan District. These findings indicate that the growth of residential settlements can provide opportunities for MSME development when supported by proper government policies and empowerment programs.
Analysis of the Influence of the Tourism Industry Sector on Local Original Income in Karo Regency in 2018-2023 Nadila Huswatun Hasanah; Ahmad Fadlan; Rahmad Sembiring
INVEST : Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis dan Akuntansi Vol. 6 No. 1 (2025): INVEST : Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis dan Akuntansi
Publisher : Lembaga Riset dan Inovasi Al-Matani

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55583/invest.v6i1.1171

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine how the number of visitors to Karo Regency and the number of tourist attractions impact Regional Original Income (PAD) in Karo Regency during the 2018–2023 period. The secondary data used in this study was obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Karo Regency Tourism Office. To determine the influence of the independent variables on the dependent variable, both partially and simultaneously, descriptive analysis and multiple linear regression were employed. The results indicate that the number of tourist attractions and the number of tourists have a significant simultaneous effect on PAD, with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.85, meaning that these two variables account for 85% of the variation in PAD. The number of tourist attractions has a significant partial effect on PAD, whereas the number of tourists does not. In addition to providing theoretical insights into the relationship between tourism and PAD, this study offers practical benefits in the form of strategic recommendations for tourism management in Karo Regency. However, the study is limited to data collected within a specific period and does not include additional variables such as hotel occupancy rates or tourist spending. Future research is expected to incorporate more variables and a broader dataset to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the topic.
The Effect Of Poverty Rate, Unemployment Rate, And Inflation On The Human Development Index In North Sumatra Province Kusuma Wardhani; Lia Nazliana Nasution; Rahmad Sembiring
Journal of Research in Social Science and Humanities Vol 5, No 4 (2025)
Publisher : Utan Kayu Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47679/jrssh.v5i4.605

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of poverty, unemployment, and inflation on the Human Development Index (HDI) in North Sumatra Province during the period 2019–2024. The study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from official publications of Statistics Indonesia, which are empirically analyzed to examine the relationships among variables. The findings indicate that increases in poverty and unemployment negatively affect the quality of human development through limited access to education, healthcare, and a decent standard of living, while inflation weakens purchasing power and hampers improvements in social welfare. Simultaneously, these three variables contribute substantially to variations in the HDI in North Sumatra, highlighting the importance of social and economic stability in supporting human development. This study is limited by the use of a relatively narrow set of macroeconomic variables; therefore, future research is recommended to incorporate public policy factors and regional inequality to provide a more comprehensive understanding
Co-Authors Abdelhakeem Khalid Ahmed, Azam Ahmad Fadlan Ahmad Fadlan Anggia Ramadhan Anggia Ramadhan Anggia Ramadhan Ayuni Nurafni Bella Meilysa Dede Ruslan Dian Septiana Sari Dian Septiana Sari Ela Rizky Wardhani Fadlan, Ahmad Fajriani, Rima Faried, Annisa Faried, Annisa Ilmi Fasya , Nadya Hardianto Hardianto Hartama, Dedy Herman Mawengkang Husein, Rizky Muhammad Ilmi Faried, Annisa Indrayani, Ilham Dandi Ira Gretti Hutagalung Khairina Khairina, Khairina Kimpah, Jeniboy Kusuma Wardhani Lia Nazliana Nasution Lubis, Novika Sari Meilysa, Bella Muhammad Yusuf Muhammad Zarlis, Muhammad Nadila Huswatun Hasanah Neng Sri Wahyuni, Neng Sri Nisa Ulzannah Nisa Ulzannah Nor Harlinda Binti Harun Nor Harlinda Binti Harun Novita Sari Manik, Rika Onny Medaline Pasaribu, Dina Mariana Rafianti, Fitri Ramadhan, Anggia Ramses Ginting Rika Nuraisyah Roro Rian Agustin Saimara A.M Sebayang Saimara Sebayang Saputra, M. Ilham Sari, Maya Macia Saripah Saripah, Saripah Simatupang, Rut Anatasya Siregar, Kiki Hardiansyah Siti Sara SRI RAHAYU Suhendi Suhendi Suhendi Sumaya sumaya Syah Putera Adrianto Tri Ade Mardinata Ulzannah, Nisa Uswatun Hasanah Uswatun Hasanah USWATUN HASANAH Uswatun Hasanah Uswatun Hasanah Uswatun Uswatun Uswatun, Uswatun Wardhani, Neng Sri Wasila Zuliyansah, Zuliyansah