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Green Macroprudential Banking Stability Framework : A Global Transmission Mechanism Of Sustainable Finance Sari, Wahyu Indah; Hasyim, Sirojuzilam; Syafii, M.
AJIRSS: Asian Journal of Innovative Research in Social Science Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): AJIRSS: Asian Journal of Innovative Research in Social Science
Publisher : DAS Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53866/ajirss.v5i1.1270

Abstract

The increasing exposure of the financial system to climate-related risks has encouraged the evolution of macroprudential policy toward sustainability-oriented frameworks. This study develops the Green Macroprudential Banking Stability Framework (GMBSF) as an integrated analytical model explaining how sustainable finance instruments influence banking system resilience. Unlike conventional approaches that treat green finance as a complementary policy, this research positions it as a core macroprudential transmission channel affecting systemic stability. The study employs a panel dynamic approach using multi-institution banking data over the 2015–2024 period to examine both short-run adjustments and long-run equilibrium relationships between green financing, Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance, and banking stability. Stability is proxied by the Z-Score, while capital adequacy, profitability, credit risk, and institutional size are incorporated as control variables. The empirical findings indicate that sustainable finance exposure and stronger ESG governance significantly enhance banking stability by improving risk absorption capacity, strengthening capital buffers, and reducing credit volatility. Conversely, higher non-performing loans weaken systemic resilience. The results support the argument that green finance functions as a macroprudential shock absorber within climate-sensitive financial systems. This study contributes theoretically by introducing a globally applicable green macroprudential framework that integrates sustainability indicators into systemic risk management architecture. The proposed GMBSF provides strategic implications for central banks and financial regulators in designing climate-responsive macroprudential policies to maintain financial stability during the transition toward a low-carbon economy.
Dynamic Analysis of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Mix on Inflation and Unemployment in Indonesia SARI, WAHYU INDAH; Hasyim, Sirojuzilam; Syafii, M.
Jurnal Cita Ekonomika Vol 19 No 2 (2025): Cita Ekonomika: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, FEB Universitas Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51125/citaekonomika.v19i2.23948

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the dynamic interactions between monetary and fiscal policies and their effects on inflation and unemployment in Indonesia. The study employs a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach using annual data from 2000 to 2024. The variables include the policy interest rate (BI Rate), inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, government expenditure, exchange rate, and tax revenue. The unit root tests indicate that the variables exhibit a combination of I(0) and I(1) integration orders, while the Johansen cointegration test confirms the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The optimal lag length is determined to be two, and the stability test confirms that the VAR model is stable. The Granger causality test reveals that the BI Rate significantly Granger-causes inflation and unemployment, whereas reverse causality is not supported. In addition, inflation is found to Granger-cause unemployment, and fiscal as well as external variables—government expenditure, tax revenue, and exchange rate—significantly affect inflation. The Impulse Response Function (IRF) results show that a positive shock to the policy interest rate gradually reduces inflation but leads to a short-run increase in unemployment. Furthermore, the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) indicates that inflation variability is largely driven by monetary policy shocks, while unemployment and economic growth fluctuations are mainly explained by fiscal policy and internal economic dynamics. These findings highlight the importance of strong coordination between monetary and fiscal policies to maintain macroeconomic stability in Indonesia.