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Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta
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Journal : Veteran Economics, Management

 1 
Determinasi Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen Terhadap Kondisi Perekonomian Indonesia Tias Handayani; desmintari
Veteran Economics, Management, & Accounting Review Vol 4 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/vemar.v4i1.12463

Abstract

This study aims to look at the effect of consumer confidence index on interest rates, economic growth, IHSG, and exchange rates in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data with a quarterly period of 2005-2022 obtained through the Central Bureau of Statistics, Bank Indonesia, the Financial Services Authority, and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The test results using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) that (i) interest rates have no long-term influence but short-term influence on the consumer confidence index in Indonesia, (ii) economic growth has a long-term influence but no short-term influence on the consumer confidence index in Indonesia, (iii) IHSG has a long-term and short-term influence on the consumer confidence index in Indonesia, and (iv) the exchange rate has a long-term influence but no short-term influence on the consumer confidence index in Indonesia. Keywords: Consumer Confidence Index, Interest Rate, Economic Growth, IHSG, Exchange Rate.   Abstrak Penelitian ini memiliki tujuan untuk melihat pengaruh indeks keyakinan konsumen terhadap suku bunga, pertumbuhan ekonomi, IHSG, dan nilai tukar di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dengan periode triwulan tahun 2005-2022 yang diperoleh melalui Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia, Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, dan Bursa Efek Indonesia. Hasil pengujian menggunakan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bahwa (i) suku bunga tidak memiliki pengaruh secara jangka panjang tetapi berpengaruh secara jangka pendek terhadap indeks keyakinan konsumen di Indonesia, (ii) pertumbuhan ekonomi memiliki pengaruh jangka panjang tetapi tidak memiliki pengaruh secara jangka pendek terhadap indeks keyakinan konsumen di Indonesia, (iii) IHSG memiliki pengaruh secara jangka panjang dan jangka pendek terhadap indeks keyakinan konsumen di Indonesia, dan (iv) nilai tukar memiliki pengaruh secara jangka panjang tetapi tidak memiliki pengaruh secara jangka pendek terhadap indeks keyakinan konsumen di Indonesia. Kata kunci: Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen, Suku Bunga, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, IHSG, Nilai.
Co-Authors Aisha Rahmadiah, Izza Alfatih S. Manggabarani Alfatih S. Manggabarani Amrie Firmansyah Ana Aufa Azelia, Ana Aufa Azelia Angga Karta Puspito Anggi Angga Resti Anggie Faramitha Arafi, Indri Ardi, Muhammad Fatikh Satrio Arrafi J, Indri Aryani, Lina Aryani, Lina Ashari Rahma, Annisa Br.Pinem, Dahlia Citra Asmara, Tegar Dahlia Br. Pinem Dahlia Pinem Dewi Darmastuti Dianwicaksih Arieftiara Eeng Ahman, Eeng Elia Erna Nurdiani Fachru Nofrian Fairuuz, Nabila Faramitha, Anggie Ferry Irawan Fitri Yetty Hatri Wahyumar Indri Arrafi Juliannisa Iwan Kresna Setiadi Izza Aisha Rahmadiah JUBAEDAH JUBAEDAH, JUBAEDAH Jubaedah Nawir Juliannisa, Indri Arrafi Laras Maodi Lina Aryani Lina Aryani Lina Aryani Lina Aryani Listyanto, Bryan Maodi, Laras Maria Assumpta Wikantari Maria Bernadette Nani Ariani Muhammad Fatikh Satrio Ardi Muhammad Pathi Farhan Munggaran, Nantia Rena Dewi Nabila Fairuuz Nani Ariani, MB Nobelson, Nobelson Nofrian, Fachru oktavia, Oky oktavia, Oky Pathi Farhan, Muhammad Praptiningsih Praptiningsih Praptiningsih, Praptiningsih Pusporini Pusporini Pusporini, Pusporini Raden Parianom Ratna Hindria Dyah Pitasari Renea Shinta Aminda Rio Bayu Taruno Risna Triandhari Safitri, Anis Wahyu Saputra, Yuda Dwi Saputra, Yuda Dwi Shaufiyani, Rifni Shella, Haya Marshella Lifnatin Nada Shellyna Rahma Nur Fitria Sufyati HS Suharyati Suharyati Tati Handayani Tegar Citra Asmara Tias Handayani Wahyudi Wahyudi Wahyudi Wahyudi Yetty, Fitri Yuda Dwi Saputra YUDI NUR SUPRIADI Zulkifli Musannip Efendi Siregar