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All Journal Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Perikanan dan Ilmu Kelautan Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Economac: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Ekonomi Jurnal Geografi Jesya (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Ekonomi Syariah) Ecosains Jurnal Manajemen Universitas Bung Hatta Suluah Bendang: Jurnal Ilmiah Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Science and Environmental Journals for Postgraduate Jurnal Ecogen Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan JUKESHUM: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Asean International Journal of Business Manaruko: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP)
Triani, Mike
Universitas Negeri Padang
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Other

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ANALISIS TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER JALUR EKSPEKTASI DALAM MEMPENGARUHI INFLASI DI INDONESIA Muhammad Rasyad Gunawan; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 3, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Abstract

This study aims to analyzes the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the expectations channel in influencing inflation in Indonesia, based on the premise that uncontrolled inflation can erode purchasing power, hinder investment, and slow economic growth. The study employs quarterly secondary data for the 2006–2023 period obtained from the Economic and Financial Statistics of Indonesia (SEKI) and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), covering the policy interest rate (BI-Rate), inflation expectations, exchange rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and inflation. The analytical method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), preceded by the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) stationarity test, optimal lag selection, Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test, and Impulse Response Function (IRF) analysis. The results indicate that all variables are non-stationary at level but become stationary at first difference, and a long-run cointegration relationship exists, validating the application of VECM. In the long run, the BI-Rate, inflation expectations, and exchange rate significantly affect inflation, while GDP is insignificant. In the short run, a bidirectional causal relationship is found between the exchange rate and inflation expectations. The IRF analysis reveals that monetary policy shocks influence inflation with a certain time lag. The study concludes that policy credibility and effective communication are crucial in strengthening the effectiveness of the expectations channel in controlling inflation. It is recommended that Bank Indonesia enhance policy transparency and public economic literacy to strengthen public confidence in achieving inflation targets.Keywords: Monetary Policy Transmission, Inflation Expectations, Exchange Rate, GDP, Inflation, VECM
Komparasi Ketimpangan Pembangunan Antara Provinsi Sumatera Utara Dan Provinsi Sumatera Barat Novita Purba Tambak; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 3, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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The problem of development inequality is a crucial issue in Indonesia. Development inequality is caused by differences in geographical conditions of a region such as regional characteristics, natural resource potential, human resources and uneven investment levels between regions. North Sumatra and West Sumatra are in one region, namely Sumatra Island, which is in the same national fiscal system but has a contrasting pattern of inequality. This study specifically discusses the comparison of regional inequality levels measured using the Williamson Index between North Sumatra and West Sumatra Provinces based on Regency/City data by looking at the influence and how large the comparison of Regional Expenditure, TPAK, Infrastructure, HDI and Economic Growth of the two regions. This study uses statistical analysis with a difference test (t-Test) using BPS data from 2019-2023. The results show that there are significant differences in Regional Expenditure, TPAK, Infrastructure, HDI and Economic Growth between North Sumatra and West Sumatra and significantly affect development inequality.
ANALISIS DETERMINAN KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI PULAU SUMATERA Shofi Yuni Fitri; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study aims to analyze the determinants of income inequality in Sumatra Island. The variables examined consist of GDP per capita, agricultural sector GDP, agricultural employment, school participation rate, open unemployment rate, and female labor force participation across 10 provinces in Sumatra from 2015 to 2022. This research employs panel data analysis, and based on the model selection tests conducted, the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) was identified as the most appropriate model.The results indicate that GDP per capita has a negative and significant effect on income inequality, implying that higher regional income contributes to reducing inequality in Sumatra. Likewise, the school participation rate and female labor force participation show negative and significant effects, suggesting that better access to education and greater involvement of women in the labor market play an essential role in narrowing the income gap.Meanwhile, agricultural employment has a negative but insignificant effect on income inequality, indicating that the agricultural labor sector has not yet contributed meaningfully to reducing inequality. Furthermore, agricultural GDP and the open unemployment rate have positive but insignificant effects, demonstrating that increases in these variables do not have a substantial impact on income distribution. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of economic growth, education, and female workforce participation in addressing income inequality in Sumatra.
Pengaruh PDRB Per Kapita, Tingkat Kemiskinan dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia di Provinsi Sumatera Barat Dea Fahera; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study aims to analyze the effect of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) per capita, poverty rate, and government expenditure on the Human Development Index (HDI) in West Sumatra Province. The study employs panel data from 12 regencies and 7 cities over the period 2020–2024. The analytical method used is panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach. The results indicate that GRDP per capita has a positive and significant effect on HDI, the poverty rate has a negative but insignificant effect on HDI, while government expenditure has a positive and significant effect on HDI. Simultaneously, the three variables significantly influence HDI in West Sumatra. These findings emphasize the importance of increasing community income and enhancing the effectiveness of regional budget management to support human development, as well as the need for strategic policies to mitigate the impact of poverty.
Pengaruh kerjasama ekonomi Indonesia dengan China terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia Muhammad alfikri; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study aims to analyze the impact of Indonesia–China economic cooperation on Indonesia’s economic growth during the quarterly period of 2017–2024. The independent variables consist of Indonesia’s exports to China, imports from China, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from China, and the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, while the dependent variable is Indonesia’s economic growth. The research employs a quantitative approach using multiple linear regression (OLS) and classical assumption tests to ensure the validity of the model
Pengaruh Digitalisasi Terhadap Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Di Indonesia maisyha yulia; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh keterampilan TIK, akses internet pada kelompok usia 16–18, 19–24, dan 25+, tingkat pendidikan, dan tingkat upah terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja di Indonesia yang diukur dengan tingkat interferensi terbuka (TPT). Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan memanfaatkan data sekunder berupa data deret waktu yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) periode 2016–2023. Metode analisis yang diterapkan adalah regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial keterampilan TIK berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Akses internet pada kelompok usia 16–18 berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan. Akses internet pada kelompok usia 19–24 berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Selanjutnya, akses internet pada kelompok usia 25+ berpengaruh positif dan signifikan. Tingkat pendidikan menunjukkan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Tingkat upah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja di Indonesia. .
Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Pembangunan Manusia Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Anisya Dwi Sukma Agsa; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study aims to identify the factors influencing human development in North Sumatra Province. The variables examined include the poverty rate, the open unemployment rate, and economic growth across districts and cities in North Sumatra Province during the period 2017–2023. The study employs panel data analysis, with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) selected as the most appropriate model. The results indicate that the poverty rate and economic growth have a negative and significant effect on the Human Development Index (HDI) in North Sumatra Province, while the open unemployment rate has a positive but insignificant effect on the HDI.
Determinan Pengangguran Muda di Indonesia Shevia Penta Hermalia; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis determinan pengangguran muda di Indonesia. Pendekatan yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan analisis yang digunakan regresi logistik biner, memanfaatkan data Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (SAKERNAS) 2020. Variabel yang di analisis meliputi pendidikan, status pernikahan, wilayah, jenis kelamin, keterampilan dan status dalam rumah tangga terhadap pengangguran muda (usia 18-29 tahun). Hasil estimasi menunjukan bahwa pendidikan, status pernikahan, jenis kelamin, dan status dalam rumah tangga berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap pengangguran muda sedangkan keterampilan dan wilayah berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pengangguran muda. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa perlunya kebijakan peningkatan Pendidikan, pelatihan, keterampilan serta pemerataan kesempatan kerja yang dapat menekan pengangguran muda di Indonesia.
Analisis Partisipasi Pendidikan Tinggi di Indonesia Ririn Andrian Ririn; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2026): MedREP: Volume 3, No. 2, Mei 2026
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study aims to examine the factors influencing the Gross Enrollment Ratio (GER) in higher education in Indonesia, which remains relatively low and uneven across regions. The study utilizes panel data from 34 provinces over the 2020–2024 period, incorporating variables such as GRDP per capita, internet access, the open unemployment rate, and population growth rate. The analytical method employed is panel data regression using a random effect model, selected based on the chow, hausman, and lagrange multiplier tests. The results indicate that GRDP per capita has a negative and significant effect on GER. In contrast, internet access and the open unemployment rate have positive and significant effects, while population growth has a negative but insignificant effect. Collectively, all variables are found to have a significant influence on GER. These findings highlight the important roles of economic factors, digital access, labor market conditions, and population growth in shaping higher education participation, and provide a basis for formulating more effective policies to increase higher education participation in Indonesia.
Pengaruh Emisi Karbon, Remitansi Tenaga Kerja dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap GDP per kapita negara anggota G20 Achmad Thoriq Khautsar; Mike Triani
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2026): MedREP: Volume 3, No. 2, Mei 2026
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study examines the effects of carbon emissions, labor remittances, and government spending on GDP per capita as an indicator of welfare in G20 countries during 2016–2023. The study employs panel data sourced from the World Development Indicators (WDI) and other international institutions. GDP per capita is treated as the dependent variable, while carbon emissions, labor remittances, and government spending are the independent variables. The analysis uses panel data regression with a Fixed Effect Model (FEM), selected based on the Chow and Hausman tests. The results indicate that carbon emissions have a negative and significant effect on GDP per capita, suggesting that environmental externalities reduce welfare levels. Labor remittances show a positive but statistically insignificant effect, implying a limited contribution to aggregate economic welfare. Meanwhile, government spending has a negative and significant effect, indicating inefficiencies in public expenditure management that hinder its role in improving welfare. Overall, the findings highlight that welfare in G20 countries is influenced by environmental, external income, and fiscal factors. Therefore, improving welfare requires policies focused on sustainable environmental management, more productive use of remittances, and enhanced efficiency in government spending.
Co-Authors Achmad Thoriq Khautsar Adib Adib Adisti Aulia Sari Afyana Afdal Ahmad Hafizd Ainil Zaqiah Akhirmen Akhirmen Aldiyus Aldiyus Alhadi, Zikri Ali Anis Ali Anis Alvina, Cut Aja Ananda, Latifah Revi Andria Ningsih Andria Ningsih Anggraini, Diana Fitri Anisya Dwi Sukma Agsa Arifman Fajri Ariusni Ariusni Ariusni, Ariusni - Artha, Dwirani Puspa Asmika Harnalin Simarmata Aulia Rizki Akbar Belmondo, Berryl Berry Belmondo Chairati Fadliyah Chichi Andriani, Chichi Damrul Ahmad Dea Fahera Delfi Hurnis Delfi Hurnis Delta Susanti Dewi Alfatimah Dini Dwi Syafira Dwita, Vidyarini Eka Hendrayani Eka Hendrayani elsa andrisani Elsa Andrisani Eveline Hachica Fadil Ananta Piskha Fadilla, Dini Fefy Finasri Fitra, Halkadri hamdani rasyid, muhammad rizki Hana Raghdsifa A W Hasdi Aimon Hendri Andi Mesta Herlina Helmy Hurnis, Delfi Idris Idris Karjuni Dt Maani Khairani Khairani Lara Putri Arantika Lucia Maison Putri maisyha yulia Maya Oktavia Resfika Melti Roza Adry Miftahul Khair Monica Wulandari Muhammad alfikri Muhammad Fauzan Rizwan Muhammad Iqbal, Muhammad Iqbal Muhammad Irfan Muhammad Luthfi Muhammad Rasyad Gunawan Mustika Lukman Arief, Mustika Lukman Mutiara Idris Najmi Illahi Nining, Andria Ningsih Nisa, Rahmiyatin Novita Purba Tambak Novya Zulva Riani Nurzi Sebrina Pramudia, Heru Putri, Lucia Maison Rahmiyatin Nisa Rammadani Yusran Randi Febri Canitra Reni Novianti Sari Rery Novio Revygusrivo Fitri Yenti Bur Rina Nasmiwati Rini Mildyanti Riri Agustina Fratiwi Riri Enjeli Ririn Andrian Ririn Ririn Martini Rezki Rohim Rohim Rufi'i Sandi Fitra Yusuf Sari, Yollit Permata Sembiring, Rinawati Shevia Penta Hermalia Shofi Yuni Fitri Silfi Elia Silvi Algazali Siska Demi Putri Siti Aisyah Sonia Pratiwi Sri Ulfa Sentosa Suci Rahmalia Syabila Tania Syafira, Dini Dwi Syamsul Amar Syaza Nuri Mahera Thamrin Thamrin Tri Kurniawati, Tri Tria Agustin Urmatul Uska Akbar Venny Irmi Via Aprilia yeni wati Yeni, Isra Yeni, Isra Yeniwati Yeniwati Yogi Afriandi Yolanda Febrita Wahyu Yulia Putri Yunita Engriani Yusuf, Sandi Fitra Zamil, Ilham Zul Azhar