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All Journal Industry Xplore Jurnal Teknik Industri Terintegrasi (JUTIN) Joutica : Journal of Informatic Unisla Jurnal Teknologi dan Manajemen Industri Terapan Jurnal Teknik Industri Jurnal Riset Multidisiplin dan Inovasi Teknologi Neraca Manajemen, Akuntansi, dan Ekonomi Jurnal Pengabdian Sosial Marsialapari: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Lumbung Ngabdi: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat
Gusman Simon
Universitas Pelita Bangsa
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mechanical Engineering Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Peramalan pendaftar mahasiswa baru dengan menggunakan metode moving average, weighted moving average dan exponential smoothing Simon, Gusman
Jurnal Teknik Industri Terintegrasi (JUTIN) Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): January
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/jutin.v8i1.36423

Abstract

Forecasting, which is part of planning activities, provides benefits for higher education institutions to prepare for the needs of the selection process. This study aims to predict the number of new student applicants using the moving average, weighted moving average, and exponential smoothing methods. Forecast accuracy testing through signal tracking tests in each period, as well as MAD, MSE, and MAPE values. The forecast results using the exponential smoothing method with α 0.2 provide the smallest MAD results compared to other methods. The forecast results using the 3-period weighted moving average method with the last weight of 0.8, the second weight of 0.1, and the third weight of 0.1 provide the smallest MSE and MAPE results compared to other methods.
Co-Authors Anharun Nuha Artanti, Dwi Maharani Darmawan, Heru Faradifa, Dwi Gymnastiar, Zidan Indah Nurcahyani Kustiwan, Susan Sawaluddin Siregar Suhartono Susan Kustiwan Syarah Rizkia Feriaty Tri Ngudi Wiyatno zainal efendi hasibuan