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Yanuarti, Mira
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Analisis Pengaruh Luas Panen terhadap Produksi Beras Nasional : Pendekatan Regresi Linier Time Series Mira Yanuarti; Anadiya Pingki; Dwita Prisdinawati; Fery Murtiningrum
Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Tanaman Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Oktober : JURRIT: Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Tanaman
Publisher : Pusat riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/jurrit.v4i2.8510

Abstract

Rice is the staple food of most Indonesian people, making its availability a national priority. This study aims to analyze the effect of harvested area on national rice production using a time series linear regression approach based on monthly data in 2025. The research employed quantitative methods using secondary data analyzed with SPSS 27. The regression results produced the equation Ŷ = –0.067 + 0.003X. The t-test showed a significance value < 0.001, indicating that harvested area has a positive and significant effect on rice production. The coefficient of determination (R²) was 0.994, meaning 99.4% of rice production variation is explained by harvested area. These findings indicate that fluctuations in national rice production are largely determined by changes in harvested area rather than short-term productivity variations. Therefore, policies to increase rice production should prioritize maintaining harvested area through land protection, planting acceleration, and crop failure mitigation. The study contributes to providing an empirical model for short-term prediction of rice production in Indonesia.
Co-Authors Abdul Rizal, Abdul afriansyah, Cecep dimas Alam, Rizki Rio Jaya Apriyanti, Cikit Arianto, David Armiya Yuniarti Astin Utari Cikit Cindy Claudia Utami Darwan Effendi David Arianto Della Sapira Dina, Dwita Prisdinawati Dodi Aprianto Dodi Aprianto Dwan Pramadani Hidayat Dwita Frisdinawati Dwita Prisdinawati Dwita Prisdinawati Dwita Prisdinawati Dwita Prisdinawati Eddy Silamat, Eddy Effendi, Darwan Efrita Fitriyanti Efrita Fitriyanti Fahrozi Fahrozi Febri Nur Pramudya Febri Nur Pramudya Febri Nur Pramudya, Febri Nur Febriani, Zahara Fery Murtiningrum Fery Murtiningrum, Fery Fitri Lestari, Fitri Ginting, Nina Maksimiliana Gracia Gabrienda Gracia Gabrienda Gracia Gabrienda Gracia Gabrienda, Gracia Jepri Saputra Lestari, Ella Sandi Marwanti, Rahayu Melsa Agustin Meza Yolanda Milanda B, Putri Nabila Dhia Rahmah Sultanah NOVIANTI, MAYA Nurhasanah Nurhasanah Pingki, Anadiya Pingki, Anadya Prisdinawati, Dwita Putri Milanda B Putri Milanda Bainamus Resy Mulyani Rike Purnama Sari Ririn Nurhalizah Riski Ageng Cahyomi Rizky Septika Utami Saputra, Jepri Sarimawati Sarimawati Sherlya Maydasari Silvia alvionita, Vika Ardita Sundari Aditiya Wanda Rahmadani Zahara Zahara