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All Journal Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran Khatulistiwa (JPPK) Edutech: Jurnal Teknologi Pendidikan AKSIOMA: Jurnal Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika International conference on Information Technology and Business (ICITB) Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan JEA17: Jurnal Ekonomi Akuntansi Journal of Governance and Public Policy Kemudi Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pemerintahan ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah Jurnal Nasional Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi Unes Law Review Unnes Journal of Mathematics Education Research Fajar Historia: Jurnal Ilmu Sejarah dan Pendidikan JUTIS : Jurnal Teknik Informatika AVICENNA International Journal of Applied Sciences and Smart Technologies Jurnal Teknik Informatika C.I.T. Medicom Jurnal Pemerintahan dan Kebijakan (JPK) JURNAL MANAJEMEN AKUNTANSI (JUMSI) International Journal of Research and Applied Technology (INJURATECH) Informatics and Computer Engineering Journal Journal of Social Studies, Arts and Humanities (JSSAH) QISTINA: Jurnal Multidisiplin Indonesia Aurelia: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia Indonesian Research Journal on Education Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Indonesian Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR) Jurnal Kebijakan Pembangunan TechLINK: Jurnal Ilmiah Lingkungan Scientica: Jurnal Ilmiah Sains dan Teknologi Ekasakti Legal Science Journal Journal of Exploratory Dynamic Problems Journal of Sustainability and Science Economics CITAKARYA Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Teknik Industri Jurnal Konstatering
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Indonesian Oil and Gas Export Data Forecasting Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Exponential Triple Smoothing Methods Kurniawan, Deni; Afrianto, Irawan
International Journal of Research and Applied Technology (INJURATECH) Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): December 2025
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study analysed historical data movement patterns and forecasted the value of oil and gas exports for the next 12 periods. The data obtained was secondary data in the form of monthly time series for the period (2021–2025). A time series is a series of observations of a variable that occur in relation to the time of its occurrence, while time series data is data collected over a specific time period. The analysis method used was the Box-Jenkins method or Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with the help of R software. The model obtained through the stages of model identification, parameter estimation, and diagnostic testing was then used to project the data. The best model was selected based on the smallest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) value and valid parameter significance tests. The forecast results for 2026 show a trend that tends to be constant or flat following the latest data level, with a confidence interval that widens as the time period increases. This indicates that the value of oil and gas exports is predicted to be stable but carries a high risk of uncertainty in the future, thus requiring adaptive policy anticipation to address market volatility.
Prevention of Non-procedural Indonesian Migrant Workers in the Riau Islands, Indonesia Kurniawan, Deni; Rahmi, Khairi
Journal of Governance and Public Policy Vol. 13 No. 1 (2026): February 2026
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jgpp.v13i1.28506

Abstract

The Riau Islands, as a border region with Malaysia, have become a major transit point for prospective non-procedural Indonesian migrant workers before they are sent to Malaysia. Most non-procedural Indonesian migrant workers come from outside the Riau Islands Province and use two routes: the official route through international ports and the illegal route through unofficial channels. Economic factors and weak oversight in border areas are the main reasons why the Riau Islands have become a transit area. This study aims to analyze inter-agency cooperation in preventing illegal Indonesian migrant workers in the Riau Islands. This study uses a qualitative approach, in which data are obtained from in-depth interviews with BP3MI Riau Islands, Bakamla West Zone, and KKPPMP Batam Riau Islands, as well as from other secondary sources. Using Hasibuan's (2006) coordination theory, this study focuses on four indicators: unity of action, communication, division of labor, and discipline. The results revealed three main challenges. First, unclear regulations, particularly in Law No. 18 of 2017, make the prevention of non-procedural Indonesian migrant workers ambiguous. Second, BP3MI Riau Islands has not established a technical team and maritime fleet to support surveillance. Third, insufficient resources such as personnel, facilities, and budget hinder the effectiveness of cooperation. In conclusion, better coordination between agencies and optimization of resources are needed to strengthen surveillance. Structured cooperation is expected to overcome obstacles and enhance the effectiveness of preventing non-procedural Indonesian migrant workers in the Riau Islands region.
The Influence of E-Service Quality and E-Trust on the Level of E-Loyalty of Gojek Application Users in the Cirebon Region Kurniawan, Deni; Romdonny, Jefry; Dedu, May
Indonesian Journal of Advanced Research Vol. 5 No. 4 (2026): April 2026
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/ijar.v5i4.16291

Abstract

This study is aimed at analyzing the impact of e-service quality and e-trust on the e-loyalty of  Gojek application users in the Cirebon Region. The method used was quantitative descriptive, with a survey of 150 active Gojek users using purposive sampling. The data was analyzed through Partial Least Squares (PLS) using SmartPLS. The results indicated that e-service quality had a positive and significant influence on e-loyalty (path coefficient = 0.391; p = 0.001), while e-trust had a more dominant influence (path coefficient = 0.452; p = 0.000). Simultaneously, two variables exert a substantial influence on e-loyalty with an R-Square of 0.650, meaning that 65% of user loyalty variations are explained by both variables. Improving the quality of digital services and strengthening user trust are key strategies to maintain Gojek's loyalty in an increasingly competitive market.
Analisis Pendekatan Implementasi Kebijakan Peraturan Walikota Tanjungpinang Nomor 14 Tahun 2022 Tentang Pengurangan Penggunaan Kantong Plastik (Studi Kasus Di Pelantar II Kota Tanjungpinang Tahun 2023) Kurniawan, Deni; Azzahra, Maharani
Jurnal Pemerintahan dan Kebijakan (JPK) Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): April
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jpk.v5i2.19933

Abstract

Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui kebijakan dari peraturan walikota tentang pengurangan penggunaan kantong plastik. Metode Penelitian ini menggunakan teori implementasi MSN-Approach yang ditulis oleh Kadji terdapat tiga indikator pendekatan yakni Mentality-Approach, System-Approach, dan Networking Approach. Dalam penelitian ini menggunakan metode Deskriptif Kualitatif. Teknik pengumpulan data yang didapat melalui teknik observasi, wawancara dan literatur jurnal. Hasil penelitian dilapangan mengenai implementasi kebijakan pengurangaan kantong plastik di Pelantar II sudah berjalan cukup baik. Pendekatan jejaring kerjasama dimana didalam pengawasan kebijakan pihak DLH Kota Tanjungpinang sendiri mengandeng dan berkolaborasi pihak perangkat daerah, pihak akademisi, serta masyarakat. Kesimpulan dalam penelitian ini dengan adanya kegiatan gotongroyong membersihkan lingkungan sekitar fasilitas umum setiap minggunya. Dalam hal kerjasama dengan pihak terkait memberikan dampak yang saling menguntungkan terhadap kedua belah pihak.