Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 27 Documents
Search

The Impact of Indonesian Crude Oil Demand Prices on the Indonesian Biodiesel Industry Siregar, Indah Adelina; Novindra, Novindra; Nofitasari, Rahmi
Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Vol 10, No 2 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/ma.v10i2.15020

Abstract

Biodiesel is one of Indonesia's potential export commodities as there is a production surplus that occurs every year from 2006 to 2020. The study used the 2SLS method with a validation and simultaneous equation model. Data processing using SAS/ETS version 9.4. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of Indonesia's crude oil demand price on Indonesia's biodiesel industry. The findings indicate that the demand for Indonesian biodiesel is positively impacted by a rise in the global real price of crude oil by 0.11%. This increase is due to both the biodiesel industry's and the local market's need for Indonesian palm oil. The local price of Indonesian biodiesel would rise by 0.49% due to the increase in demand for the fuel. The amount of biodiesel produced in Indonesia will increase by 0.87%, this increase in production is due to increasing domestic demand for Indonesian palm oil, and the volume of biodiesel exported to destination countries will increase by 0.01%. Exports of palm oil may be more impacted by the policy of raising the actual world price of crude oil. This implies that the program may potentially result in a rise in raw material exports. On the other hand, the biodiesel industry and other industries also see a spike in palm oil as a result of the strategy of raising the real world price of crude oil.
Analisis Kesejahteraan Rumah Tangga Petani Padi Sawah Berdasarkan Luas Lahan Garapan di Desa Sale, Kabupaten Rembang: The Welfare Analysis of Rice Farmer Households Based on Cultivated Land Area in Sale Village, Rembang Regency Novindra, Novindra; Arifah, Zumrotul
Journal of Integrated Agribusiness Vol 6 No 2 (2024): Journal of Integrated Agribusiness
Publisher : Jurusan Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Perikanan dan Kelautan Universitas Bangka Belitung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33019/jia.v6i2.5220

Abstract

Rice farming in Sale Village is the population's main occupation to earn income. Less land makes it easier for rice farming in Sale Village to make economic profits, so farmers have to look for additional income both in and outside of agriculture to achieve prosperity that is considered sufficient to meet their household needs. The objectives of this research are (1) to analyze household income and (2) to analyze the level of farmer welfare. The method used in this research is an analysis of income, expenditure, and household welfare using criteria (Sajogyo, 1997) and the BPS poverty line. The research results show that farming is the most significant contribution to household income for small, medium, and large land farmers. The household expenditure value of lowland rice farmers is above the welfare criteria and is classified as a moderate and not poor household.
Strategi Perluasan Pasar Udang Beku Indonesia ke Negara BRICS Ramadona, Tomi; Budiharsono, Sugeng; Suhana, Suhana; Novindra, Novindra; Sapanli, Kastana; Septya, Fanny
Jurnal Kebijakan Sosial Ekonomi Kelautan dan Perikanan Vol 15, No 2 (2025): Desember 2025
Publisher : Balai Besar Riset Sosial Ekonomi Kelautan dan Perikanan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15578/jksekp.v15i2.16107

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis potensi dan tantangan perdagangan udang beku Indonesia (HS 030617), yang hingga kini masih menghadapi berbagai kendala struktural seperti hambatan tarif dan non-tarif, tingginya biaya logistik, dan keterbatasan penetrasi pasar, sekaligus merumuskan kebijakan yang mendukung pengembangan perdagangan ke negara-negara anggota BRICS.. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis data sekunder yang mencakup analisis tren ekspor time-series selama periode 2013–2023, perhitungan daya saing menggunakan metode Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), dan kerangka Tinbergen untuk merumuskan kebijakan perdagangan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ekspor udang beku Indonesia ke negara BRICS mengalami tren peningkatan, meskipun kontribusinya terhadap total ekspor nasional masih relatif kecil. Namun di sisi lain tren ekspor ke negara di luar BRICS mengalami penurunan. Dengan demikian potensi diversifikasi terbuka lebar melalui pasar Rusia, India, Afrika Selatan, dan Uni Emirat Arab yang mulai menunjukkan tren pertumbuhan positif. Nilai RCA Indonesia untuk produk udang beku tercatat konsisten di atas angka 5,0 hingga 10,2, yang menandakan keunggulan komparatif kuat, meskipun belum diikuti dengan strategi penetrasi pasar yang optimal. Hambatan tarif, regulasi SPS, dan tingginya biaya logistik menjadi tantangan utama yang perlu diatasi. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan penguatan kerja sama melalui BRICS Seafood Agreement, peningkatan efisiensi logistik rantai dingin, dan diversifikasi pasar ekspor sebagai strategi menuju integrasi pasar perikanan yang lebih inklusif dan berkelanjutan.Title: Expansion Strategy for Indonesia’s Frozen Shrimp Market Into Brics CountriesThis study aims to analyze the potential and challenges of the Indonesian frozen shrimp trade (HS 030617), which still faces various structural obstacles such as tariff and non-tariff barriers, high logistics costs, and limited market penetration, while also formulating policies that support the development of trade to BRICS member countries. This study aims to analyze the potential and challenges of the Indonesian frozen shrimp trade (HS 030617) and formulate policies to support the development of trade to BRICS member countries. This study uses secondary data analysis methods that include time-series export trend analysis during the 2013–2023 period, competitiveness calculations using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) method, and the Tinbergen framework to formulate trade policies. The results show that Indonesian frozen shrimp exports to BRICS countries are experiencing an increasing trend, although their contribution to total national exports is still relatively small. However, on the other hand, the export trend to countries outside BRICS is decreasing. Thus, the potential for diversification is wide open through the markets of Russia, India, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates, which are starting to show a positive growth trend. Indonesia’s RCA for frozen shrimp products has consistently been recorded at between 5.0 and 10.2, indicating a strong comparative advantage, although an optimal market penetration strategy has not accompanied it. Tariff barriers, SPS regulations, and high logistics costs are the main challenges that the government must overcome. This study recommends strengthening cooperation through the BRICS Seafood Agreement, improving cold chain logistics efficiency, and diversifying export markets as strategies towards more inclusive and sustainable fisheries market integration.
Dampak Kenaikan Harga Minyak Bumi terhadap Ketersediaan Minyak Goreng Sawit Domestik Hartoyo, Sri; Putri, Eka Intan Kumala; Novindra, Novindra; Hastuty, Hastuty
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 11, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the impact of rising fossil fuel prices on the increasing impact on the demand of alternative fuels (biofuels), and its impact on food availability in Indonesia. An econometric model using simultaneous equations is employed. An increase in world crude oil price for 0,192 percent caused the price of real Indonesian palm oil export raised by 10,64 percent. Consequently, a larger biodiesel production is needed to meet their crease of world's consumer demand for biodiesel. Also, with the increase in real export price of Indonesian palm oil, it" will encourage palm oil producers to push their export volume. Indonesian palm oil exporter expected to increase by 6,37 percent to finally push the domestic CPO price increase for 1,85 percent. Rising domestic oil prices are causing oil demand in the palm oil industry to decline by 0,49 percent and in the end resulting in the decline of palm oil production by1,56 percent.
Dampak Kebijakan Hilirisasi CPO pada Industri Hilir Margarin terhadap Penerimaan Devisa Ekspor Indonesia Asifa, Asifa; Hidayat, Nia Kurniawati; Novindra, Novindra
Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Vol 10, No 1 (2026): Maret
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/ekonomis.v10i1.2443

Abstract

Downstream programs in various fields have given birth to several policies, including policies in downstream Crude Palm Oil (CPO) which encourages an increase in foreign exchange or labor absorption. One of the downstream CPO products in high-value-added ceramics is margarine. The demand for margarine products has been increasing every year because margarine is used as a food ingredient. This study used dynamic simultaneous equations spanning the last 25 years (1998-2022) and was processed using SAS software. In this study, an analysis was carried out on what factors affect the demand for CPO by the downstream margarine industry, the demand and supply of domestic margarine products, and the export of Indonesian margarine products. This study also analyzes the impact of downstream policies on the margarine industry, including increasing the export tax on CPO as a raw material for margarine, increasing the production capacity of the downstream margarine industry, or a combination of the two policies. The research concluded that increasing the CPO export tax led to a decrease in CPO export volume, which led to an increase in CPO supply and CPO demand by the margarine downstream industry while increasing production capacity encouraged an increase in demand for CPO by the margarine industry and an increase in CPO prices, then affected in increasing in palm oil productivity. The combination of these two policies has a positive impact on increasing the downstream of CPO into marginal, but they need to be encouraged by the government in the future, therefore it can generate a higher export foreign exchange value.
Hambatan Non-Tarif dan Dinamika Daya Saing Ekspor Kopi: Studi Komparatif Indonesia dan Vietnam Nazla Atikah Hikmatias Nasution; Sahara; Novindra
Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA Vol 12 No 5 (2026): In Progress
Publisher : Postgraduate, University of Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jppipa.v12i5.14216

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the world’s major coffee producers, however its export competitiveness remains relatively weaker and less stable than that of key competitors such as Vietnam. Previous studies on Indonesian coffee exports have largely focused on production and price dynamics, while the role of non-tariff barriers in shaping export competitiveness has received limited attention. This study therefore analyze the impact of non-tariff barriers on the competitiveness of Indonesian and Vietnamese coffee exports in major destination markets. The analysis employs the inventory approach, Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), and the Gravity Model using panel data of key importing countries during 2005-2024 period. The results indicate that Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) measures are the most dominant non-tariff barriers, as reflected by the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Coverage Ratio (CR) indicators, with 17 incident codes regulating a significant share of coffee trade. The results show that Indonesian coffee maintains a comparative advantage, as reflected by RCA values above one and positive RSCA values; however, this advantage is lower and less stable than that of Vietnam. EPD analysis further confirms that Indonesia’s coffee exports are predominantly positioned in the lost opportunity, retreat, and falling star quadrants. Moreover, the estimation results indicate that both SPS and TBT significantly reduce the export competitiveness of Indonesian and Vietnamese coffee. These findings suggest that improving compliance with international standards, strengthening certification systems, and enhancing traceability and quality control are essential policy priorities for improving the global competitiveness of Indonesian coffee exports.
Do Public Debt and Debt Service Support or Constrain Indonesia’s Agricultural Sector? Muhammad Azizan; Dwi Rachmina; Novindra Novindra
Jambura Agribusiness Journal VOLUME 7, ISSUE 2, 2026: JANUARY-JUNE
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37046/jaj.v7i2.37279

Abstract

Numerous studies have been conducted that concentrate on enhancing the efficacy of the agricultural sector, highlighting the significance of technical factors as well as the implications of climate change. To this point, there exists a deficiency of research exploring the impact of fiscal policy on the agricultural sector in Indonesia. This study provides novel empirical evidence on how debt and its associated risks influence the agricultural sector. Annual macroeconomic data from 1990 to 2023 were used to examine the relationship between debt, debt service, foreign direct investment, fertilizer consumption, and land area to the GDP of the agricultural sector in Indonesia. The examination was conducted employing the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methodology to discern both short-term and long-term associations among the variables. The results show that in the long run, public debt is positively related to the share of GDP in the agricultural sector, while the cost of debt service is negatively related. In the short term, only a few specific variables show a significant influence on the GDP of the agricultural sector. These results affirm that indebtedness contributes positively to the agricultural sector, whereas the expenses associated with servicing that debt may hinder the sector's contribution. This study provides empirical evidence that fiscal policy plays a crucial role in the agricultural sector and needs to be considered. Therefore, debt management must be directed at an efficient and effective allocation, taking into account the benefits of loans and the risks posed by interest payment obligations and debt installments. The study builds on the fiscal policy literature that affects key sectors of developing countries. The use of annual data with 34 observations, as well as indicators of GDP in the agricultural sector, implies that the results of the study reflect more structural changes and sectoral proportions in the economy.