Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 23 Documents
Search

Seasonal Forecasting of Ferry Passenger Demand for Operational Planning: Evidence from Bakauheni Port, Indonesia Abdullah, Khoirul Mizan; Muthoharoh, Luluk; Satria, Eggie; Neliyana, Rahma; Presilia, Presilia; Khoarizmy, Gymnastiar Al; Muslim, Anwar; Safitri, Ira
International Journal of Electronics and Communications Systems Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): International Journal of Electronics and Communications System
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24042/ijecs.v5i2.26694

Abstract

Forecasting ferry passenger numbers is essential for efficient port operations and resource planning. This study applies the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model to forecast monthly passenger volumes at Bakauheni Port, Lampung. The SARIMA (2,1,1)(0,1,1)₁₂ model was selected for its ability to capture trend and seasonal patterns effectively. Diagnostic checks confirmed the model's adequacy, and validation yielded a MAPE of 11.47 percent, indicating 88.53 percent accuracy. These results show that the SARIMA model offers reliable predictive performance and can support data-driven decisions in scheduling, resource allocation, and service optimization. These results demonstrate that the developed SARIMA model possesses reliable predictive performance and can serve as a practical tool for supporting operational decision-making. The model can help this port authorities and managers optimize service provision, allocate resources more efficiently, and respond proactively to anticipated changes in passenger volume, thereby improving overall port performance and customer satisfaction in the future. Although it does not incorporate external factors, the model provides a solid foundation for future improvements and research.
The Influence of Social Intelligence and Motivation on The Work Productivity of Organization Members Association of Angkasa Pura II Employee Wives Association Through Organizational Commitment Safitri, Ira; Pasaribu, Bomer; Samosir, Partogi Saoloan
Krisnadwipayana International Journal of Management Studies Vol 4 No 1 (2024): Krisnadwipayana International Journal of Management Studies
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Manajemen Universitas Krisnadwipayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

PERISWARA II is an organization whose members are the wives of Angkasa Pura II employees. This research aims to analyse the influence of intelligence and motivation on members' work productivity through organizational commitment. This research was conducted at a non-profit organization, namely the Angkasa Pura II Employee Wives Association Organization (Periswara II) with a sample of 100 respondents. The sampling technique uses a random sampling system. The data analysis method uses descriptive analysis and path analysis with the SPSS Version 25 system. The research results show that the total influence between social intelligence and motivation on members' work productivity through organizational commitment shows a coefficient value greater than the coefficient value of the direct influence. Organizational commitment can mediate social intelligence and motivation in influencing members' work productivity.
Effectiveness of a Multimodal E-Book in Enhancing 21st Century Skills in Pancasila Education Dharma, Surya; Hodriani; Halking; Safitri, Ira
Edukasi Vol 13 No 1 (2026): Edukasi: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pengajaran |in progess|
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Fatah Palembang, South Sumatra, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.19109/ejpp.v13i1.34113

Abstract

The weakening of students' civic character is caused by the influence of globalization and the ineffectiveness of conventional learning methods in Pancasila Education. These challenges demand innovative learning media that can foster 21st-century skills while internalizing Pancasila values. This study aims to develop and test the effectiveness of Multimodal E-Books as a learning medium capable of improving students' critical thinking and collaboration skills. A mixed method with a Research and Development (R&D) approach followed by a quasi-experiment was used in this study. The e-book was tested on two groups of students, namely the experimental group and the control group, with 30 participants in each group. This study included expert validation, pre-test, post-test, normality test, homogeneity test, independent sample test, and N-Gain analysis. The results show that the Multimodal E-Book is highly valid and suitable for use. In the effectiveness test stage, the experimental group obtained an N-Gain score of 0.68, which falls into the medium-high category. Meanwhile, the control group obtained an N-Gain score of 0.32, which falls into the low-medium category. The t-test results confirm that the difference between the two groups is highly significant (sig. 0.000). This study concludes that Multimodal E-Books are effective as a transformative learning medium capable of improving critical and collaborative skills and understanding of Pancasila values among students.