Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
10.001
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Media Statistika Jurnal Pendidikan Sains Jurnal Inovasi Pendidikan Kimia Jurnal Matematika dan Statistika serta Aplikasinya (Jurnal MSA) Jurnal Tadris Kimiya Orbital: Jurnal Pendidikan Kimia Journal of Natural Science and Integration Tarbawi : Jurnal Pendidikan Islam JURNAL EKSAKTA PENDIDIKAN (JEP) Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA Jurnal Pembelajaran Sains Pelita Eksakta Journal of Educational Chemistry (JEC) Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Leibniz: Jurnal Matematika BIOCHEPHY: Journal of Science Education Indo-MathEdu Intellectuals Journal Journal of Mathematics UNP Arfak Chem: Chemistry Education Journal Jurnal Pendidikan, Sains dan Teknologi UNESA Journal of Chemical Education UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science Journal of Chemistry Education and Integration Jurnal Akademika Kimia Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Jurnal Inovasi Pendidikan Kimia
Yenni Kurniawati
Jurusan Matematika, FMIPA Universitas Negeri Padang
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Astronomy Automotive Engineering Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Social Sciences Other

Published : 96 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : Jurnal Matematika dan Statistika serta Aplikasinya (Jurnal MSA)

 1 
Peramalan Curah Hujan Sebagai Upaya Mitigasi Bencana Menggunakan Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Fayyadh Ghaly; Amelia Susrifalah; Yenni Kurniawati
Jurnal MSA (Matematika dan Statistika serta Aplikasinya) Vol 13 No 1 (2025): VOLUME 13 NO 1 TAHUN 2025
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24252/msa.v13i1.55289

Abstract

Rainfall prediction is important in disaster mitigation to reduce impacts such as drought, flood, and landslide. Rainfall data that has a seasonal pattern requires an appropriate forecasting method, one of which is SARIMA. This study predicts rainfall at the Deli Serdang Climatology Station, North Sumatra, based on monthly observation data for 2018–2023, showing a seasonal pattern with a 12-month cycle. The best model obtained is SARIMA (0,0,1) (0,0,1)12 with a MAPE of 19.5%, indicating a prediction accuracy of 80.5%. The forecasting results indicate a decrease in rainfall in the first semester of 2024, which is in the medium rainfall category. These findings can support disaster risk mitigation strategies and natural resource management planning related to climate change. The SARIMA model also has the potential to be applied in further climatology studies.
Co-Authors Abdullah Herman Aditya, Muhammad Fadhil Aditya Admi Salma Afifa Lufti Insani Ahmad, Nur Jahan AL Rezki Ivansyah Alya Aufa, Wafiq Amelia Susrifalah Anang Kurnia Anggara, Rudi Anggi Adrian Danis Anita Fadila Anjelisni, Nining Annisa Ramadhani Aprotama, Celsy Ardhi, Sonia Ardiyatul Putri Arnellis Arnellis arrahmi, nailul Atus Amadi Putra Aulia Wanda Aulia, Yuke Aurumnisva Faturrahmi Berliana Nofriadi Bimbim Oktaviandi Celsy Aprotama Chairina Wirdiastuti Cindy Caterine Yolanda Darwas Deska Warita Devi Yopita Sipayung Dewi Murni Dewi, Sari Tirta Dina Fitria Dina Fitria Dina Fitria, Dina Disti Harlin Diva Diva Aliyah Diyanti, Wafika Rahma Djamaluddin, Safrijal Dodi Vionanda Dony Permana Dwi Sulistiowati, Dwi Elfiani Sarian Bur Elfin Innaka Hamidah Elza Vinora Fachri Dermawan Fadhil Irsyad, Muhammad Fadhilah Fitri Fadzliana, Nanda Fahmi Amri, Fahmi Fashihullisan Fatimah Depi Susanty Harahap Fayyadh Ghaly Fayza Annisa Febrianti Febiola Putri, Febi Fitri, Fadhilah Fitri, Fitri Hayati fitri, silfia wisa Ghaly, Fayyadh Hadiyanti Riskha Handayani, Laras Dyaz harelvi, dhea afrila Harpidna, Riska Harpidna Hary Merdeka Helma Helma Helma Helma Hendrawan, Muhammad Hendri, Jhon Ihsan Dermawan Irwan Irwan Khairani, Putri Rahmatun Kristi, Elizabeth Kusman Sadik Lina, Ejma Rukma Lutfian Almash M Fathoni Arnas Manja Danova Putri Marvero, Andre Maya Ifra Shobia Meira Parma Dewi Minora Longgom Nasution Muhammad Arief Rivano Mujakir Mujakir Mukhti, Tessy Octavia Mulyani, Suci NA Mentacem Nabillah, Marwana Natasya Dwi Ovalingga, natasyalinggaa Nonong Amalita Oktaviani, Bernadita Permana, Dony permana, yazid Prida Nova Sari Putra, Dio Afdal Putri Amalia Azzahra Putri Yeni, Dicha Putri, Fadhira Vitasha Putri, Rihani Himtari Rahma, Dzakyyah rahmad revi fadillah Rahmah, Ati Rahmawati, Santri Ramadani, Dea refelita, fitri Revina Rahmadani Riady, AD Risnawati Risnawati Rizki Amalia, Annisa Rizkiah, Niswatul Ronald Rinaldo Rosa Salsabila Azarine Rosya, Aljeneri Safitri, Natasya S. Salma, Admi Sari, Ceria Purnama Sari, Nurhikmah Sasmita, Riza Sepniza Nasywa Septrina Kiki Arisandi Siregar, Erlina Azmi Siskha Maulana Basrul Sondriva, Wilia SRI RAHAYU Sri Wahyuni Suci Rahmadani Suprianingsih, Nelis Susrifalah, Amelia Syafriandi Syafriandi Syafriandi Syafriandi Syahidah, Izzati Tessy Octavia Mukhti Tsani, Nahda Maesya Wimmi Sartika Windi Dwi Saputra yenti, elvi Yunistika Ilanda Zamahsary Martha Zilrahmi, Zilrahmi