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Departemen Ekonomi Sumberdaya Dan Lingkungan, Institut Pertanian Bogor. Jl. Raya Dramaga, Kec. Dramaga, Kab. Bogor, Jawa Barat 16680

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The Impact of Indonesian Crude Oil Demand Prices on the Indonesian Biodiesel Industry Siregar, Indah Adelina; Novindra, Novindra; Nofitasari, Rahmi
Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Vol 10, No 2 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/ma.v10i2.15020

Abstract

Biodiesel is one of Indonesia's potential export commodities as there is a production surplus that occurs every year from 2006 to 2020. The study used the 2SLS method with a validation and simultaneous equation model. Data processing using SAS/ETS version 9.4. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of Indonesia's crude oil demand price on Indonesia's biodiesel industry. The findings indicate that the demand for Indonesian biodiesel is positively impacted by a rise in the global real price of crude oil by 0.11%. This increase is due to both the biodiesel industry's and the local market's need for Indonesian palm oil. The local price of Indonesian biodiesel would rise by 0.49% due to the increase in demand for the fuel. The amount of biodiesel produced in Indonesia will increase by 0.87%, this increase in production is due to increasing domestic demand for Indonesian palm oil, and the volume of biodiesel exported to destination countries will increase by 0.01%. Exports of palm oil may be more impacted by the policy of raising the actual world price of crude oil. This implies that the program may potentially result in a rise in raw material exports. On the other hand, the biodiesel industry and other industries also see a spike in palm oil as a result of the strategy of raising the real world price of crude oil.
Analisis Kesejahteraan Rumah Tangga Petani Padi Sawah Berdasarkan Luas Lahan Garapan di Desa Sale, Kabupaten Rembang: The Welfare Analysis of Rice Farmer Households Based on Cultivated Land Area in Sale Village, Rembang Regency Novindra, Novindra; Arifah, Zumrotul
Journal of Integrated Agribusiness Vol 6 No 2 (2024): Journal of Integrated Agribusiness
Publisher : Jurusan Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Perikanan dan Kelautan Universitas Bangka Belitung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33019/jia.v6i2.5220

Abstract

Rice farming in Sale Village is the population's main occupation to earn income. Less land makes it easier for rice farming in Sale Village to make economic profits, so farmers have to look for additional income both in and outside of agriculture to achieve prosperity that is considered sufficient to meet their household needs. The objectives of this research are (1) to analyze household income and (2) to analyze the level of farmer welfare. The method used in this research is an analysis of income, expenditure, and household welfare using criteria (Sajogyo, 1997) and the BPS poverty line. The research results show that farming is the most significant contribution to household income for small, medium, and large land farmers. The household expenditure value of lowland rice farmers is above the welfare criteria and is classified as a moderate and not poor household.
Strategi Perluasan Pasar Udang Beku Indonesia ke Negara BRICS Ramadona, Tomi; Budiharsono, Sugeng; Suhana, Suhana; Novindra, Novindra; Sapanli, Kastana; Septya, Fanny
Jurnal Kebijakan Sosial Ekonomi Kelautan dan Perikanan Vol 15, No 2 (2025): Desember 2025
Publisher : Balai Besar Riset Sosial Ekonomi Kelautan dan Perikanan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15578/jksekp.v15i2.16107

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis potensi dan tantangan perdagangan udang beku Indonesia (HS 030617), yang hingga kini masih menghadapi berbagai kendala struktural seperti hambatan tarif dan non-tarif, tingginya biaya logistik, dan keterbatasan penetrasi pasar, sekaligus merumuskan kebijakan yang mendukung pengembangan perdagangan ke negara-negara anggota BRICS.. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis data sekunder yang mencakup analisis tren ekspor time-series selama periode 2013–2023, perhitungan daya saing menggunakan metode Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), dan kerangka Tinbergen untuk merumuskan kebijakan perdagangan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ekspor udang beku Indonesia ke negara BRICS mengalami tren peningkatan, meskipun kontribusinya terhadap total ekspor nasional masih relatif kecil. Namun di sisi lain tren ekspor ke negara di luar BRICS mengalami penurunan. Dengan demikian potensi diversifikasi terbuka lebar melalui pasar Rusia, India, Afrika Selatan, dan Uni Emirat Arab yang mulai menunjukkan tren pertumbuhan positif. Nilai RCA Indonesia untuk produk udang beku tercatat konsisten di atas angka 5,0 hingga 10,2, yang menandakan keunggulan komparatif kuat, meskipun belum diikuti dengan strategi penetrasi pasar yang optimal. Hambatan tarif, regulasi SPS, dan tingginya biaya logistik menjadi tantangan utama yang perlu diatasi. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan penguatan kerja sama melalui BRICS Seafood Agreement, peningkatan efisiensi logistik rantai dingin, dan diversifikasi pasar ekspor sebagai strategi menuju integrasi pasar perikanan yang lebih inklusif dan berkelanjutan.Title: Expansion Strategy for Indonesia’s Frozen Shrimp Market Into Brics CountriesThis study aims to analyze the potential and challenges of the Indonesian frozen shrimp trade (HS 030617), which still faces various structural obstacles such as tariff and non-tariff barriers, high logistics costs, and limited market penetration, while also formulating policies that support the development of trade to BRICS member countries. This study aims to analyze the potential and challenges of the Indonesian frozen shrimp trade (HS 030617) and formulate policies to support the development of trade to BRICS member countries. This study uses secondary data analysis methods that include time-series export trend analysis during the 2013–2023 period, competitiveness calculations using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) method, and the Tinbergen framework to formulate trade policies. The results show that Indonesian frozen shrimp exports to BRICS countries are experiencing an increasing trend, although their contribution to total national exports is still relatively small. However, on the other hand, the export trend to countries outside BRICS is decreasing. Thus, the potential for diversification is wide open through the markets of Russia, India, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates, which are starting to show a positive growth trend. Indonesia’s RCA for frozen shrimp products has consistently been recorded at between 5.0 and 10.2, indicating a strong comparative advantage, although an optimal market penetration strategy has not accompanied it. Tariff barriers, SPS regulations, and high logistics costs are the main challenges that the government must overcome. This study recommends strengthening cooperation through the BRICS Seafood Agreement, improving cold chain logistics efficiency, and diversifying export markets as strategies towards more inclusive and sustainable fisheries market integration.
Dampak Kenaikan Harga Minyak Bumi terhadap Ketersediaan Minyak Goreng Sawit Domestik Hartoyo, Sri; Putri, Eka Intan Kumala; Novindra, Novindra; Hastuty, Hastuty
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the impact of rising fossil fuel prices on the increasing impact on the demand of alternative fuels (biofuels), and its impact on food availability in Indonesia. An econometric model using simultaneous equations is employed. An increase in world crude oil price for 0,192 percent caused the price of real Indonesian palm oil export raised by 10,64 percent. Consequently, a larger biodiesel production is needed to meet their crease of world's consumer demand for biodiesel. Also, with the increase in real export price of Indonesian palm oil, it" will encourage palm oil producers to push their export volume. Indonesian palm oil exporter expected to increase by 6,37 percent to finally push the domestic CPO price increase for 1,85 percent. Rising domestic oil prices are causing oil demand in the palm oil industry to decline by 0,49 percent and in the end resulting in the decline of palm oil production by1,56 percent.
THE IMPACT OF CPO DOWNSTREAM POLICY IN THE DOWNSTREAM COOKING OIL INDUSTRY ON INDONESIAN EXPORT FOREIGN CHANGE Asifa, Asifa; Hidayat, Nia Kurniawati; Novindra, Novindra
Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 10, No 1 (2026): Maret 2026
Publisher : Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Science, Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/agrisocionomics.v10i1.27040

Abstract

Cooking oil is one of the derivatives of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) food products, which plays an important role in life and the economy. Government policies downstream, such as changes in export taxes and increasing the production capacity of the downstream cooking oil industry, are designed to encourage the development of cooking oil production. This study employs an econometric equation model with simultaneous equations to: (1) analyze the factors affecting CPO demand by the cooking oil industry; demand and supply, as well as palm cooking oil exports (2) analyze the impact of changes in export taxes; increasing CPO production capacity and the combination of these policies on foreign exchange earnings from cooking oil exports. The findings indicated that changes in Indonesia’s CPO export tax reduced the volume of CPO exports globally but increased domestic CPO supply. Consequently, CPO prices declined, leading to higher demand from the downstream industry. Increased demand for CPO and higher production capacity in the downstream industry were expected to boost cooking oil production further.
Dampak Kebijakan Hilirisasi CPO pada Industri Hilir Margarin terhadap Penerimaan Devisa Ekspor Indonesia Asifa, Asifa; Hidayat, Nia Kurniawati; Novindra, Novindra
Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Vol 10, No 1 (2026): Maret
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/ekonomis.v10i1.2443

Abstract

Downstream programs in various fields have given birth to several policies, including policies in downstream Crude Palm Oil (CPO) which encourages an increase in foreign exchange or labor absorption. One of the downstream CPO products in high-value-added ceramics is margarine. The demand for margarine products has been increasing every year because margarine is used as a food ingredient. This study used dynamic simultaneous equations spanning the last 25 years (1998-2022) and was processed using SAS software. In this study, an analysis was carried out on what factors affect the demand for CPO by the downstream margarine industry, the demand and supply of domestic margarine products, and the export of Indonesian margarine products. This study also analyzes the impact of downstream policies on the margarine industry, including increasing the export tax on CPO as a raw material for margarine, increasing the production capacity of the downstream margarine industry, or a combination of the two policies. The research concluded that increasing the CPO export tax led to a decrease in CPO export volume, which led to an increase in CPO supply and CPO demand by the margarine downstream industry while increasing production capacity encouraged an increase in demand for CPO by the margarine industry and an increase in CPO prices, then affected in increasing in palm oil productivity. The combination of these two policies has a positive impact on increasing the downstream of CPO into marginal, but they need to be encouraged by the government in the future, therefore it can generate a higher export foreign exchange value.