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Journal : International Journal of Computing Science and Applied Mathematics-IJCSAM

Prediction of the Number of Passengers at Yogyakarta Airport Imam Safawi Ahmad; Agus Suharsono; Elly Pusporini
(IJCSAM) International Journal of Computing Science and Applied Mathematics Vol. 5 No. 2 (2019)
Publisher : LPPM Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

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Abstract

The development of air transportation services is growing up. Based on the report of Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) in January-October 2015, the number of passengers reached 67.5 million. This number is increased by 12.8% from the previous year with only 58.9 million. Overall, there was increased in the number of passengers caused overload of capacity. One of international airports in Indonesia is Adisutjipto in Yogyakarta. The airport officer wants to develop in terms of airplane schedule management and the number of aircrafts used to calculate the number of passengers in the future. In this study, we aimed to forecast next period by using three methods, namely ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing and Combination of both univariate models. This research gives results that generally all route significantly increased every year with Denpasar, Jakarta, Pontianak and Singapore as exception. They were declined slightly in 2015. The number of passengers of departure and arrival routes are affected by seasonal impact. In addition, the model for departure and arrival data had similar models. Another result is combination method did not produce better results than the univariate method. The fit model for predicting data passenger is ARIMA seasonal methods.
Co-Authors Abul Haris Suryo Negoro Ade Dwi Anggraeni Ahsan, Muhammad Amriani, Tenry Nur Andarista, Dhea Vanny Andi Tenri Ampa Andi Tenri Ampa Andria Prima Ditago Ani Satul Ru’yati Badriyah Anwar Anwar Aprilia Ardiriani Aryo Wibisono Astiti, Luh Gede Dewi Sari Astrid Wiswandani Bambang Widjanarko Otok Bernadeta Chrisdayanti Boedijono, Boedijono Clara Agustin Stephani Desy Ariyanti Diaz Fitra Aksioma Dina Fitriasari Dina Suryawati Dwitiya Khansa N Elly Pusporini Fiqih Nur Aminah Firdaus, Alfareza Galvani, Selly Ganis Ardhaning Saputri Harun Al Azies Haryono Haryono Haryono Haryono Haryono Haryono Haryono Haryono Hidayatul Khusna Ilham Maharsa P Imaduddin Wafi Imam Safawi Ahmad, Imam Safawi Indaryani, Ariefina Sri Inka Ramadhani Putri Intan Nurul Amalia Jerry Dwi Trijoyo Purnomo Khoiru Liummah Ayu Nastiti Linda Wulansari Taryanto Lutfi Nur Aini Marieta Monica Marieta Monica Mohammad Hafidz Al Habib Monica, Marieta Muflih Rori Putra Harahap muhammad mashuri Mulyantari, Adhelya Dwi Muniroh Muniroh Nafilah Faradiba Nanik Prasetyoningsih Ni Luh Putu Satyaning Pradnya Paramita Nisar Nisar Nur Aida Ikrima Nur Iriawan Prabhawati, Adhiningsih pramesti, wara Prasetyoningsih , Nanik Purhadi Purhadi Purnamasari, Mita Rahmawati Erma Standsyah Retno Dyah Handini Retno Puspitaningrum Rina Wahyuningsih, Rina Rizky Nanda Ghifari Rohman, Hermanto Rossy Budhi Pratiwi Salisa Minchatur Rohmah Salsabila, Malikal Balqis Sari, Vianney Dwi Puspita Selfi Budi Helpiastuti Siti Annissa Rachmawati Siti Azizah Sonia Faradilla Suhartono Suhartono Suhartono Suhartono Suhermi, Novri Sunyoto Usman utomo, chandra eko wahyudi Vidya Sukma Fitriyawan Wibawati Wibawati Wibawati Wibawati Wibawati Wikaning Tri Dadari Yongky Choirul Anam Zahrina Luthfi Raudina Zarrin Hubaisy