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ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, SUKU BUNGA, JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA Taufiq C. Dawood; Emi Anjalia
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 2, No 4 (2017): November 2017
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1863.61 KB)

Abstract

Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh dari variabel Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Suku Bunga, Jumlah Uang Beredar dan Harga Minyak Dunia terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia. Model analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah model Vector Error Corection Model (VECM) dengan menggunakan data kuartalan dari tahun 1995.1 hingga tahun 2016.4. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pengaruh antara Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Suku Bunga, Jumlah Uang Beredar dan Harga Minyak Dunia (WTI) terhadap Inflasi. Mengingat Pertumbuhan Ekonomi memberikan pengaruh Positif yang signifikan terhadap Inflasi pada 1 periode sebelumnya, PDB juga mempunyai konstribusi sangat besar terhadap inflasi dengan nilai 57,57 persen pada periode ke 10, sedangkan variabel lainnya berkonstribusi kecil terhadap inflasi seperti suku bunga sebesar 0,48 persen, M1 sebesar 0,49 persen dan Harga Minyak dunia sebesar 0,16 persen. Hasil dari Kausalitas Granger juga menunjukan bahwa adanya Hubungan 1 arah dari PDB ke Inflasi dimana pada saat PDB meningkat mendorong terjadinya Inflasi. Untuk penelitian selanjutnya, disarankan agar dapat memasukan variabel lain, seperti nilai tukar untuk melihat seberapa besar pengaruh variabel nilai tukar terhadap Inflasi.Kata Kunci :Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Suku Bunga, M1, Harga Minyak Dunia (WTI), Inflasi.
VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI DAN REMITANSI INDONESIA (STUDI LITERATUR) Eko Wahyu Andika; Taufiq C. Dawood
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 3, No 2 (2018): May 2018
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Abstract

Abstrak Tujuan penelitian ini yaitu untuk melihat bagaimana pengaruh dari variabel makroekonomi seperti PDB, Inflasi dan Nilai tukar terhadap Remitansi Indonesia. Model analisis yang digunakanpada penelitian ini yaitu ARDL (AutoRegressive Distributed Lag). Menggunakan data kuartalan tahun 2005 Q1 hingga tahun 2016 Q4. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek variabel PDB memiliki pengaruh negatif namun tidak signifikan terhadap Remitansi.Variabel Inflasi memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan, Variabel Nilai Tukar memiliki pengaruh Positif dan tidak signifikan Terhadap Remitansi. Sedangkan Dalam jangka panjang baik PDB, Inflasi maupun Nilai Tukar tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Remitansi. Keadaan ini menunjukkan dalam jangka panjang pekerja tetap melakukan Remitansi tanpa dipengaruhi oleh ketiga variabel tersebut.Kata Kunci: Remitansi, PDB, Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, ARDL
PERMINTAAN KARTU KREDIT DI KOTA BANDA ACEH yola Mairina Sari; Taufiq C. Dawood
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2017): Agustus 2017
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Abstract

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh tingkat bunga kartu kredit dan pendapatan terhadap persentase pengeluaran dengan menggunakan Kartu Kredit di Kota Banda Aceh. Jumlah sampel sebanyak 100 orang yang dipilih secara acak terhadap masyarakat pengguna kartu kredit. Model analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda (Multiple Linier Regression) untuk mengidentifikasi permintaan kartu kredit di Kota Banda Aceh. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatanOrdinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tingkat bunga kartu kredit memiliki pengaruh negatif terhadap persentase pengeluaran dengan menggunakan kartu kredit sedangkan pendapatan berpengaruh positif. Faktor-faktor lain yang memengaruhi persentase pengeluaran dengan menggunakan kartu kredit adalah usia, jenjang pendidikan, status perkawinan, jenis pekerjaan, pendapatan dan suku bunga kartu kredit. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan pemerintah untuk memberikan sosialisasi tentang APMK (Alat Pembayaran Menggunakan Kartu), khususnya kartu kredit, agar masyarakat dapat lebih paham mekanisme sistem pembayaran dengan menggunakan kartu kredit. Kelemahan penelitian ini terbatas pada masyarakat pengguna kartu kredit, untuk penelitian selanjutnya dapat menambah sampel dan diperlukan pengembangan model lebih baik misalnya menggunakan metode deskriptif dengan Tobit Model Analysis.Kata Kunci : Persentase Pengeluaran dengan Menggunakan Kartu Kredit, Suku Bunga Kartu Kredit, Pendapatan, Ordinary Least Square(OLS)
KORELASI JUMLAH PENGELUARAN KONSUMSI ROKOK DENGAN JUMLAH PENGELUARAN KONSUMSI MAKANAN PADA MASYARAKAT MISKIN (Studi Kasus Kecamatan Darul Imarah, Kabupaten Aceh Besar) Darma Satria; Taufiq C dawood
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 2, No 1 (2017): Februari 2017
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (186.55 KB) | DOI: 10.24815/jimekp.v2i1.2460

Abstract

This research aims to determine the correlation of cigarette consumption with total food consumption in poor househoulds Darul Imarah district of Aceh Besar. To determine the relationship between these two variables, this study uses Pearson correlation approach. Pearson's correlation is used because both these variables do not have clear well defined directional causal relationship by previous theory. The results showed that the relationship between the cigarette consumption, with total food consumption in poor household in Darul Imarah is negative. This can be interpreted when the consumption of cigarettes increases this will reduce the food consumption. However this their relationship is weak because may be there are other factors which can influence the cigarette consumption expenses beyond the consumption of food such as taste, age, behavior, health care, and education. Based on this research the government is expected to provide socialization on the impact of tobacco consumption, both from the aspect of economic or health.  Penelitan ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui korelasi jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi rokok dengan jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi makanan pada masyarakat miskin di Kecamatan Darul Imarah Kabupaten Aceh Besar. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan korelasi pearson, Korelasi Pearson digunakan karena kedua variabel tersebut belum jelas arah hubungannya dan tidak terdefinisi dengan baik berdasarkan teori sebelumnya. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hubungan antara jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi rokok dengan jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi makanan pada masyarakat miskin di Kecamatan Darul Imarah adalah negatif, negatif artinya ketika jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi rokok meningkat akan mengurangi jumlah pengeluaran untuk konsumsi makanan, namun hubungan keduanya adalah lemah yang dikarenan terdapat faktor-faktor lain yang mempengaruhi jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi rokok diluar jumlah pengeluaran konsumsi makanan seperti selera, usia, perilaku, biaya kesehatan, dan pendidikan.Berdasarkan penelitian ini pemerintah diharapkan mampu memberikan sosialisasi tentang dampak yang ditimbulkan dari konsumsi rokok, baik dari aspek ekonomi ataupun kesehatan.
How important are health and education in boosting sub-national economic growth? Verazulianti Verazulianti; Taufiq Carnegie Dawood; Teuku Zulham
JOURNAL OF SOCIOECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT Vol 4, No 1 (2021): April
Publisher : Publisher of Widyagama University of Malang (UWG Press)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31328/jsed.v4i1.1762

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Development of the global economy is marked by increasing attention towards the health sector due to Covid-19 outbreak. This research contributes by examining how important is health and education for provincial economic growth, and connect it with foreign direct investments, and infrastructure spending. Taking Indonesia as a case study, and employing GMM and Fixed Effects methods, the analysis found that improving health and education outcomes are key for sub-national economic growth. However, foreign direct investment, domestic direct investment and public spending on infrastructure failed to support growth in the sub-national level. The finding is robust against alternative specifications. For policy suggestions, in order to dampen the negative economic effects of Covid-19 and to boost growth at post-pandemic period, government at all levels must maintain or even increase public spending in health and education which directly target improvements of health and educational outcomes. To ensure the improvements, public spending must be directed to provide good quality health and educational services; services which enhance health outcomes and develop students’ cognitive skills. In addition, good quality health and educational services must be evenly distributed across sub-nationalities. This is aligned with achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals number 10; reducing inequality within a country.JEL Classification H51; H52; O15
PENGARUH KREDIT BANK KEPADA SEKTOR SWASTA, KREDIT BANK KEPADA SEKTOR PEMERINTAH, SERTA KURS TERHADAP NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DI NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN Rauzatul Jannah; Taufiq Carnegie Dawood; Rustam Effendi; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar; Muhammad Abrar; Cut Zakia Rizki
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 9, No 1 (2022): MEI 2022
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/ekapi.v9i1.26166

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This study aims to examine the effect of bank credit for the government sector, bank credit for the private sector, and exchange rate on current account balance in ASEAN countries. This type of research is a quantitative descriptive study with the Random Effect EGLS panel data method. The data used are secondary data, obtained from the World Bank, FRED, and CEIC from 1990-2019. The results of this study indicate that exchange rate have a positive and significant effect on current account balance in ASEAN countries. Similarly, bank credit for the government sector, have a positive and significant effect on the current account balance. In addition, private sector bank credit, have a positive impact on the current account balance.
The Effect of Gender and Household Education Expenditure in Indonesia Tedy Di Oria Salam; M. Shabri Abd. Majid; Taufiq C Dawood; Suriani Suriani
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 2, No 4 (2021)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v2i4.192

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This study empirically examines and analyzes the effect of gender on human capital investment in Indonesia. Using the logistic regression method and data sourced from 315,672 households in Indonesia, this study shows that the number of boys, the number of girls, the working status of the head of the household, and the highest education of the head of the household have a positive and significant impact on human capital investment in Indonesia. The results show that female household heads who work and invest in the cost of children's education are more significant than male household heads who also work. Higher the education level of the head of the household, the higher the income received and also investment for children. This research shows strong evidence of gender inequality in education spending that tends to be more towards girls. Based on the results obtained, development policies can consider gender differences in investment in labor and education. Increasing the school participation rate of women compared to men will increase the differentiation of the workforce by gender but also increase income inequality between men and women. Likewise, investment in education which tends to be more directed to women than men, will reduce income inequality.
Do Phone and Internet Have Role to Promote Economic Rika Nurlela; Taufiq c. Dawood; Aliasuddin Aliasuddin
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 2, No 4 (2021)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v2i4.191

Abstract

As one of the developing countries in the world, Indonesia is very active in developing ICT. The dependence of the Indonesian people on ICT increases every year. The two ICT indicators experiencing rapid development are the telephone and the internet. This study aims to analyze the effects of fixed-line phone users, mobile phone users, and internet users on economic growth in Indonesia. The panel data used in this study is panel data from 33 provinces in Indonesia from 2011–2019. The results showed that mobile phone users and internet users have positive effects on economic growth. However, fixed-line phones have a negative and insignificant influence on economic growth. Advances in technology have shifted fixed-line phones to smartphones. The government is expected to control and direct mobile phones and the internet for productive activities to encourage economic improvement.
Determinants Comparative Advantage of Non-Oil Export 34 Provinces in Indonesia Irsan Hardi; Taufiq Carnegie Dawood; Putri Bintusy Syathi
International Journal of Business, Economics, and Social Development Vol 2, No 3 (2021)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijbesd.v2i3.137

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In spite of the country’s export activities constantly increase every year, based on the latest report Indonesia still sits at number 28th in the world's top export countries, consider Indonesia as one of the most populated nations and its rich natural resources. There is so much research in the literature about this issue, but to the author’s knowledge, there is still a lack of studies that analyze the performance of non-oil export comparative advantage between provinces in Indonesia instead of between its commodities. The purpose of this research is (1st) to compare non-oil exports comparative advantage between 34 provinces in Indonesia and (2nd) to prove the effect of chosen factors which are a foreign direct investment, local direct investment, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, population, labor, minimum wage, education, income disparity, regional GDP, government expenditure, and GDP of importing country toward provinces comparative advantage of non-oil export. This research using provinces panel data years 2010-2019. The method of this study is Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index and Trade Balance Index (TBI) to unveil non-oil export comparative advantage between 34 provinces in Indonesia and panel data regression to estimate the impact of determinant factors. The result of comparative advantage index estimation shows that 24 provinces have a comparative advantage based on the RCA index approach and 32 provinces have a comparative advantage based on the TBI approach on non-oil export activities year 2010-2019. The result of panel data regression found that 9 out of 13 determinant variables had a significant effect on the RCA index namely foreign direct investment, local direct investment, exchange rate, population, labor, minimum wage, income disparity, regional GDP, and government expenditure. Then 6 out of 13 determinant variables had a significant effect on TBI which are a local direct investment, interest rate, exchange rate, education, income disparity, and regional GDP.
Credit, Fiscal Policy, and Income Inequality: Empirical Study from Indonesia Teguh Rochmat Maulidi; Taufiq C. Dawood; Miksalmina Miksalmina
International Journal of Business, Economics, and Social Development Vol 3, No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijbesd.v3i2.202

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This paper investigates the relationship between credit, fiscal policy and income inequality in Indonesia. Annual data collected from Central Statistic Bureau is used from 2010 to 2020. The analytical method of this research is Genralized Least Square (GLS) to examine the relationship between variables. The results show that credit positively and significantly affects income inequality. Local government spending which is a proxy for fiscal policy has a significant and positive effect on income inequaity. The inflation variable has a significant positive effect on income inequality. However, the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDRP) per capita has a significant negative effect on income inequality. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the government be able to maintain the momentum of the increasing trend of economic growth by providing the right stimulus, among others by providing access to credit that is easier to reach for the low-income class. In addition, local government expenditure allocations should be better allocated to provide benefits for increasing community income, such as social assistance in the form of direct assistance or free job training by utilizing job training centers tailored to each region's potential.