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Journal : Jurnal Gaussian

PENDEKATAN METODE SIX SIGMA-TAGUCHI DALAM MENINGKATKAN KUALITAS PRODUK (Studi Kasus PT. Asaputex Jaya Spinning Mill Tegal) Nesvi Intan Oktajayanti; Mustafid Mustafid; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (461.133 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i1.11039

Abstract

The main factors to achieve business success in the era of globalization is the quality. In the business world, quality control is the key to maintaining customer loyalty. For a company doing quality control is expected to achieve the company's goals, related to the company's revenue. This is the purpose of PT. Asaputex Jaya Spinning Mill Tegal to make efforts to improve the production activities, especially in improving quality by reducing defects. Six Sigma-Taguchi method can be used to improve quality yarns product. From the analysis we found that the control diagram p, data of defects is uncontrolled, so the capability process is still low with capability value is 0,502. So, it need to be improved to enhance product quality yarns. By using the Taguchi method we can know factors and optimal level to improve the quality of the yarn. That Factor and level is TPI with the optimum level that can be used are Level 2 (13,5 rpm), level 1 (383 tpm) for Delivery Speed factor, for the weight of cotton the optimum level is level 1 (2,0 Kw) and factor Grain the optimal level is level 2 (400 Ne). Keywords: Six Sigma Method, Design Experiment of Taguchi, Capability Process
MODEL REGRESI DATA TAHAN HIDUP TERSENSOR TIPE III BERDISTRIBUSI LOG-LOGISTIK Ibnu Athoillah; Triastuti Wuryandari; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 1, No 1 (2012): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (803.393 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v1i1.576

Abstract

Lifetime T is the time from initial treatment until the first response is to be observed which can be death due to a particular disease, illness that recur after treatment or the emergence of new diseases. In research of survival testing the data term are censored and not censored. Censored observation occur if the survival time of the observed individual is not known with certainty while the observation not censored if the survival time of observation is known with certainty. There are three different types of censoring observation that are type I,type II, and type III. Censoring type III is an observation made to several individuals at different time within a certain period, this is because an individual entry into the observations at different times. Influence of other factros on the response variable that is survival time relation should be considered. One way to know relationship is through a regression model. Regression model of survival data with censoring type III of log-logistic distribution is made following the curve of the response variable. Estimation of parameters using maximum likelihood methods. Regression model was apllied to estimate the survival time of patients with lung cancer for factors of the infected cell and type of treatment.
METODE BOOTSTRAP AGGREGATING REGRESI LOGISTIK BINER UNTUK KETEPATAN KLASIFIKASI KESEJAHTERAAN RUMAH TANGGA DI KOTA PATI Ridha Ramandhani; Sudarno Sudarno; Diah Safitri
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 1 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (480.525 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i1.14775

Abstract

Kesejahteraan merupakan salah satu aspek yang cukup penting untuk menjaga dan membina terjadinya stabilitas sosial dan ekonomi. Berbagai penelitian yang telah dilakukan mengenai kesejahteraan mengindikasikan bahwa banyak faktor yang mempengaruhi kesejahteraan rumah tangga. Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi kesejahteraan rumah tangga antara lain jenis kelamin kepala rumah tangga, usia kepala rumah tangga, lapangan usaha kepala rumah tangga, jumlah anggota rumah tangga, bahan bakar utama untuk memasak, pengalaman membeli raskin dan ada atau tidaknya anggota keluarga yang menguasai penggunaan telepon seluler/HP. Dalam penelitian ini dilakukan kajian tentang klasifikasi kesejahteraan rumah tangga di Kota Pati dengan tujuan untuk mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor apa saja yang mempengaruhi kesejahteraan rumah tangga di Kota Pati. Dari hasil kajian dengan menggunakan metode Bootstrap Aggregating (Bagging) regresi logistik biner diperoleh tiga variabel prediktor yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap kesejahteraan rumah tangga di Kota Pati, yaitu jenis kelamin kepala keluarga, jumlah anggota rumah tangga, dan penguasaan telepon seluler dengan tingkat akurasi sebesar 79,87%. Hasil analisis bagging regresi logistik biner dengan replikasi bootstrap sebesar 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 150, 200, 626, dan 1000 kali menunjukkan bahwa terdapat konsistensi pada setiap pengulangan. Kata Kunci : Klasifikasi, Regresi Logistik Biner, Bootstrap Aggregating
ESIMASI PARAMETER REGRESI RIDGE MENGGUNAKAN ITERASI HOERL, KENNARD, DAN BALDWIN (HKB) UNTUK PENANGANAN MULTIKOLINIERITAS Nur Aeniatus Solekakh; Dwi Ispriyansti; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 4 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1277.774 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i4.17099

Abstract

Regression analysis is statistical method used to analyze the dependence of respond variables to predictor variable. In multiple linear regression analysis, there are assumptions that must be met, they are normality, homoscedasticity, absence of multicollinearity, and absence of autocorrelation. One of assumption frequently found is multicollinearity. If multicollineraity is exist between predictor variables, then regression analysis with ordinary least square is no longer used. Ridge regression is regression method to handle multicollinearity. The ridge estimator involves adding biasing constant (k) to each diagonal element of  X’X. Biasing constant (k) is determined by Hoerl, Kennard, and Baldwin (HKB) iteration method. This regression can be applied to inflation rate in Indonesia data and the factors that influence, they are BI rate, money supply, and exchange rate of rupiah. Ridge regression analysis, the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) values for each predictor variables BI rate, money supply, and exchange rate of rupiah are 1.6637, 3.2712, and 4.3309. SinceVIF values are not exceed to 10, then there is no multicollinearity in ridge regression model.Keywords: Inflation,  Multikollinearity, Ridge Regression,  HKB Iteration, VIF
PEMETAAN PERSEPSI MERK LAPTOP DI KALANGAN MAHASISWA MENGGUNAKAN ANALISIS KORESPONDENSI BERGANDA (Studi kasus: Mahasiswa Universitas Diponegoro Semarang) Anissa Pangastuti; Moch. Abdul Mukid; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 3 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (381.237 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v2i3.3662

Abstract

The growth of technology makes producer compete creating sophisticated, modern, and practical tools. One of them is competing creating notebook. Some brands that more develop than other brands in the market are Toshiba, Acer, Asus, HP and Dell. This research studies about positioning one brand against other brands in the market and proximity between all brands that affected by some factors. There are, processors, designation notebook for consumer, features, endorsement and guarantee, endurance notebook against damage, and the distant age of notebook consumption when it has damage in hardware for the first time. Because there are so many factors that affecting perceptual mapping and positioning notebook at the market, hence it need to be analyzed using multiple correspondence analysis. Multiple correspondence analysis is an expansion technique from simple correspondence analysis which is a multivariate technique graphically used for exploration data from a multi-way contingency table. The result of this research makes conclusion that there is a similarity between Acer and HP notebook. This statement be marked with proximity of point Acer and HP. It can be seen from the incision magnitude between both of that brands. There are both of them be used for graphic and designing, have the same complete features and for time of damage for the first time that both of that brands experienced are at age > 3 years
ANALISIS KECENDERUNGAN PEMILIHAN KOSMETIK WANITA DI KALANGAN MAHASISWI JURUSAN STATISTIKA UNIVERSITAS DIPONEGORO MENGGUNAKAN BIPLOT KOMPONEN UTAMA Rizka Asri Brilliani; Diah Safitri; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 3 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (437.762 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i3.14711

Abstract

This study aims to reviews trend of using the cosmetics brand among the students of Department of Statistics at Diponegoro University. The observed cosmetics brand are Wardah, Sariayu Martha Tilaar, Pixy, Pond's, and Garnier. The data used in the form of primary data with total samples drawn 180 students, then it's been analyzed using principal component biplot. The result showed that Wardah has advantages in safety of product composition, and its benefit as a skin care. Wardah also more attractive to students. Sariayu Martha Tilaar, Pixy, and Pond's have the same profit, they are safety of product composition, the variations according the skin type, and their use as a skin care and make up. The diversity is 73,01% which means that principal component analysis biplot is able to explained 73,01% of the total diversity of the actual data. Keywords: principal component biplot analysis, cosmetics brand, perceptions
PEMODELAN DAN PERAMALAN VOLATILITAS PADA RETURN SAHAM BANK BUKOPIN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ASYMMETRIC POWER AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY (APARCH) Nur Musrifah Rohmaningsih; Sudarno Sudarno; Diah Safitri
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 4 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (550.139 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i4.14727

Abstract

Stock is a sign of ownership of an individual or entity within a corporation or limited liability company. While the stock price index is a reflection of the movement of the stock price. Stock investments can not avoid the risk, so we need a model that can predict stock returns and volatility. Models are often used is ARCH/GARCH models. On the stock market also shows asymmetric effect(leverage), which is a negative relationship between the change in the value of returns with volatility movement. So, the model can be used is Asymmetric Power Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (APARCH) model. APARCH model chosen to modeling and forecasting the volatility of Bukopin return stock is APARCH (1,2) model Keywords: Stock, volatility, asymmetric, return, APARCH
PERHITUNGAN BIAYA TAMBAHAN DENGAN METODE ACCRUED BENEFIT COST PADA PENDANAAN PROGRAM PENSIUN MANFAAT PASTI Siti Nurlatifah; Sudarno Sudarno; Abdul Hoyyi
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 3 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (345.251 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i3.9547

Abstract

Supplemental costs in funding pension plan is a cost to be issued by the employer to the pension fund in case shortage of funds (deficit) in the funding of defined benefit plans. There are several methods can be used, one of them is accrued benefit cost method. This research explained about the calculation of the supplemental costs on defined benefit plans with a case study on BMKG Semarang. The data used 34 BMKG employee salaries who had not attained 50 years old in 2015. The calculation is done by concern the beginning of an employee salary, interest rate, period of employment, and increase of salary rate. Supplemental costs that must be issued by BMKG in 2015 is Rp. 81.748.084. That cost can sufficient the pension benefits that will be received by the employee if the funding was deficit. If the funding pension had a surplus, that cost can be used as an investment company. Keywords: supplemental cost, defined benefit plans, accrued benefit cost. 
KETEPATAN KLASIFIKASI PEMILIHAN METODE KONTRASEPSI DI KOTA SEMARANG MENGGUNAKAN BOOSTSTRAP AGGREGATTING REGRESI LOGISTIK MULTINOMIAL Ahmad Reza Aditya; Suparti Suparti; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 1 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (424.511 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i1.8099

Abstract

Classification is one of the statistical methods in grouping the data compiled systematically. Classification problem rises when there are a number of measures that consists of one or several categories that can not be identified directly but must use a measure. classification methods commonly used in studies to analyze a problem or event is logistic regression analysis. However, this classification method provides unstable parameter estimation. So to obtain a stable parameter multinomial logistic regression model used bootstrap approach that is bootstrap aggregating (bagging). The purpose of this study was to compare the accuracy of the classification multinomial logistic regression models and bootstrap aggragatting model using the data of family planning in Semarang. From the results of bagging multinomial logistic regression obtained classification accuracy in replication bootstrap most 50 times at 51%, this model is able to decrease the classification error of up to 2% compared to the multinomial logistic regression model with a classification accuracy of 49%.Keywords: logistic regression, bootstrap aggregating, accuracy of classification
PERBANDINGAN METODE PEMULUSAN EKSPONENSIAL TUNGGAL DAN FUZZY TIME SERIES UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN Taufan Fahmi; Sudarno Sudarno; Yuciana Wilandari
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 2 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (891.862 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v2i2.2779

Abstract

The development of methods of forecasting with time series data quite rapidly result there are many options that the method can be used to predict the data according to the needs and the need to compare one method to the other methods that get results of prediction with high accuracy. In this thesis, comparison of forecasting will be done using measure forecasting accuracy in the form of MAPE, MAE, and MSE of a forecast in calculating the value of The composite stock price index (CSPI) using Single Exponential Smoothing method that will be compared to modern forecasting methods, namely Fuzzy Time Series . Fuzzy Time Series methods used in this study is the method of Fuzzy Time Series proposed by Chen and Cheng. Between the three forecasting methods obtained the best  method is of Cheng’s Fuzzy Time Series.
Co-Authors Abdul Hoyyi Achmad Tavip Junaedi Ade Lenty Hoya Adimulya Nurrahman Aditya Eka Laksana Adiwirman Adiwirman Afianti Sonya Kurniasari Agung Santoso Agus Sudrajat Ahmad Reza Aditya Ajeng Arum Sari Alan Prahutama Aldila Khairina Sissandhy Alfita Rakhmayani Amin Nursudi Aminuddin Aminuddin Anak Agung Istri Sri Wiadnyani Angga Saputra Desti Anik Waryanti Anissa Pangastuti Anya Amabell Syukuri Arifah Wulansari Ariffandita Nuri Muttaqin Ashri Febrina Rahmasari Atika Elsadining Tyas Avida Anugraheni Avida Nugraheni C. Ayu Ambarsari bagus aji Bambang Wasito Adi Bayu Ariawan Bayyina Zidni Falah Boedi Setya Rahardja Budi Warsito Chiarakania Chaniago Cut Nur Aisyah Darari Rahma Lalita Dedy Haryanto Despriyanti Despriyanti diah novitasari Diah Safitri Dian Ika Pratiwi Dita Oktavia Ningrum Dwi Ispriyansti Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Safrudin Dwi Siwi Handayani Eka Triakuntini Endang Dewi Masithah Endro Sutrisno Erna Puspitasari evelyn wijaya Farid Abdu Salam Fathimatuzzahra Syahrozad Nuroqi Fatkhan Arissetya Febriane Paulina Makalew Feri Setyowibowo Fifi Puspita Fuad Muhammad Galih Maraseta W H Prasaja Galuh Ayu Prameshti Gusti Rusmayadi Harini Harini Hasbi Yasin Hasmuri Hasmuri Huriyah Huriyah Ibnu Athoillah Irawan Wisnu Wardhana Johan Adi Wicaksana Joko Purnomo Julidian Julidian Julius E. Tenda Junaidi Junaidi Khalida Hanum Khersna Bayu Sangka Khresna Bayu Sangka Kikis Dinar Yuliesti Kristiani Kristiani Kussigit Santosa Lintang Afdianti Nurkhasanah Lulut Fadhilah Lundu Bontor Sihite Luthfi Rachma Dita M. Husni Arifin Maidiah Dwi Naruri Saida Malik Hakam Maluw, Fandel Mamuroh Mamuroh Mardison Purba Mario Moningka Martha Ng Mintasih Indriayu Mintasih Indriayu Moch. Abdul Mukid Mohammad Al Hazmi Mohammad Rama Fadillah Soeroso Muhammad Amin Muhammad Fachri Maulana Mustafid Mustafid Nailatis Shofia Nany Yuliastuti Nesvi Intan Oktajayanti Nonik Brilliana Primastuti Nourma Yulia Nova Yanti Gultom Novi Melawati Nur Aeniatus Solekakh Nur Musrifah Rohmaningsih Pradana Sahid Akbar Pranata Anggakara Priska Rialita Hardani Putu Handoko Murti Putu Jaya Permana Qomaruddin, Mochammad Ramdhan Febrianto Rangkang, Jeanely Retza Bahtiar Anugrah Ridha Ramandhani Ririn Khoiriyah Rita Rahmawati Rizka Asri Brilliani Rizky Ade Putranto Rukun Santoso Rumbayan, Rilya S. Suripin Salman Alfarisy Totalia Sandy Kristiara Sarwanto Sarwanto Satrio Adi Wibowo Sekar Niken Kartika Sheny Nurul Aini Shofiyatul Afidah Sholikhah Septiarti Khusnul Wardatus SITI NURLATIFAH Slamet Effendy Yusuf Sudenroy Mentang Sugito Sugito Suhardjo Suhardjo Sukrismiati Sukrismiati Sulton Syafii Katijaya Sunarto Sunarto Suparti Suparti Supriyanto Supriyanto Sutrisno Anggoro Syanne Pangemanan Tampanatu P. F. Sompie Tarina Rahmayani Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Taufan Fahmi Taufik Dani Testian Yushli Ana Tiani Wahyu Utami Titin Nurfiatin Tri Retnaning Nur Amanah Triastuti Wuryandari Veronika Ellyana Vica Nurani Wahyu Nugraha Widha Sunarno WINARTI WINARTI Winda Rosiana Pratiwi Wulan Merdeka Sari Yanuar Luqman Yovina Mulyadi Yuciana Wilandari