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Journal : Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ)

The Logical Fallacy in Female Terrorists in Indonesia (Case Study: ISIS Period 2018-2023) Damayanti, Anugrah Nia; Riyanta, Stanislaus
Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ) Vol. 1 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : Pusat Studi Politik dan Kebijakan Strategis Indonesia (POLKASI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70710/sitj.v1i2.12

Abstract

Terrorism represents a significant threat to both state and individual security. The effective combating of terrorism necessitates not only the implementation of repressive measures but also the fostering of societal resilience. The creation of societal resilience can be achieved by developing an intelligent society, thereby enabling it to combat the threat of radicalism and terrorism effectively. One way to foster societal resilience is to identify and address the logical fallacies of ISIS teachings. The authors selected the topic of female terrorists in Indonesia (ISIS case study 2018-2013 period) due to the increase in arrests of women related to terrorism following the Surabaya bombings in 2018. All of the women arrested are connected to ISIS. This paper employs the following theoretical frameworks: the informal logical fallacy theory (Van Vleet, Informal Logical Fallacies 2021), The Staircase to Terrorism (Mogadham, 2005), and Technic Analysis Counter Terrorism theory (Prunckun, 2010). The findings of the research indicated the presence of a logical fallacy among ISIS female terrorists. The logical fallacy observed in ISIS female terrorists in Indonesia can be attributed to the following factors: The indoctrination and education model employed by IS; the manipulation of religious teachings; the kinship system; the propagation of ideological narratives designed by IS; intense communication; the echo chamber and filter bubble; and women's psychological vulnerability all contribute to the phenomenon under study. The pattern of radicalization observed in ISIS female terrorists in Indonesia aligns with the theoretical framework of The Staircase to Terrorism (Fathali M. Moghadam). Counterterrorism measures must be implemented to address the logical fallacies observed in female terrorists. This necessitates a comprehensive approach encompassing prevention, preparation, response, and recovery.
Scenario Planning in Anticipating the Death of Leaders of The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) Leader to Mitigate Terrorist Attacks in Indonesia (Case Study: The Death of Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi) Manik, Sri Helena Patricia; Riyanta, Stanislaus
Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ) Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Pusat Studi Politik dan Kebijakan Strategis Indonesia (POLKASI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70710/sitj.v2i1.33

Abstract

The death of a leader in the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) organization is often followed by calls for revenge, typically initiated with the renewal of bai’at (pledge of allegiance) against those deemed responsible. ISIS tends to incorporate retaliation as part of its response to various global situations perceived as threats to Muslims. This study aims to elaborate on scenario planning in addressing the aftermath of an ISIS leader's death, to mitigate terrorist attacks in Indonesia. The research employs a descriptive qualitative method using scenario planning analysis based on the framework of Scenario Planning by Brands, Christian, Torsten Wulf, and Philip Meissner. These findings must be implemented in a coordinated and sustainable manner to ensure the effectiveness of anticipating and addressing threats from ISIS networks in Indonesia.
Threat Analysis of The Repatriation of Ex-ISIS FTF Children to Indonesia Ronaldo, Freddy; Nurisnaeny, Poppy Setiawati; Riyanta, Stanislaus
Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ) Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Pusat Studi Politik dan Kebijakan Strategis Indonesia (POLKASI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70710/sitj.v2i2.43

Abstract

After the fall of ISIS, the repatriation of former ISIS members to their home countries has become an important issue. The international community encourages the repatriation of ex-ISIS families, especially children who have suffered in refugee camps in Syria. Likewise, the Indonesian government is still open to repatriating orphans under the age of 10. This study aims to determine the threat of repatriation of former ISIS FTF children to Indonesia, as well as intelligence strategies in anticipating the threat. This research uses a qualitative approach based on an inductive perspective. The results show that the repatriation of ex-ISIS FTF children may pose a moderate threat. The intelligence strategy to anticipate the threat is the use of tools or methods, including regulations and resource support from various institutions, equipped with the right way to achieve the goal of minimizing or eliminating threats, with a focus on early detection and early warning.
Analysing ULMWP’s Online Propaganda Strategy Through Hank Prunckun’s ICV Framework Simamora, Nober Naung; Riyanta, Stanislaus; Masithoh, Nidia
Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Pusat Studi Politik dan Kebijakan Strategis Indonesia (POLKASI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70710/sitj.v2i4.75

Abstract

This study explores how the United Liberation Movement for West Papua (ULMWP) uses digital communication to promote Papua independence narratives and gain attention in international forums. Drawing on Prunckun’s Threat Analysis Theory (2015), this research examines ULMWP’s online propaganda strategies by assessing its intent, capability, and the vulnerabilities it targets. Using an explanatory qualitative method, data were collected from interviews with practitioners and secondary sources published between 2019 and 2023. The findings show that ULMWP consistently works to build global support while undermining Indonesia’s legitimacy through emotionally charged narratives focused on injustice and human rights. These efforts are implemented through coordinated digital activism and proactive engagement with international media, while uses a diplomatic mechanism. According to Ring’s Threat Level Classification (2009), ULMWP’s efforts fall between serious and critical categories given their impact on public perception and foreign policy challenges. The study suggests that stronger intelligence strategies are needed to maintain national cohesion in the digital era.