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Journal : ASPIRATOR

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Prediksi Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue di Kecamatan Papar Kabupaten Kediri Tahun 2016–2021 Ridha fajar Lutfianawati; ngadino ngadino; marlik marlik
ASPIRATOR - Journal of Vector-borne Disease Studies Vol 14 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Aspirator Volume 14 Nomor 1 2022
Publisher : Loka Litbang Kesehatan Pangandaran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (863.891 KB) | DOI: 10.22435/asp.v14i1.5892

Abstract

Abstract. Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever is a health problem in Indonesia. Papar is included in the area with the highest number of dengue casesThe purpose of the study was to find out the prediction of dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in papar subdistrict, Kediri regency based on dengue fever cases. This type of research is quantitative with retrospective. Data analysis using ARIMA time series model. The best ARIMA model is ARIMA (1, 0, 0) with the equation Yt = 0.9974 Y t- 1 + α t. The MSE value on the prediction is 28,41. The predicted results in January will be an increase in cases then can do PE and fogging. In July with the lowest number of cases can take PSN and 3M plus action. Abstrak. Demam Berdarah Dengue merupakan masalah kesehatan di Indonesia. Kecamatan Papar, Kabupaten Kediri termasuk dalam daerah dengan jumlah kasus DBD tertinggi. Tujuan penelitian untuk mengetahui prediksi kejadian DBD di wilayah Kecamatan Papar, Kabupaten Kediri. Jenis penelitian ini adalah kuantitatif dengan metode retrospektif. Analisis data menggunakan time series model ARIMA. Model ARIMA terbaik yaitu ARIMA (1, 0, 0) dengan persamaan Yt = 0.9974 Yt - 1 + α t . Nilai MSE pada prediksi adalah 28,41. Hasil prediksi pada bulan Januari akan terjadi kenaikan kasus maka dapat melakukan PE dan fogging. Pada bulan Juli dengan jumlah kasus terendah dapat melakukan tindakan PSN dan 3M Plus.
Co-Authors AA Sudharmawan, AA Abrelian Ari Ratmansyah Adrian Hilmy Prasetiyo Alfatur Hari Wicaksono Amalina, Avita Anisa, Anisatul Jannah Aries Prasetyo Bambang Bambang Barokatul Aulia Izza Bella Dwi Septiana Budi Yulianto Chairudina, Erin Dania Oktafia, Dhiya Darjati Darjati Darjati Darjati, Darjati Deffany Novitasari Putri Suwanta Demes Nurmayanti Desysaputri, Vera Dewi Lia Listyawati Dewi Randa Dinda Yully Lestari Edza Aria Wikurendra Eka Alicia Fibrianti Ervalia Zamilanti, Zilca Fadlilah, Hidayatul Fanny Putri Andari Ferry Kriswandana Ferry Kriswandana Ferry Kriswandana Ferry Kriswandana Firda Yusy Firda Yusy Annisa Firdausi, Riskya Ananda FITHRIYAH, LAILATUL Fitria Funny, Vianita Gracia Satyawestri Pribadi Hadi Suryono Hadi Suryono Hanifah Nailul Mukarromah Hermiyanti, Pratiwi Imam Thohari Imam Thohari Imelda Amitharia Jayanti Imelynia Pratiwi Suhari Irwan Sulistio Irwan Sulistio Iva Rustanti Eri Wardojo Khambali, Khambali Koerniasari . Koerniasari Koerniasari Laila Fauziah Ramadhani Laily Masruroh, Laily Lembunai Tat Alberta Lidya Nurdiyati Sri Winarie Liluk Noviyanti Lintang Lailattul Fadillah Lutfianawati, Ridha Fajar Mareta Ega Pramestari Margaretha . Margono Margono Miftakhul Jannah Milanti Nadia Fitri Mirasa, Yudied Agung Muhammad Ibrahim Al Aqib Muhammad Syahrul Rizal Mujayanto Narwati Narwati Narwati Narwati Narwati Ngadino Ngadino Ngadino Ngadino, Ngadino Ngadino, Ngadino Nisrina Nuha Sholiha nur haidah Nur Laily Rizki Fajariyah Nur Laily Rizki Fajariyah Nur Mas'Ula Nurhaidah Nurhaidah Okta, Dhea Stya Oktafia Putri W Oktafia Putri W Oktavia, Jeny Elsa Pradevi Milafitri Farista Ananto Prasetiyo, Adrian Hilmy Pratiwi, Windri Khusuma Puspa Wardhani Puspa Wardhani Puspa Wardhani Putra, Ferdiansah Ananda Putri Arida Ipmawati, Putri Arida Queeniza Ulya Yonata Rachmaniyah Rafif, Devina Yunizar Ramadhani, Laila Fauziah Ratih Lukmitarani Ridha fajar Lutfianawati Rohkmalia, Fitri Rokhmalia, Fitri Ruslan La Ane Rusmiati Rusmiati Rusmiati Rusmiati Rusmiati Sari Putri Utami Sari, Ernita SASKIYYAH CITRA TUNGGA DEWI Setiawan Setiawan Setiawan Setiawan Setiawan Setiawan Setiawan, Mahawiraja Siti Surasri Slamet Wardoyo Sofi Karina Fridayanti Sri Anggraeni Sri Anggraeni Sugiana Sulistio, Irwan Sumiyarsono, Elmi Suranta Sinulingga, Teguh Syntiya Rachmadani Putri Tamyis . Thohari, Imam TUNGGA DEWI, SASKIYYAH CITRA Utamy Aprilia Nur Wahyuni Vera Desysaputri Winarko Winarko Winarko Winarko winarko, winarko Wisnu Istanto Yudied Agung Mirasa Yudied Agung Mirasa Zukrisningtyas, Liza Fajrin