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All Journal TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Techno: Jurnal Penelitian Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Proceedings Konferensi Nasional Sistem dan Informatika (KNS&I) Journal of Information Systems Engineering and Business Intelligence Info-Teknik KLIK (Kumpulan jurnaL Ilmu Komputer) (e-Journal) Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer Jurnal ELTIKOM : Jurnal Teknik Elektro, Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) JOURNAL OF INFORMATICS AND TELECOMMUNICATION ENGINEERING Jukung (Jurnal Teknik Lingkungan) JTERA (Jurnal Teknologi Rekayasa) Jurnal Komtika (Komputasi dan Informatika) ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah Astonjadro Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Bisnis Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS) JTIULM (Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Universitas Lambung Mangkurat) Buletin Profesi Insinyur Jurnal Sains Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Pengabdian Ilung (Inovasi Lahan Basah Unggul) JUSTE (Journal of Science and Technology) Journal of Advanced Health Informatics Research Jurnal Jalan Jembatan INSTALL: Information System and Technology Journal Jurnal Komtika (Komputasi dan Informatika)
Yuslena Sari, Yuslena
Dosen Program Studi Teknologi Informasi Fakultas Teknik Universitas Lambung Mangkurat, Indonesia
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Innovation in Crop Nutrition Planning Based on Rainfall Prediction Using Singular Spectrum Analysis and Boosting to Optimize Agricultural Management Yuslena Sari; Mambang Mambang; Muhammad Zulfadhilah; Subhan Panji Cipta; Muhammad Nursandi; Finki Dona Marleny; Ricardus Anggi Pramunendar; Sunardi Sunardi; Eka Setya Wijaya; Aurelia Monica Sari; Muhammad Alkaff
Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026): Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual (YRPI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/z3mgdv08

Abstract

The high variability of rainfall in tropical climates presents a major challenge for agricultural management, as weather uncertainty often leads to inefficient fertilization practices due to nutrient loss. This study aims to develop a robust framework for rainfall prediction, which can inform a flexible and precise crop nutrient scheduling system. Utilizing an hourly rainfall dataset (n=6,624) obtained from IoT sensors, the research proposes an approach that integrates Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) for signal decomposition and noise reduction with Gradient Boosting algorithms (LightGBM and XGBoost). Spline interpolation was employed to handle missing data, while SSA served to disentangle deterministic trends from random noise, enabling the models to perform more effectively on the refined dataset. Empirical evaluation demonstrates that the SSA-XGBoost hybrid model achieves superior performance, with an RMSE of 0.0057 and an R² of 0.8278, significantly outperforming the SSA-LightGBM model (R² 0.2879), which struggled to capture non-linear patterns within this dataset. The high predictive accuracy of the SSA-XGBoost model facilitates the implementation of responsive nutrient management strategies, wherein fertilizer application can be deferred during forecasted periods of high rainfall to prevent runoff and environmental pollution. This research contributes to the field of hydroinformatics by demonstrating the effectiveness of combining SSA and XGBoost as a cost-efficient yet high-performance solution for mitigating climate-related risks in tropical wetland agriculture.
Co-Authors Adla, Musyfia Ahmad Rivaldy Ahmad Shalludin Akhmad Rivaldy Andreyan Rizky Baskara Ariefah Khairina Islahati ARIF RAHMAN, MUHAMMAD Armelia, Alysa Aurelia Monica Sari Bambang Lareno, Bambang Bayu Nugraha Chastine Fatichah Dany Primanita Kartikasari Darmawan, Puja Dewi Astria Faroek Dwi Puji Prabowo Dwi Puji Prabowo, Dwi Puji Endi Gunawan Fardian, Muhammad Reza Ferry Pratama Finki Dona Marleny Finki Dona Marleny Firmansyah, Muhammad Ilham Gani, Irham Maulani Abdul Gusti Nizar Syafi'i Halimah Halimah Husnul Khatimi Irfan Prasetia Islami, Achmad Mujaddid Johan Wahyudi Johan Wahyudi Mambang Maulidia Arafah Maulidiya, Erika Maya Amalia Meila Izzana, Meila Muhammad Adetya Ashari Muhammad Alkaff Muhammad Alkaff Muhammad Andri Firdaus Muhammad Arif Rahman Muhammad Baballe Ahmad Muhammad Bahit Muhammad Faidhorrahman Muhammad Nursandi Muhammad Syauqi Al Fath Muhammad Zulfadhilah Mutia Maulida Muti`a Maulida Nanik Suciati Noor Razikin Novitasari Novitasari Novitasari Novitasari Nurul Fathanah Mustamin Nurul Huda Nurul Qamaria Prakoso, Puguh Budi Prastya, Septyan Eka Pratiwi, Hani Puguh Budi Prakoso Puguh Budi Prakoso Purwono, Purwono Rahman, Muhammad Arif Rakhmadhany Primananda, Rakhmadhany Rama Aria Megantara Ricardus A P, Ricardus A Ricardus Anggi Pramunendar Rico Silas Dwi Kasanda Royani, Noorhanida Rudy Ansari Rusiana, Novi Subhan Panji Cipta Subhan Panji Cipta Sunardi, Ph.D., Sunardi Syarifah Soraya Wenny Puspita Wijaya, Eka Setya Yunita, Helda Yunus, Harry Pratama