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Journal : International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology

Gold Price Prediction Using the Fuzzy Time Series Saxena-Easo Method Fernando, Anjas; Lubis, Riri Syafitri; Cipta, Hendra
International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology The 1st ICoSDTech 2021
Publisher : International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (444.013 KB)

Abstract

Gold is an investment that has the smallest risk compared to other investment methods, but every time the price of gold always fluctuates. This fluctuation will make it difficult for investors, the government, or those who need gold price data to see how the prospects for gold investment are going forward. To overcome this, a prediction or forecast is made. One of the forecasting methods developed with fuzzy theory is the Saxena-Easo fuzzy time series method. In this study, this method will be used to predict gold prices in the period 17 August 2021 to 31 December 2021. The purpose of this study is to determine the value of gold prices for the period 17 August 2021 to 31 December 2021 and to determine the accuracy of the fuzzy time series method. Saxena Easo. While the parameter used to measure forecasting accuracy is MAPE, if this parameter is in the range of 10% to 20% then the forecasting result is good, and if the parameter is below 10% then the forecast result is very good. The results of forecasting gold prices in the period 17 August – 31 December 2021 have a value that tends to increase and the MAPE obtained is 0.024277%. Therefore, it can be said that the prediction results for certain parameters are very good.
Analysis of Contraceptive Use Rates on Fertility Rates Using the Chaid Method (Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection) Muliawan, Hari; Lubis, Riri Syafitri; Widyasari, Rina
International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology The 1st ICoSDTech 2021
Publisher : International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (407.547 KB)

Abstract

Fertility is the result of real reproduction (live-born babies) from a woman or a group of women or the number of children that will be born by a woman during her reproductive period. Children born to a woman have 2 categories in the BKKBN, namely the number of children > 2 and the number of children 2. The fertility/birth rate by the number of children > 2 reaches 60.9%, so it is not following the BKKBN target because the target birth rate > 30% is included in the category tall. One of the efforts to control the fertility rate is by using contraception. A contraceptive device is a tool or method to prevent pregnancy. The existence of contraceptives but the fertility rate is still high So it is necessary to do targeting (targeting) with the CHAID (Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detection) method. This method is used for targeting and knowing which contraceptives are the most significant, effective, and have the strongest influence on fertility levels to launch BKKBN targeting efforts in seeking population control. The result of the largest Chi-square test is female sterilization, which is 28.624. From the data, it can be concluded that the fertility rate/number of children 2 or >2 is mostly affected by the use of female sterilization contraceptives, and female sterilization is the most effective contraceptive method. This tool can help BKKBN in achieving the target.
Application of Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique Exploiting Rank (SMARTER) Method In Seed Selection Superior Corn in Silau Mangi Village Blaster, Irena; Lubis, Riri Syafitri; Syahputri, Nenna Irsa
International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology The 2nd ICoSDTech 2022
Publisher : International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (571.837 KB)

Abstract

Agriculture is one of the important sectors in Indonesia. Most of Indonesia's population depends on the agricultural sector,one of which is corn farmers. Cultivation of corn plants starts from choosing quality seeds. Determination of quality cornseeds aims to increase productivity and quality of production. Various efforts can be made to increase corn production suchas the use of superior corn seeds. Efforts to increase corn production are still experiencing several obstacles, such as the lackof understanding of farmers in determining superior corn seeds. This study aims to apply the SMARTER method in selectingsuperior maize seeds in order to increase maize production. The Simple Multi Attribute Rating Technique Exploiting Rank(SMARTER) method is one of the methods in a decision support system whose solution is by using Rank Order Centroid(ROC) weighting on each criteria and sub-criteria. The results of the research carried out obtained five criteria that were usedas an assessment in the selection of corn seeds, namely resistance to pests, seed size, production yield, environmentaladaptation and harvest time
Co-Authors Adisty, Fahliza Ahmad Sugarda Ainun Palihah Alfina Febriani Nasution Anggi Pranata Annisa Fadhliyah Annisa, Nur Alvi Aprilia, Rima Aslam, Fazri Aulia Turrizqiya Batu, Annisa Rajaq Lumban Batubara, Fikri Husin Bella Syahrani Nasution Blaster, Irena Br Siahaan, Erika Handayani Cynthia, Mayang Modelina Dara Nurul Hasnah Dian Darmawan Didik Santoso Didik Santoso Dimas Bagus Arjuna Dinda Renata Cecilia Dwi Haprida Ningsih Elma Dwi Ariana Aprilia Zam Fachrur Rozi Fadilatus Sahraini Siregar Fadillah, Yanna Rezki Fajriana, Fajriana Farwansyah, Mhd Rio Fatmawati, Ayu Isnaini Fernando, Anjas Fuja Nauli Pasaribu Giawa, Freddy Gishela Agra Moukia Gurusinga, Ditha Aulia Harleni, Harleni Harleni, Silvia Hasibuan, Elpita Sari Hazizah, Salsabillah Hendra Cipta Heni Pujiastuti Ilham Salim Siregar Ilham Syaputra Indah Kholila Indah, Windi Rezeki Ir Zulkarnain, Ayu Najmita Binti Irena Blaster Ismail Husein, Ismail Kartika , Dinda Khairun Nikmah Lisa Setia Ningsih Lyra Ananda M Agung Pradana Manurung, Silvi Khairiyah Maudya Nur Azura Mohammad Badri Muhammad Arfie Munawar Muhammad Farhan Mingka Muliawan, Hari Nadhila, Nurul Nasution, Dafa Al Qifti Nasution, Hamidah . Neliwati Neliwati Nenna Irsa Syahputri Nina Amanda nova audry utami Nurmadani Nurmawati Nurmawati Nurmawati Nurul Nadhila Nusantara, Badai Charamsar Oktaviana Oktaviana Palihah, Ainun Pertiwi, Fina Nur Pradana, M Agung Prasetya, Nurul Huda Pratiwi, Miftah Pulungan, Ahmad Fauzan Putri Harahap, Rahmelia Rahmat Darmawan, Rahmat Rakhmawati, Fibri Rambe, Muhammad Vikry Rezky Riani Dwi Lestari Ricka Afriani Rima Aprilia Rima Aprilia Rina Filia Sari Rina Filia Sari, Rina Filia Rina Sari Filia Rina Widyasari Rina Widyasari Ritonga, Nurhalimah Rivani Kabrina Br Surbakti Rizkina, Ayu Rizky Mulyani Ropiqoh, Ropiqoh Ropiqoh, Ropiqoh Rusydi Ananda Ruth Mayasari Simanjuntak Sahraini Siregar, Fadilatus Sajaratud Dur Samsudin, Samsudin Sari, Evi Indah Sintia Agustina Siregar Siregar, Evi Borliana Siregar, Evi Borliana Siregar, Fadilatus Sahraini Siregar, Tanti Jumaisyaroh Siti Jubaidah Siti Rolizah Pohan Siti Zunaida Nasution Suci Permata Sari Suendri, Suendri Sulaiman Ananda Harahap Supiah Supiah Susanti, Komaria Susilowati, Rahmi Suzana, Yenny Syafitri, Ellysa Syahfitri, Fatharani Syahputra, Bayu Teza Syahputri, Linna Syahputri, Nenna Irsa Syarah, Fatmah Tanti Jumaisyaroh Siregar Tri Handayani Tri Lutfiah Wardah Turrizqiya, Aulia Utami, Ristika Dian Vani Hajari Wenny Marta Dolok Saribu Widyasari, Rina Widyasari, Rina Windi Rezeki Indah Wulandari Wulandari Wulandari, Mitha Yahfizham Yahfizham Yoffa Sunita Yulanda Novita Zebua Yulinda, Jeni Zakaria Alfikri Sirait