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Analysis of the Impact of Local Government Expenditure on Happiness Index in Provinces in Indonesia Pranoto, Alexander Nur Huda; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan Publik Vol. 10 No. 1 (2025): Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijak
Publisher : Direktorat Jenderal Perbendaharaan, Kementerian Keuangan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33105/itrev.v10i1.853

Abstract

Research Originality — The happiness index is an important indicator to examine the progress of a country’s development. This research is the first to study the impact of local government expenditure on happiness, particularly in Indonesia. Research Objectives — This study aims to investigate the impact of local government expenditure on happiness. Additionally, it examines the effect of GRDP per capita, school life expectancy, and inequality on happiness. Research Methods — This study used panel data from Statistics Indonesia and the Ministry of Finance in 2014, 2017, and 2021 for case studies in 34 provinces in Indonesia. The methods used were pooled least square, fixed effect model, random effect model, and quantile regression. Empirical Results — The estimation results showed that local government expenditure, GRDP per capita, school life expectancy, and inequality significantly affected the happiness index. The correlation between local government expenditure and inequality on the happiness index was negative in all quantiles. Meanwhile, the relationship between GRDP per capita and school life expectancy on the happiness index was positive in all quantiles. Implications — The negative impact of local government expenditure on happiness shows that local government expenditure is not optimal for development. Sub-optimal expenditure allocations, such as capital expenditure for infrastructure development, are lower than personnel expenditure, which makes people less happy. Therefore, the government needs to evaluate and improve the effectiveness of local government expenditure and allocate government expenditure that directly affects society, such as infrastructure development, education and health facilities, MSME financing, and the creation of new jobs.
The Impact of Household Poverty on Child Abuse in Indonesia Rohadatul'aisy, Nailah; Hardiawan, Donny; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 14, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i1.45142

Abstract

Research Originality: This study utilizes the expenditure approach as a measure of poverty and incorporates household-level factors to assess their impact on psychological and physical child abuse in Indonesia.Research Objectives: This study aims to analyze the impact of household characteristics, especially variations in poverty status on the risk of child abuse in Indonesia.Research Methods: This study uses Social Defense Module of the 2020 National Socio-Economic Survey (Susenas) data and the logistic regression model.Empirical Results: The results showed that children in households living below the poverty line have the highest probability of experiencing psychological and physical abuse. Factors that also increase the likelihood of abuse are female-headed households, unemployment, low education levels, households with only boys and/or children aged 6-12 years, and living in rural areas.Implications: These findings highlight that child protection and abuse prevention policies should focus more on economic and social interventions, with poor households as the primary target.JEL Classification: D19, I31, I32, J13How to Cite:Rohadatul’aisy, N., Hardiawan, D., & Sihaloho, E. D. (2025). The Impact of Household Poverty on Child Abuse in Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(1), 131-148. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i1.45142.
Dampak Realisasi Belanja Bantuan Sosial Pangan terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia di Indonesia Dwilaksmi, Anandi; Nabilah, Alifia Agnes; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi (JRIE) Edisi April 2025
Publisher : Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23969/jrie.v5i1.147

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the importance of the relationship between Indonesia's Human Development Index (HDI) and government spending on food assistance. This study uses the Panel Data Regression approach to aggregate cross-sectional data from 34 provinces throughout the years 2018–2022. The data utilized in this investigation came from the Ministry of Finance (KEMENKEU) and Statistics Indonesia (BPS) sources. This study found that food social assistance has a positive influence on HDI. School Expectancy, the School Operational Assistance (BOS) budget, and the Health Operational Assistance budget (BOK) also have a positive influence on HDI. Meanwhile, the poverty rate has a negative influence on HDI. As indicated by the rise in the HDI, the study's findings suggest that the government's implementation of Social Food Assistance spending has a beneficial effect on raising the standard of human development in Indonesia.
GDP Per Capita Impact on Infant Mortality Rate: Southeast-Asia Lower Middle-Income Countries 2005-2019 Bramantyo, Kenang Gusti; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
MediaTrend Vol 20, No 1 (2025): MARET
Publisher : Trunojoyo University of Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/mediatrend.v20i1.22963

Abstract

Infant mortality Rate (IMR) is one of the main indicator of the socioeconomic development and the health status of a country. Despite how significant the impact of reducing the infant mortality rate to a country, countries in Southeast Asia, especially the lower middle-income few, still have a relatively high number of Infant mortality rate. Studies have been conducted on the impact of few variables that determine the number of Infant mortality rate. In this paper, the aim is to analyse a few socioeconomic variables such as GDP per Capita, health care expenditure as a share of GDP, total fertility rate and female participation in the labour force on infant mortality rate of lower middle-income countries in Southeast Asia. This study found that GDP per Capita and health care expenditure as a share of GDP have a significant and negative impact on infant mortality rate during the study period. While as Total fertility rate have a significant and positive impact on infant mortality rate, and there is no significant effect of female labour force participation rate on infant mortality rate in the studied countries during the study period.
The Impact of Household Poverty on Child Abuse in Indonesia Rohadatul'aisy, Nailah; Hardiawan, Donny; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i1.45142

Abstract

Research Originality: This study utilizes the expenditure approach as a measure of poverty and incorporates household-level factors to assess their impact on psychological and physical child abuse in Indonesia.Research Objectives: This study aims to analyze the impact of household characteristics, especially variations in poverty status on the risk of child abuse in Indonesia.Research Methods: This study uses Social Defense Module of the 2020 National Socio-Economic Survey (Susenas) data and the logistic regression model.Empirical Results: The results showed that children in households living below the poverty line have the highest probability of experiencing psychological and physical abuse. Factors that also increase the likelihood of abuse are female-headed households, unemployment, low education levels, households with only boys and/or children aged 6-12 years, and living in rural areas.Implications: These findings highlight that child protection and abuse prevention policies should focus more on economic and social interventions, with poor households as the primary target.JEL Classification: D19, I31, I32, J13How to Cite:Rohadatul’aisy, N., Hardiawan, D., & Sihaloho, E. D. (2025). The Impact of Household Poverty on Child Abuse in Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(1), 131-148. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i1.45142.
The Future of Health Expenditure in ASEAN Countries: A Forecasting Analysis with ARIMA Melati, Alexsandra Putri Sekar; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46420

Abstract

Research Originality: The primary contribution of this research is its novel analysis and forecasting of health expenditure in the ASEAN region, which has been previously underexamined by scholars. Research Objectives: This research forecasts per capita health expenditure across three ASEAN countries, broken down by government, private, and out-of-pocket sources. Research Methods: This study employs a time series ARIMA model approach using secondary data from the World Bank for the period 2000 to 2021 Empirical Results: The findings indicate that projections for all three countries significantly increase across all health expenditure categories. Singapore is expected to see a sharp surge in all health expenditure components. At the same time, Indonesia is forecasted to achieve the highest growth rate in percentage terms, but lags in nominal terms. Conversely, Malaysia is projected to experience moderate growth in health expenditure. Implications: This research underscores the financing disparities and the urgent need for health system reform. JEL Classification: I18, C22, O53 How to Cite:Melati, A. P. S., & Sihaloho, E. D. (2025). The Future of Health Expenditure in ASEAN Countries: A Forecasting Analysis with ARIMA. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(2), 449-466. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46420.
Diagnosing Poverty Eradication Through Literacy: Analysis from Indonesia National Socioeconomic Survey Firmansyah, Cyril Anfasha; Suherman, Moch Fauzi Alfandri; Akmal, Putri Nabila; Anisa, Archie Flora; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2 (2023): JEP 2023
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v24i2.20239

Abstract

Literacy can be interpreted as a tool for the development of global society. However, the low literacy rate in Indonesia obstructs the quality of human resource improvement in education. Based on data from the PISA (2019), Indonesia is ranked 62nd in the literacy level from 70 countries. Quality of education is one of the economical ways to reduce the illiteracy that is interrelated to poverty. A question arises as to whether literacy-based cognitive abilities can reduce poverty . Previous studies on education for poverty eradication were limited to the regular cognitive domain. This study attempts to fill that gap. A Probit regression model was used with the probability of becoming poor as the dependent variable. A set of literacy-based cognitive abilities, such as age, gender, education level, and geographical factor are used as explanatory variables. According to 2019 National Socioeconomic Survey data, the analysis indicated that literacy-based cognitive abilities have a significant negative impact on poverty. Literacy has often been limited to the ability to read, write, and perform basic arithmetic. In order people to function effectively in their communities, the government should put focus on education attainment that cultivates functional literacy. It refers to the practical skills needed to read, write, and perform math for real-life purposes.
Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Bidang Kesehatan terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi: studi kasus 508 kabupaten/kota di Indonesia Trianto, Dian; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Ekspansi: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan, Perbankan, dan Akuntansi Vol 15 No 2 (2023)
Publisher : Accounting Department, Politeknik Negeri Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35313/ekspansi.v15i2.5498

Abstract

People's lives are impacted by their health, which must be preserved. A nation's economy frequently undervalues the health sector. This study aims to see the effect that government spending on health has on economic growth in 508 regions in Indonesia from 2017 to 2019. The method used in this study is panel data regression analysis with the Fixed effect model (FEM) approach. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia. The study's findings show that while government expenditure on health and education has a positive and significant impact on economic growth, the rate of population expansion has a negative and significant impact.
PENGARUH ANGKA HARAPAN HIDUP TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO 34 PROVINSI DI INDONESIA Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno; 1Alrivaldi Syahrizal Rusli , 1Alrivaldi Syahrizal Rusli
OIKOS: Jurnal Kajian Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 8 No 1 (2023): OIKOS: Jurnal Kajian Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Fakultas Keguruan Dan Ilmu Pendidikan Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23969/oikos.v8i1.12538

Abstract

This research aims to examine the impact of life expectancy on the growth rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product in 34 provinces in Indonesia. It uses data from 2014 to 2018 and employs a random effects model for panel data regression analysis. life expectancy is a measure of the average human life expectancy. The dependent variable is Gross Regional Domestic Product and the independent variable is Life Expectancy Rate (AHP). The study finds that life expectancy has a positive, statistically significant impact on per capita Gross Regional Domestic Product across the 34 provinces in Indonesia. This study also found that the average length of schooling, the human development index have positive and significant effect on regional economic growth in Indonesia. Meanwhile, population has a negative effect on regional economic growth in Indonesia. This suggests that investing in health in each province will lead to increased economic growth, as health investment contributes to the country's human capital.
Determinants of Catastrophic Health Expenditure of Households in Indonesia Afrizal, Rafa Fayza; Hasya, Novira; Harda, Faticha Putri; Alfathin, Wildan Avif; Latifah, Vanissa Nur; Nainggolan, Maxent Rael; Jaelani, Fadillah Rahmah; Sihaloho, Estro Dariatno
Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia Vol. 10, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The need for healthcare services due to illness is unpredictable, thus burdening patients economically and posing a risk of catastrophic events. The percentage of households with catastrophic health expenditures is defined as out-of-pocket payments exceeding 10% of the household’s capacity to pay for healthcare. Increasing catastrophic expenditure costs can further deteriorate the household’s financial condition. This study analyzes the determinants of catastrophic health expenditures in Indonesian households. A total of 12,892 household samples from the cross-sectional Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) wave 5 (2014) were used in this study. Using a logistic regression model, this study aims to identify various socioeconomic factors and household members’ health histories that may influence the probability of a household experiencing catastrophic health expenditures. The study results show that socioeconomic factors, including household expenditures (p<0.01), the number of working household members (p<0.01), the number of insured household members (p<0.01), residential area (p<0.1), and the education level of the household head (p<0.01), have a significant influence on catastrophic expenditures. Catastrophic health expenditures are also significantly affected by the health history of household members, including chronic diseases (p<0.01), hospitalization history (p<0.01), and outpatient care (p<0.01). To reduce financial risks, policymakers can design a fair healthcare financing mechanism that addresses socioeconomic vulnerabilities and health risks. Expanding insurance coverage and strengthening financial protection for at-risk households can help alleviate the burden of catastrophic health expenditures.
Co-Authors 1Alrivaldi Syahrizal Rusli , 1Alrivaldi Syahrizal Rusli Adiatma Y. M. Siregar Adiatma Y.M Siregar Adiatma YM Siregar Adiatma Yudistira Manogar Siregar Adiatma Yudistira MS Aditya Maulana Zaqi Adlan Ramadhan Adrian Kevianta Anggana Afifah Nada Kamilah Afrizal, Rafa Fayza Akbar, Mochamad Thoriq Akmal, Putri Nabila Alfarizy, Insan Lutfiana Alfathin, Wildan Avif Alfiah Hasanah Alrivaldi Syahrizal Rusli Alyasa, Faisal Madjid Amru, Dania Setira Angelia, Danisha Anisa Nurfiani Anisa, Archie Flora Archie Flora Anisa Avia, Zahra Aviliani Aviliani Bayu Rizky Prasetyo Bramantyo, Kenang Gusti Cahyaputra, Vincent Adyan Calista Felisia Cavin Dennis Tito Siregar Citra Kumala Cyril Anfasha Firmansyah Cyril Anfasha Firmansyah Cyril Anfasha Firmansyah Dania Setira Amru Dania Setira Amru Danisha Angelia Daris Saputra Dharra Widdhyaningtyas Mahardhika Dharra Widdhyaningtyas Mahardhika Diana Rizky Safitri Diana Rizky Safitri Dinda Ayu Maharani Dinda Monikka Dinda Monikka Donny Hardiawan Donny Hardiawan Donny Hardiawan Dwilaksmi, Anandi Elizabeth, Irene Farhan Habibie Fariza Zahra Kamilah Firmansyah, Cyril Anfasha Fizri Nur Azizah Fizri Nur Azizah Gina Ridhia Rahma Habibie, Farhan Hana Fauzia Harda, Faticha Putri Hardiawan, Donny Harsa Pratama Syarief Hasya, Novira Hawari, Adam Heizlyn Amyneina Binti Hamza Heriyaldi Heriyaldi Heriyaldi, Heriyaldi Herlina Silvani Purba Tambak Herlina Silvani Purba Tambak Insan Lutfiana Alfarizy Insani, Nadia Dwi Irlan Adiyatma Rum Isnaini, Nurma Sari Jaelani, Fadillah Rahmah Jefani Marrosa Jorghi Vadra Junaedi, Putri Adhriani Kamilah, Fariza Zahra Kautsar, Achmad Kenang Gusti Bramantyo Khairunisa, Nabilla Salma Kusumawardani, Salsabila Laila Campaka Wangi Latifah, Vanissa Nur Marrosa, Jefani Maylaffayyaza Salmayusti Fajri Melati, Alexsandra Putri Sekar Moch Fauzi Alfandri Suherman Mochamad Thoriq Akbar Mochamad Thoriq Akbar Mochamad Thoriq Akbar Mochamad Thoriq Akbar Mohammad Naufal Faisal Sofyan Mohammad Taufan Monikka, Dinda Muhammad Dzaki Fahd Haekal Muhammad Faishal Akbar Dwiputra Muhammad Rayhan Devan Riza Mukhlis, Rizka Amalia Nabilah, Alifia Agnes Nabilla Salma Khairunisa Nabilla Salma Khairunisa Nadhilah, Nurul Dita Nadia Cahya Dwinanda Nadia Nasyia Fahira Nainggolan, Maxent Rael Nurma Sari Isnaini Nurul Dita Nadhilah Nurul Irfani Agustina Panogu, Mateus Arif Patron Natadjaya Ramadhanu Badrudin Pipit Pitriyan Pranoto, Alexander Nur Huda Putri Nabila Akmal Raden Ayu Adinda Shafira Najmah Rahma Rahma Rahma, Gina Ridhia Rahmah Nur Rizki Ramadhan, Adlan Renaldi, Reza Galih Reza Galih Renaldi Rijoly, Jacobus Cliff Diky Risya Nurrohyani Rohadatul'aisy, Nailah Rum, Irlan Adiyatma Safitri, Diana Rizky Sagala, Endah Budiati Salim, Prasetya Rahman Shania Puteri Azaria Shela Ardhana Siregar, Adiatma Y. M. Siregar, Adiatma YM Siska Musdalifah Sofyan, Mohammad Naufal Faisal Suherman, Moch Fauzi Alfandri Sukirman, Auni Alifah Syahda Azmi Syahidah Syawala, Afif Akbar Taufan, Mohammad Teddy Harvi Satrio Tiara Kania Ladzuardini Trianto, Dian Vadra, Jorghi Wandira Larasati Senja Widiandini Prita Hapsari Wiksa Dana Wiksadana Wiksadana Wiksadana wiksadana Wiksadana, Wiksadana Yolanda Orient Yoshua Harbyanto Sipangkar Zaki Intan Cindyagita