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Journal : Journal of Applied Data Sciences

Mathematical Modeling of Water Quality Dynamics in Aquaculture: A Foundation for IoT Integration and Machine Learning-Driven Predictive Analytics Sarif, Muhammad Irfan; Efendi, Syahril; Sihombing, Poltak; Mawengkang, Herman
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 6, No 3: September 2025
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v6i3.819

Abstract

Effective water quality management is paramount for sustainable aquaculture, yet conventional methods often fall short in providing timely and predictive insights. This paper details the development and analysis of a comprehensive suite of mathematical models designed to simulate key water quality dynamics in aquaculture systems. These models encompass critical biogeochemical processes, including the nitrogen cycle (ammonia, nitrite, nitrate, organic nitrogen), phosphorus cycle, Dissolved Oxygen (DO) balance, and Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD). Simulation results derived from these models illustrate the temporal evolution of these critical parameters, demonstrating their capability to capture complex interactions and provide a mechanistic understanding of the aquatic environment. This foundational modeling approach offers a robust tool for quantitative analysis and prediction of system responses under various conditions. The core contribution of this work is the articulation of these mathematical models, which serve as a crucial foundation for advanced, data-driven aquaculture management. To enhance their practical utility, we propose a conceptual framework for integrating these models with Internet of Things (IoT) sensor networks. Real-time data acquisition via IoT can be essential for model parameterization, continuous calibration, and validation against operational conditions. Furthermore, this paper discusses how outputs from these validated mechanistic models can serve as robust inputs for Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. This synergy enables the development of sophisticated predictive analytics for critical events, such as forecasting water quality deterioration, and supports optimized, proactive management strategies. This research lays the theoretical and methodological groundwork for developing more precise and resilient decision support systems in aquaculture. By emphasizing the synergistic potential of combining foundational mathematical modeling with data science techniques like IoT and ML, this work aims to contribute to transforming aquaculture into a more productive, sustainable, and environmentally responsible industry. Future efforts should focus on empirical validation and the practical implementation of the proposed integrated framework.
An IoT-Enabled Smart System Utilizing Linear Regression for Sheep Growth and Health Monitoring Efendi, Syahril; Sihombing, Poltak; Mawengkang, Herman; Turnip, Arjon; Weber, Gerhard Wilhelm
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 6, No 3: September 2025
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v6i3.901

Abstract

The global livestock industry faces significant pressures from climate change, land constraints, and rising consumer demand, necessitating greater efficiency and sustainability in production. To address these challenges, there is a critical need for accessible, data-driven tools; however, accessible and individualized tools for monitoring the growth and health of livestock like sheep remain underdeveloped, limiting farmers' ability to transition from reactive to proactive management. This study developed and validated an Internet of Things (IoT) smart system for monitoring sheep using an Arduino and ESP32 platform equipped with a DHT22 sensor for temperature and humidity and a load cell for weight. Weekly weight data from 15 sheep were collected over a six-month period. Simple linear regression was then applied to model the individual growth trajectory of each animal. The IoT system was successfully implemented and deployed in a farm setting. The primary finding was that individualized linear regression models provided a highly accurate method for tracking sheep growth, with R² values consistently exceeding 99% for most animals. The system effectively delivered real-time reports on growth trajectories and health-relevant environmental conditions (e.g., temperature and humidity) to a smartphone interface, confirming its practical utility. The primary implication of this research is a validated framework for practical and interpretable precision livestock farming. The system empowers farmers to shift from reactive to proactive management by using individualized growth curves as baselines for early problem detection. This dual-function system enhances productivity through precise growth tracking while supporting animal welfare via environmental monitoring, offering a valuable tool for modern, sustainable sheep farming.
A Data-Driven MINLP Approach for Enhancing Sustainability in Blockchain-Enabled e-Supply Chains Badawi, Afif; Efendi, Syahril; Tulus, Tulus; Mawengkang, Herman
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 6, No 4: December 2025
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v6i4.889

Abstract

Modern e-supply chains are characterized by increasing complexity and a critical need for enhanced sustainability, transparency, and traceability. Blockchain technology emerges as a significant enabler, offering decentralized, immutable ledgers and smart contracts that can support more secure, verifiable, and environmentally responsible operations through trustworthy data. Despite blockchain's potential, a notable gap exists in the availability of quantitative, data-driven optimization models that rigorously assess the operational and sustainability impacts of its integration into e-supply chains, particularly for complex, non-linear system interactions. This study aims to address this gap by presenting an in-depth analysis of a specific Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Programming (MINLP) optimization model. The goal is to clarify its structure, evaluate its application for an e-supply chain incorporating blockchain features (like transaction costs and conceptual smart contract enforcement for compliance) and sustainability objectives (such as carbon emission reduction), and derive practical insights. The methodology involves a detailed exposition of the MINLP model, followed by its application to a defined e-supply chain scenario. The analytical approach includes computational experiments focusing on a base case analysis to demonstrate model functionality. The broader evaluative framework for this study encompasses benchmarking the model’s performance against a conventional system and conducting sensitivity analyses on key parameters to understand performance trade-offs. The initial base case analysis demonstrates the model's capability to optimize supplier selection and operational plans while adhering to sustainability constraints, such as maintaining carbon emissions at or below 300 kg CO₂ per period, and accounting for blockchain-specific costs like a per-supplier usage fee of 500. The structure of the model and preliminary insights suggest its potential to achieve improved environmental impact compared to conventional systems, balanced against associated blockchain implementation costs. This research provides a detailed examination of a complex MINLP structure, offering a data-driven analytical approach for assessing blockchain's role in sustainable e-supply chains. It furnishes a foundational framework and insights that can guide managerial decisions and strategic planning for industries transitioning towards greener, more transparent, and digitally advanced supply chain operations.
A Data-Driven Mixed Integer Nonlinear Programming Model for Cost-Optimal Scheduling of Perishable Production and Workforce Putri, Mimmy Sari Syah; Mawengkang, Herman; Suwilo, Saib; Tulus, Tulus
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 6, No 4: December 2025
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v6i4.1019

Abstract

This study presents a data-driven, Mixed Integer Nonlinear Programming (MINLP) framework for optimizing the multi-period production scheduling of perishable products with integrated workforce planning. Its primary novelty is the holistic integration of a continuous exponential decay function for product deterioration with dynamic workforce planning, creating a unified model that optimizes production, inventory, and labor simultaneously. This approach addresses key challenges in perishable inventory systems by treating labor as a controllable resource rather than a fixed constraint. Mathematically, the model includes nonlinear inventory balance equations with decay terms and resource-dependent capacity constraints. The objective is to minimize total operational cost, comprising production, holding, and spoilage costs. Computational experiments, based on a realistic case study, demonstrate that the proposed model reduces total system cost by 6.2% and spoilage costs by 43.2% compared to a standard heuristic benchmark. The resulting production and labor schedules align closely with demand fluctuations, supporting both economic and operational efficiency. This unified framework advances the mathematical modeling of sustainable production planning and offers a practical tool for real-world industries such as food processing and pharmaceuticals.
Co-Authors , Rahmad Sembiring Abi Rafdi Afdhaluzzikri, Afdhaluzzikri Afnaria, Afnaria Aghni Syahmrani Ahmad Zaki Mubarak, Ahmad Zaki Al Khowarizmi Anggi Anatasia Kinanti Anugreni, Fera Arjon Turnip Azmi, Zulfian - Badawi, Afif Buaton, Relita Budhiarti, Erna Christefa, Dea Christian Sinaga, Christian Dadang Priyanto Dedi Siswo Defri Muhammad Chan Deny Jollyta Efendi, Syahril Elly Rosmaini Elvina Herawati Ermawati Ermawati Erna B N Erna Budhiarti Nababan Fatma Sari Hutagalung Firmansyah Firmansyah Hadistio, Ryan Rinaldi Handayani, Sri Hartama, Dedy Hengki Tamando Sihotang Hengki Tamando Sihotang Heni Pujiastuti Heri Gustami Husain Husain Husain Husain Ignazio Ahmad Pasadana Iin Parlina Indah Purnama Sari Juanda Hakim Lubis Lestari, Valencya lili Tanti Lismardiana Lismardiana Lusi Herlina Siagian M Safii M Zarlis Mahyuddin K. M Nasution Mardiningsih Mardiningsih, Mardiningsih Marpongahtun Marwan Ramli Maya Silvi Lydia Mochamad Wahyudi Muhammad Arif Satria Nasution Muhammad Zarlis Muhammad Zarlis Muhammad Zarlis Muhammad Zarlis, Muhammad Muliawan Firdaus Napitupulu, Fajrul Malik Aminullah Nuraini Nuraini Oktaviana Bangun Opim Salim Sitompul Ovirianti, Nurul Huda Pasaribu, Suhendri Poltak Sihombing Prandana, Randy Putri, Mimmy Sari Syah Rahman, Silvi Anggraini Resti, Lady Ichwana Roma Rezeki Ryan Rinaldi Hadistio Saib Suwilo Saib Suwilo Santoso, Ahmad Imam Sarif, Muhammad Irfan Sawaluddin Nasution Sawaluddin Sawaluddin, Sawaluddin Sugiyarmasto Sugiyarmasto Sutarman Sutarman Sutarman Sutarman Syahputra, Muhammad Romi Syahril Effendi Tanjung, Ilyas Tulus Tulus Tulus Tulus Vinsensia, Desi Weber, Gerhard Wilhelm Wiryanto Wiryanto Wisnu Irsandi Pratama Zakarias Situmorang Zarkasyi, Muhammad Imam Zarlis, M Zarlis, M Zoelkarnain Rinanda Tembusai Zulfian Azmi