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All Journal Jurnal Pendidikan Teknologi dan Kejuruan CIVED (Journal of Civil Engineering and Vocational Education) Jukung (Jurnal Teknik Lingkungan) Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi: Jurnal Keilmuan dan Aplikasi Teknologi Industri Teknomekanik Jurnal Applied Science in Civil Engineering Jurnal Aerasi Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer International Journal of Environment, Engineering, and Education Journal of Civil Engineering and Vocational Education Jurnal Keilmuan dan Aplikasi Teknologi Industri
Yaumal Arbi
Teknik Sipil Universitas Negeri Padang
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mechanical Engineering Transportation

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System dynamics modelling of integrated urban clean water management: A case study in Padang City, Indonesia Arbi, Yaumal; Ramadhianty, Rumia; Rahayu, Shinta; Putri, Widia
Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Regular Issue
Publisher : Researcher and Lecturer Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58712/jerel.v4i2.184

Abstract

Access to clean water is essential for human life and a key target of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6: Clean Water and Sanitation. However, cities in developing countries, including Padang City, Indonesia, face significant challenges in meeting the growing demand due to population growth and limited water infrastructure. This study used system dynamics modelling approach with Powersim Studio 10 to develop an integrated clean water management system for Padang City. The model simulates the dynamics of population growth, water consumption, production, and distribution efficiency over a 20-year period (2022–2042). Several policy scenarios—optimistic, moderate, and pessimistic—were tested to evaluate their impact on water availability. The baseline scenario predicts a continuous decline in clean water supply due to increasing population, high leakage rates (11.99%), and water wastage (2%), which surpass the water production growth rate (5.01%). As a result, a water deficit is expected. However, under the optimistic scenario, with increased production (10%), reduced leakage (8%), and reduced wastage (3%), Padang City could achieve a clean water surplus by 2042. The moderate and pessimistic scenarios still result in a deficit. This research highlights the value of the system dynamics modelling in forecasting urban water demand and assessing policy impacts. The findings emphasize the need for integrated planning, combining technical solutions and behavioural change, to ensure sustainable water management and support the achievement of SDG 6.
System dynamics modelling of integrated urban clean water management: A case study in Padang City, Indonesia Arbi, Yaumal; Ramadhianty, Rumia; Rahayu, Shinta; Putri, Widia
Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Regular Issue
Publisher : Researcher and Lecturer Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58712/jerel.v4i2.184

Abstract

Access to clean water is essential for human life and a key target of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6: Clean Water and Sanitation. However, cities in developing countries, including Padang City, Indonesia, face significant challenges in meeting the growing demand due to population growth and limited water infrastructure. This study used system dynamics modelling approach with Powersim Studio 10 to develop an integrated clean water management system for Padang City. The model simulates the dynamics of population growth, water consumption, production, and distribution efficiency over a 20-year period (2022–2042). Several policy scenarios—optimistic, moderate, and pessimistic—were tested to evaluate their impact on water availability. The baseline scenario predicts a continuous decline in clean water supply due to increasing population, high leakage rates (11.99%), and water wastage (2%), which surpass the water production growth rate (5.01%). As a result, a water deficit is expected. However, under the optimistic scenario, with increased production (10%), reduced leakage (8%), and reduced wastage (3%), Padang City could achieve a clean water surplus by 2042. The moderate and pessimistic scenarios still result in a deficit. This research highlights the value of the system dynamics modelling in forecasting urban water demand and assessing policy impacts. The findings emphasize the need for integrated planning, combining technical solutions and behavioural change, to ensure sustainable water management and support the achievement of SDG 6.
Co-Authors Ade Prima Rizki Adfuza, Gloria Poppy Akmal, Ikhsanul Al-Saffar, Zaid Hazim Aldri Frinaldi Amri, Zainul Andi Irawan Ari Syaiful Arifin Ashadi Rizki Zumaro Bunyamin Bunyamin Bunyamin Bunyamin Caronge, Muhammad Akbar Chalik, Adrian Chandra, Arief Dasman Lanin Devi Rofiani Eka Prihandana Eka Rahmatul Aidha Eltika, Rifa Faisal Ashar Fajri, Gilang Dwi Febri Prasetya Fitra Rifwan Fitrianti, Rahma Giatman, M Hapzi Ali Haq, Syaiful Hendri Sawir, Hendri Herza, Habil Abdilah Iing Surya Marlis Indang Dewata Intan Purnama Sari Irfan, Fadhil islami, Zaidina Resvita Ivena, Jevon Ona Jati Sunaryati Jaya, Ramadhansyah Putra Jimmy Vernando Kawaai, Keiyu Khairuni Delfi Anisa Linda Deflianti Mardizal, Jonni Maulana, Majid Mhd. Handal Hamdallah Mirshad, Emilham Mithfan Fadhli Muhammad Irsad Mulya Gusman Mulyani, Yusni Nabawi, Rahmat Azis Nevy Sandra Nidal Zuwida Nisa Ardaneri Nizwardi Jalinus Nofriya Nofriya, Nofriya Novirman Jamarun Nsama, Willick Ona Pebiani Patriotika, Fithriyah Pranagung, Muhamad Iqbal Putri, Widia Rahayu, Shinta Rahman Arifin, Ari Syaiful Ramadhansyah Putra Jaya Ramadhianty, Rumia Rani, Thania Mustika Rembrandt, Rembrandt Riko Fernando Putra Rinda Dwi Utari Rizki Aziz Ronald Leonardo Siregar Salma Rahmadita Sani, Wan Noor Hin Mior Sri Yanti Lisha sri yanti lisha Sumbara, Bagas Surenda, Rian Syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Taufiq Ihsan Totoh Andayono Tri Padmi Damanhuri Umar, Genius Umar, Iswandi Utama, Rizky Indra Vina Lestari Riyandini, Vina Lestari Wan Noor Hin Mior Sani Weni Jumadi Windi Shintia Aneva Yandra, Muvi Yendri, Farhan Yonita, Wulan Alfi Yusmar, Fajri Zaid Hazim Al-Saffar