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Journal : Xplore: Journal of Statistics

Analisis Unggahan Media Sosial pada Instagram Rachel Vennya Menggunakan Metode Importance Performance Else Virdiani; Aam Alamudi; Yenni Angraini
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 11 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1101.038 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v11i1.850

Abstract

Instagram is one of the social media applications that can publish photos or videos for its users. Rachel Vennya is a well-known Instagram user who has more than five million followers. This research was conducted to see the expected posts by Rachel Vennya's followers on Instagram. Through the importance-performance analysis (IPA) it will be known the types of posts that are interesting and need to be increased in publication. This study's two IPA approaches, namely expected performance analysis (EPA) and importance-performance matrix analysis (IPMA). The results of each analysis are then mapped into a Cartesian diagram so that it is known that several posts increase follower loyalty and posts that need to be increased or decreased. After comparing the two Cartesian diagrams, it is known that there is no difference in the placement of variables between the two analyzes. Posts that deserve to be maintained include Motivation, Cooking, Family, and posts considered excessive in the publication are Business and Endorsements. Furthermore, customer satisfaction index (CSI) analysis was carried out to see follower satisfaction. The CSI value obtained is 72.69, which indicates the follower satisfaction index belongs to the satisfied criteria.
Penerapan Metode Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity untuk Peramalan Harga Minyak Mentah Dunia Putri Zainal; Yenni Angraini; Akbar Rizki
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023): Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (499.711 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v12i1.1096

Abstract

Crude oil is one of the commodities that are needed in various fields. World crude oil prices that continue to fluctuate, of course, have a big influence on the country's economy. Crude oil price data collected is time series or the collection process is carried out from time to time with monthly periods. Therefore, we need a system that can forecast future world crude oil prices which are expected to be taken into consideration by the government for decision making. One method that can be used to predict world crude oil prices is ARIMA (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) and GARCH (Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) model. After modeling, it is proven that the world crude oil price data for the period January 2002 to June 2022 has a heteroscedasticity effect that cannot be overcome if only using the ARIMA model. The results of data processing show that the ARIMA (0,1,2) followed by the ARCH (2) is the best model with a MAPE value of 5,32%. The accuracy values obtained are classifield as very good for forecasting world crude oil prices.
PERAMALAN HARGA BATU BARA ACUAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE DAN FUNGSI TRANSFER Suci Pujiani Prahesti; Itasia Dina Sulvianti; Yenni Angraini
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023): Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (406.478 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v12i1.1100

Abstract

Indonesia as one of the largest coal producing countries in the world has an important role in coal global demand. Currently, most countries in Europe are turning to coal as a source of electricity. This is due to Covid-19 pandemic and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine which endangers energy sources. Therefore, forecasting coal prices in the future is needed to determine the right policy in dealing with the large demand for coal. Coal price fluctuation are influenced by several factors such as the prices of the other commodities instance natural gas price. The natural gas price factor will be modeled in coal price forecasting using the transfer function method as the input series. This study compares the ARIMA and Transfer Function in coal price forecasting. The results showed that MAPE values of ARIMA and transfer function method are 23,14% and 17,66%. Based on MAPE values that forecasting using the transfer function method has a better ability than ARIMA method in forecasting coal prices.
Co-Authors Aam Alamudi Achmad Noerkhaerin Putra Adelia Putri Pangestika Akbar Rizki Akbar Rizki Al Maida, Mahda Amaliya, Sri Amanda, Nabila Tri Amatullah, Fida Fariha Anang Kurnia Andika Putri Ratnasari Anisa, Rahma Anistia Iswari Antique Yusuf, Rakesha Putra Arbaynah, Siti Ariesanti, Yessy ASEP SAEFUDDIN Azahran, Muhammad Ryan Azkiya, Azka Al Bagus Sartono Berliana Apriyanti Billy, Billy Cintani, Meavi Dian Kusumaningrum Dzulhij Rizki, Muhammad Abshor Eka Dewi Pertiwi Else Virdiani Fachry Abda El Rahman Fadhilah, Nur Anggraini Fadillah, Maulana Ahsan Fira Nurahmah Al Aminy Fitri, Zafira Ilma Fitrianti, Dwi Fitrianto, Anwar Ghiffary, Ghardapaty Ghaly Gunawan, Windi Hakim, Bashir Ammar Hari Wijayanto Hasanah, Mauizatun Hilali Moh’d, Fatma I Made Sumertajaya Ilma, Meisyatul Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia Indahwati Isnaini, Mardatunnisa Itasia Dina Sulvianti Jamaluddin Rabbani Harahap Kenia Maulidia Kurnadipare, Aleytha Ilahnugrah Kusman Sadik Lia Ratih Kusuma Dewi Magfirrah, Indah Maghfiroh, Firda Aulia Mahesa Ahmad Rahmawan Mahesa, Hakim Zoelva Maulidiyah, Wildatul Moh'd, Fatma Hilali Mohammad Abror Gustiansyah Mohammad Masjkur Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul  MY, Hadyanti Utami Nabila Ghoni Trisno Hidayatulloh Nabila Ghoni Trisno Hidayatulloh Nensi, Andi Illa Erviani Nickyta Shavira Maharani Nizar, Yeky Abil Nugraha, Adhiyatma Nur Aziza, Vivin Nurhambali, Muhammad Rizky Oksi Al Hadi Oktaviani Aisyah Putri Pratiwi, Windy Ayu Putri Zainal Putri, Adelia Putri, Mega Ramatika Putri, Rizki Alifah Raffael Julio Roger Roa Rahmasari, Hazelita Dwi Rahmi, Salsabila Dwi Ramadhani, Dini Ramdani, Indri Riana Riskinandini Riska Yulianti, Riska Rizki, Akbar Rizki, Anwar Fajar Setyowati, Silfiana Lis Siregar, Indra Rivaldi Steven Kurniawan Suci Pujiani Prahesti Suwarso, Dhiya Khalishah Tsany Syam, Ummul Auliyah Tendi Ferdian Diputra Tias Amalia Safitri Tsabitah, Dhiya Tsabitah, Dhiya Ulayya Ulfia, Ratu Risha Utami Dyah Syafitri Wahyudina, Salsa Putri Wiwiek Poedjiastoeti, Wiwiek Wiwik Andriyani Lestari Ningsih Wiwik Andriyani Lestari Ningsih Yanuari, Eka Dicky Darmawan Yully Sofyah Waode Zulhijrah, Zulhijrah